Category Archives: Eur Forecast

Italian Politics and a positive end to the week for the Pound

It appears as though Italian politics are causing the Euro a problem as the Pound has shown signs of improvement and even EURUSD exchange rates are close to their lowest levels in months.

Both the Italian parties the 5 Star Movement and Lega have both proposed plans to leave the EU in the future and this is clearly a cause for concern.

They have also suggested that they will look to increase pensions for older Italians as well as considering a plan to create an amnesty for some tax offenders in Italy.

Recently European Central Bank President Mario Draghi suggested that political tensions could cause problems for the Eurozone and therefore the single currency so a change in Italy could potentially cause a ripple effect in the months ahead.

Yesterday, the Eurozone announced Construction Output data and this showed a fall which caused the single currency to fall against the Pound providing a good opportunity this week to buy the Euro at its highest level.

Later on this morning the Eurozone will release the latest set of Trade Balance data and this will give us a key insight into how the economy on the continent is performing.

Overall, I think we could see a positive end to the week for anyone looking to buy Euros and I think the GBPEUR exchange rate may even break past 1.15 during today’s trading session.

Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency companies for 15 years I am able to offer you bank beating exchange rates as well as helping you with the timing of your transfer.

For a free quote then contact me directly by calling 01494787478 and asking for Tom Holian when calling or email me directly with a brief description of your currency requirement and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Forecast – Sterling Finds Some Support After Last Week’s Heavy Losses (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound has found a level of support against the Euro this week, following a poor run over the past couple of weeks.

GBP/EUR rates are now trading back above 1.14, which will be welcomed by any clients looking to execute a GBP/EUR currency exchange over the coming days.

It’s been well documented that the Pound has been under pressure of late. Investors quickly sold off their GBP currency position, when it became clear that the Bank of England (BoE) would not be raising interest rates at their recent policy meeting.

I do believe that the BoE and Mark Carney in particular have lost a lot of credibility and this could have an impact on Sterling’s value moving forward, which in turn could help support any increase in value for the EUR.

Looking at the GBP/EUR pair and the trend over the past 12 months has been repetitive, with the Pound seemingly finding a level of support only to be knocked back time and again.

It is unlikely that a move back towards the highs of last year, when the Pound was trading in the higher teens and one stage even seemed as if it could put pressure back on the dizzy heights of 1.20.

Fast forward and it those levels seem ambitious at best, especially when you consider that UK growth forecasts for 2018 have been cut once again to 1.4%.

Despite the current malaise, the Eurozone is not without its own problems. Political fragmentation across the region, Italy being the prime example, could potentially destabilise the Eurozone economy.

We have already seen a downturn from last year and for this reason, it still seems as though the downside risk, outweighs the upside benefits for those clients holding EUR.

If you have an upcoming Sterling currency transfer to make, you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award winning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

Important day for GBP/EUR exchange rates – U.K Unemployment and European growth figures the headlines

Today will be important for GBP/EUR exchange rates as we have the release of some key data for both the U.K and Europe which will no doubt have an impact on GBP/EUR exchange rates.

First and foremost we haver U.K unemployment and average earnings figures which will be focussed on by investors, speculators and the Bank of England as economic data at present is extremely important for where we may head next with interest rates.

A drop off in economic data for the U.K has recently dampened the chances of a rate hike which in turn has led to weakness for the Pound. An interest rate hike (or the mere speculation of one) can add value to a currency as we see an increase in demand due to it being more attractive to investors.

Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney commented at his latest interest rate decision that as long as there were no economic disasters we should see an interest rate hike soon, so a slight lift in average earnings or drop in unemployment may give Sterling exchange rates a lift this morning.

European growth figures are due out at 10:00am this morning and expectations are for the figure to remain at 0.4% for Q1 of 2018 and 2.5% growth year on year, should this be the case then this may not impact the markets too much but any deviation from this could give the Euro a fairly volatile period mid-morning. There had been concerns over growth in many areas of the Eurozone so it wouldn’t be a great surprise to see these figures revised down a little.

If you are in the position that you need to carry out a currency exchange involving buying Euros with Pounds or exchanging your Euros back into Pound then you are more than welcome to get in touch with me and I will be  happy to help you personally. The brokerage I work for has been operating for 18 years now and we pride ourselves on getting clients not only the best exchange rates on the market but also offering the very highest level of customer service too.

If you would like to discuss a specific scenario or exchange with me then feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get in touch personally.

Will GBPEUR exchange rates rise or fall by the end of the week?

With GBPEUR exchange reaches back above 1.14, it seems like a good time for euro buyer to take advantage as I expect the pound could come under pressure on Thursday when the Bank of England announce their latest interest rate decision.

The chances of a rate hike have dropped to 20% from 80% according to Lloyds and the reason for the fall is that UK economic data released last month disappointed. Retail sales, inflation and GDP all dropped significantly and recent Brexit developments are also putting pressure on the Bank of England’s decision.

Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney has stated over the last 18 months that Brexit developments will influence monetary policy, and with the House of Lords on a weekly basis heavily criticizing the Government, UK Prime Minister Theresa May appears to be stuck between a rock and a hard place. It was only this afternoon the House of Lords stated the UK should remain part of the single market.

My personal opinion is that the Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold and the Governor Mark Carney will continue with his stance that a hike is likely to occur this year, however he will not confirm when and this will cause the pound to lose further value.

To finish the week all eyes will turn to the ECB and President Mario Draghi’s speech. Every time the President speaks, investors are watching closely for guidance in regards to the QE program. Time is running out for the President as he will want to give the markets as much time to adjust and the plan was to cut the QE program by the end of the year. This story has the potential to have a major influence of GBPEUR exchange rates moving forward.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

 

 

Sterling is on shaky ground (Daniel Johnson)

GBP/EUR – The fragility of the pound is currently being demonstrated as political uncertainty and a host of poor data releases weigh down Sterling. We have had poor inflation, poor retail sales and GDP arrived at 0.1%, the lowest figures in five years. The highly anticipated rate hike from the Bank of England (BOE) in May now seems off the cards with little justification to do so other than unemployment hitting a 43 yr low. This however may not be so impressive, with many on zero hour contracts, not the most stable form of employment.

Political uncertainty has been another catalyst for Sterling’s fall. Theresa May is facing criticism for her stance on access to the customs union following Brexit. Keep an eye on developments as they will influence GBP/EUR.

If you have a Euro requirement short term move if the market hits the 1.14s.

Euro sellers – short term you could see gains, but be wary of holding on for too long with high expectations as Sterling is chronically undervalued. Clarity on Brexit will cause the Pound to rally.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Bank of England now less likely to raise rates and the impact on GBPEUR rates

The Pound has once again struggled to make any gains vs the Euro and we are now just a week away from the Bank of England’s next interest rate decision due to be held on 10th May.

Only a fortnight ago the price to buy Euros had hit its highest level since May 2017 almost breaking past 1.16 but since then we have seen a 3 cent drop on GBPEUR exchange rates as it appears now much less likely that we’ll see a rate hike coming next week.

UK GDP data for the first quarter of 2018 came out late last week at the slowest pace since 2012 and this appears to have decreased the chances of a rate hike coming in the near future.

Inflation is still high at 2.5% which fell quicker than expected and although it is falling it is still higher than the target which is 2%.

With this in mind I don’t think that the Bank of England will completely rule out an interest rate hike but I think owing to the recent poor economic data then I think next week’s decision could be to keep rates on hold and therefore the Pound could fall further.

The Brexit is still causing global investors to shy away from Sterling at the moment and with the Eurozone GDP data higher than the UK then I think we could see a rocky road ahead for the Pound vs the Euro.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry for one of the UK’s longest established currency brokers for 15 years I am confident of being able to help you save money when buying currency as well as helping you with the timing of your currency purchase.

For further information or for a free quote then contact me directly by sending me an email and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Weaker Ahead of Local Elections

UK Prime Minister Theresa May held her Brexit cabinet meeting yesterday afternoon which could offer further direction for the Brexit negotiations and hence the pound. The issue of the day is whether Britain should remain part of the customs union with the EU. Brexit negotiator Oliver Robbins is trying to steer the government towards a customs partnership that would keep some of the benefits of the single market although members of the cabinet are unlikely to vote in favour of this option.

Overnight there has been a strong backlash within the government against the proposed customs partnership and this only adds to the uncertainty for the pound ahead of local elections tomorrow. GBP EUR has fallen to a low of 1.322 this morning. This could be a milestone in the Brexit process and any developments are likely to see new direction for the pound. Political uncertainty continues to be a major driving force for sterling exchange rates.

The pound is set for a volatile few months but it will be later in May when the House of Commons will be forced to vote on a number of amendments that will try to enforce a close relationship with the EU with a view to keeping Britain in the single market. This will be a huge test for Theresa May and a vote of confidence has been mooted which would take the country close to the prospect of a general election.

UK Purchasing Managers Index data for the construction sector could give the pound a boost if there is any pick up following the awful winter which has helped push down UK Gross Domestic Product after the Beast from the East. The services sector numbers will be released tomorrow and could also provide a rally if there is some relief for the markets that it is not all doom and gloom

For more information on the Euro and how to make the most of any opportunities when buying or selling Euros then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR stuck at pivotal point of 1.15 – Will rates break above or head back down?

Sterling is currently sat around the 1.15 mark against the Euro and appears to be fairly range bound as we head towards the end of the trading week. Yesterday saw the most volatility for the pairing that we have seen this week following the European Central Bank interest rate decision and press conference, this led to a little Euro weakness and Sterling moving back up through 1.15.

This rise was short lived however, as profit taking knocked the pound back below 1.15 and now we appear to be sat at a pivotal point for where GBP/EUR exchange rates will head next. This morning we have growth figures released for the U.K and this will be the first set of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) figures for quarter 1 of 2018.

Expectations aren’t great for this data set due to the extremely poor weather that we had in the U.K in the early part of the year. Cold snaps and lots of snow ground the U.K to a halt on more than one occasion which can only dent economic productivity.

The release is due out at 09:30am this morning so if you have a Euro exchange to carry out in the coming weeks then this will be key for you. This release will also impact on the Bank of England’s next interest rate decision on May 10th. members of the MPC are currently watching every U.K data release extremely closely and the chance of an interest rate hike is currently in the balance, if they go ahead and do it we may see Sterling strength, if they hold off then the Pound may weaken.

Should you be in the position that you need to carry out an exchange in the coming days, weeks or months ahead then it is well worth getting in touch with me personally as I can help you with your transfer. We do not only offer the highest levels of exchange but also an extremely efficient level of customer service too. Feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to speak to you personally.

GBP/EUR hits 1.15 (Daniel Johnson)

Draghi hints at prolonged QE

Today at the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting Mario Draghi the head of the ECB has indicated that Quantitative Easing (QE) could well continue into 2019 despite earlier hints that it would be ending this year. QE is pumping money into an economy in order to stimulate growth, current monthly increments are €30bn, if there was to be a cut you would expect the Euro to strengthen significantly. News that  QE could continue has caused GBP/EUR to move above 1.15.

In my opinion considering the current situation in the UK in regards to ongoing talks on the custom union situation it is a favourable time to buy Euros. 1.1599 has been the peak of the market in the last 11 months. We currently sit at 1.15, buying a cent away form an 11 month high is not a bad idea if you have to move short term.

If you have time to play with I am confident Sterling is c undervalued. Pre- Brexit levels were in the 1.40s, as further clarity is provided on Brexit the pound will rally, when, depends on the competence and attitude of those negotiating, throwing into the mix other UK political parties with their own agendas complicating matters.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. If you wish to maximise your return it is important to be in touch with an experienced broker. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a trading strategy to suit your needs. If you have a currency provider in place I am willing to perform a live comparison and I am confident I will be able to demonstrate a considerable saving. It will only take  a couple of minutes and could be well worth your while.

You can trade in safety knowing your trading with Foreign Currency Direct PLC, a company  trading for over 16 years. Our accounts are published online at companies house and we are FCA registered.

If you would like my help I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. I look forward to hearing from you.

What will happen at the ECB meeting today?

The European Central Bank will be meeting later on today to discuss their latest plans for monetary policy. The current QE programme remains at €30bn per month and at the moment the expectation is that this will end towards the end of this year.

I don’t think we’ll see any change to policy this month so all eyes will be focused on the tone of the press conference and whether ECB president Mario Draghi will suggest that any changes may be coming.

Draghi has previously made it quite apparent that he wants to see further signs of growth in inflation before any change to the economic stimulus is made.

The Euro has hit the lowest level against the Pound since May 2017 in the last fortnight after rumours increased that an interest rate hike may be coming in the UK but since then the Pound slightly dropped against the single currency after Bank of England governor Mark Carney suggested that although rate hikes are ‘likely’ his tone was a little dovish.

However, in my opinion I think there is enough evidence to justify a rate hike coming in the UK as average earnings have surpassed inflation for the first time in a long time and unemployment levels are close to the lowest on record.

Therefore, even if we don’t see an interest rate hike on May 10th I think the overall tone will be that there will be one coming soon which could give the Pound a boost against the Euro.

If you’re considering buying Euros then it may be worth seeing what happens later today with the ECB before making your move.

For further information or a free quote when buying currency then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you. Having worked for one of the UK’s longest established currency brokers since 2003 I am confident I can save you money on exchange rates.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

GDP to influence exchange rates this week

The recent positive run for GBPEUR exchange rates came to an end last week, when UK inflation feel sharply and Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney couldn’t confirm the prospects of an interest rate hike in May. Sterling fell from the 1.16s to the 1.14s causing concern for euro buyers. Any further commentary from the Bank of England over the next couple of weeks before the decision will have the potential to cause further fluctuations.

Other UK economic data in the form of Retail sales was another reason why the Governor failed to state a hike is just around the corner. UK GDP numbers are set to be released this week and the predictions are for a slight fall as the adverse weather conditions continue to cause a problem for the UK. If GDP falls I expect that an interest rate hike may not occur which could be a problem for euro buyers but good news for Euro sellers.

In other news the house of commons is set to meet this week to discuss the customs union. The House of lords voted in favour of remaining within the customers union, however Theresa May has made it clear that the  UK is leaving. If this story continues to escalate again this could put pressure on the pound.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

GBPEUR plummets due to Mark Carney

Late last night Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney told the BBC that an interest rate hike would occur this year but failed to announce that it would happen at the May meeting. He did state Brexit negotiations and the performance of the UK economy will dictate when the hike occurs. This was seen as extremely dovish by investors and the pound was sold off.

The Governor also spoke about inflation and said as always inflation needs to be monitored closely. With inflation falling quicker than expected this month to 2.5%, if this trends continues I expect to only see one hike this year, which arguably is a bad situation for clients buying euros.

The pound had been making considerable gains against the euro over the last 6 weeks due to the hype of an interest rate hike and the shift in Brexit sentiment. However not that a hike may not occur, this could be the start of the slide for sterling against the pound. Furthermore with trade negotiations set to start in the upcoming months now is the time to buy pounds in my opinion.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Drop in Inflation decreases probability of BOE Rate hike (Daniel Johnson)

Is a rate hike in May by the BOE still likely?

Yesterday we saw the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI is a key measure of inflation and there was a fall to 2.5%. In order to have a healthy economy it is important that average wage growth be close to parity with inflation and this is currently the case, with average wage growth (2.8%) currently sitting above inflation. Although this could be seen as very positive, could it be considered a danger that people are making more money but are not willing to spend it?

Also if inflation in coming into line with the Bank of England’s (BOE) 2% target, could this put the potential rate hike in May on hold?

This is the concern and this is the reason we saw Sterling fall in value yesterday. I am of the opinion a rate hike will still take place due to previous strong economic data. Although Retail sales data to be released this morning could change that. There is expected to be a fall from 0.8% to – 0.5%. I would be surprised to see it the predicted – 0.5% so this could indeed strengthen the pound if there is only a slight decline. If it falls below -0.5% however this could indeed really put a rate hike in May in question.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker when the market is currently so hard to predict. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

GBP EUR Moves Higher Towards 1.16

The pound continues to maintain the higher ground against the Euro with rates pushing towards 1.16 for the GBP EUR pair. There is currently an excellent opportunity for buying Euros and those looking to secure may be wise to take the risk out of the market place. So far this year when there has been a surge higher for the GBP EUR it has only lasted for a brief period before falling lower.

The outlook does appear to be brighter at present with rates for GBP EUR sitting at an 11 month high although any Brexit developments this week could see the pound fall lower. Sterling is performing better for a number of reasons which hare all contributing to a better economic outlook. UK unemployment is currently at a 43 year low and recent UK retail sales data arrived considerably better than expected. The last retail sales numbers arrived at -0.2% whilst the latest numbers jumped into positive territory at 0.4%.

Politics are likely to have a big impact on sterling exchange rates this week with a parliamentary discussion on Syria later today which follows on from yesterday’s marathon questions session. The other big factor is Brexit and this week sees the start of the third round of negotiations which will tackle the thorny issue of trade.

This is supposed to be the most complex issue to negotiate and any difficulties in these coming weeks could see the pound tumble form its recent highs. There is a still a long way to go in the Brexit negotiations and I would expect to see many more twist and turns creating added volatility for the pound and Euro.

For more information on sterling exchange rates and how to make the most of these opportunities in the currency markets then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP EUR Reaches Fresh Highs – 1.16 in Sight

The pound has rallied to fresh highs against the Euro with levels for the GBP EUR pair trading just below 1.16. There is currently an excellent opportunity for those clients looking to buy Euros with some of the best levels seen in the last 9 months.
The mood on Brexit is feeling considerably more optimistic and the fact that key figures from with thin the EU and notably from Germany have signalled that London will still remain the financial centre for the EU are in my view helping lend support to the pound.

Clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to consider securing at these higher levels whilst they are still available as there is still a long way to go on Brexit. The trade negotiations which will cover the future trade relationship between Britain and the EU will start next week and any noises are likely to see considerable volatility for GBP EUR. The trade element is believed to be the most difficult to reach agreement and if negotiations move forward badly then the pound is likely to fall.

The European Central Bank (ECB) next meet 26th April and there is likely to be considerable volatility around this time. The ECB should give more clarity as to when the ECB will conclude the tapering of its asset purchasing scheme and may look to signal when the first interest rate increase may happen. UK data next week however will be more pressing with the release of UK unemployment numbers as well as inflation data. Strong numbers here could help drive the pound higher although politics in my view has been lacking of late and so it should only be matter of time before the markets start reacting again to British politics.

For more information on Euro exchange rates and assistance in making transfer when either buying or selling Euros then please get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR breaches 1.15

Its been a fantastic day for the pound and GBPEUR exchange rates have breached 1.15 and remained above the key threshold that many of my clients have been looking to trade at over the last year.

With limited data releases today it is hard to state the exact reasons to why the pound has gained so much momentum, however I believe its because speculators have purchased the pound in anticipation that the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney will deliver a press conference this evening and be bullish about the interest rate decision in May.

With average earnings catching inflation many speculators believe the Bank of England will hike interest rates to 0.75% and this is one of the reasons that the pound is gaining momentum alongside the transitional deal being agreed last month. The question is what next?

Personally I am surprised the pound is as high as it is, and I would be extremely tempted to purchase now at a 10 month high. The trade negotiations are set to start in the upcoming months and I expect these negotiations will put severe pressure on the pound.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP/EUR Forecast – Sterling Struggling to Make an Impact Above 1.15 (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has held its been position against the EUR of late but so far has struggled to make any impact above 1.15.

The EUR continues to find support around this threshold, as it has done every time it has been tested over recent months.

There is no doubt the Pound has gained a foothold following a strong run of UK economic data and progress in Brexit talks but is the Pound likely to break through the current levels any time soon?

Whilst it is impossible to predict exactly how the markets will evolve, any clients with an upcoming Sterling currency exchange to execute should be wary about assuming that the Pound’s upward will last. Despite the UK and EU agreeing on terms for a transitional period ahead of the UK’s inevitable Brexit, this agreement has simply kept the ‘wolf from the door’ for another couple of years.

There are still many unanswered question regarding the UK’s future trade status both with our European neighbours and globally and as such I feel the Pound is still likely to be handicapped over the coming months, at least to some extent.

Looking at the Eurozone itself and its economy continues to perform admirably, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to tie up their current monetary policy programme before the end of this year. If this dopes happen it is a show of strength and again it means the ECB no longer feel the Eurozone economy need propping up.

In the short-term UK data tomorrow in the form of Manufacturing & Industrial Production figures is expected to be mixed, so it unlikely the Pound will receive much support following these releases, unless of course they come out above the markets predicted result.

If you do have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make, you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award winning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

European economic data a little worse than expectations but still reasonably strong

European data released over the past few days has mainly missed analysts expectations, however we have seen the Euro remain fairly stable as the figures were still reasonably good.

Poor weather across Europe can be blamed as one of the main issues in March and I feel that because the snow was just so bad in places this slight miss has been overlooked by most investors and speculators.

We have very little out in terms of economic data today from  the Eurozone but what may be the main market mover for Euro exchange rates today would more than likely be non-farm payroll data over inn the U.S which can impact all major currencies.

EUR/USD is the most traded currency pairing in the world so any larger news from the U.S can impact Euro exchange rates too, positive news from the States can weaken the Euro and negative news can strengthen it.

At the stage of writing this the Pound is the worst performing major currency of the week, although it hasn’t made major losses it still has dropped off a little, economic data for the U.K has not been great but again I would personally focus the main reasons for that on the weather we witnessed in the U.K in March.

If you have a requirement to move Pounds into Euros in the coming weeks and you would like our assistance with your currency exchange then it is well worth getting in contact with me directly. You can email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get in touch with you personally to discuss the various options available to you, including our rate alerts, top exchange rates and the very highest levels of customer service too.

GBP/EUR – When shall I move? (Daniel Johnson)

Why will GBP/EUR not breach 1.15 and remain above 1.15?

Sterling has made significant improvements against the majority of major currencies of late. Breaking resistance points against both the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar, 1.80 and 1.40 respectively. Against the Euro however it only breached the key resistance point of 1.15 for a very short period.

1.15 has been the absolute peak of the market, this level only being breached on a few occasions and every time it quickly retracts. I have been saying for months that if you have to move short term trade if the market sits in the 1.14s.

There has been several catalyst for Sterling’s recent improvement. We have seen retail sales figures come in well above expectations. Previous readings came in at – 0.2% and the prediction was a rise to 0.4%. They landed at 0.8% for February.

We also saw average wage growth move much closer to parity with inflation, which is a true sign of a healthy economy. An interest rate hike from the Bank of England (BOE) was already highly probable in May, but this may force the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) hand.

It was also announced that the UK would have access to single market during the Brexit transitional period, which is very good news indeed.

If ever there was a reasoning of late for GBP/EUR to break 1.15 and stay above 1.15 these were it. What gives me worries is that it didn’t.  I think it means we are going to have to have some pretty significant news to do so. Perhaps this could come in the form of news on the Irish border situation. which is at present a major point of contention in Brexit negotiations.

Personally, I am still of the opinion if you have to move short term do so in the 1.14s.

If you have a currency requirement I would b happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

GBP/EUR Forecast – Sterling Recovery Softens (Matthew Vassallo)

UK manufacturing data came in slightly better than expected yesterday but GBP/EUR rates have remained fairly flat this week.

The Pound reached a high of 1.1473 today before retracting slightly but has struggled to make any impact above 1.15 against its EUR counterpart.

The catalyst for Sterling’s recent improvement was confirmation that UK & EU have all but agreed on the terms for a Brexit transitional deal. This positive spike has softened over the past week, with the long-term uncertainty around the UK economy still handicapping any major sustainable advances for Sterling.

Whilst the recent news has helped to alleviate many of the concerns that the UK was going to be left in a state of economic limbo following our separation, investors remain wary about the UK’s position post Brexit. A strong Eurozone economy is also helping to support the single currency and as such the EUR has found plenty of support around the current levels.

Despite a positive run of UK economic data the Pound cannot seem to break free from its shackles and with trade talks underway between the UK & EU, could we see further pressure on the Pound over the coming weeks?

With the Bank of England (BoE) giving indications that they may raise interest rates over the coming months, there is certainly a reason for those clients holding Sterling positions to feel more optimistic than in recent times.

However, with many unanswered questions and only fragile confidence in the UK economy, it may be prudent to protect any short-term GBP/EUR currency positions. This is not the first time the pound has threatened to make significant inroads against the other major currencies. Despite the fact there may be more substance to the recent increase in value, there are still many unanswered question, in terms of how the UK economy will be shaped and perform when it goes it alone.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make, you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award winning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.