Category Archives: GBP Forecast

Brexit talks dominate GBPEUR exchange rates (Tom Holian)

The next round of Brexit negotiations are due to start later today at the meeting currently being held in Brussels.

Hopefully this could mean that things could move on to the longer-term relationship between the European Union and the UK and if the talks go well we could see the Pound make some gains vs the Euro.

Indeed, if the talks progress we could see discussions moving forward about a transition deal for what will happen once the UK has left the European Union in 2019.

The Pound made some small improvements against the Euro yesterday hitting 1.14 on the Interbank level but it appears as though GBPEUR exchange rates are waiting to see what happens with the Brexit negotiations before making their move.

I personally think we could see the Pound move in an upwards direction if the talks progress as it shows that we are getting closer to agreeing a solution.

However, whatever happens over the next few days even if the Pound does rise against the single currency I think the movements will be relatively short-lived.

Indeed, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that progress had been made but there was ‘much more work to be done and time is of the essence.’

As we go into the start of next week Eurozone inflation data is due to be released on Monday which could cause some movements for Sterling vs the Euro but ultimately I think the market will mainly be moved by whatever happens with the Brexit discussions so make sure you’re prepared for any eventuality.

If you’re in the process of either buying or selling Euros and would like to be kept updated with what is happening over the next few days then contact me directly for a free quote.

Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates than using your own bank but also help you with the timing of your trade.

Contact me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk and I look forward to hearing from you.

EU summit to take centre stage

Tomorrow and Friday EU officials will meet at the EU summit in Brussels to discuss everything that is impacting the Eurozone at present but the main focus will be the Brexit negotiations.

In recent weeks the UK and EU have come to a gentleman’s agreement in regards to the divorce bill, EU citizens rights and the Irish border. Nothing has been finalised however Michel Barnier has announced that stage 2 negotiations can now begin.

At the EU summit all of the EU leaders should confirm Mr Barnier’s thoughts which could give the pound a further boost against the euro. However as news broke last week that a deal has been reached i’m not expecting to see major fluctuations. In fact I would expect that GBPEUR breaks through and sits above 1.14 by the end of the week.

It’s quite clear to see that the UK and EU officials are trying to come to an agreement in regards to Brexit, and therefore I am optimistic the pound could continue its recovery against the euro in the early months of 2018.

For clients that are converting euros into pounds a €200,000 transfer generates you an additional £25,000 now compared to Pre Brexit levels. Personally I wouldn’t take the gamble any longer and would look to sell my euros and buy sterling as soon as possible.

The other key economic event that will impact GBPEUR exchange rates this week is the Bank of England’s interest rates. The Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold at 0.5%, however as inflation has risen to a 6 year high, the minutes should outline how the central bank plan to tackle the worrying high levels.

If you are buying or selling euros this year, today is the day to get in touch. Many people still believe the only way to transfer large amounts of money is through the bank and this is not the case. The company I work for enables me to give better exchange rates than high street banks which consequently means the individual saves money.

I would recommend emailing me with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

EU Summit could cause Sterling rally (Daniel Johnson)

Davis comments cause the pound to fall

Sterling value is predominantly being influenced by the situation on Brexit.  Phase two of Brexit negotiations is due to commence shortly if all goes to plan tomorrow and how it progresses will have ramifications for the pound. GBP/EUR hit 1.15 on Friday following the announced agreement on Irish borders. I was of the opinion this could be the start of some more significant gains for the pound, but comments from Donald Tusk caused Sterling to fall in value. Phase two negotiations could prove problematic if Brussels decide to make an example of the UK in order to warn off other regions from leaving the EU. I think this has been witnessed to some extent in phase one, I personally feel it is diabolical it has taken this long to get to this stage.
The UK’s Brexit secretary, David Davis has not helped matters. He stated over the weekend that the guarantees on the Northern Ireland border were not legally binding and caused Sterling to drop in value against the majority of major currencies. Not too clever considering his position and power to influence the exchange. He has however vowed to convert the Brexit deal into legally binding text.
Brussels are clearly not happy with Davis’s comments and it does not bode well for negotiations moving forward.  Davis’s comments could cause amendments to the current deal at the EU summit tomorrow. If everything goes to plan Brexit talks can enter phase two next year which should be beneficial to the pound.
If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

The impact of exchange rates when selling a property in Europe (Tom Holian)

If you’re in the process of selling a property abroad the chances are that you’re doing research about how to save money when selling Euros to buy Pounds.

We have seen the Pound come under a lot of pressure since June 2016 when the UK voted with a majority to leave the European Union and although the Pound has been improving recently the gains could be very short lived.

The next EU summit is due to take place next Thursday and Friday and up for discussion will be the Irish border issue as well as trying to kick start the trade negotiations.

At the moment the Irish border issue is clearly far from being sorted and I think unless this gets resolved by next week the Pound could face some real problems next week as the trade talks could stall making the whole meeting almost rather pointless.

The UK announces both Industrial and Manufacturing data in the morning so this could cause some short term movements tomorrow and as we go into the afternoon the latest NIESR GDP data is announced for the last three months.

Although these are not the official figures they are usually very accurate and therefore could be an indicator as to which way GBPEUR exchange rates will move towards the end of the week.

Many of my clients who are buying or selling a house in Europe have been buying forward contracts recently in order to avoid the uncertainty as to where exchange rates could be by the time completion comes around.

This involves paying a small deposit with the balance to be paid at a later stage to guarantee an exchange rate.

If you need to make a currency transfer over the next few days or weeks and would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling currency then feel free to get in touch.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident of not only being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your currency transfer.

To find out more contact me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Forecast – The Pound Recovers Following Yesterday’s Losses (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have remained fairly flat during Wednesday’s trading, with Sterling holding firm against its Euro counterpart.

The Pound was under pressure yesterday morning but fought back during the afternoon to eliminate any deficit.

GBP/EUR rates continue to trade above 1.13, hitting a high of 11.362 today. With the EUR finding support around 1.14 of late, clients looking for any spikes through this level will be hoping for a swift resolution to the current round of Brexit talks.

If the UK government and EU can agree upon a final settlement figure (rumoured to be in the region of 50 billion EUR), guarantee the protection of EU nationals living and working in the UK and also come to arrangement over the setup of the new Irish border, we may see some investor confidence return to the UK.

This in turn could have a positive impact on Sterling’s value but even if talks do progress over the coming as both sides are striving for, I don’t anticipate a major or sustainable improvement for the Pound.

The Pound dipped yesterday due to major sell-off of Sterling positions, which was likely linked to the latest report regarding Brexit negotiations. Despite the undertone being fairly positive in terms of the on-going hope that both sides could reach a deal before long, talks were broken off due to disagreements over a number of key issues.

The DUP party, who the government rely upon due to their coalition agreement, have stated that they will not sign off on any deal regarding Brexit unless Northern Ireland’s terms are mirrored exactly to those of the UK.

This is causing problems over an agreement regarding the Irish border, with the government angling for a softer Brexit for Northern Ireland, in order to keep a fairly relaxed border between them and Southern Ireland.

This halt in proceedings has caused some investors to panic, which in turn has caused GBP/EUR rates to drop.

With so many unanswered questions surrounding Brexit, in terms of when we will move on to the next phase and what type of concession this may incur, and my opinion is to avoid gambling on the current market. We have no idea what sort of trade deal the UK can agree with the EU and how the UK economy may progress over the years, in what is completely new and unchartered territory.

If you have an upcoming GBP/EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

GBP EUR Recovers Ground on Expected Brexit Deal

GBP EUR exchange rates have rallied in afternoon trade recovering the losses seen this morning for this pair. The pound has seen a hugely volatile couple of days as the Brexit negotiations continue to be the main driving force for sterling exchange rates. The lack of agreement at the last moment yesterday when the deal was scuppered by the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) saw sterling fall from its recent highs although it is clear that an agreement is the preferred option from all sides.

Any breakthrough which could come later this week could see the pound rally as the prospect of a no deal scenario becomes less likely. Those who are optimistic could see some excellent gains for those clients looking to buy Euros. The crunch point will be the end of next week after the EU summit 14th & 15th December. Any deal should be worked out by this time and any failure in not doing so would almost certainly see the pound weaken.

Data is light for both the UK and EU on Wednesday so focus will move to UK house price numbers on Thursday and EU Gross Domestic Product data. The EU had suffered until recently from very weak economic growth and so these numbers will be closely scrutinised by the European Central Bank. Economic data has largely been positive in recent weeks and confidence in the EU reached a 17 year high in November.

With Brexit negotiations between the relevant parties continuing then developments here will almost certainly overshadow the economic data. Once again it is politics which is having the biggest impact on GBP EUR rates and this is unlikely to change anytime soon with discussions expected to continue right up to the wire in 2019.

For more information on the price of sterling and the Euro then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR rise or fall over December?

The pound is very volatile against the Euro on the shifts in the Brexit negotiations! GBPEUR rose by almost 1.5 cents against the Euro hitting some of the best rates in 3 months but the good news did not last with the DUP (Democratic Unionist Party) failing to back up Theresa May’s new position. This has seen sterling slide back below 1.13 this morning which is presenting a good opportunity for Euro sellers to buy pounds which might not last!

The overall impression is that the pound will rise further once any kind of deal is struck so if you need to buy pounds with Euros moving on this opportunity is wise. The flipside is that should the negotiations surprisingly break down and the DUP withdraw support for the Conservative Party, sterling could fall much further.

For the pound, there is more important news on the economy this morning with the latest Services PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) data released at 09.30 am. If you have a transfer to make soon then today’s data could be key to short-term movements. Whilst the headline Brexit news will be key to influencing the overall position I would not be surprised to see the pound strengthen on the back of this news as Services are a key component of the UK economy.

GBPEUR is extremely volatile at present as the markets tried to second guess the outcome of the Brexit negotiations and also the Spanish Catalonian election. If you have a transfer to make in the future this will be key too to movements on the Euro.

For more information on the GBPEUR forecast please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk

What can we expect in the coming weeks on GBPEUR?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the odds as the UK appears to be getting further ahead with its Brexit plans. The European Union is meeting with the UK at the latest Brexit summit on the 14th and 15th December which is the next major phase of the plans. If there is anything you need to look at, whether buying or selling Euros there are two key events to be aware of which may move the market.

The EU Summit is vital but also the Catalonian independence election on the 21st December. The overall belief is that the pound could rise further against the Euro. The overall impression is that the pound could rise further against the Euro if the EU summit does prove interesting for the UK and the pound but actually we need to be careful that all of the goodwill so far towards sterling does not quickly undo itself.

If you have a transfer buying the pound in the future then there is a real chance the Euro will weaken further so it might make sense to be looking to maximise the transfer sooner than later. Overall expectations are that the pound could rise further although there are no guarantees. I would personally be very conscious sterling could suffer longer term because of the Brexit.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling the pound or the Euro this month there are two key releases which will be important. For more information at no cost or obligation please get in touch by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Pound hits the highest rate to buy Euros since early November (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued to make gains during the course of this week against the single currency as the news from the behind the scenes concerning the Brexit appears to be going a lot more positively recently.

Rumours are rife that the UK are preparing to offer approximately €50billion Euros as part of a settlement called the divorce bill in order to take the trade negotiations forward.

The next meeting is due to take place in the middle of next month and top of the agenda is likely to be the Irish border issue and as yet this could be a real sticking point for progression of the talks.

Clearly Ireland wants to remain without a physical border between north and south and this has not yet been sorted.

The amount of €50bn is not the only amount that the UK may have to pay as we also have a lot of previous financial obligations with some expectations as much as €100bn.

The Pound vs the Euro is currently trading at its best level to buy the single currency with Sterling since the start of the month creating some excellent opportunities for those looking to send money to Europe.

However, with all the ongoing uncertainty over the next few weeks a lot of my clients have been looking to buy a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date.

This can take out all the concern of where GBPEUR exchange rates may be during this time and although they don’t always work they can provide you with peace of mind.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

 

GBPEUR spikes above 1.13

Overnight key Brexit developments have been made and euro buyers have reaped the rewards with exchange rates spiking from the lower 1.11s to the lower 1.13s. Reports are suggesting that the UK has offered €50bn as a divorce settlement which equates approximately to £44bn. No agreement has been made however it appears that the EU have welcomed the figure which in my eyes is a break through in the Brexit negotiations.

In recent weeks the amount of euros the UK would pay the EU as a divorce settlement has been the sticking point. Early this year the UK were suggesting they wouldn’t pay a penny to leave the EU and the EU wanted €100bn. It just shows developments have been made.

The next question is what next? This development shows quite clearly that the UK and EU want to eventually come to an agreement and I am optimistic that this will eventually happen. However the Irish border could be the next sticking point as Northern Ireland have stated they do not want a hard border.

On the 14th and 15 of December the EU will decide whether trade negotiations can begin. If enough progression has been made I expect the pound could continue to rise against the euro.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will rates on GBPEUR can we expect in December?

The pound has risen higher against the Euro nudging back over 1.12 this morning as the Euro softens slightly, partly on the back of concerns over the Irish political situation. Sterling is bouncing back against most currencies too on the back of the news that all banks had passed the stress tests as well. What events are upcoming in December and how will they influence the GBPEUR?

The main event for sterling I believe is the EU summit on the 14th – 15th December where the EU will decide whether or not the UK can now progress to the next stages for the trade talks to begin. Whilst the expectation is that this will all pass off relatively easily as the UK is now pledging more money to the situation, the potential for this to upset sterling remains high. Historically ‘deadlines’ with the UK and the EU see eleventh hour talks and excessive volatility.

The 21st December sees a big development on GBPEUR with the Catalonian election taking place which is effectively a referendum on independence or self rule. The possibility of this setting off fresh Euro fears is now increased, particularly when you consider there is also increased worry over Ireland, Germany and also Italy for next year.

GBPEUR has occupied a range of 1.08-1.14 in the last 3 months, with the worst fears over Brexit removed for now (eg a ‘no deal’ scenario), the potential for GBPEUR to now occupy a range between 1.10-1.15 seems more likely.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling Euros and pounds and wish for the best rates and some of the latest news and market insight, please don’t hesitate to speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Budget does little to move Sterling Value (Daniel Johnson)

Budget benefits first time buyers

Hammonds’s budget did little to alter the value of Sterling today, historically this is usually the case when the budget is delivered as the expected changes are usually filtered out through the media before hand. The market moves on rumor as well as fact.

Key Changes

  • To benefit London and other expensive areas, the first £300,000 of the cost of a £500,000 purchase by all first-time buyers will be exempt from stamp duty, with the remaining £200,000 incurring 5%.
  • 95% of all first-time buyers will benefit. 80% not paying stamp duty
  • £44bn in overall government support for housing to meet target of building 300,000 new homes a year in the next five years.
  • Councils given power to charge 100% council tax premium on empty properties
  • Compulsory purchase of land banked by developers for financial purposes
  • £400m to regenerate estates with £1.1bn to unlock new sites for development
  • Stamp duty is to be abolished immediately for first time buyers purchasing properties worth up to £300k

Factors that will effect GBP/EUR – Keep an eye on these situations as they develop

Sterling sellers would be wise to keep an eye on the current political situation with Theresa May. It is rumored there are as many as forty MPs willing to put forward a vote of no confidence. If there are forty-eight members and the vote is put forward, May will lose her position. Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question and I would expect GBP/EUR to drop below 1.10.

If an exit bill is agreed there is the potential for Sterling strength as this will pave way for trade negotiations to begin. €20bn is currently on the table , but it is rumored May will up this to €38bn.

Potential Euro weakness could be caused by Merkel’s failure to form a government in Germany, there is the possibility of a new election which will no doubt cause the euro to lose value. Catalonian independence should also be kept a close eye on.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

Will GBPEUR keep on rising?

The pound has finally bounced back against the Euro as weakness and uncertainty in the German political situation opens the door to a more unsettled Euro. The prospect of a second election or Angela Merkel stepping down as Chancellor has seen the Euro undo many of its gains over the last few weeks. What lies ahead for the German Chancellor and how could this influence the Euro?

I expect that there will either be fresh German elections or that Merkel will be forced to step down in order to allow a fresh coalition. It appears that the outlook for the GBPEUR is now much better for clients looking to buy Euros with pounds, we have seen the rate rise above 1.13 this morning.

News that the UK is agreeing a Brexit bill of up to £40bn is also helping the pound which is now benefiting from some of the uncertainty in Germany. With the Spanish Catalonian election next month and then the Italian election next year the outlook for buying Euros has suddenly improved. If you have a transfer buying Euros then making some plans around this potential rise is a smart move since Euro buyers have not had a huge amount to cheer in recent weeks!

We are close to the best time in 3 months to buy Euros with pounds and the rate could rise even further depending on the way the market is going. Overall impressions of the rates are that of course sterling could come under renewed pressure owing to Brexit but for now the tide has turned. Euro buyers should not be too greedy but should be carefully making plans around this improvement.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you in the future.

 

Pound to Euro rate improves after German PM Merkel’s future looks uncertain! (Joseph Wright)

The Euro dropped in value today after Germany, the engine room of the EU is currently facing a political crises with many political commentators calling it the biggest crises of current Angela Merkel’s tenure.

Late on Sunday exploratory talks broke down between her Christian Democrats, Bavaria’s Christian Social Union and the Liberal Free Democrats broke down, ruling out an obvious path for Merkel to form a coalition government.

With German coalition talks collapsing it’s not surprising to see the Euro fall, as political uncertainty tends to weigh on the underlying currency.

An issue for the UK moving forward may be a pause to Brexit negotiations due to Merkel’s issue, but as it stands the GBP/EUR rate has benefited from the headline grabbing story.

At the same time the Pound opened the week strongly against all major currency pairs after speculation regarding the UK’s Brexit Bill continues. The current rumours suggest that the bill will increase to £38bn and the Pound has been boosted off the back of this news as if it’s true, it may clear the path for Brexit negotiations to progress.

If you’re following the GBP/EUR pair because you have an upcoming currency requirement involving the pair, feel free to get in touch and register your interest.

This week the Autumn Budget will take place so there could be movement, so this event is certainty worth watching.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Brexit negotiations to dominate Sterling vs Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

Brexit talks are again set to dominate Sterling Euro exchange rates as Prime Minister Theresa May has been told that she has a fortnight before she has to add more money to the pot if she wants talks to progress between the UK and the EU.

EU Council President Donald Tusk is preparing to take things forward but he has said that he wants the UK to move forward on the issue of the divorce bill as well as the Irish border.

At the moment the ‘divorce bill’ is still yet to be decided and this needs to see further progress before the next official summit due to take place on 14th December.

Tusk is due to meet with Theresa May next week but things are likely to stall at least until next year if things don’t get resolved during the next two weeks.

As we go into next week all eyes will be focused on next Wednesday’s Autumn Statement. The Chancellor Philip Hammond could face a lot of pressure from Tory Euro skeptics to be bullish about the Brexit so it will be interesting to see what plans he has for tax cuts and plans to encourage spending.

Hammond has been relatively cautious so far so further evidence of this could cause a lot of movement for Sterling vs the Euro during the middle of next week so make sure you keep a close eye out on the markets and the impact of the Autumn Statement and ongoing Brexit saga.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me with details of your requirement and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR slide below 1.10?

The pound to Euro exchange rate has been bouncing between 1.11 and 1.14 in the last month but lately seems to be on a gentle slide owing to uncertainty over Brexit and the UK government, plus the strengthening Euro. The Eurozone economy was shown to be growing at a very fast pace at 0.6% which has outpaced the US for the year on year at 2.5% versus the US’ 2.3%. Once again it is a case of the Euro rising and the pound weakening, will this continue?

On balance I would expect it probably will, trying to predict the longer term outcome’s are always tricky but we do need to bear in mind the great legal and political challenges ahead for the UK. In my mind these far outweigh what the Eurozone has to go through so ultimately I feel that this see the Euro outperforming the pound.

If you have a transfer buying or selling the pound at present, next week or even in the New Year now is a good time to be making plans. With the all-important UK and Eurozone interest rate decisions out of the way we are now focused on path ahead which will encounter the next developments with Brexit plus the Spanish independence election for Catalonia. Plus 2018 sees the Italian election which will be very closely monitored for signs of anti-EU feelings…

I suspect rates will be trading at fairly similar levels between 1.10 and 1.15 between now and early next year, however any shocks could easily see sterling much lower back below 1.10 again. I would not be ruling this move out and for any clients looking to buy Euros I would be cautiously monitoring the situation for any spikes. If you need to make a transfer and wish to be alerted to any spikes please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk with an outline of your position.

Thank you for reading this post and I hope to discuss your situation and the best strategy very soon.

GBP/EUR Forecast – Sterling Remains Under Pressure (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has lost further ground against its Euro counterpart today, falling by over a cent from the high.

GBP/EUR rates have dropped below 1.12, hitting 1.1145 at today’s low. Despite the Pound finding some marginal support this afternoon, it is clear that market confidence in Sterling remains minimal.

The EUR has had problems of its own but the overall perception of the Eurozone economy is far healthier than that of the UK’s. As such, it is unlikely in my opinion that the Pound will find any real support up to or above 1.15 under current conditions. Whilst 1.10 seems to have offered those clients holding the Pound some protection of late, any further political or economic unrest could lead to this level being tested again before long.

The Pound has had some false dawns of late and as such some clients have been holding out for more sustainable improvements. My opinion has remained the same for some time and that is that any client holding GBP should be taking advantage of any small improvements, rather than hold out for any longer-term sustainable gains.

The UK economy is under a huge amount of pressure and despite the Bank of England (BoE) raising interest rates my a marginal 0.25%, there has been no real change in market perception.

Reports this week have indicated that UK Prime Minster Theresa May is under further pressure, with a vote of no confidence edging ever closer.

Whether or not she holds on to her position over the coming weeks, her positon as the head of the Conservative party and UK PM is becoming more unattainable by the day. This is leading to yet more uncertainty and a disjointed approach to Brexit negotiations, which is creating instability at every turn.

Whilst the markets never move simply in one direction, whilst condition’s remain as they are, I do not anticipate a major upturn for the Pound.

I would be looking to protect the current value on any short to medium range transfers and avoid the very real risk of a further downturn.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

Trade Balance and Production Data boosts the Pound (Daniel Johnson)

Pending Euro purchase? When should I move?

We have seen a spike on GBP/EUR this morning following a series of positive UK data releases, going against the grain. Trade Balance data was positive across the board and was followed by Manufacturing and Industrial production data. Both moving up by 0.4%. GBP/EUR has hit a day high today of 1.1348 up from 1.1263.

If I had a Sterling to Euro requirement I would be considering moving at current levels. Political uncertainty and a lack of clarity on Brexit talks could drag the pound back. 1.1340 does not seem like a bad time to move considering the best rates we have seen since June is 1.1450. With the recent resignations of Michael Fallon and Preti Patel it is difficult for investors to have faith in the Tory government who seem to be more concerned with their only political agendas and protection than sorting out the UK economy and focusing on the most important negotiations of the last fifty years.

I am of the opinion we will be anchored at current buoyancy levels between 1.10-1.1450 unless these situations are rectified \or indeed something unpredictable occurs to weaken the Euro. The situation in Catalonia is one of the few reasons I can base Euro weakness on. Be wary of hoping for  1.15 + if you have to move sort to medium term buying Euros.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker when the market is currently so hard to predict. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

Brexit Date and UK Economic Data – Pound vs Euro rates (Tom Holian)

Prime Minister Theresa May has set out guidelines for the UK’s date and time to leave the EU in law and claiming that she will not ‘tolerate’ any potential plans to block the Brexit.

May has claimed that the EU Withdrawal Bill will be formally changed on Friday 29th March 2019 and as we are already almost 6 months into the discussions this is a clear line in the sand by Theresa May.

This means that the government are absolutely committed to pushing through Brexit but she will still have to get it through a number of attempts to pass it via parliament.

There are still a number of opponents to the Bill but it looks at though there is at least an attempt to provide the markets with certainty.

Turning the focus back to the UK economy we have a lot of economic data due out during the course of the day starting with UK Manufacturing & Industrial Production data due out at 930am this morning.

This will be followed later this afternoon with the latest NIESR GDP estimate for the last three months.

The UK has been going through a mixed period with economic data so keep a close eye on the data releases over the next few hours.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

Be wary of waiting for further gains for the pound (Daniel Johnson)

Interest Rate hike by the BOE a knee jerk reaction

The recent gains for the pound last week were based on the predicted rate hike by the Bank of England (BOE) and tapering form the European Central Bank (ECB) along with the uncertainty surrounding the situation in Catalonia. The UK economy is shocking state considering where we could be had we not voted to leave the EU. Inflation is now at 3% and average wage growth is at 2.1%, In order to have a stable economy these figures need to be moving at a similar pace, they are not. Unemployment is being lauded as the best levels since the 70’s, but the data has only recently incorporated zero hour contracts. The rate hike from the BOE was a knee jerk reaction to the inflation problem and it is a coin flip as to whether it will have any impact.

There was very little justification for the hike and I am of the opinion we could be in for further losses for the pound against the Euro. Buoyancy levels have been between 1.08-1.15 since June,the last time we hit 1.15 was June. The highest we have seen the market in several months is 1.1450 and if you have a Euro requirement short to medium term it could be wise to move if the market moves close to 1.14 again.

In order for a significant rise Sterling value we need a stable government and clarity over Brexit, both of which I can’t see happening for the foreseeable future.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.