Category Archives: Buy Euros

Pound makes gains vs the Euro at the end of the week (Tom Holian)

After experiencing a very difficult last few days the Pound vs the Euro has started to make a fightback vs the Euro during this afternoon’s trading session.

With the Europeans discussing what is happening with the Brexit talks things appear to be going better than previously expected. Indeed, European Council President Donald Tusk has suggested that the deadlock has been exaggerated and that ‘doesn’t mean there is no progress at all.’

Various leaders of the European Union have been involved in a two day summit and Tusk has also stated that he will try to be a ‘positive motivator for the next five or six weeks.’

Clearly the Pound has been suffering for most of the year with the uncertainty caused by the Brexit and the likelihood is that things will continue this way for some time to come. The ‘divorce bill’ which is the cost for the UK to leave the European Union has still yet to be decided and as yet we are still none the wiser.

As we go into the final quarter of the year we could get some progress with the discussions but until we agree a figure I think the talks will stall.

The other topic which is likely to have a big effect on the rate to buy or sell Euros with Pounds is the topic of whether or not the Bank of England will look at raising interest rates on 2nd November. The general expectation is that we will see a rate rise owing to inflation recently hitting 3%.

However, with average earnings lagging behind I think a rate hike could cause problems for the British economy and therefore I would not be surprised to see rates kept on hold and as the market expects a hike this could be to the detriment of Sterling.

Therefore, if you’re looking to buy Euros with Pounds it may be worth taking advantage of today’s short term spike.

If you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Selling Euros? GBP EUR Falls after Weaker Retail Sales

GBP EUR exchange rates have continued to fall this week after yesterday’s UK retail sales data fell by 0.8% in September. The weaker numbers follow on from the other important economic data also released this week. Although inflation touched 3% on Tuesday which would normally suggest an imminent interest rate hike from the Bank of England, the weak wage growth numbers have created uncertainty over whether or not the central bank will raise interest rates on November 2nd. Inflation climbed to its highest level in five years this week but it may not be enough to persuade for a rate hike. As such the pound has actually weakened this week.

There are two doves on the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee who are almost certain to keep rates on hold but whilst the vote could be close on the day I am still of the opinion that the Bank will hike at the next meeting. Clients looking to buy Euros could see a spike if action is taken considering the recent slide in sterling so there could be a small window of opportunity.

Clients looking to sell Euros would be wise to consider moving sooner rather than later and take advantage of what are still incredibly attractive trading prices. Rates for selling Euros are still some 20% better than two years ago which means on a €200,000 transfer the extra sterling generated is about £35,000 more with today’s exchange rates.

Expect volatility for the Euro over the weekend as developments unfold in Catalonia. If Madrid seeks to trigger Article 155 and impose direct rule on Catalonia then there could be civil unrest a huge escalation in political tensions. The Euro is likely to react to nay news on this.

If you would like further information on Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR to fluctuate 5% in the upcoming months (Dayle Littlejohn)

Brexit negotiations seem to be heating up as both parties have promised to accelerate negotiations therefore I am expecting major volatility with GBPEUR exchange rates. 

Rewind the clock to the end of July, many of the leading banks were predicting by the end of the year parity for GBPEUR exchange rates, however UK interest rates gave the pound a boost which has led to Banks re thinking their forecasts.

At the moment GBPEUR exchange rates appears to be fluctuating in the lower teens and I expect by Christmas or potentially in the early new year for GBPEUR exchange rates to be either in the 1.06-1.07 or 1.17-1.8 range and the factor that is going to drive the pound higher or lower will be the Brexit negotiations.

A no deal puts the UK under more uncertainty and therefore I expect the pound to plummet, where as an agreement in regards to EU citizen rights and the divorce settlement bill will lead to trade negotiations and therefore a stronger pound.

The problem we have is we are unaware how the upcoming negotiations will go. For clients that are selling pounds to buy euros or euros to buy pounds, the question you have to ask yourself is what do you think will happen between the UK and EU. If you are unsure and not prepared to take the gamble, as some people are saying it’s like playing roulette, feel free to get in touch to discuss how we can save you money on your transfer.

For further information in regards to currency feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

All eyes on Inflation figures this morning (Joseph Wright)

This morning could be important for Sterling exchange rates, not just this morning but moving forward as analysts are expecting to see UK inflation levels hit a 5-year high.

The weakening of the Pound since the Brexit vote has pushed up the rate of inflation in the UK, and for a while now the inflation level has been well above the Bank of England’s 2% target. Many analysts in the city are expecting to see the rate hit 3% for September, and if this happens there is a high chance that the Bank of England may look to hike interest rates for the first time in over 10 years.

A 3% inflation level would be a 5-year high and the governor of the Bank of England has hinted at hiking rates as soon as next month.

A high reading this morning would likely result in Sterling strength as the markets would expect to see a rate hike from the BoE, and at the same time if the inflation level is lower than expectations, I think there’s a chance the Pound would fall.

Mark Carney will also be speaking later this morning as he testifies to MP’s on the Treasury this morning. It will be interesting to see whether he discusses inflation and potential rate hikes and if he does it will be interesting to see how the Pound reacts.

Aside from today’s busy morning this Thursday could also be busy as Retail Sales data will be released which could impact Sterling depending on how the figures perform.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Brexit Talks, Inflation and European Union Summit – Impact on GBPEUR exchange rates (Tom Holian)

Pound vs Euro exchange rates have remained range bound during today’s trading session in anticipation of what could be a huge day on the currency markets tomorrow.

Both UK inflation and Eurozone inflation is due to be released tomorrow morning and this could cause big movements for GBPEUR exchange rates.

The reason for Sterling’s gains back in September was the rumours that the Bank of England may be considering hiking interest rates and so if inflation comes out high this could cause Sterling strength vs the Euro but if we see inflation falling I expect to see the Pound drop against the single currency as it means the BoE will be less likely to consider raising rates on November 2nd.

UK unemployment figures are due on Wednesday and like with the inflation data this could cause volatility on the markets.

To end the week the European Union will be holding a summit which will include the topic of Brexit and any trade deals that could be proposed between the continent and the UK so overall a busy end to the week for Sterling vs Euro exchange rates.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as I can.

GBP EUR Gains after EU Response to a Future Trade Deal

Sterling Euro exchange rates have seen a very eventful week with the fifth round of Brexit negotiations coming to an end yesterday. The pound had fallen sharply against the Euro immediately after the press conference given by Brexit secretary David Davis and his counterpart Michel Barnier highlighted that progress was still slow and there was a deadlock in the negotiations. Sterling fell by over 0.5% after it was clear that there was still insufficient progress before seeing a substantial rally in afternoon trade reversing all losses.

GBP EUR Outlook Improves Overnight!

It has been reported that the EU will begin preparing for post Brexit trade negotiations with the possibility of trade talks to commence in December and refers to the next phase to start as soon as possible. This has led to a major jump higher for the pound across all of the major currencies including the Euro. GBP EUR is climbing this morning and any developments from the EU are likely to create additional volatility for GBP EUR. The response today from EU leaders will be crucial to where rates go from here.

My view has been for some time that when that door for a future trade deal has been opened there could be some excellent gains for GBP EUR. Those clients looking to buy Euros could finally start seeing some better opportunities to purchase just around the corner.
Clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to get in touch to look at the options available to you and how to maximise on the rates of exchange as they become available. Clients looking to sell Euros should consider moving sooner rather than later as this has been a fairly major development.

If you would like further information on sterling exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Quiet end to the week for UK data releases, what could cause the GBP/EUR rate to move this week? (Joseph Wright)

Those hoping for better Pound to Euro exchange rates have taken a knock this morning after the much publicised Catalonian independence situation has cooled for the meantime.

Yesterday evening the Catalan President, Carles Puigdemont and other regional leaders signed a declaration of independence, but interestingly chose to suspend the move allowing some time to negotiate with Spain.

The situation had been under the microscope in recent weeks and was seen as a potential downside to the Euros value as political instability is often a reason for currency weakness, and I expect the cooling of this situation for now at least to take some pressure off of the Euro.

The Euro is up this morning against all major currency pairs, and at the time of writing the Euro to Pound rate is trading at its day highs.

There is little economic data out for the rest of this week that involves the UK economy directly, so I expect to see the GBP/EUR driven by sentiment or Eurozone specific data releases. The ECB president, Mario Draghi will be speaking tomorrow at 3.30pm so I expect markets to be glued to his comments as is normally the case when he speaks.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Political Uncertainty weighs down the Pound (Daniel Johnson)

Lack of Faith in May as PM

There is little economic data of consequence this week from the UK.  Although data releases have the power to influence the exchange the core issues behind Sterling weakness against the Euro is the uncertainty surrounding Brexit and the lack of stability within the government.

Theresa May’s position as prime minister is coming under increasing pressure with members of her own party showing a lack of confidence in her ability to continue as PM. Former conservative party chairman, Grant Shapps has suggested that there are around thirty MPs who are of the opinion May should step down. There have been calls for a leadership election. During times of political uncertainty the currency in question historically weakens and this is what we are witnessing at present. This also raises the question of how we are going to negotiate Brexit, one of the biggest events for the UK in the last fifty years when the government is complete disarray.

Catalan independence could give some respite for Sterling

The referendum for Catalan’s separation from Spain is being deemed as illegal by the Spanish government. The result from the referendum show a clear victory for those who wish independence, this however has to be taken with a pinch of salt as many did not vote. Many Spanish unionists gathered in Barcelona to demonstrate against Catalan’s separation from Spain. Catalan leader Charles Puigdemont is due to meet parliament today to give credence to the referendum. There could be fireworks which could create Euro weakness.

Strong Eurozone Data could warrant tapering QE

We have seen positive economic data spread geographically and across industry sectors. We are seeing sustained growth from the Eurozone something which hasn’t happened in the past. If this continues we could well see the the ECB make a change to the current QE programming. Quantitative Easing is pumping money into an economy in order to stimulate growth. The ECB are currently adding €60bn a month into to the economy, if this tapered expect the Euro to strengthen significantly.

If you have a currency requirement I would b happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

 

Pound falls against the Euro owing to political uncertainty (Tom Holian)

The Pound has made some very positive gains vs the Euro in September with gains of over 6% during last month against the single currency but Sterling has now started to struggle.

Since the start of this month Sterling has fallen by almost 2% vs the single currency or the difference of £3,500 on a currency transfer of €200,000.

This highlights the importance of being kept up to date with what is happening at the markets by using an experienced currency broker.

There are a few economic data releases due out on Tuesday morning which are likely to cause a lot of volatility for the Pound against the Euro. On Tuesday morning UK Manufacturing & Industrial production data is due as well as the latest set of UK Trade Balance data.

The Pound was listed as the best performing global currency in September so we could see a fall in demand for British exports during last month and I think this could be reflected in a lower than expected UK Trade Balance.

There are problems ahead for the UK with the political situation still under a lot of pressure.  Former Tory Party Chairman Grant Shapps has suggested this week that there are  approximately 30 MPs who are in favour of holding a leadership election.

Since April when the conservatives lost their majority and had to form a coalition there has been a feeling that many are gearing up for a change in the Prime Minister.

Therefore, I think we could see a very difficult week ahead for the Pound vs the Euro.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as I can.

GBP EUR Falls to below 1.12 after German Intervention

The pound has fallen against the Euro from its recent peak with levels having fallen below 1.12 for this pair and sliding. Clients who need to buy Euros may wish to consider securing sooner rather than later to take the risk of rates falling further out of the equation. The news yesterday from German industry that German firms that are based in the UK should start preparing for a very hard Brexit has had an instant negative effect on GBP EUR.

The BDI, federation of German industry has made clear that the priority must be to defend the single market and its four freedoms. This rhetoric combined with the political uncertainty in the UK and the fact that Britain is drafting contingency plans for a no deal situation is keeping the pressure on sterling exchange rates.

If the Brexit negotiations continue to go badly then the pound could see a material fall and there is a good chance there will be more headwinds to come for the UK.

This lunchtime sees a speech from Bank of England member Andy Haldane and any clues as to when that first interest rate hike will take place that are offered may have a sizeable impact for those clients looking to buy or sell Euros. Any suggestion from Andy Haldane that he supports a rate hike in November could see the pound rally on the news and this in my view is likely considering his recent stance on monetary policy. He has previously said that a rate hike would be good for the economy.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound to Euro rate drops as UK Construction sector contracts, will today’s data push the Pound lower? (Joseph Wright)

Despite issues within the Eurozone at the moment such as the Catalonian independence referendum, the Pound fell against the Euro yesterday after Sterling weakness outweighed Euro weakness.

The past week has yielded some negative data for the Pound which has seen it dip from its highs last month of 1.14. Revised yearly GDP figures were revised downward to 1.5% from the previous figure of 1.7%, mortgage approvals were down by 3000, manufacturing in the UK dropped slightly and UK construction figures dropped quite heavily yesterday.

Today’s data release covers the services sector within the UK which is arguably the more important release as the services sector covers around three-quarters of the UK economy and therefore the figure tends to be watched very closely.

Aside from today’s data release a member of the Bank of England, Andy Haldane will be giving a speech later this week which could cause further movements between the GBP/EUR rate if any hints at future monetary policy are given, especially after talk of an interest rate hike from the BoE has begun to heat up in recent weeks.

The situation in Catalonia looks set to continue which I think could push the Euro lower, so it will be interesting to see if the Pound will recover back to its August highs if the data out of the UK turns more positive.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will the Pound improve against the Euro in October? (Tom Holian)

The Pound vs the Euro has had a very strong month in September with a number of positive economic data releases.

From the low to the high we have seen almost 6% movement between Pound and Euro which is the difference of £5,500 on a currency transfer of €100,000 highlighting the importance of timing when making a currency transfer.

As we go into October we have on Monday the release of UK Manufacturing data closely followed by Eurozone unemployment data.

UK manufacturing data has been performing well during the last few months with orders from Europe having increased owing to the weakness of Sterling and this is why I expect the data on Monday to be positive for the UK.

Therefore, I think we could see a positive start to the week for the Pound vs the Euro.

However, clearly next month the GBPEUR exchange rate will be affected by the ongoing Brexit talks so depending how these go this is likely to be one the main influences of Sterling over the next few weeks.

At the moment the key issues are that of citizen rights across Europe as well as the ‘divorce bill’ and various trade agreements.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP EUR Rates ahead of UK GDP Data

The pound is hitting resistance at the higher level versus the Euro after what has been an excellent push higher over these last two weeks.
UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers are likely to be a big driver going forward and the data this morning could have a sizeable impact on the direction of sterling exchange rates.

Any weakening in economic growth could see the Bank of England reign in its recent strong rhetoric and see the pound start to lose some of its recent excellent gains. UK GDP is expected to arrive at 0.3% although a small slip closer to zero growth could be sterling negative. For the moment there is an excellent opportunity for those clients looking to buy Euros with pounds.
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney will be speaking later today and the markets will be listening out for any clues that are offered.

The pound is sitting at levels circa 1.14 against the Euro and the recent surge has largely been brought about by a sudden change of stance from the Bank of England which now seeks to raise interest rates in the coming months. There is a now 50% chance that there will be an interest rate hike in November whilst a rate hike has been fully priced in by February of next year. If the Bank does decide to hike in November then the pound is likely to rally that little bit further although there is a risk that rates could fall if no action is taken.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR hits a 10-week high, but will the Pound manage to hold on to its recent gains? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has risen quite dramatically against the Euro in recent weeks, with the pair hitting 1.14 both yesterday as well as this morning which is a 10-week high point for the pair.

Brexit uncertainty appears to have taken a back seat for now, which has seen GBP/EUR rise over 6 cents in recent weeks making the exchanging of Pounds into Euros a more attractive proposition.

The Pounds gains have been aided by a weakening Euro which has mostly been caused by the German election which took place over the past weekend. Although Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party won for a forth consecutive term as expected, the talking point of the election is the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party as they were the third best performing party.

This has softened the Euro and with the unofficial Catalan election in Spain also just around the corner and threatening to cause tensions in the region I think there’s a chance we could see the Pound continue to climb.

On Friday there will be the release of UK GDP data which could provide the Pound with a boost if the figure released is better than expected. The release comes out at 9.30am and the expectation is for 1.7% year on year and 0.3% for the 2nd quarter of this year.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Be wary of recent gains for the pound over the Euro, they may not continue. (Daniel Johnson)

Potential Rate hike based on misinterpretation of data

Despite Sterling moving above 1.14 this morning against the Euro be wary of thinking a resurgence on the cards. The main catalyst for Sterling strength is the market factoring in a potential interest rate  rate hike. Mark Carney, the head of the Bank of England recently stated there may be the need for a rate hike in the coming months which drove investor confidence and caused the pound to strengthen. This is a technique call jawboning, a technique Carney has used in the past during his role at the Bank of Canada. Essentially rather than making any changes to monetary policy you talk up the value of the currency. This is one of the rare occasions the technique worked. Keep in mind those who actually vote on a change in rates, the monetary policy committee (MPC) voted 7-2 in favour of keeping rates on hold.

The justification behind the potential rate hike is high inflation and low unemployment. High inflation is only healthy for an economy if average wage growth keeps in pace with inflation, at present it isn’t, it actually fell to 2.1%. Unemployment figures are at the best levels since the 70s, but a large contribution to this is down to zero hour contracts. My opinion is the reasoning behind a hike is false, but investors are biting with a 50% chance of a hike in November and a hike factored in by February next year.

The uncertainty surrounding Brexit is still a major concern and if negotiations are not going well, the pound could fall considerable. May’s opportunity to provide clarity on Friday was not taken and at one point she stated “no deal is better than a bad deal.”

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Pound makes small gains vs the Euro after the German Election (Tom Holian)

The Pound vs the Euro has made some small gains since the weekend after the German general election results were announced.

With Chancellor Angela Merkel winning again although this did not come as a surprise the win was not by as much as expected, which has led to the Euro weakening marginally against the Pound.

I think the biggest movement for GBPEUR exchange rates is likely to come on Wednesday when the latest set of UK GDP figures are due to be released.

The Bank of England recently announced that recent UK economic growth has been much better than expected so if we see the figures come out strong on Wednesday then in my opinion I think we could see the Pound making gains vs the single currency providing anyone with a requirement to buy Euros with a good window of opportunity.

However, the subject of Brexit continues to weigh heavily on Sterling exchange rates and until we get some form of clearer resolution I think the Pound will continue to struggle.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will Theresa May help the Pound make gains vs the Euro? (Tom Holian)

Sterling has continued to make gains vs the Euro after last week’s very positive movement for Sterling exchange rates which saw them hit the best rate to buy Euros with Pounds since early July.

UK Retail Sales data came out this week better than expected which has also helped the Pound to maintain its gains vs the single currency.

With Theresa May due to speak in Florence tomorrow to outline her vision of a post-Brexit Britain we could see a lot of movement for GBPEUR exchange rates over the next 24 hours so it is very important that you’re prepared for the movement.

Then over the weekend the Germans go to the polls to vote in the latest general election.

The expectation is for Angela Merkel to win again which will be the fourth time that she leads the country and typically when the existing party stays in power this often results in Euro strength.

Therefore, depending what happens with Theresa May’s speech I think we could see GBPEUR exchange rates fall early next week once we know the election result.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP EUR Slides from Recent Peak

The pound has slipped back to below 1.13 for GBP EUR after the incredible gains seen last week. Despite the slippage the pound continues to be supported on expectations that the Bank of England will look to raise interest rates in the near term. There is now a 50% chance that there will be a rate hike as soon as November and the markets are fully pricing in the prospect of a rate hike by February 2018.

This is good news for sterling exchange rates as the prospect of interest rate hikes in the UK means more funds move towards Britain as the return on the investment is higher which drives the price of the pound higher.

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney also spoke again yesterday and highlighted that there is likely to be a movement from historical interest rate lows. However he also cited some concerns over Brexit and this appears to be one of the reasons why the pound has just tailed off from its recent peak.
Clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to consider getting in touch to take advantage of the excellent rates which are available at the moment. A major intervention by UK Prime Minister Theresa may could see additional volatility for the pound this Friday. If the stalemate in the Brexit negotiations continues then there is a chance the pound could fall lower.

However I am of the opinion that an offer of goodwill from the UK is likely to be made and this could see the pound strengthen across the board. There could be a small window of opportunity to buy Euros this Friday.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound hits 2 month high against the Euro following Bank of England meeting (Tom Holian)

Sterling Euro exchange rates are now trading at their highest level since July after the Bank of England claimed that they may be considering raising interest rates earlier than markets currently expect.

Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that he was pleased with UK economic growth which has been positive in recent months and combined with record low levels of UK unemployment this could be a justification for raising interest rates.

Inflation continues to run high after hitting 2.9% during August which is the highest in 5 years and this also helped the Pound to make gains vs the Euro.

Indeed, rumours are that the Bank of England may be considering raising interest rates early next year compared to the previous expectation of 2019.

However, I don’t think we see a rate hike coming anytime soon so I think this was just posturing in order to help the Pound make gains.

On Friday next week Prime Minister Theresa May will be in Florence to set out her vision of post-Brexit Britain in which she will talk about the UK ‘leaving the EU but not leaving Europe.

This could potentially cause a lot of movement for GBPEUR exchange rates so keep a close eye out for what may happen to rates at the end of next week.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling rallys against the Euro following Interest rate decision (Daniel Johnson)

Is Sterling’s advance warranted?

Today saw the UK interest rate decision. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) consist of nine members who vote on whether there should be a change in rates. Today’s vote came in at 7-2 in favor of keeping rates on hold. It was the speech after the event that caused sterling to gain strength.

Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of England (BOE)  spoke following the discussion and stated the BOE may need to adjust interest rates in the coming months. In my opinion this is jawboning, talking up the value of the currency  as apposed to making an actual change to monetary policy, let us not forget the vote was 7-2 to keep rates on hold.

They are justifying a potential hike on the rise in inflation to 2.9%. Inflation is only a positive to an economy if average wage growth is increasing at a similar pace. Wage growth fell to 2.1%, something the BOE have seemingly swept under the carpet. I believe a rate hike is not the solution to the inflation problem. Brexit is the reason for the weak value of the pound and in turn the rise in inflation due to the increase in cost of exports, a solution to the problem would be clarity on Brexit and the pound will rally with out monetary policy action.

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