All eyes on Inflation figures this morning (Joseph Wright)

This morning could be important for Sterling exchange rates, not just this morning but moving forward as analysts are expecting to see UK inflation levels hit a 5-year high.

The weakening of the Pound since the Brexit vote has pushed up the rate of inflation in the UK, and for a while now the inflation level has been well above the Bank of England’s 2% target. Many analysts in the city are expecting to see the rate hit 3% for September, and if this happens there is a high chance that the Bank of England may look to hike interest rates for the first time in over 10 years.

A 3% inflation level would be a 5-year high and the governor of the Bank of England has hinted at hiking rates as soon as next month.

A high reading this morning would likely result in Sterling strength as the markets would expect to see a rate hike from the BoE, and at the same time if the inflation level is lower than expectations, I think there’s a chance the Pound would fall.

Mark Carney will also be speaking later this morning as he testifies to MP’s on the Treasury this morning. It will be interesting to see whether he discusses inflation and potential rate hikes and if he does it will be interesting to see how the Pound reacts.

Aside from today’s busy morning this Thursday could also be busy as Retail Sales data will be released which could impact Sterling depending on how the figures perform.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

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