Category Archives: Sell Euros

GBP EUR Rates before EU Summit

The pound should be in for a volatile couple of days with Theresa May flying to Brussels today to meet the other 27 European leaders at this summit. It will be decided officially if sufficient progress has been made for talks to move on to the second phase in the negotiations and the outcome should have a sizeable impact on the price of GBP EUR.

If the mood is positive from both the UK and EU side then this is likely to have a positive impact on sterling exchange rates. A move back over 1.15 for GBP EUR seems entirely plausible and could present some good opportunities for those clients looking to buy Euros. Those clients looking at selling Euros for pounds would be wise to consider securing a rate prior to any announcements as the odds would suggest that an agreement will be reached.

Theresa May goes to Brussels today having lost a key vote in the House of Commons last night which allows parliament to now have vote on the final deal offered by the EU and some would argue it weakens her hand in these important negotiations. This could cause problems further down the line in government as well as delays in delivering Brexit and in my view this is likley to create additional uncertainty for sterling exchange rates going forward. A key vote next week on the setting of a date for Brexit enshrining it into law will be crucial and if the government was to lose this vote then the pound could come under additional pressure. The Bank of England and European Central Bank interest rate decisions today are also likely to create more volatility for GBP EUR.

Today and tomorrow could see major market movement on the back of the summit so to discuss how your individual currency requirement is likely to be impacted by these events then please feel free to get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

EU Summit could cause Sterling rally (Daniel Johnson)

Davis comments cause the pound to fall

Sterling value is predominantly being influenced by the situation on Brexit.  Phase two of Brexit negotiations is due to commence shortly if all goes to plan tomorrow and how it progresses will have ramifications for the pound. GBP/EUR hit 1.15 on Friday following the announced agreement on Irish borders. I was of the opinion this could be the start of some more significant gains for the pound, but comments from Donald Tusk caused Sterling to fall in value. Phase two negotiations could prove problematic if Brussels decide to make an example of the UK in order to warn off other regions from leaving the EU. I think this has been witnessed to some extent in phase one, I personally feel it is diabolical it has taken this long to get to this stage.
The UK’s Brexit secretary, David Davis has not helped matters. He stated over the weekend that the guarantees on the Northern Ireland border were not legally binding and caused Sterling to drop in value against the majority of major currencies. Not too clever considering his position and power to influence the exchange. He has however vowed to convert the Brexit deal into legally binding text.
Brussels are clearly not happy with Davis’s comments and it does not bode well for negotiations moving forward.  Davis’s comments could cause amendments to the current deal at the EU summit tomorrow. If everything goes to plan Brexit talks can enter phase two next year which should be beneficial to the pound.
If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

The impact of exchange rates when selling a property in Europe (Tom Holian)

If you’re in the process of selling a property abroad the chances are that you’re doing research about how to save money when selling Euros to buy Pounds.

We have seen the Pound come under a lot of pressure since June 2016 when the UK voted with a majority to leave the European Union and although the Pound has been improving recently the gains could be very short lived.

The next EU summit is due to take place next Thursday and Friday and up for discussion will be the Irish border issue as well as trying to kick start the trade negotiations.

At the moment the Irish border issue is clearly far from being sorted and I think unless this gets resolved by next week the Pound could face some real problems next week as the trade talks could stall making the whole meeting almost rather pointless.

The UK announces both Industrial and Manufacturing data in the morning so this could cause some short term movements tomorrow and as we go into the afternoon the latest NIESR GDP data is announced for the last three months.

Although these are not the official figures they are usually very accurate and therefore could be an indicator as to which way GBPEUR exchange rates will move towards the end of the week.

Many of my clients who are buying or selling a house in Europe have been buying forward contracts recently in order to avoid the uncertainty as to where exchange rates could be by the time completion comes around.

This involves paying a small deposit with the balance to be paid at a later stage to guarantee an exchange rate.

If you need to make a currency transfer over the next few days or weeks and would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling currency then feel free to get in touch.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident of not only being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your currency transfer.

To find out more contact me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Forecast – The Pound Recovers Following Yesterday’s Losses (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have remained fairly flat during Wednesday’s trading, with Sterling holding firm against its Euro counterpart.

The Pound was under pressure yesterday morning but fought back during the afternoon to eliminate any deficit.

GBP/EUR rates continue to trade above 1.13, hitting a high of 11.362 today. With the EUR finding support around 1.14 of late, clients looking for any spikes through this level will be hoping for a swift resolution to the current round of Brexit talks.

If the UK government and EU can agree upon a final settlement figure (rumoured to be in the region of 50 billion EUR), guarantee the protection of EU nationals living and working in the UK and also come to arrangement over the setup of the new Irish border, we may see some investor confidence return to the UK.

This in turn could have a positive impact on Sterling’s value but even if talks do progress over the coming as both sides are striving for, I don’t anticipate a major or sustainable improvement for the Pound.

The Pound dipped yesterday due to major sell-off of Sterling positions, which was likely linked to the latest report regarding Brexit negotiations. Despite the undertone being fairly positive in terms of the on-going hope that both sides could reach a deal before long, talks were broken off due to disagreements over a number of key issues.

The DUP party, who the government rely upon due to their coalition agreement, have stated that they will not sign off on any deal regarding Brexit unless Northern Ireland’s terms are mirrored exactly to those of the UK.

This is causing problems over an agreement regarding the Irish border, with the government angling for a softer Brexit for Northern Ireland, in order to keep a fairly relaxed border between them and Southern Ireland.

This halt in proceedings has caused some investors to panic, which in turn has caused GBP/EUR rates to drop.

With so many unanswered questions surrounding Brexit, in terms of when we will move on to the next phase and what type of concession this may incur, and my opinion is to avoid gambling on the current market. We have no idea what sort of trade deal the UK can agree with the EU and how the UK economy may progress over the years, in what is completely new and unchartered territory.

If you have an upcoming GBP/EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

A volatile start to the week for GBPEUR exchange rates and what to expect next?

This week we have seen major fluctuation for GBPEUR exchange rates off the back of the Brexit negotiations. To start the week rumors emerged that the UK had secured the three key aspects to start Brexit negotiations and the pound made substantial gains against the euro.

However throughout Monday afternoon Theresa May confirmed no deal has been secured and the DUP added to Theresa May’s problems by stating they are not happy with a different border control to the rest of the UK, in other words having a soft border with the Republic of Ireland.

I’m still of the opinion that in the upcoming weeks the UK and EU will agree to start trade negotiations at some point early next year, which will provide a period of sterling strength for clients buying euros. Therefore if I had time I would hold off for the time being.

For euro sellers at present you are still receiving what I like to call the ‘Brexit discount’. What I mean by this is compared to Pre Brexit levels you are receiving an additional 15%. To put this into monetary value on a €200,000 transfer you are receiving an additional £25,000.

I would recommend emailing me with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP EUR Recovers Ground on Expected Brexit Deal

GBP EUR exchange rates have rallied in afternoon trade recovering the losses seen this morning for this pair. The pound has seen a hugely volatile couple of days as the Brexit negotiations continue to be the main driving force for sterling exchange rates. The lack of agreement at the last moment yesterday when the deal was scuppered by the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) saw sterling fall from its recent highs although it is clear that an agreement is the preferred option from all sides.

Any breakthrough which could come later this week could see the pound rally as the prospect of a no deal scenario becomes less likely. Those who are optimistic could see some excellent gains for those clients looking to buy Euros. The crunch point will be the end of next week after the EU summit 14th & 15th December. Any deal should be worked out by this time and any failure in not doing so would almost certainly see the pound weaken.

Data is light for both the UK and EU on Wednesday so focus will move to UK house price numbers on Thursday and EU Gross Domestic Product data. The EU had suffered until recently from very weak economic growth and so these numbers will be closely scrutinised by the European Central Bank. Economic data has largely been positive in recent weeks and confidence in the EU reached a 17 year high in November.

With Brexit negotiations between the relevant parties continuing then developments here will almost certainly overshadow the economic data. Once again it is politics which is having the biggest impact on GBP EUR rates and this is unlikely to change anytime soon with discussions expected to continue right up to the wire in 2019.

For more information on the price of sterling and the Euro then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR spikes above 1.13

Overnight key Brexit developments have been made and euro buyers have reaped the rewards with exchange rates spiking from the lower 1.11s to the lower 1.13s. Reports are suggesting that the UK has offered €50bn as a divorce settlement which equates approximately to £44bn. No agreement has been made however it appears that the EU have welcomed the figure which in my eyes is a break through in the Brexit negotiations.

In recent weeks the amount of euros the UK would pay the EU as a divorce settlement has been the sticking point. Early this year the UK were suggesting they wouldn’t pay a penny to leave the EU and the EU wanted €100bn. It just shows developments have been made.

The next question is what next? This development shows quite clearly that the UK and EU want to eventually come to an agreement and I am optimistic that this will eventually happen. However the Irish border could be the next sticking point as Northern Ireland have stated they do not want a hard border.

On the 14th and 15 of December the EU will decide whether trade negotiations can begin. If enough progression has been made I expect the pound could continue to rise against the euro.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP EUR Rates Fall on Political Uncertainty

The pound has dropped sharply in afternoon trade with rates for GBP EUR falling to a low of 1.1136. The edited documents in British politics which highlight the impact on Brexit on 58 different sectors appear to have been watered down for other politicians to view in an attempt to try and keep certain elements which are commercially sensitive out of the public domain.

There have now been suggestions from the Labour party that the government could be in contempt of parliament if it refuses to release all details in the reports. This news is yet another issue for this government which is having to tread very carefully with everything going on in this Brexit negotiation and is weighing on sterling exchange rates.

With a stalemate in negotiations between Britain and the EU the markets now look forward to the EU summit in December which could see a hugely volatile period for GBP EUR rates. If the deadlock is broken then there could be a great opportunity to buy Euros. The risk remains however that there could be a no deal and this would likely see the pound tumble sharply which could help anyone looking to sell Euros.

EU data sees consumer confidence numbers tomorrow ahead of the eagerly awaited inflation and unemployment data on Thursday. The EU has suffered with low inflation for almost a decade but this year has managed to see a pick up in the numbers which is helping the Euro make a recovery. A strong number here will only help cement the view that the European Central Bank is coming to an end of its loose monetary policy which should help support the Euro further.

For more information on GBP EUR exchange rates and how these key upcoming events have a direct impact on the rates of exchange and how to maximise on the opportunities as they happen then feel free to get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Rates Steady after UK Budget

After a very safe budget from Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond yesterday the pound has seen little in the way of volatility on the back of it. The ongoing uncertainty of Brexit remains the main sticking point however and continues to weigh heavily on sterling exchange rates.

GBP EUR is currently sitting at 1.1255 and the markets now wait for the end of next week for the end of a two week ultimatum set by Michel Barnier for Britain to offer more in the divorce bill to try and break the deadlock and move discussions on to future trade. Rumours are circulating that UK Prime Minster Theresa May will offer €38 billion in the first week of December although where rates for GBP EUR move to will very much depend on how well such an offer is received by the EU.

Will the pound strengthen?

Should trade discussions open then this in my view would be very good for sterling exchange rates and there could be a good shift higher for GBP EUR. The risk for those clients waiting for rates to improve is that is the conversation does not move on to trade then this could see the pound weaken materially across all of the major currencies including the Euro. The prospect of a no deal scenario continues to keep the pound at bay. The problems for the pound is that the negotiations will continue right through up until 2019 which leaves a very long period of uncertainty.

Clients looking to buy or sell Euros should pay close attention to developments surrounding the EU ultimatum for more money and would be wise to get in touch to look at the options available and how to take advantage of the better rates when they become available. Feel free to contact me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Budget does little to move Sterling Value (Daniel Johnson)

Budget benefits first time buyers

Hammonds’s budget did little to alter the value of Sterling today, historically this is usually the case when the budget is delivered as the expected changes are usually filtered out through the media before hand. The market moves on rumor as well as fact.

Key Changes

  • To benefit London and other expensive areas, the first £300,000 of the cost of a £500,000 purchase by all first-time buyers will be exempt from stamp duty, with the remaining £200,000 incurring 5%.
  • 95% of all first-time buyers will benefit. 80% not paying stamp duty
  • £44bn in overall government support for housing to meet target of building 300,000 new homes a year in the next five years.
  • Councils given power to charge 100% council tax premium on empty properties
  • Compulsory purchase of land banked by developers for financial purposes
  • £400m to regenerate estates with £1.1bn to unlock new sites for development
  • Stamp duty is to be abolished immediately for first time buyers purchasing properties worth up to £300k

Factors that will effect GBP/EUR – Keep an eye on these situations as they develop

Sterling sellers would be wise to keep an eye on the current political situation with Theresa May. It is rumored there are as many as forty MPs willing to put forward a vote of no confidence. If there are forty-eight members and the vote is put forward, May will lose her position. Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question and I would expect GBP/EUR to drop below 1.10.

If an exit bill is agreed there is the potential for Sterling strength as this will pave way for trade negotiations to begin. €20bn is currently on the table , but it is rumored May will up this to €38bn.

Potential Euro weakness could be caused by Merkel’s failure to form a government in Germany, there is the possibility of a new election which will no doubt cause the euro to lose value. Catalonian independence should also be kept a close eye on.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

Pound to Euro rate improves after German PM Merkel’s future looks uncertain! (Joseph Wright)

The Euro dropped in value today after Germany, the engine room of the EU is currently facing a political crises with many political commentators calling it the biggest crises of current Angela Merkel’s tenure.

Late on Sunday exploratory talks broke down between her Christian Democrats, Bavaria’s Christian Social Union and the Liberal Free Democrats broke down, ruling out an obvious path for Merkel to form a coalition government.

With German coalition talks collapsing it’s not surprising to see the Euro fall, as political uncertainty tends to weigh on the underlying currency.

An issue for the UK moving forward may be a pause to Brexit negotiations due to Merkel’s issue, but as it stands the GBP/EUR rate has benefited from the headline grabbing story.

At the same time the Pound opened the week strongly against all major currency pairs after speculation regarding the UK’s Brexit Bill continues. The current rumours suggest that the bill will increase to £38bn and the Pound has been boosted off the back of this news as if it’s true, it may clear the path for Brexit negotiations to progress.

If you’re following the GBP/EUR pair because you have an upcoming currency requirement involving the pair, feel free to get in touch and register your interest.

This week the Autumn Budget will take place so there could be movement, so this event is certainty worth watching.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Brexit negotiations to dominate Sterling vs Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

Brexit talks are again set to dominate Sterling Euro exchange rates as Prime Minister Theresa May has been told that she has a fortnight before she has to add more money to the pot if she wants talks to progress between the UK and the EU.

EU Council President Donald Tusk is preparing to take things forward but he has said that he wants the UK to move forward on the issue of the divorce bill as well as the Irish border.

At the moment the ‘divorce bill’ is still yet to be decided and this needs to see further progress before the next official summit due to take place on 14th December.

Tusk is due to meet with Theresa May next week but things are likely to stall at least until next year if things don’t get resolved during the next two weeks.

As we go into next week all eyes will be focused on next Wednesday’s Autumn Statement. The Chancellor Philip Hammond could face a lot of pressure from Tory Euro skeptics to be bullish about the Brexit so it will be interesting to see what plans he has for tax cuts and plans to encourage spending.

Hammond has been relatively cautious so far so further evidence of this could cause a lot of movement for Sterling vs the Euro during the middle of next week so make sure you keep a close eye out on the markets and the impact of the Autumn Statement and ongoing Brexit saga.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me with details of your requirement and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

GBP EUR Rallies On Expectation of Increased EU Divorce Offer

The pound has found some support at the end of this week after a poor performance across nearly all of the major currencies. GBP EUR has pushed back over 1.12 this morning after rumours have circulated that UK Prime Minister Theresa May will possibly look to increase her offer of a financial settlement to the EU from €20 billion to €40 billion. Theresa May is in Sweden so any commentary here is likely to have an impact on the price of sterling.

If an offer is made later today the pound could react depending on how well that offer is received. The key to the direction will be the response from EU leaders but if received badly then the pound could fall against the Euro. The response today could also tie in to next week’s budget which will be delivered by Chancellor Philip Hammond and this is likely to be a big market mover next week.

UK data softened this week after retail sales numbers fell to their lowest level since 2013. Although the figure was higher than expected the fact that it is materially lower than four years ago is a concern for the British economy and hence the pound. With no UK economic data releases today the focus will be on a speech from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi and construction numbers this morning.

UK Gross Domestic product figures are released next week and any improvement here could help lend support to the pound. Considering the NIESR estimate pointed to stronger GDP going forward then there is the potential to see some upside for sterling exchange rates.

It is clear there are so many factors revolving around politics and Brexit which are having a direct impact on the price of sterling and the next week will be crucial in where rates will be heading next. Clients selling Euros continue to see an excellent opportunity for buying pounds. If you would like to discuss your requirement and the impact that these economic and political events are having then please get in touch with me and I will be happy to give you my thoughts. My email address is jll@currencies.co.uk

Major volatility expected for GBPEUR exchange rates

With the spotlight beaming down on UK Prime Minister Theresa May, the pound remains under severe pressure against the euro providing euros sellers with a fantastic opportunity.

Reports were leaked at the weekend that 40 Conservative MPs plan to persuade another 8 Conservative MPs to sign a vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister. This is a key reason to why the pound started the week so poorly against all of the major currencies.

Head Eu negotiators Michel Barnier is also mounting the pressure as he gave the UK a 2 week deadline for progression, this announcement was released last Friday therefore we have 8 days until crunch time. Mr Barnier wants to be able to report clear progression at the EU commission meeting in December.

With Brexit negotiations now in full swing and clearing heating up, I expect major volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates for the remainder of the year. If no progression is made I believe Theresa May’s time at number 10 will be limited and therefore GBPEUR exchange rates could fall to the lows that we saw 8 months ago (1.07).

However if progression is made pressure will be released, and GBPEUR could hit a 6 month high (1.15). If you are converting GBPEUR in the upcoming weeks devising a strategy now is wise!

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Trade Balance and Production Data boosts the Pound (Daniel Johnson)

Pending Euro purchase? When should I move?

We have seen a spike on GBP/EUR this morning following a series of positive UK data releases, going against the grain. Trade Balance data was positive across the board and was followed by Manufacturing and Industrial production data. Both moving up by 0.4%. GBP/EUR has hit a day high today of 1.1348 up from 1.1263.

If I had a Sterling to Euro requirement I would be considering moving at current levels. Political uncertainty and a lack of clarity on Brexit talks could drag the pound back. 1.1340 does not seem like a bad time to move considering the best rates we have seen since June is 1.1450. With the recent resignations of Michael Fallon and Preti Patel it is difficult for investors to have faith in the Tory government who seem to be more concerned with their only political agendas and protection than sorting out the UK economy and focusing on the most important negotiations of the last fifty years.

I am of the opinion we will be anchored at current buoyancy levels between 1.10-1.1450 unless these situations are rectified \or indeed something unpredictable occurs to weaken the Euro. The situation in Catalonia is one of the few reasons I can base Euro weakness on. Be wary of hoping for  1.15 + if you have to move sort to medium term buying Euros.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker when the market is currently so hard to predict. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

GBP EUR Rates Fall Below 1.13 Amidst Political and Brexit Uncertainty (James Lovick)

The pound is struggling to push beyond the recent highs against the Euro with levels for GBP EUR sitting just below 1.13.
The pound is being hampered by constant political uncertainty with new stories coming out almost by the day all adding a little bit of risk for the pound. The latest resignation of a senior cabinet minister could see a cabinet reshuffle in the coming weeks.

The resignation yesterday from Priti Patel and Sir Michael Fallon in the week before all weigh heavy on a government that recently lost its majority in the House of Commons. Politics continues to be a major driving force for sterling exchange rates and this is unlikely to change anytime soon. With the position of International Development Secretary now filled by Penny Mordaunt expect the markets to guess who will be next to go.

UK economic data is heavy on Friday with manufacturing and industrial production figures as well as trade balance data. The GDP estimate from the National Institute for Economic and Social Research could also create some major volatility for the pound vs the Euro. The strength of the British economy is a big driver for the price of sterling and any projection of a fall could see the pound come under added pressure. The NIESR estimate is an excellent pre cursor to the official economic data and the markets can move quickly on the bag of a strong or weak number.

Selling Euros?

The Brexit negotiations have resumed today and any comments from Brexit secretary David Davis or his counterpart Michel Barnier are likely to cause volatility for sterling Euro rates. The stalemate over the amount Britain is prepared to pay is preventing the pound from making gains although it may only be a matter of time before sufficient progress is made.

Clients looking to buy or sell Euros would be wise to make contact and look at the options available. There are reports that pressure is mounting on Britain to move forward within the next two weeks. As such at the end of the period there could be some considerable volatility for GBP EUR. Please feel free to make contact with me at jll@currencies.co.uk to take a look at your requirement and how we can help achieve the best rates of exchange as they become available.

Be wary of waiting for further gains for the pound (Daniel Johnson)

Interest Rate hike by the BOE a knee jerk reaction

The recent gains for the pound last week were based on the predicted rate hike by the Bank of England (BOE) and tapering form the European Central Bank (ECB) along with the uncertainty surrounding the situation in Catalonia. The UK economy is shocking state considering where we could be had we not voted to leave the EU. Inflation is now at 3% and average wage growth is at 2.1%, In order to have a stable economy these figures need to be moving at a similar pace, they are not. Unemployment is being lauded as the best levels since the 70’s, but the data has only recently incorporated zero hour contracts. The rate hike from the BOE was a knee jerk reaction to the inflation problem and it is a coin flip as to whether it will have any impact.

There was very little justification for the hike and I am of the opinion we could be in for further losses for the pound against the Euro. Buoyancy levels have been between 1.08-1.15 since June,the last time we hit 1.15 was June. The highest we have seen the market in several months is 1.1450 and if you have a Euro requirement short to medium term it could be wise to move if the market moves close to 1.14 again.

In order for a significant rise Sterling value we need a stable government and clarity over Brexit, both of which I can’t see happening for the foreseeable future.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

Sterling rebounds after last week’s sell-off, will GBP/EUR reach 1.14 again soon? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been trading in quite a volatile fashion over the past week, after the pair breached 1.14 before trading in the 1.11’s in the immediate aftermath of the Bank of England’s rate hike yesterday.

The rate hike from the Bank of England (BoE) was the first in the last decade and widely expected to happen within financial markets even if not everyone agreed with the decision.

Personally I think the sell-off was simply profit taking from the likes of day traders, although I am surprised to see the Pound recover so quickly back to the levels seen just before the BoE decision.

Moving forward I think we may see a more resilient Pound and despite some negative economic data out of this UK recently, we’re still seeing the Pound slowly recover from the lows seen just a couple of months ago when I think the Pound was oversold.

Later today there will be the release of UK GDP data for the past 3 months, and this data will be released by a leading UK-based think tank. Data releases such as this one have the potential to move the markets, so if you would like to be kept updated regarding price movements as soon as possible, do feel free to register your interest with me.

For now at least it appears that the Catalonian independence issues have subsided somewhat, but should this matter surface once again I wouldn’t rule out a downward move for the Euro which would benefit the GBP/EUR rate.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Selling Euros – GBP EUR Drops Below 1.12

The pound remains on the back foot after yesterday’s market crash for sterling which saw rates for GBP EUR drop by almost 2%. GBP EUR is now trading at levels below 1.12 for this pair which has presented those clients looking to sell Euros with a surprise opportunity to convert. Normally an interest rate increase from the Bank of England would generally have the effect of helping strengthen the pound.

In this rare case however the pound dropped like a stone as a result of the bank suggesting that interest rates would only be raised another two times over the next three years. This was a major disappointment to the markets which resulted in the substantial drop for GBP EUR.

Buying or selling Euros?

Both British and Spanish politics will also have a major impact on the price of sterling in the coming weeks. The Catalonian situation is likely to continue to be a hot potato for the Spanish government with mass protests expected in the streets of Catalonia. Eight regional ministers who were sacked when Madrid imposed direct rule appeared in court yesterday accused of rebellion, sedition and misuse of public funds and so protesters are expected to take to the streets. Meanwhile the ousted leader Carles Puidgemont did not appear before the Spanish courts and a European arrest warrant is expected to be issued. It could be the start of a long process when lawyers are involved and could see added pressure on the Euro.

The ongoing Brexit negotiations will of course continue to be a major driving force for the pound and any signs of further tension between Britain and the EU in these negotiations will only add to the uncertainty for the pound. Anyone with a requirement to either buy or sell Euros would be wise to make contact sooner rather than later and look at the options available to take the risk out of it.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact myself James on 0044 1494 787 478. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Bank of England interest rate decision looming (Dayle Littlejohn)

The Bank of England meet today to announce the latest interest rate decision, and forecasters are suggesting that an interest rate hike will occur. If the Bank of England decide to raise interest rates this will be the first hike in 10 years and the likelihood is that GBPEUR exchange rates will receive a further boost. Personally I expect GBPEUR exchange rates to break through 1.1450 if the central bank raises by 0.25%.

However if the central bank disappoint and fail to live up to their own hype, I expect the pound could plummet like a stone and GBPEUR exchange rates  could drop 1-2%. To summarise I think buying euros will become a little cheaper or become a lot more expensive.

After the decision the Governor of the Bank of England will address the public in regards to the monetary policy committee decision. For new readers the Governors words have the potential to shift exchange rates by the matter of cents, therefore keeping a close eye on his wording is important. Unfortunately for many of my clients they haven’t got the time to watch Mr Carney’s speech this afternoon and that’s where I come in. If you are buying euros short term and would like to be kept up to date with today’s announcements feel free to get in touch.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **