Category Archives: Eur Forecast

Eurozone Inflation To Cause Volatility (Ben Fletcher)

This morning the latest Inflation data will be released for the Eurozone which should provide an indication as to what the European Central Bank will decide to do in the next few weeks. Many analysts at the moment believe the ECB will start to reduce the amount of economic stimulus as early as September however if the EU economic data is not strong then that’s less likely to happen.

The Euro has been putting significant pressure under Sterling with many investors choosing to back the single markets major currency. There has been considerable growth across the EU with output data at one of its highest in years and future confidence soaring. Most of this strength has come from France and Germany but there also appears to be optimism that the Greek and Italian economies will this year grow.

There is still the small issue of multi-billions worth of bailout funds and it seems incredibly unlikely that those funds will ever be paid back. The Greek pension fund has already been completely raided and the higher tax bracket is considerably over 60%, which makes you think if the economy doesn’t start to grow there is nothing more to give and no more room for squeezing.

Today with the general downward movement of the GBP/EUR I would not be surprised to see the 1.09 level tested.

I am in a position to help you execute a transfer and I am confident I can offer you the best rates. Therefore if you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When it comes to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me Ben Fletcher at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will the Pound fall lower than 1.10 over the next few days? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has remained under pressure against the Euro recently as the negative effects of Brexit appear to be gathering pace.

We are now ten years on from the credit crunch and over 10 years since the Bank of England last raised interest rates in the UK.

Trade Balance figures in the UK yesterday showed a big deficit for June and this is highlighting that the lack of investment and spending by businesses in light of the uncertainty caused by Brexit.

Manufacturing and industrial production data showed a rise but the overwhelming factor is that of Brexit which is causing problems for Sterling Euro exchange rates.

Credit ratings agency Moody’s has recently cut its outlook for consumer debt and has warned that high inflation combined with a falling in wages could cause a large exposure to the debt.

Next week on Tuesday UK inflation data is due out and I think if we see a figure lower than last month’s 2.6% then this could see GBPEUR rates fall below the support level of 1.10 going into the middle of next week.

Therefore, if you’re in the process of buying Euros then it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to secure an exchange rate for a future date with a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Euro at 10 month high against the Pound (Tom Holian)

Pound Euro exchange rates have continued to fall this week hitting support levels of 1.10 earlier this afternoon.

The Pound is really struggling caused by the uncertainty of Brexit and the recent downgrading of the UK’s growth forecast for both this year and next.

Earlier on today French Trade Balance came out much better than expected as did their Export figures which further highlighted the strength of the economy in the Eurozone.

Indeed, the Euro is now trading at its best level in almost 18 months against the US Dollar which is good news for anyone holding Euros at the moment.

If you’re in the process of selling a property in Europe but have not yet completed it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date.

This involves paying a small deposit and the remaining balance at a date that works for you. This means you know exactly how much Sterling you will get when the property completes and can be especially useful if you’re concerned as to what may happen to GBPEUR exchange rates in the weeks ahead.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will the Pound continue to fall against the Euro? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has crashed against the Euro during yesterday’s trading session after the Bank of England confirmed that interest rates will remain on hold for the 11th month running. The split this time round was 6-2 which was lower than June’s vote which was 5-3.

One of the members of the Monetary Policy Committee Kristin Forbes has left since the previous meeting and the incoming Silvana Tenreyo was unlikely to have caused a surprise.

The Bank of England have also downgraded the UK’s growth forecast for this year from 1.9% to 1.7% as well as cutting next year’s growth forecast from 1.7% to 1.6%.

This has led the Pound to fall against the Euro to its lowest rate since October 2016 and this is largely part to the Brexit discount currently on offer.

Bank of England governor Mark Carney has spoken out about the uncertainty caused by the Brexit and this is causing a lack of investment in the UK until a resolution is reached which is likely to take a long time.

One good thing for the British economy is that UK inflation appears to be falling at the moment from 2.9% to 2.6% but for the Pound this is not good news as it provides further support to keep interest rates low for a long period of time.

If you’re in the process of selling a property in Europe and would like to take advantage of these current low exchange rates to buy Pounds then feel free to get in touch.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound recover against the Euro? (Tom Holian)

The Pound is now at is lowest rate to buy the Euro since November and the problems for the Pound do not appear to be reducing anytime soon. The fears of the Brexit affecting the economy are appearing to be realised which is resulting in the Pound falling against the single currency.

The negotiations have been going on for a few weeks now and so far little progression has been made. There has been no decision as to whether the UK will opt for a softer or a hard Brexit and until this is resolved I think the Pound will remain under huge pressure for a long time to come.

The first estimate of UK GDP for the second quarter was published on Wednesday and although it came out as expected with 1.7% year on year this did little to support Sterling. Indeed, the Pound vs the Euro fell to its lowest level at the end of the week since last autumn.

Next week the Eurozone releases inflation on Monday morning as well as the latest set of unemployment data. If both announcements come out positively then I think we could see further losses for GBPEUR rates to come going into August.

EURUSD exchange rates are now trading at their highest rate since the start of 2015 and it is becoming clearer that not only is the Pound weak against the single currency but the Euro is also very strong against a lot of other currencies at the moment.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP/EUR Short Term Forecast – Will Sterling Strengthen? (Ben Fletcher)

Sterling has been under continuous pressure these past few months presenting the opportunity for people to sell Euros back at some of the best levels in 9 months. Each week the range in which the GBP/EUR rate resides at has fallen nearly a cent suggesting there is more potential for the rate to continue to fall. If you have been waiting to sell Euros back to Pounds and are still holding on, the next month might be the best time.

German Election

At the end of September Germany will head to the polls in what is thought to be a non-event to re-elect current Chancellor Angela Merkel. Whilst Merkel is the major favourite there has been some surprising events that have taken place around the globe in the past year and anything unexpected could create Euro weakness. At the moment there doesn’t really appear to be any major rivals and the concern that Nationalist parties were coming back seems to have died down. Merkel was heavily criticised by many in her own country for welcoming 1 million refugees, however in the light of no other viable leaders her tenure looks set to continue.

From the perspective of the GBP/EUR rate, over the next month we may see some Euro weakness start to creep in due to election uncertainty. But by that point the GBP/EUR may be close to moving below the 1.10 level, which in my opinion would be a best case scenario for Euro sellers.

If you have a upcoming requirement you would like to discuss or ask any questions about the comments please send me an email briefly explaining your requirement at brf@currencies.co.uk. I would be more than happy to share my thoughts and try to help you develop a plan that will enable you to maximise your transfer. I will aim to respond within a few hours.

Further losses for the Pound this week? (Tom Holian)

The Pound vs Euro is now at its lowest level since last autumn as economic and political woes continue to increase in the UK.

UK Inflation has started to fall which in a way is a good thing but this has caused the Bank of England to rethink any attempt to look at raising interest rates in the near future.

Meanwhile across the water on the continent the European Central Bank have suggested that they may be looking at tapering their current QE programme.

The Eurozone is performing very well recently and this has led the Euro to hitting its best level to buy US Dollars in over a year which highlights how strong the single currency is compared to other currencies as well.

UK GDP for the second quarter is due for release on Wednesday and as this period covers both the general election as well as the start of the Brexit talks I think this could be lower than the expectation of 1.7% and in my opinion I think we’ll see losses for the Pound vs the single currency on Wednesday.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBP/EUR Back Above 1.14 (Ben Fletcher)

Sterling’s positive end to the week continued all the way to the close of business this evening as the GBP/EUR rate shot up to a high of 1.143. This has come as a considerable surprise following the fall to 1.118 on Wednesday, which convinced many further losses were on there way. Now that there has been a resurgence in the rate, the rise to 1.15 is a hot topic. The last time the rate reached that level was 6 weeks ago and that was only available for a few hours.

There is still a considerable amount of uncertainty surrounding Sterling, especially as the Great Repeal Bill is to be released shortly and every opposing party to the Government plans to challenge their plans. However some of the major concerns appear to have taken a slight back seat and at least for the last 48 hours no new negative headlines have appeared. It’s thought that earlier in the week Sterling was oversold as markets became over pessimistic on the UK conditions, with that in mind the recent jump is just making up lost ground.

GBP/EUR, where to next?

Now that we have seen favorable Sterling the movement the next step will be a jump above 1.15. This week we saw members of the Bank of England talk down a interest rate hike in the near future which was the main cause of the GBP/EUR rate dropping over a percent. Arguably if there was to be talk of a hike, that percent may return which would see a jump to the 1.15’s.

If you have any questions with regards to my forecast above please don’t hesitate to contact me. I would be more than happy to discuss your requirement and provide a strategy that will work for your unique needs. I may also be able to offer a potential method of completing the transfer. Please send me a brief description of what you’re looking to do at brf@currencies.co.uk

 

Brexit Repeal Bill due today and the impact on Sterling Euro rates (Tom Holian)

The UK will announce today their plans for the Repeal Bill which essentially means that the UK will apply the same laws in the UK before the Brexit vote whilst giving power to parliament in order for them to be able to change them at a later date.

There is already a lot of disagreement between the various political parties but the plan is not due to be debated until later this year but will need to be put in place by the time the UK is due to leave the European Union which will come in March 2019.

This has yet to cause too many problems for the Pound vs the Euro but it does demonstrate how much uncertainty there is politically at the moment in the UK.

Brexit Secretary David Davis has said ‘the eyes of the country are on us and I will work with anyone to achieve this goal and shape a new future for our country.’

This appears as though Davis is willing to listen to ideas from various parties in the interests of the country but I think this could cause real problems for the British economy as clearly the political parties in this country have very different priorities and agendas.

We end the week with Eurozone Trade Balance for May which has been very positive recently so expect volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates towards the end of the week.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your transfer.

If you have a currency transfer to make whether it’s buying or selling Euros then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk 

Pound drops lower once again as interest rate hikes suffer setback and Euro gains on the Dollar (Daniel Wright)

GBP/EUR exchange rates have dropped to the lowest point we have seen since since the U.S elections back in November, which is due to two reasons we saw yesterday.

Firstly, we had two members of the Bank of England speaking during the course of yesterday afternoon and both of those members dampened expectations of a U.K interest rate hike happening  in the near term, which led to the Pound losing further ground against the Euro and most major currencies too.

An interest rate hike is generally seen as a positive for the currency concerned as it makes it more attractive to investors, and the markets can more on speculation as well as action, so even the mere hint of a hike moving closer can lead to the Pound gaining strength, we saw this shortly after the last Bank of England interest rate decision where they confirmed 3 out of 8 members had voted in favour of interest rates going up in the U.K and this gave Sterling a boost.

The chances of a hike appear to have decreased again after yesterday which is why the Pound has lost a little value.

Secondly, due to more issues over in the States surrounding Trump and Trump JR the Dollar has lost plenty of ground against the Euro. With EUR/USD being the most traded currency pairing in the world when you see a large amount of money coming out of the Dollar and going into the Euro, the Euro can gain strength against most major currencies too, making it more expensive to buy.

Unfortunately economic data is still not dragging the Pound back up and we have unemployment figures and average earnings due out at 09:30am today. Average earnings are of great importance at present as inflation is increasing and making goods and services more expensive where as peoples earnings are actually increasing at a slower pace which is not a good sign for the economy. Should this trend continue people will have less and less money to spend and this may cause further problems for the economy as the year moves on.

We really do need to see a catalyst for the Pound to start moving in the right direction again but at present that has not materialised. The worry now is that we are starting to see the true impact of the referendum vote start to shine through now and that Sterling may be in for a tough month ahead.

If you have Euros to buy or indeed sell then it is more important than ever to make sure you maximise your exchange rate. Feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) to discuss the various options available to you. Yo ucan email me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will get back to you personally.

 

 

GBP/EUR, Calm Before the Storm? (Ben Fletcher)

Yesterday the GBP/EUR rate hardly moved half a cent across the whole of the day with very little changing in the market. Until the drop on Friday due to poor economic data for the UK, the rate had spent most of the week hovering around the 1.14 mark. This morning the rate is back above 1.13 and in my opinion there could be a opportunity for the rate to lift a little today.

MPC Members Speak Today

Two of the nine Monetary Policy Committee members will speak today Andy Haldane and Dr Ben Broadbent. The MPC are thought to be investigating whether a interest rate hike would be beneficial for the UK in the short term future. The two committee members who vote with the other 7 will provide their insights, if they’re hawkish and suggest a hike may happen that could provide market optimism boosting Sterling. Alternatively Andy Haldane is returning for his second stint on the MPC and was previously known for his Dovish attitude. There is of course every chance this is a non-event, but with little positivity around for Sterling any spikes in the market should be capitalised on.

In my opinion over the course of the next few weeks the GBP/EUR rate may move back towards the 1.14 but I find it hard to see anything much more substantial happening. The second round of Brexit talks will begin next week and we may get some further updates into how they’re progressing. However Theresa May is coming under so much pressure in the UK, even as much so that MP’s are calling for her resignation. If May was to resign then another general election would only add to further uncertainty and the GBP/EUR rate may drop below 1.10.

If you would like to ask me any further questions with regards to my forecast, please feel free to send me an email to brf@currencies.co.uk. If you send me a brief description of what you’re looking to achieve, I will respond within a few hours. Hopefully I can assist with devising a strategy to help you achieve your goal and potentially help execute the trade.

GBP/EUR Drops Again During Friday’s Trading (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has come under pressure once again during Friday’s trading, following poor Manufacturing & Industrial Production figures this morning.

With figures well under market expectation, the Pound was under pressure immediately dropping almost a cent at the low to 1.1281.

Despite a recovery during the afternoon following the NIESR Gross Domestic Product (GDP) prediction.

The well-respected think tank has predicted GDP to grow to 0.3% this month, which if it comes to fruition, will show a steady improvement from last month’s reading.

It wasn’t that long ago that the Pound was creeping towards 1.20 but a complete shift in conditions, has seen the EUR gain almost seven cents at its high.

Despite Sterling finding a foothold over recent days, the current climate both politically & economically inside the UK means that any major upturn is unlikely in the short-term.

We can help our clients pin point specific moments to execute their currency exchanges, even when they are battling a falling market.

The current uncertainty surrounding our fragmented government and grave concerns amongst investors regarding how we will facilitate our Brexit, are two of the defining factors driving Sterling’s value at present.

With both of these issues, in particular the long Brexit process, will be resolved in the short-term and as such clients with a GBP/EUR requirement need to be realistic in terms of what they’re targeting on any exchange.

Clients should also consider any bottom lines, in order to protect their positions wherever possible.

There are no guarantees in the currency markets and with so many unanswered questions, let us help you navigate this turbulent market and maximise any currency exchange you need to make.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

 

GBP/EUR Rate Close to 1.15 Jump (Ben Fletcher)

The Sterling Euro rate could be on the verge of a positive upwards movement as a several week high is touched upon this morning. The rate moved up to 1.142 which provided optimism there could be more to come.

Governor of the Bank for England Mark Carney will speak tomorrow and after his speech last week caused over a cent movement that could happen again.

If you’re looking to purchase Euros then tomorrow may present a window of opportunity for you. If Sterling does start to move upwards then I do think it will be a significant jump. The currency has been oversold in the last few months which is why the rate has dropped so low, but there could be a turn of events coming.

Inflation Report Next Week

The UK’s latest inflation report was expected to be released this week however it has been postponed to next week. Inflation data is a double edged sword at the moment; firstly if it keeps rising and wage growth doesn’t it will feel like a wage cut, alternatively if it does continue to rise the Bank of England will be forced to raise interest rates. The home currency when there is a interest rate hike, can often benefit by several percent which could see the rate move back towards the high teens.

If you’re a Euro seller who is waiting to complete a transaction at an even lower level than what is currently available I believe you’re playing a risky game. Sterling seems to have found a resistance at the 1.13 level and would take a serous series of events to fall much lower than this point, never say never but the bottom may have been reached.

Whilst this is quite a speculative plan, but certainly plausible if you do have a more specific requirement please don’t hesitate to ask any questions about the forecast above. I would be more than happy to share my thoughts and discuss what might be the best option for you moving forwards. Please send me an email with a brief description of what you’re looking to do at brf@currencies.co.uk

 

GBP/EUR – Where Next? (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling struggles against the Euro

We have seen gains for Sterling against most major currency pairings  following a government being appointed in the UK. The euro however is proving to be stubborn, with a resistance point at 1.14. I think there will need to be a significant catalyst for GBP/EUR to breach 1.14 and remain above it.

Over the last decade Eurozone positive data has been sporadic and has held back The European Central Bank (ECB) from tapering Quantitative Easing (QE). We have recently however seen positive data more widely spread both geographically and in industry sectors. This is good news for Draghi and could mean we could see tapering sooner rather than later. If this does occur I would expect a sharp rise in Euro strength.

It is not all good news in the Eurozone however, let us not forget Greece, struggling to make debt repayments to the IMF. The debt is so great it seems impossible to imagine a stable Greek economy. If this problem comes in to the lime light this could hinder any Euro advance.

I am of the opinion Sterling is chronically undervalued, before the referendum announcement GBP/EUR sat above 1.40. I think short to medium term it will be tough time for the pound. I think once we have a more stable government and the Brexit stance is clear the pound will have the opportunity to rally. Although leave voters will not be happy, it may be the wise move to  compromise on immigration in order to have market access. This would almost certainly cause a spike in Sterling value. It is a shame we are in this position, it seems the whole reason the UK is in tatters is due to politicians pursuing their own agenda.

The Monetary Policy Commitee (MPC) recently voted on a change an interest rate and there was change in stance with 3 members voting in favour of a hike.  I believe this is not a solution to the rapid rise in inflation. The Bank of England are trying to fight a problem with the wrong tools. Many believe rate hikes drop and fall usually by 0.25%. This is not gospel and rates may move by as little as 0.5%. If there is a change in rates I would expect this to be the choice which would not have a huge impact Sterling value.

If you have a large currency transfer to perform in the coming days, weeks or months then I will be happy to speak to you directly as I will be willing to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the best possible rate when you do come to trade. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a significant difference so for the sake of taking a few minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can contact me (Daniel Johnson) on dcj@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavor to get back to you as quickly as possible. Thank you for reading.

 

UK Inflation to set the tone for Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

We begin the morning with UK construction data due out at 930am with expectations of a possible fall but the real movement for Pound vs the Euro exchange rate is likely to come with the latest set of Inflation Report Hearings due out this morning.

UK inflation has been rising recently to the level of 2.9% compared to the target level of 2%. Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is likely to be questioned and any suggestion that interest rates may be coming back on the agenda could lead to some movement for the Pound vs the Euro.

Indeed, this could see the Pound making some gains vs the single currency if there is any hint that an interest rate hike may be coming sooner than expected.

Tomorrow sees the latest release of PMI Services sector data for the UK and as this sector makes up such a huge amount of our overall GDP this could cause volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates.

On Thursday arguably one of the biggest data releases of the week is the latest NIESR GDP estimate. Although this is not the official data it is very up to date as it measures the last three months of the UK’s performance.

This could be the biggest market mover of the week so if you’re in the process of thinking about buying currency in the near future keep a close eye on what happens on Thursday morning immediately after the data release.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident of being able to save you money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank. 

If you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros then contact me via email below and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Queens speech vote to influence GBPEUR exchange rates (Dayle Littlejohn)

As Theresa May failed to win the General Election by a majority the Conservative Prime Minister has been in negotiations with the Democratic  Unionist Party (DUP) and a minority Government has been formed. Members of Parliament will have the final vote on the minority Government later this afternoon.

For Jeremy Corbyn to win and effectively vote down the queens speech members of the conservative party will have to vote against Theresa May and I just cant see this happening. Therefore I expect the minority government to be officially formed by the end of the week which could lead to further sterling strength against the Euro and exchange rates to drift towards the mid teen territory.

Looking further ahead Theresa May’s position as Prime Minister will continue to be scrutinised and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the PM resign in the upcoming 6 months. This view is supported by American Financial Service City Group as they informed all of their clients that they expect Theresa May will resign in the upcoming months due to a Conservative rebellion. If she did resign the new Prime Minister could call another General Election which would weigh down on the pound further.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Mark Carney Delivers Boost For Sterling (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate touched 1.14 after a 1.5 cent boost as Mark Carney delivered hope of an interest rate hike this year. The Bank of England two weeks ago voted 5-3 in favour of holding rates but it was the first time in 7 years that 3 voted for a hike. With inflation on the charge then the bank could be forced into making a decision soon.

Governor Mark Carney also stressed that he would have no choice but to consider tapering back the current economic stimulus. The bank currently purchase billions of pounds worth of bonds through quanitivativ easing and there’s hope this may slow down. This will be seen a positive for the UK economy and could have a significant effect on Sterling.

What today’s events go to show is how fast the currency markets can move. There has been enormous pressure on Sterling following the UK election and general uncertainty with the Brexit negotiations. This led to Sterling falling to the low 1.12’s this morning, however in the space of 4 hours the rate jumped 1% into the 1.14’s

How can you capitalise on movements?

The speed of the market movement today signifies how hard it can be to make sure you exchange currency at the correct time. Working for a brokerage I am able to help you set rate alerts as notifications. Furthermore set a limit order that means your currency could be automatically bought at your desired level even if the market only reaches the level for a few seconds.

Over the next few days I think it will be unlikely that sterling will find to much more support, however if there was to be a jump into the mid 1.14’s that would see the market at a 2 week high. If you do have a currency requirement and would like to ask any questions about the information above, please don’t hesitate to send me an email at brf@currencies.co.uk.

A stable government is needed for a Pound rally (Daniel Johnson)

Theresa May’s position has now been brought into question following her call for a snap election and the aftermath. Her decision to call an election when the opposition seemed so weak back fired when the conservatives failed to win a majority victory. Attacking tory core voters was deemed a poor move by senior conservative members. The PM’s stance on Brexit is causing much unrest, with the DUP now in place alongside the conservatives it has been rumored we could be moving towards a softer Brexit. If her stance changes she could be ousted from her position, This could well cause further political uncertainty and could cause the pound to weaken further as investors lose confidence.

For Sterling to rally it is vital a stable government is in place.

Keep a close eye on Brexit negotiations as they unfold this will be key to GBP/EUR buoyancy levels moving forward. The magnitude of these talks should not be underestimated, they are the most important talks for Britain in the last 50 years. Many have the opinion these negotiations could take far longer than the two year target. I think this could well be the case when you take into account the quickest negotiation for the US and another country took four years.

It is important to take into account if that if Brussels choose to play hard ball it could be detrimental to all those involved. Britain is one of the largest economies in Europe, the cost to other countries would be substantial if trade laws become problematic. Germany would be particularly effected when you look at the amount exports to the UK. The car industry would definitely be an area hit.This could cause negotiations to go through more quickly than anticipated, although the two year target still seems unrealistic.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a trading strategy to suit your needs. If you have a current provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am confident I can demonstrate a considerable saving. It will only take a few minutes and could potentially save you thousands. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

Brexit talks and the impact on Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

We are now a year on since the Brexit vote when the British public voted to leave the European Union and during this time we have seen huge losses for the Pound against the Euro.

As yet we are no clearer as to whether the UK will opt for a soft or a hard Brexit. Clearly in the interests of the UK and the Pound a soft Brexit would be preferred but this could take a very long time from coming to fruition.

Yesterday, Theresa May was in Brussels speaking about the subject of Brexit and she has suggested that the UK will maintain the rights of EU nationals living in the UK of which there are over 3 million.

The issue though is that the EU has not yet discussed a reciprocal arrangement and that is why the Pound has had a difficult end to the week.

As yet the Tories have still yet to from an alliance with the DUP which is necessary in order to form a majority government.

I think we are only a few days from this happening and when it does take place I expect the Pound to rise against the Euro but I think the gains will be short lived so if you need to buy Euros keep a close eye on the political situation in the UK.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you. I have worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 and I’m confident of being able to offer you better rates when buying currency as well as helping you with various contract types.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Sterling rises as negotiations begin, but will the Pound to Euro rate continue to climb as they continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has edged up today against the Euro as well as against other major currency pairs, making the buying of oversea’s currencies a cheaper proposition than yesterday.

The reason behind the positive movements for the Pound can be put down to the latest updates regarding the Brexit process. It appears that the early stages of the Brexit negotiations are going quite well, which has boosted sentiment surrounding the UK economy moving forward and therefore the Pounds value.

I think that moving forward if the negotiations continue to go relatively smoothly, we can expect to see the Pound begin its recovery from its current levels, especially when when consider how the Pound is trading around historical lows against many currency pairs at the moment.

Against the Euro Sterling has lost around 5 cents over the past month or so, so there’s certainty scope for the currency to gain if things go to plan.

Next week Friday is likely to be once of the busiest days for GBPEUR as GDP data for the UK will be released around 9.30am. The expectations are for 2% annual growth so we’ll see how the currency performs in the wake of the news.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.