Category Archives: Sell Euros

French election news strengthens the Euro vs the Pound (Tom Holian)

Sterling vs Euro exchange rates have fallen from their recent high reached five months ago after the UK announced a snap general election last week.

This gave the Pound a much needed boost vs the Euro but the gains have been short lived as the French elections announced their first round of results over the weekend.

The French public have voted for two candidates who will now go head to head in the next round which is due to take place on May 7th. The likelihood is that Emmanuel Macron will defeat the more controversial National Front leader Marine Le Pen.

This has led to the single currency recovering from its losses from the end of last week and the reason for the improvement in EURGBP exchange rates during today.

On Thursday there are a number of data releases likely to affect GBPEUR exchange rates with Services data from the Eurozone alongside a Business Climate indicator survey.

This will be followed by the latest European Central Bank decision due out and the subsequent statement released by ECB president Mario Draghi.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industryfor one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident not only of offering you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your trade,

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

1.20 Still a Key Resistance Level for GBP/EUR Exchange Rates (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has met resistance under 1.20 against the EUR and is struggling to break through this key level for the pair.

Despite this week’s positive move, I am not convinced that the recent trend will allow the Pound to sustainably move above this threshold.

Sterling has gained over two cents following UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s decision to call a snap general election in June. This positive move went against the grain, as historically any political U-turns usually bring with it a level of uncertainty and the currency in question is put under pressure. As regular readers will know any economic & political uncertainty is a currencies biggest downfall and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of Sterling’s gains over the past 48 hours.

There are still many unanswered questions and despite many assuming the result of the election is a forgone conclusion, last year’s political outcomes in terms of the Brexit result and President Trump’s victory, should head a warning to us all that the expected outcome does not always come to fruition.

There is no doubt Sterling has gained a foothold and EUR sellers may well have missed the opportune time to sell their positions but the current levels remain attractive, certainly when you consider the history on the pair.

The main talking point over the next few of weeks is likely to centre around the French elections and with the far right Marine Le Penn once again gaining support, having seemingly been out of the race, investors are likely to be extremely wary about what the outcome could be should she get into power. With so much economic and political uncertainty across the Eurozone region are you prepared to gamble on a seismic shift in market conditions, which would be needed to significantly boost the EUR value in my opinion.

My overall opinion is that both buyers and sellers should be looking at short-term market opportunities to secure their transfers, rather than gamble on the long-term outcome whilst so much uncertainty surrounding the UK & Eurozone economies remains.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling hits an 8-day high against the Euro as French Presidency fears hit the single currency (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro rate exceeded 1.1750 yesterday afternoon and the pair have held strong above this level so far, as at the time of writing the pair are still trading above this level at the mid-market level.

What’s also interesting to see is that today’s low so far is 1.1756 which indicates to me that there could be support for the pair at this level.

With Sterling gaining slowly since the official start to the Brexit process it appears that the currency has hit its lowest level and it’s now on the recovery, which many within financial markets suggesting that the Brexit has been priced into the Pounds value.

What may help the Pound make additional gains against the Euro later this month is the French Presidential election. There have been fears and hedged bets against the Euro as there’s a chance far-right candidate Marine Le Pen could perform better than many are expecting. This would likely result in Euro weakness due to her plans for a Frexit, but over the past week the increasing popularity of far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon has also weighed on the Euros value due to his views on tax tariffs.

Now that Brexit is underway economic data is playing a more prominent role in the currency fluctuations involving the Pound, so if you’re planning on making a currency exchange involving the pound and another currency do feel free to get in touch regarding these events.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

 

Pound falls against the Euro owing to poor economic data (Tom Holian)

The Pound has ended the week falling against the Euro after the UK posted worse than expected economic data.

UK Industrial & Manufacturing data both fell in March and this led to the Pound falling from close to a 1 month high earlier in the week vs the Euro to 1.1.6 during today’s trading session.

After the triggering of Article 50 last week the focus has now turned back to the economic data both here and the Eurozone and owing to the lacklustre data the Pound fell vs the single currency.

We also saw the release of the latest three month’s worth of UK GDP data published by the NIESR.

The figure was 0.5% for the quarter which although is still relatively strong it didn’t give the markets the boost they were perhaps looking for.

Moving the focus towards next week UK inflation data will come out on Tuesday morning.

Inflation has been rising recently in the UK and the previous month’s MPC meeting minutes showed that one of the 9 members actually voted for an interest rate hike.

Therefore, if inflation shows another increase on Tuesday it could provide support to last month’s vote and we could see a slow shift in favour of raising interest rates in the UK sooner than some have predicted.

Therefore, if you’re considering making a currency purchase between Sterling and Euro then Tuesday could cause some big movements depending on the data release.

If you would like a free quote when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates.

Email me with details of your enquiry.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk 

GBP/EUR breaks 1.17 as services sector remains strong, will the pair hit 1.20? (Joseph Wright)

The UK economy was given a boost yesterday as data showed that its most important sector is performing well.

Economists had anticipated growth in the UK’s services sector but the figure came out higher than they had expected, and the reason Sterling saw a boost of the back of this data release is because the services sector accounts for around 75% of the UK’s economy.

For this reason data releases reflecting the health of this area of the economy can result is swings within GBP exchange rates. Due to the UK entering what could be considered a sensitive time as Brexit is now underway I expect to see these figures followed closely and I think we may see dips within the Pounds value should these figures disappoint.

Another news release which could be watched closely is Gross Domestic Product figures as these will also reflect the health of the UK economy. The next release comes out tomorrow at 1pm and the expectation is for a figure of 0.6% so expect any major deviations from this figure to result in swings within GBP/EUR exchange rates.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding major movements between the Pound and the Euro do feel free to register your details with me.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Could the Pound hit 1.20 this month? (Tom Holian)

With the trigger of Article 50 now one week behind us the focus is now returning back to the economic data in both the UK and the Eurozone.

The Pound has seen some small gains since last week touching 1.17 on the Interbank level during today’s trading session and the Pound has been creeping up against a lot of other currencies during the course of this week.

We are now less than 3 weeks away from the French elections which are likely to cause problems for the Euro as the controversial politician Marine Le Pen looks as though she will get through the first round of voting due to take place on 23rd April.

However, although she is very likely to get through the first round the likelihood is that she will be defeated when the second and final round takes place on 7th May.

However, as we have already seen with the Brexit vote and the Trump win during 2016 there appears to be a voice for change so anything is possible when it comes to politics.

If we see a surprise win for Le Pen this could send GBPEUR rates in an upward direction very quickly but personally I would be amazed to see her win the elections next month.

In the short term the UK releases the latest set of GDP figures for the last three months when the NIESR confirms the data on Friday. I think this could be rather positive for the UK as Retail Sales released recently showed a big jump and as Retail Sales are a big part of the British economy I think this could result in some positive GDP figures.

Therefore, if you’re in the process of buying Euros with Pounds then the end of the week could potentially provide a better opportunity.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing form you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Where Next for GBP/EUR following the triggering of Article 50? (Daniel Johnson)

Trade negotiations will be crucial to the value of the pound following the triggering of Article 50. Theresa May has been very positive in regards to how trade negotiations will proceed. She spoke yesterday and claimed the UK will be able to use the blue print of up to fifty current trade agreements already in place. Essentially copying deals that already in existence to avid the long drawn out negotiations process.

This could cause the first clash with Brussels. May stated “It will be possible to simply cut and paste deals with countries such as South Korea, Mexico and Jordan.”

She has caused some commotion by now claiming the exit process could take more than two years. This is not surprising to myself as I recall Sir Ivan Rogers, head EU ambassador resigned from his position stating the two year target was unrealistic. He said “negotiations could take up to ten years.”

Despite the elongation of trade deals, I am of the opinion Sterling will rally as trade negotiations progress. I do not think it will quick significant gains, more a slow steady rally.

Take in to account Marine Le Pen has the opportunity to take power in the French elections and we could see the pound gain strength against the Euro later in the month. The Head of the National Front has claimed she will hold a referendum in the event of victory. We have already witnessed the effect a referendum can have on a currency.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs and also I will perform a comparison with your current provider to demonstrate your potential savings by using our services. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

 

 

 

GBP EUR Falls after Weaker Manufacturing (James Lovick)

The pound has taken a tumble against the Euro after weaker than expected manufacturing numbers released yesterday from the Purchasing Managers Index. The numbers represent the third month running where the figures were not up to scratch which has helped see the pound fall lower. The numbers came out at 54.2 against expectation of 55.1 and whilst still in expansionary territory the weaker numbers do highlight concerns of a slowing down in the British economy. Clients selling Euros may see a small window of opportunity in these coming days.

This morning sees UK construction data from the Purchasing Managers Index and any weakness here could wee further weakness. The construction sector is usually one of the first sectors to show problems at the start of a downturn although it is unlikely there will be a material drop off.

EU retail sales numbers are released this morning and should give some clues as to the strength of the consumer across the European Union. ECB president Mario Draghi will be making a speech later today and any comments are likely to have an impact on the price of the Euro. It has been reported that the ECB have been concerned over what has been described as a market over reaction to his comments from the last policy meeting. His words will be carefully chosen today so expect volatility.

Politics surrounding Brexit will continue to be the main driving force and any statements from British and EU leaders are likely to have a direct impact on the pound. My view remains that any gains are likely to be very limited in the short term.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound vs Euro at the highest rate since February (Tom Holian)

Pound to Euro exchange rates have hit their best rate to buy Euros since late February.

Since the triggering of Article 50 on Wednesday the Pound has edged up against the single currency despite some previous predictions that the Pound would struggle once the formal announcement was made.

It appears as though the value of Sterling Euro exchange rates for the last few weeks has been priced in which means there was an expectation for the trigger of Article 50 so when it was actually announced it cause little movement for Sterling.

Indeed, at least for the time being the focus will now turn back to the economy before the EU negotiations will take place.

We saw UK GDP come in line with expectation shrugging off any Brexit fears for the fourth quarter of 2016 and this has also lent the Pound some support vs the Euro.

Also, published yesterday were Eurozone inflation figures which saw a big drop from the expectation of 2% to 1.5%.

This caused weakness for the Euro sending GBPEUR exchange rates up to their highest level since the final week of February. Good news if you need to buy Euros to send to Europe for a property purchase or even living expenses.

The reason for the weakening of the Euro is that if inflation falls it demonstrates that the QE programme which the ECB has in place until early next year it not necessarily working which means it could be extended.

It also means that the ECB will not be able to increase interest rates for quite some time. Therefore, this is the reason why we have seen Sterling increase against the Euro towards the end of the week.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

GBP EUR after Tusk Statement (James Lovick)

Now Article 50 has been invoked the markets are paying close attention to any clues as to what the negotiations will ultimately look like when they commence. The European Union confirmed today that negotiations concerning the exit bill and a future trade agreement must be discussed independently and the exit bill settled first. This is in stark contrast to the desired approach by the British government insisting that both issues must be discussed simultaneously.

Despite the suggestion that Britain could be off to a bad start the pound has proven extremely resilient so far. There is likely to be an uncertain period as we approach 29th April which is when the EU next meet to discuss the issue of Britain.
Politics will now be the main driver for sterling Euro exchange rates for the next two months in particular and potentially next two years.

The French election is also fast approaching with the first round being held 23rd April. In my view the Euro could see some considerable market weakness as the date approaches as Marine le Pen may have a big last push to win votes. This would materially change the shape of the European Union and could put the EU in an extremely precarious position. A Le pen win cannot be ruled out and I am of the opinion the markets have not yet started to price in such an eventuality. Those clients selling Euros may wish to move sooner rather than later should the Euro fundamentally weaken.

UK Gross Domestic product figures (GDP) released this morning were not revised up as many had hoped although the pound has remained relatively well supported against the Euro having briefly touched 1.17.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

GBP EUR Reaction to Article 50 (James Lovick)

Despite a muted reaction for GBP EUR exchange rates yesterday after the Article 50 letter was given to Brussels, the pound has made considerable gains against the Euro this afternoon. GBP EUR has broken through 1.16 and has 1.17 firmly in its sights. The mood has been generally positive after Article 50 has been invoked but there does now appear to be a considerable amount of support for GBP EUR. Those clients looking to buy Euros may see some further gains as the markets appear to be at ease with Brexit. Clients selling Euros may be wise to consider moving sooner rather than later and take the excellent selling prices which have been available for these last nine months.

Will the Pound Strengthen?

Politics is likely to be the main driving force in these coming days and weeks and the first decision to be made will be whether or not the EU are prepared to discuss the negotiations of an exit bill and future trade deal in tandem. This is the first key decision that will set the scene of the next two years and any clues as to the process could see considerable volatility.

The Brexit negotiation has in effect already begun with both German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande already insisting that the exit bill must be discussed first. This may of course change and no official line from EU27 has been offered yet.

UK GDP numbers are released tomorrow and a positive number could help see the pound strengthen. EU inflation numbers are also released tomorrow and could create some market reaction. The European Central Bank managed to give the wrong signals at the last interest rate meeting so anything out of the ordinary could muddle things further in these uncertain times.

If you would like further information on Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound drops as UK government plans to trigger Article 50 this afternoon (Joseph Wright)

Late last night Prime Minister Theresa May signed the letter triggering Article 50, and this letter will be delivered to the President of the European Council, Donald Tusk later this afternoon at 12.30pm.

This will officially start the Brexit process in which the UK has 2 years to leave the European Union, and in this time the UK will be doing its best to set up trade negotiations both in Europe and outside of it.

In the early hours of this morning the Pound dropped, which is a change to the currency’s general direction over the past week or so as we’ve seen the currency gain. Yesterday the pair hit 1.16 which was GBP/EUR’s highest level since the beginning of the month, and since this mornings drop the Pound has recovered some ground as it appears the currency is struggling for direction.

I think there could be some further swings during today’s trading session, especially this afternoon once Article 50 has been triggered and May offers a speech. Should she give anything away regarding the UK’s plans moving forward I think there could be movement in either direction for the Pound’s value.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding major news and movements within GBP exchange rates do feel free to get in touch.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

 

Markets Ready Themselves for Article 50! – How will Sterling React? (Matthew Vassallo)

As we enter a week in which history will be made, now is the time to consider any short-term GBP/EUR currency requirements.

On Wednesday UK Prime Minister Theresa May will trigger Article 50, which will officially start the process of the UK leaving the EU. This seismic event has never been witnessed before as the UK will be the first nation to leave the single member state, with the outcome of this having been debated for months on end.

Whilst we will not know whether this was the correct decision or not for years to come, what we do know is an element of certainty will return to the markets. Due to the fact UK’s cards will finally being laid on the table, the question now is whether  the Pound can actually benefit as a result?

I think its poignant that the Pound actually received some support following Theresa May’s announcement last week that the bill would finally be triggered this Wednesday and as such, personally, I am not anticipating a major retraction for the Pound following the event. Of course, a downturn is possible, especially when you consider how much negativity has surrounded the whole event since last year’s referendum. but my feeling is that much of that negativity has been factored into the current GBP/EUR rates.

Regardless of personal opinion I feel the markets will be somewhat relieved when this bill is invoked, as it will remove any remaining uncertainty surrounding the issue. Yes, we still have a long road ahead but hopefully as we move beyond next Wednesday the markets will refocus and assuming there are no nasty surprises around the corner, the Pound has far more chance of a sustainable recovery in my opinion.

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency transfer to make, then we can help you navigate this turbulent market by keeping clients up to speed with all the latest developments regarding Brexit and beyond.

If you would like us to monitor the market for you ahead of a currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me directly on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

How will the Invocation of Article 50 effect GBP/EUR? (Daniel Johnson)

Could we see Sterling strength?

I feel my opinion on this one is slightly controversial, I am going against the grain. I think that once the dust settles Sterling will sit in a better position than we sit now (1.16). I would not expect significant gains however.

The market moves on rumour as well as fact. We see big swings on the exchange when something unforeseen occurs. The triggering of Article 50 is a certainty and we know the date it will occur, Wednesday 29th March. I think this is already factored into current buoyancy levels on GBP/EUR.

When to move GBP – EUR

Despite my prediction, I would not perform my entire trade after the event. I would move in tranches, maybe 30% – 40% before hand in order to protect myself from potential losses. I had several clients during the Brexit vote last year convinced we would remain and Sterling would rally, rather than move in tranches, they put all their eggs in one basket. When results came through some clients found their property purchases had become tens of thousands more expensive.

There is bound to be volatility, many seven figure investors are waiting for this event before pushing the button.

If you are holding Euros I would not procrastinate too long, I think the single currency could be in for a rough year. There are two general elections within the Eurozone this year, both of which could see a far-right party gain power, which would result in a referendum. We have already seen the damage caused to Sterling by a referendum. Also keep in mind Italian banks’ bad loans now above the €360bn mark and Greek debt and we could see big falls in Euro value.

If you would like my assistance with your currency requirements I will be happy to help. I will provide an indivdual trading strategy to suit your needs and also provide a comparison against your current provider. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Positive UK Retail Sales provide Sterling support vs the Euro (Tom Holian)

UK Retail Sales have just been published this morning and they came out much better than expected.

The expectation was for 0.4% and the figures showed an improvement to 1.4% for month on month.

This surprise economic data has seen huge increases for the Pound this morning against the Euro and all other major currencies.

UK Retail Sales in recent months have been relatively low so this morning’s data has provided huge support for Sterling.

Eurozone Consumer Confidence data is due to be released at 3pm this afternoon and this has been very positive in recent months so another strong data release could reverse Sterling’s gains from this morning.

However, will this gain be short lived and will Sterling fall next week?

With now less than a week to go before Article 50 is triggered people are getting prepared for what may happen to GBPEUR exchange rates once the official letter has been sent to confirm that we will be leaving the European Union.

Many of my clients have been buying forward contracts when buying or selling Euros in order to remove the potential uncertainty of what may happen next week.

A forward contract allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit and means that whether markets go up or down you have the peace of mind knowing exactly how much it will cost.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident that not only am I able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your trade.

If you would like more information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

What impact could Article 50 have on Sterling? (Tom Holian)

There are a lot of mixed opinions as to what could happen to Pound Euro exchange rates in the weeks ahead once Article 50 has finally been triggered.

As yet no formal date has been announced so we still do not know exactly when this will happen. However, according to Brexit secretary David David it will happen before the end of the month.

With Royal Assent having now been granted then the UK government could trigger it any day now so why delay?

In my opinion the government is stalling as it still does not yet know what it will do when formal negotiations start.

What is for sure is that 2 years of uncertainty will be facing the UK and if negotiations get off to a bad start then we could see huge problems ahead for the Pound.

When you look at what happened immediately following the Brexit vote back in June last year the Pound saw its biggest single daily loss in history against the Euro as well as against all other major currencies.

The uncertainty caused by what happened had a huge negative effect on Sterling exchange rates.

This time round things are likely to be slightly different however I do expect to see a huge amount of volatility coming in the direction for Sterling.

It has never been more important to be prepared for such uncertainty on GBPEUR exchange rates so if you would like further information about how I can save you money compared to using a bank when converting Euros then contact me directly.

Having seen what happened with Brexit last year anything could happen in the next fortnight. 

If you would like a free quote then contact me directly with a brief outline of what you need to do including the volume and timescale involved and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

GBP EUR Gains after Bank of England Hint Towards a Rate Increase (James Lovick)

The pound has seen another good day making gains against the Euro for the second day running. GBP EUR has now broken through 1.15 which has presented those clients buying Euros with a small improvement in rates in what is an extremely volatile and uncertain period.

The pound has been supported after one of the members of the nine strong Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England voted for an interest rate hike yesterday. The markets were quick to react with the pound strengthening across all of the major currencies as it is clear that noises are being made that rates will have to rise at some stage. The minutes of the meeting showed some of the other members were also considering voting for a hike soon. UK unemployment has also fallen to 4.7% also boosting the outlook for the UK and hence the pound.

Next week is likely to see even more volatility for sterling Euro rates with developments likely to come from the Scottish Nationalist Party. The second Scottish referendum is becoming a real issue for the United Kingdom and the pound is likely to remain under pressure if the Scottish parliament vote with a majority in favour of another referendum. This could really throw the cat amongst the pigeons although a retreat from Nicola Sturgeon should not be discounted either.

Conversely if there is not enough support within the Scottish Parliament, although less likely, then the pound could make some good gains. I think the Scotland story has further to go and there is likely to be more volatility and potential further weakness. Politicians will inevitably be out in force over the weekend so any political developments could impact on rates.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound to Euro rate drops in wake in Dutch election results, where to next for GBP/EUR? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has continued to lose value against the Euro throughout the month, and despite making a few fight-backs the currency is now lodged below the 1.15 mark at the mid-market level.

Late last night it was announced that Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte won the most seats in the parliamentary election, and defeated far-right hopeful Gert Wilders who was predicted to put in a strong performance. Had Wilders of won more seats or put in a stronger performance I would have expected to see the Euro lose value on fears of his plans to remove the Netherlands from the EU, but the win for the current Prime Minister has eased these fears which has strengthened the Euro further.

The Euro had been boosted recently after the European Central Bank recently confirmed that they will be tapering the current quantitative easing programme due to signs of the economy improving.

Moving forward I think we could see the Euro gain even further as the Brexit begins, particularly if it becomes public that trade negotiations are going badly.

Later today there will be an interest rate decision from the Bank of England, and although no changes are expected it will be interesting to see what governor Mark Carney has to say regarding the UK economy.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Dutch Election could weaken the Euro (Daniel Johnson)

If  Wilders gains power it could mean big trouble for the EU

The Dutch general election is upon us and Geert Wilders, the head of the far-right, Party of Freedom is currently in the lead. Wilders has stated he will close mosques, ban the Koran and leave the EU. We have seen his popularity gain momentum following clashes in the Netherlands with the Turkish who have been denied the right to protest about constitutional changes. He has since dropped four seats.

Although Wilders currently leads in the election, with twenty-eight parties in the election it is common place that a coalition is needed. Due to his radical stance on immigration other parties are reluctant to join Wilders, however could party leaders change their mind when the opportunity to gain power becomes available.

If Wilders does get in, a referendum is on the cards, we have already witnessed the damage a referendum can bring on a currency taking Sterling as an example. I would expect the Euro to weaken substantially should Wilders gain power.

US Interest Rate Decision

Today will see the Federal Reserve US interest rate decision. It is widely anticipated there will be a raise in rates. Odds currently at 90% the hike will occur. The market moves on rumour as well as fact so I am of the opinion the hike is already factored into current rates. I would not expect huge gains for the Dollar. It would be a shock however if rates remained unchanged, if this were the outcome the dollar could weaken substantially.

EUR/USD is the most frequently traded currency pair in the world, if there is an exodus from the Euro once a hike is confirmed we could see an opportunity for Euro buyers.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is vital to be in touch with an experienced broker during such volatile times. I will provide a free, no obligation trading strategy and also demonstrate the rates I can achieve. I can provide a comparison against your current provider if required. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

GBP EUR Crashes After Scottish Nationalist Party Seeks Another Referendum on Independence (James Lovick)

After an excellent day for the pound yesterday following events in the House of Commons sterling has fallen sharply this morning. The pound had been supported in anticipation that the Brexit bill would go through without amendment which would allow UK Prime Minister Theresa May to stick with her Brexit timetable and invoke Article 50 by the end of March.

However the announcement yesterday from Scottish Nationalist Party Nicola Sturgeon that she will now formally request a second referendum on independence for Scotland at this crucial time with regards Brexit has taken the shine off sterling. This week really couldn’t see more happening in terms of both the political and economic developments.
Those clients either buying or selling Euros would be wise to get in touch as the news is changing by the hour which is also having a direct bearing on the rates of exchange. There are currently some excellent trading prices becoming available for those clients needing to sell Euros.

GBP EUR has fallen below 1.14 this morning with rates down over 0.5%. Tomorrow sees the Dutch elections and depending on how well Geert Wilders far right party performs will determine the direction of the Euro going forward into these coming months. There is likely to be intense volatility following the release and if he does well or even manage to form a government then my view is that the Euro would likely weaken. The real focus from all of this is what happens in the French elections and how much support is out there for Marine Le Pen.

Thursday is also of paramount importance with the Bank of England meeting where interest rates will be discussed. With inflation rising the pound if anything is likely to see a small boost from any comments from Mark Carney although gains are likely to be limited considering interest rates are unlikely to be going up any time soon!

If you would like further information on sterling Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk