Be wary of recent gains for the pound over the Euro, they may not continue. (Daniel Johnson)

Potential Rate hike based on misinterpretation of data

Despite Sterling moving above 1.14 this morning against the Euro be wary of thinking a resurgence on the cards. The main catalyst for Sterling strength is the market factoring in a potential interest rate  rate hike. Mark Carney, the head of the Bank of England recently stated there may be the need for a rate hike in the coming months which drove investor confidence and caused the pound to strengthen. This is a technique call jawboning, a technique Carney has used in the past during his role at the Bank of Canada. Essentially rather than making any changes to monetary policy you talk up the value of the currency. This is one of the rare occasions the technique worked. Keep in mind those who actually vote on a change in rates, the monetary policy committee (MPC) voted 7-2 in favour of keeping rates on hold.

The justification behind the potential rate hike is high inflation and low unemployment. High inflation is only healthy for an economy if average wage growth keeps in pace with inflation, at present it isn’t, it actually fell to 2.1%. Unemployment figures are at the best levels since the 70s, but a large contribution to this is down to zero hour contracts. My opinion is the reasoning behind a hike is false, but investors are biting with a 50% chance of a hike in November and a hike factored in by February next year.

The uncertainty surrounding Brexit is still a major concern and if negotiations are not going well, the pound could fall considerable. May’s opportunity to provide clarity on Friday was not taken and at one point she stated “no deal is better than a bad deal.”

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Pound makes small gains vs the Euro after the German Election (Tom Holian)

The Pound vs the Euro has made some small gains since the weekend after the German general election results were announced.

With Chancellor Angela Merkel winning again although this did not come as a surprise the win was not by as much as expected, which has led to the Euro weakening marginally against the Pound.

I think the biggest movement for GBPEUR exchange rates is likely to come on Wednesday when the latest set of UK GDP figures are due to be released.

The Bank of England recently announced that recent UK economic growth has been much better than expected so if we see the figures come out strong on Wednesday then in my opinion I think we could see the Pound making gains vs the single currency providing anyone with a requirement to buy Euros with a good window of opportunity.

However, the subject of Brexit continues to weigh heavily on Sterling exchange rates and until we get some form of clearer resolution I think the Pound will continue to struggle.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will GBPEUR rise on the German election?

Many clients are looking to the German election as a possible event to which could create some fresh opportunities on the GBPEUR exchange rate. Many clients are predicting the pound will lose value against the Euro expecting the Euro will strengthen on the back of renewed political certainty in the region. Angela Merkel is widely predicted to win the Chancellorship, the market moving element will be the extent to which any anti-EU or immigration party performs in the share of the votes.

Overall the Euro is significantly stronger against the pound compared to the last few months and years but in the last few weeks the pound has fought back, mainly on the back expectations the UK will raise interest rates. Markets are predicting the UK will raise interest rates in the future but personally I would be skeptical about this happening. Nevertheless the market has to price this potential outcome into the rates and this is the reason for the strength of the pound lately.

If you have a transfer buying Euros with pound you are almost 5% higher than the lower points only two weeks ago. It is unlikely this will just keep rising particularly with the Euro performing so well on the back of improved political certainty in the region. Therefore clients buying Euros with pound should be very conscious of the potential for further setbacks or surprises working against them in the same fashion as events have helped them.

If you have a transfer to make in the future buying or selling Euros then why not speak to me by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk, we can then help guide you through the processes and expectations on the rates plus ensure you get the best rates in the market.

Will Theresa May help the Pound make gains vs the Euro? (Tom Holian)

Sterling has continued to make gains vs the Euro after last week’s very positive movement for Sterling exchange rates which saw them hit the best rate to buy Euros with Pounds since early July.

UK Retail Sales data came out this week better than expected which has also helped the Pound to maintain its gains vs the single currency.

With Theresa May due to speak in Florence tomorrow to outline her vision of a post-Brexit Britain we could see a lot of movement for GBPEUR exchange rates over the next 24 hours so it is very important that you’re prepared for the movement.

Then over the weekend the Germans go to the polls to vote in the latest general election.

The expectation is for Angela Merkel to win again which will be the fourth time that she leads the country and typically when the existing party stays in power this often results in Euro strength.

Therefore, depending what happens with Theresa May’s speech I think we could see GBPEUR exchange rates fall early next week once we know the election result.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP EUR Slides from Recent Peak

The pound has slipped back to below 1.13 for GBP EUR after the incredible gains seen last week. Despite the slippage the pound continues to be supported on expectations that the Bank of England will look to raise interest rates in the near term. There is now a 50% chance that there will be a rate hike as soon as November and the markets are fully pricing in the prospect of a rate hike by February 2018.

This is good news for sterling exchange rates as the prospect of interest rate hikes in the UK means more funds move towards Britain as the return on the investment is higher which drives the price of the pound higher.

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney also spoke again yesterday and highlighted that there is likely to be a movement from historical interest rate lows. However he also cited some concerns over Brexit and this appears to be one of the reasons why the pound has just tailed off from its recent peak.
Clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to consider getting in touch to take advantage of the excellent rates which are available at the moment. A major intervention by UK Prime Minister Theresa may could see additional volatility for the pound this Friday. If the stalemate in the Brexit negotiations continues then there is a chance the pound could fall lower.

However I am of the opinion that an offer of goodwill from the UK is likely to be made and this could see the pound strengthen across the board. There could be a small window of opportunity to buy Euros this Friday.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Pound hits 2 month high against the Euro following Bank of England meeting (Tom Holian)

Sterling Euro exchange rates are now trading at their highest level since July after the Bank of England claimed that they may be considering raising interest rates earlier than markets currently expect.

Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that he was pleased with UK economic growth which has been positive in recent months and combined with record low levels of UK unemployment this could be a justification for raising interest rates.

Inflation continues to run high after hitting 2.9% during August which is the highest in 5 years and this also helped the Pound to make gains vs the Euro.

Indeed, rumours are that the Bank of England may be considering raising interest rates early next year compared to the previous expectation of 2019.

However, I don’t think we see a rate hike coming anytime soon so I think this was just posturing in order to help the Pound make gains.

On Friday next week Prime Minister Theresa May will be in Florence to set out her vision of post-Brexit Britain in which she will talk about the UK ‘leaving the EU but not leaving Europe.

This could potentially cause a lot of movement for GBPEUR exchange rates so keep a close eye out for what may happen to rates at the end of next week.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR keep rising?

The pound has risen to fresh 3 month highs against the Euro as we get closer to understanding when the Bank of England might raise interest rates. Overall there is a much stronger belief that the Euro will rise after the German election but of course there are no guarantees as to what will ultimately happen down the line. It would not be surprising to see this rally for the pound carry on but of course the German election will be a thorn in the side of Euro buyers next week.

The actual election is on the 24th September but that is a Sunday so Friday next week and Monday will be the main days we will see movement on the currency markets. Therefore if you have a transfer to buy or sell Euros for pounds making some plans around the upcoming events is sensible, I am sure if you need to buy Euros and you see the rate go back down to 1.10 you would be most disappointed!

The pending German election could be a good opportunity for any Euro sellers who failed to capitalise on the improvements we saw two weeks ago to recoup some losses. However overall I would not be surprised to see the pound much stronger overall owing to the outcome from yesterday’s Bank of England meeting.

If you have a transfer to make soon or even in the coming weeks then making some plans around this latest twist on the market is I believe very sensible. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you in the future.

Sterling rallys against the Euro following Interest rate decision (Daniel Johnson)

Is Sterling’s advance warranted?

Today saw the UK interest rate decision. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) consist of nine members who vote on whether there should be a change in rates. Today’s vote came in at 7-2 in favor of keeping rates on hold. It was the speech after the event that caused sterling to gain strength.

Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of England (BOE)  spoke following the discussion and stated the BOE may need to adjust interest rates in the coming months. In my opinion this is jawboning, talking up the value of the currency  as apposed to making an actual change to monetary policy, let us not forget the vote was 7-2 to keep rates on hold.

They are justifying a potential hike on the rise in inflation to 2.9%. Inflation is only a positive to an economy if average wage growth is increasing at a similar pace. Wage growth fell to 2.1%, something the BOE have seemingly swept under the carpet. I believe a rate hike is not the solution to the inflation problem. Brexit is the reason for the weak value of the pound and in turn the rise in inflation due to the increase in cost of exports, a solution to the problem would be clarity on Brexit and the pound will rally with out monetary policy action.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

 

 

Will the Pound continue to make gains vs the Euro and the Bank of England (Tom Holian)

The Pound has hit its best level to buy Euros since early August as the UK has announced two positive things this week.

Early on Tuesday morning the EU Repeal Bill was approved by every single Conservative member which showed that Theresa May is now moving closer towards a ‘strong and stable government.’

We also had UK inflation which came out at 2.9% hitting a 5 year high which has led to the Pound making gains against the single currency.

With inflation rising this will put a bit of pressure on the Bank of England to think about what to do with interest rates going forward.

The expectation is for rates to go up in 2019 so with a meeting today any talk of a rate hike being brought forward could see the Pound rising against the Euro later on today.

With Germany set to go to the polls in the next two weeks we could see a bit of volatility coming for GBPEUR rates but if Merkel wins again which appears very likely this could see the Euro fight back.

Therefore, if you’re thinking about buying Euros it may be worth getting this organised in the next fortnight.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBPEUR holds steady above 1.10

Yesterday the Office for National Statistics released the latest Consumer Price Index numbers for the UK and inflation had risen 0.3% compared to last months figure of 2.6%. With inflation now sitting at 2.9% it appears that speculators have purchased the pound in anticipation that the Bank of England could give some indication about a future interest rate hike on Thursday.

However I actually believe the complete opposite and wouldn’t be surprised to see the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney to talk down sterling. In recent weeks the Governor has made it clear that the weaker pound is the reason for the shift in inflation and the Bank of England will act off the back of Brexit developments.

With this in mind I believe the spike above 1.10 is a spike and in the upcoming weeks GBPEUR exchange rates will fall back towards the 8 year lows we were experiencing only 2-3 weeks ago. Therefore anyone looking to purchase euros short term should consider buying there euros upfront. For euro sellers rates are still fantastic however if you can hold your nerve rates could improve towards the end of the month.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

 

 

Inflation data gives the pound a boost (Daniel Johnson)

CPI data increases the chances of a rate hike from the BOE

GBP/EUR now sits above 1.11, the best levels of exchange for over a month for euro buyers.  The catalyst for the rise in the pound was Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI is a measure of inflation, if provides a comparison in price changes on goods and services. Inflation is a major concern for the UK and is a direct result of Brexit. The uncertainty surrounding Brexit has weakened the pound considerably. Pre-referendum announcement GBP/EUR sat at 1.42.

With imports now becoming far more expensive businesses are raising prices to consumers. In order for consumers to continue spending average wage growth needs to be increasing at a similar pace to inflation, at present it is not, currently sitting at 1.8%. New wage data is released this morning at 9.30.

Inflation showed an increase yesterday above expectations to 2.9%. The pound benefited as a result. This is due to rumours the Bank of England could consider a rate hike if inflation continues to rise. I am of the opinion a change in monetary policy is not the solution. In order for inflation to fall we need a stable government and clarity over the big issues in Brexit, namely trade and the freedom of movement of people.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

GBP EUR Breaks over 1.10

The pound has found a small degree of support which may be set to continue now that the “great Repeal Bill” has passed through parliament and found its way through the first hurdle. GBP EUR rates have now broken over 1.10 which is welcome news for those clients looking to buy Euros who were recently caught out when levels recently fell below 1.08 in the last two weeks.

The Great Repeal Bill which brings European law into British law to avoid any legal cliff edge scenarios is a major factor for the Brexit process. It’s not over yet though and it is widely believed that the Labour party will try and vote down the bill at second reading.

As such sterling Euro exchange rates are likely to be particularly volatile for the next month with no guarantees the government will ultimately get the bill through. Clients looking to sell Euros continue to see excellent treading prices but the tide may have now turned with the recent rise in sterling.

The Bank of England meet this Thursday and any change in policy could see a big market reaction for the pound. Only two members on the Monetary Policy Committee voted for a rate hike at the last meeting but should anyone else join Ian MaCafferty and Dave Ramsden then the pound could see welcome strength.

Those clients looking for a real opportunity with the potential for a sizeable increase in rates should pay attention to the expected speech from Theresa Mya later this month. For more information on how this speech could impact the rates then please get in touch and I will be happy to give you my thoughts.

If you would like further information on Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Euro Exchange Rate Forecast (Tom Holian)

Sterling saw a small increase in value against the Euro towards  the end of the week after the UK manufacturing data came out better than expected.

The results were relatively strong owing to the low value of Sterling which has increased orders from the continent.

However, in my mind I think the gains for the Pound vs the Euro will be relatively short term as the UK’s Trade Deficit figures did not show any signs of improvement.

Confidence in the UK and Sterling is very low at the moment caused by the uncertainty of what is happening with the Brexit discussions. We are almost 6 months into the talks and as yet we do not appear to have any clear picture of what is happening.

There has been suggestions of between EUR60bn-EUR100bn for the UK’s ‘Divorce Bill’ to start the process to leave but nothing has yet been decided.

Turning the focus towards economic data we have the release of UK inflation data on Tuesday followed by UK unemployment on Wednesday.

Both sets of data could cause volatility and I think we could even see GBPEUR rates hit 1.10 for a brief period of time by Wednesday.

However, I think the gains will be short term as investors will continue to be concerned by the topic of Brexit and I think this will continue to cause problems for Sterling Euro exchange rates

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBPEUR 3 month forecast

Yesterday President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi hinted that future key monetary policy decisions will be made in October. The President was eluding to the quantitative easing program that has run for the last few years in a bid to stimulate and kick start the economy. With many economists stating growth has improved throughout Europe their is hype that the quantitative easing program will be cut in the upcoming months.

It is important to note if the quantitative easing program is cut (tapered) I expect major euro strength. 

Brexit negotiations are continuing to weigh down on the pound as UK and EU negotiations cannot come to an agreement about EU citizens rights. UK Prime Minister Theresa May has made it clear that the UK and European Court of Justice will part ways after Brexit which in my opinion means EU citizens wont be protected and this is another stumbling block negotiations needs to overcome.

Over the next 3 months I expect exchange rates to fluctuate between 1.05-1.10, as I wouldn’t be surprised to see further sterling weakness. However with European exports becoming to expensive, spikes in the market could occur throughout the month when Draghi tries to talk down the currency.

For further information in regards to currency feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

GBP/EUR Back Under 1.09 (Ben Fletcher)

This afternoon the GBP/EUR rate had one of its most volatile days in months. The European Central Bank provided their latest interest rate decision which as expected saw the rate remain at 0%. However in the statement afterwards President Mario Draghi’s speech caused major volatility, significantly helping the Euro find support against Sterling and the US Dollar. Draghi did stay fairly close to the expected narrative saying that there could changes to economic policy, however they’re there just yet. One consideration for the future that Draghi raised was continuous Euro strength culd we have consequences in the short term

The cost of exports will increase with the currency and may encourage importers from other regions to look elsewhere for goods. This will eventually have an effect on the Eurozone economy and potentially could cause inflation to slow down. Whilst there isn’t expected to be a interest rate hike in the EU for a considerable time, a decrease in inflation would be incredibly detrimental especially considering the amount of stimulus that has gone into forcing a rise.

The Euro strength may continue and unless Sterling gains some support in positive Brexit talks the market isn’t likely to move much in my opinion. However if the Euro weakens and the Brexit talks do stat to slowly find some resolve then we may not be far to breaking back through the 1.10 level.

If you do have a upcoming currency requirement and would like to discuss what might be the best option, please send me an email to Ben at brf@currencies.co.uk. The currency markets are always moving and timing a transfer can help make sure you achieve the most for your funds. Working at a brokerage I am able to help you achieve the best rates of exchange and set alerts to make sure you capitalise on any movements on your favour.

When will the European Central Bank taper their QE Programme? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has seen some small gains during this week but I fully expect GBPEUR exchange rates to experience a huge amount of volatility later on today.

The European Central Bank are due to meet at 1245pm today and ECB president Mario Draghi is due to address the markets later this afternoon.

There has been much talk of the current QE programme and when the ECB may start to taper the programme.

The likelihood is that the tapering will commence later in the year in perhaps December so any absence of when this may take place could see the Pound make gains.

However, if Draghi does look to announce or at least suggest when QE may start this could cause the single currency to dramatically strengthen against the Pound.

Overall the market for GBPEUR exchange rates is likely to continue to be dominated by the Brexit talks and today’s ‘Great Repeal Bill’ will be hotly debated in the House of Commons later today.

The uncertainty and the ambiguity over the costs of Brexit and what Brexit actually means has caused Sterling to experience real problems lately and in the short to medium term I cannot see the Pound making any real gains vs the Euro.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Euro Rates Before ECB Meeting

GBP EUR exchange rates look set for a roller coaster today tomorrow with two major events. The UK sees a debate in parliament over the Great Repeal Bill which will discuss the movement of EU law into British law to hopefully avoid any disaster scenarios. The issue for the British government is that there is only a very small working majority so any renegade conservatives who are not prepared to vote with the bill could create major problems for government.

Labour have already made clear that they will try and vote down the bill which in my view would create additional uncertainty although the general feeling is that the bill will go through.

The European Central Bank also meet tomorrow which could see major market volatility. The markets will be listening out for any words that suggest the central bank will look to taper its Quantitative Easing programme. The last few meetings have seen considerable market volatility to the extent that Mario Draghi has had to issue statements effectively saying the markets had misinterpreted what he had said. Any suggestion of tapering could see the Euro strengthen very quickly although the recent strength of the Euro could mean the ECB pauses until the next meeting.

Those clients with a Euro requirement either buying Euros or selling Euros would be wise to get in touch tomorrow morning to look at the options available to try and take advantage of any spikes which occur. The key here is to be proactive and have things set up ready if there is a big jump higher.

If you would like further information on sterling or Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Services PMI causes Sterling spike against the Euro (Daniel Johnson)

Eurozone PMI data arrives below expectations

Services Purchase Mangers Index (PMI) was released yesterday in the UK and the Eurozone. Services PMI is a measure of health in the sector and can move markets. The UK saw a fall of 0.3% and saw a slight rise in German data by 0.1%. Italian PMI came in 0.4% down and French PMI was also down by 0.6%. This caused GBP/EUR to move above 1.09, the best levels for Euro buyers for over two weeks.

I am of the opinion this could be a small window of opportunity. Citibank, J.P Morgan, Morgan Stanley and HSBC are all predicting parity on GBP/EUR by the end of the year. Sterling is going to find it particularly hard to make any significant gains due to political uncertainty and a lack of clarity on Brexit.

Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question. With a growing number of conservatives pushing forward a vote of no confidence in Theresa May the pound stays anchored below 1.10. Until we have a stable government the pound stands little chance of a sustained rally.

There needs to be clarity on the UK’s stance on Brexit. The white paper documents that are being released are not addressing the main points on immigration and trade. In the currency market no news is worse than bad news. These points need to be addressed if investors are to regain confidence in the UK economy.

Could we see QE tapering from the ECB?

With sustained growth geographically and in the majority of business sectors in the Eurozone there has been talk of tapering Quantitative Easing (QE) from the European Central Bank (ECB). QE is pumping money into an economy to stimulate growth. The ECB are currently injecting €60bn a month, if this is reduced to €40bn we could see GBP/EUR fall below 1.05. This may not be a wise move as if the Euro becomes too strong it could hinder exports and damage the Eurozone economy.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

Sterling Rallies Despite Poor Services PMI Figures (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound has made gains during Tuesday’s trading, gaining over half a cent against the EUR.

GBP/EUR rates hit a high of 1.0939 at the high, with the positive move attributed to today’s poor Services PMI data.

Services data accounts for a large proportion of an economies output and as such, the negative reading sapped investor confidence in the EUR.

This helped drive Sterling value up, despite UK Services data slipping to an 11-year low.

Sterling has found life tough going over recent weeks, as the Brexit stranglehold tightens sapping investor confidence and with it the value of the Pound.

Sterling’s current standing remains fragile and I would be looking to take advantage of the small upturn if I had a short-term GBP/EUR transfer to make.

Any sustained rise in the Pound’s value, would most likely need to be facilitated by a complete shift in market sentiment and investor confidence. With media reports continuing to highlight a dis-jointed approach to Brexit negotiations and in-fighting amongst the government over how best to facilitate our Brexit, grave concerns remain.

Personally, I believe any spikes in the Sterling’s value should be considered as an opportunity. It is unlikely that a major increase will occur until we have some solid information, regarding which direction the UK economy is likely to take over the coming months.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787n 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

UK Services data released this morning likely to drive GBP/EUR today, what other data should be watched closely? (Joseph Wright)

This morning the most important sector for the UK economy will be under the spotlight as Services PMI data is scheduled for release.

The figure will be released at 9.30am and it will cover business sentiment in the sector, which is particularly important for the UK economy as the services sector covers around 80% of the UK economy. Whether this figure impresses or not is likely to move the Pound to Euro exchange rate due to its importance, and those following the GBP to EUR exchange rate should kind in mind that the manufacturing and construction figures released over the past couple of days have been mixed which has resulted in a mixed performance for the Pound.

The services sector figure has higher potential to result in price movement and the figure expected for releases is 53.5 so this is the figure to look out for.

We’re able to provide our clients with guidance regarding the news releases and expected figures that could potentially impact their currency transaction requirement. If you would like to be kep updated regarding the markets do feel free to register your interest with me and I’ll be happy to discuss it with you.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.