Tag Archives: best exchange rate

Pound weakens after hopes of a rate hike in May are dampened, where to next for the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Financial markets had been pricing in an interest rate hike from the Bank of England since some bullish comments from the Bank of England last month.

The hopes of a rate hike have since dampened after some important comments from the governor of the Bank of England. Yesterday evening whilst speaking to the BBC, Mark Carney cooled expectations of a rate hike next month after not confirming that it would actually happen. There have been a few members of the BoE that have already voted in favour of hiking interest rates, and with the rate of wage growth in the UK now picking up and similar to inflation levels, many were expecting the base rate in the UK to rise to its highest level since the UK exited the recession.

Carney commented that he didn’t want to become too focused on the precise timing of the next rate hike, and although he didn’t rule out the hike he didn’t confirm it which has caused the Pound to weaken in value.

Sterling had been strengthening recently after the Brexit transitional deal has been agreed and hopes of the rate hike next month, so seeing the GBP/EUR rate drop from its highs isn’t a surprise.

There is still a rate hike likely this year although when it will happen remains to be seen. Next week UK GDP is due out on Friday, so if you’re planning on making a transfer involving the Pound and the Euro do feel free to get in touch as there is plenty of time to plan around next Friday’s release.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBPEUR plummets due to Mark Carney

Late last night Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney told the BBC that an interest rate hike would occur this year but failed to announce that it would happen at the May meeting. He did state Brexit negotiations and the performance of the UK economy will dictate when the hike occurs. This was seen as extremely dovish by investors and the pound was sold off.

The Governor also spoke about inflation and said as always inflation needs to be monitored closely. With inflation falling quicker than expected this month to 2.5%, if this trends continues I expect to only see one hike this year, which arguably is a bad situation for clients buying euros.

The pound had been making considerable gains against the euro over the last 6 weeks due to the hype of an interest rate hike and the shift in Brexit sentiment. However not that a hike may not occur, this could be the start of the slide for sterling against the pound. Furthermore with trade negotiations set to start in the upcoming months now is the time to buy pounds in my opinion.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Drop in Inflation decreases probability of BOE Rate hike (Daniel Johnson)

Is a rate hike in May by the BOE still likely?

Yesterday we saw the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI is a key measure of inflation and there was a fall to 2.5%. In order to have a healthy economy it is important that average wage growth be close to parity with inflation and this is currently the case, with average wage growth (2.8%) currently sitting above inflation. Although this could be seen as very positive, could it be considered a danger that people are making more money but are not willing to spend it?

Also if inflation in coming into line with the Bank of England’s (BOE) 2% target, could this put the potential rate hike in May on hold?

This is the concern and this is the reason we saw Sterling fall in value yesterday. I am of the opinion a rate hike will still take place due to previous strong economic data. Although Retail sales data to be released this morning could change that. There is expected to be a fall from 0.8% to – 0.5%. I would be surprised to see it the predicted – 0.5% so this could indeed strengthen the pound if there is only a slight decline. If it falls below -0.5% however this could indeed really put a rate hike in May in question.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker when the market is currently so hard to predict. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

Sterling to Euro rate now sitting comfortably above 1.15, is a move closer to 1.20 now likely?

Yesterday GBP/EUR broke through 1.15 once again, although this time the pair have consolidated above this previous resistance level meaning that the pair are now trading in new territory.

Since the transitional agreement was agreed between the UK and EU negotiators sentiment surrounding the UK economy moving forward has improved, and this is behind much of the Pound’s recent gains. The Euro has also been coming under pressure as inflation levels within Europe aren’t quite as high as the ECB had hoped before cutting back on its asset purchasing program. Global concerns surrounding tensions in Syria and potential clash between the US and Russia are also impacting the Euros value due to the effects on the regions economy.

The interest rate hike next month is now almost a certainty and talk of whether the BoE will raise interest rates later in the year is now beginning to impact the rates, so if you’re planning on making a transfer soon do bear this in mind.

As the year continues I would expect Brexit related news to continue to impact the Pound’s value. The final Brexit agreement needs to be approved by the European Council and across all parliaments in the EU before it becomes official so I expect to see this topic continue to carry potential to move GBP exchange rates quite drastically.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBPEUR breaches 1.15

Its been a fantastic day for the pound and GBPEUR exchange rates have breached 1.15 and remained above the key threshold that many of my clients have been looking to trade at over the last year.

With limited data releases today it is hard to state the exact reasons to why the pound has gained so much momentum, however I believe its because speculators have purchased the pound in anticipation that the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney will deliver a press conference this evening and be bullish about the interest rate decision in May.

With average earnings catching inflation many speculators believe the Bank of England will hike interest rates to 0.75% and this is one of the reasons that the pound is gaining momentum alongside the transitional deal being agreed last month. The question is what next?

Personally I am surprised the pound is as high as it is, and I would be extremely tempted to purchase now at a 10 month high. The trade negotiations are set to start in the upcoming months and I expect these negotiations will put severe pressure on the pound.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the pound to Euro rate rise above 1.15?

The pound to Euro rate had been expected to keep rising in the face of the expected improvements from the market in terms of higher interest rates and also possibly the improved outlook on Brexit but mostly we would be expecting the pound to struggle to rise again to hit the 1.15 mark. The most important factor driving the pound has of course been the Brexit and also the prospect of higher interest rates.

Much of this news does appear to be largely priced into current levels already, however. This is evidenced by the spike that we saw once the Bank of England met at their last meeting and the fact that we have not retouched that level. The general progression on the pound against the Euro is expected longer term but in order to see this occur, we will need to really see some fresh good news.

Markets will need new information to go off to be able to make an informed decision about what really lies ahead. For now, there is likely to be increased uncertainty surrounding Brexit in the coming weeks as we await further news on a trade deal and also the Irish border. In the absence of any new news, the pound will more than likely struggle to maintain higher levels.

The same is true of interest rates which are likely to rise in the future but much of the good news is priced in, further GBP strength will rely on there being new news, which helps the market to pencil in the possibility of further hikes after May. With the poor weather in March weighing on market sentiments I think the Bank of England will be cautious about further hikes which could see the pound remain flat or struggle to rise much further.

If you are buying or selling Euros then making plans in advance around the transfer is the best way to maximise the possibility of getting the best rates. We can help with your plans and look to offer practical assistance with the timing and execution of any transactions. For more information free of charge and at completely no obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

For more information on the future currency forecast please download our monthly guide here.

 

GBP/EUR – When shall I move? (Daniel Johnson)

Why will GBP/EUR not breach 1.15 and remain above 1.15?

Sterling has made significant improvements against the majority of major currencies of late. Breaking resistance points against both the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar, 1.80 and 1.40 respectively. Against the Euro however it only breached the key resistance point of 1.15 for a very short period.

1.15 has been the absolute peak of the market, this level only being breached on a few occasions and every time it quickly retracts. I have been saying for months that if you have to move short term trade if the market sits in the 1.14s.

There has been several catalyst for Sterling’s recent improvement. We have seen retail sales figures come in well above expectations. Previous readings came in at – 0.2% and the prediction was a rise to 0.4%. They landed at 0.8% for February.

We also saw average wage growth move much closer to parity with inflation, which is a true sign of a healthy economy. An interest rate hike from the Bank of England (BOE) was already highly probable in May, but this may force the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) hand.

It was also announced that the UK would have access to single market during the Brexit transitional period, which is very good news indeed.

If ever there was a reasoning of late for GBP/EUR to break 1.15 and stay above 1.15 these were it. What gives me worries is that it didn’t.  I think it means we are going to have to have some pretty significant news to do so. Perhaps this could come in the form of news on the Irish border situation. which is at present a major point of contention in Brexit negotiations.

Personally, I am still of the opinion if you have to move short term do so in the 1.14s.

If you have a currency requirement I would b happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

Will GBPEUR hit 1.15 again?

The pound to Euro rate hit 1.1520 on the highs yesterday as the Bank of England released their latest meeting summary and interest rate decision. The pound spiked up to this level presenting some of the best opportunities to buy Euros since May 2017. Will this level be hit again and what can clients looking to buy Euros with pounds do to capitalise?

The rates move very quickly and to buy at the highs you need to be prepared. This means highlighting your situation to us here so that we can monitor the rates and track levels for you, this might sounds expensive but it isn’t, it is free. We make our money from any trades we do but can offer an exchange rate which we are positive will save you money over other sources of currency.

If you would like to make any kind of comparison I would be more than happy to speak to you to provide some quotes and discuss the forecast for GBPEUR longer-term.Whilst the positive news from the Bank of England bodes well for the future on GBPEUR the Euro is very strong, the biggest thorn in the side of Euro buyers with pounds is the strong Euro.

To help my clients trade at the higher levels we can offer a Limit order which is an automatic order which will trigger at a pre-determined rate once it is hit. I would suggest an order at 1.15 in the coming weeks may well be hit, if you wish to get an update on the rates please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Pound to Euro rate hits a 7-week high before BoE meeting (Joseph Wright)

Sterling has been strengthening throughout the week after news of the Brexit transitional deal being agreed has been met well by the markets.

It will be interesting to see whether the GBP/EUR pair can break above 1.15, because at the moment they are trading comfortably in the 1.14’s and these are around the highest levels for the pair going back as far as June. The 1.15 mark appears to be a ceiling for the pair so far, but there are a number of potential market movers that could push the pair higher.

Later today the start of the EU Summit in Brussels will begin, and the Brexit is expected to be a key talking point for those attending. As previously mentioned the most recent Brexit news boosted markets but it will be interesting to see whether any further commentary this week will affect the GBP/EUR rate. I would imagine that suit sentiments change the Pound will fall as it’s trading at the top end of its current range.

The increase in wage growth has also increased the chances of a rate hike from the Bank of England later this year, with many economists pencilling in May as the next time the Bank of England will opt to make the adjustment.

Some economists even believe that there could be two rate hikes which would most likely result in a stronger Pound as well.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBPEUR rises back above 1.13, where next?

The pound to Euro exchange rate is now looking much more attractive for Euro buyers although there are some fairly large warning signs ahead. The EU Summit next week has plenty of potential to be an upset for the pound as we already know much of the news to be expected. There is a real belief that the pound will now rise on the news of a transitional deal however, maybe this has already happened?

Exchange rates usually move when there is new news or information to be learned. It is the changing fortunes of the currency markets and the global economy which will shape the developments on exchange rates. This is important for next week’s EU Summit because much of the news is know or ‘priced in’ to current levels on the pound. Therefore, any news which is merely a confirmation of what was already planned and expected will do little to move the market.

Having said that, next week could be a choppy one for GBPEUR on many fronts as we have new news on the Brexit with the EU Summit, plus the latest information from the Bank of England with the UK interest rate decision. There had been much speculation that the UK will be raising interest rates later this year, any changes in sentiment (new information) could see movement on sterling. I would expect a more choppy period now on GBPEUR, perhaps seeing levels trading in the 1.11-1.14 range for the next week.

Will we break out of the 1.11-1.15 we have occupied in 2018? I wouldn’t expect so but if anything was going to make it likely, the raft of news next week makes it much more likely!

For up to date information to help you with the planning and execution of any exchanges please contact me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you and I look forward to hearing from you.

ECB’s inflation concerns weaken the Euro, will GBP/EUR manage to breach 1.13 anytime soon? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate breached 1.13 today before falling back into the later 1.12’s.

Some bearish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President, Mario Draghi first thing this morning put the Euro on the back foot throughout the day, although it does appear to have some support around the 1.13 mark.

Draghi stated that there needs to be further evidence that inflation dynamics are moving in the right direction before the ECB will consider ending its extensive quantitative easing programme which appears to have disappointed the markets.

Aside from this issue data this morning showed that there have been contractions in EU employment, and industrial production figures also disappointed out of the EU as figures showed much weaker performance in January than expected.

The Pound on the other hand has been boosted recently as fears surrounding the Brexit and the transitional deal have subdued somewhat. I do think that those planning on making a currency exchange involving the Pound should be aware that details of the transitional agreement are due to go public within the next 10 days so it’ll be interesting to see how GBP exchange perform in the wake of that news.

There is a quiet end to the week scheduled for UK economic data so it’s likely that politics will remain the main mover of GBPEUR exchange rates. If you would like to be notified should there be a spike between GBP/EUR, do make me aware.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will the Spring statement cause market volatility? (Daniel Johnson)

Will there be any surprises from Hammond?

Philip Hammond, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer is due to deliver the spring statement today. It is expected to be a no frills affair with no big surprises that could rock the markets. I tend to agree with this and I do not expected any breaking changes.

It will commence around 12.30pm and is due to last around 20 minutes. Hammond has stated  that no other major economy has two major fiscal set-piece events a year and “neither should we”.

He also added “If unexpected changes in the economy require it, then I will, of course, announce actions at the Spring Statement. But I won’t make significant changes twice a year just for the sake of it.”

I doubt this will have a significant impact on Sterling.

Single Market access for UK financial sector could be a point of contention

The key market mover will still be Brexit talks. The uncertainty surrounding single market access for the UK financial sector is probably one of the most significant point of the whole negotiation process. French Politician, Bruno Le Maire has stated that the UK will be forced to utilise a political mechanism know as equivalence. Equivalence gives countries outside the EU access to the single market for limited periods, when and whether they will have access is dictated by Brussels. Access can be revoked at any time.

May’s proposal for a mutual recognition situation with free single market access has been flatly denied. This does not bode well for the Pound.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximise your return. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free, no obligation trading strategy for you. If you have a trade to perform I will also happily provide a free quote and I am confident our rates are among the best in the industry. I would be willing to demonstrate this in form of a comparison with any competitor.

You can trade in safety knowing you are dealing with company FCA registered and one that has been trading for 16yrs. Foreign Currency Direct PLC.

If you would like my assistance I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading. Daniel Johnson

The French cause unrest in Brexit Talks (Daniel Johnson)

Concerns over UK Financial Sector could weigh on Sterling

The French are making things difficult for the UK in Brexit talks. French Economy Minister, Bruno Le Maire has stated there is very little chance of Britain securing a free trade deal for the financial services that would provide the level of access the UK seeks. Le Maire said the UK would have to use a legal mechanism known as equivalence. Equivalence allows countries outside the EU limited access to the single market, controlled by Brussels, access can be revoked at any time which would certainly not sit well with large financial firms. Indeed Goldman Sachs has already started moving UK employees to Frankfurt due to the uncertainty surrounding Brexit.

May’s call for a mutual recognition system which would still give UK financial services access to the single market has already been rejected. Single Market access for financial services is one of the most important points of negotiation in the Brexit process and this could be a major stumbling block. The financial services sector is the UK’s biggest form of tax income.

France’s thinly veiled ploy to turn Paris into the new focal point of financial services is causing real trouble for the UK economy and the Pound as a result.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving.

I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling drops as Brexit talks take centre stage, will GBP/EUR drop below 1.12? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has dropped this afternoon, as its emerged that draft guidelines on a trade agreement between Britain and the EU are published on Wednesday.

Donald Tusk, the chairman of EU leaders was in London to discuss the Brexit negotiations with UK Prime Minister, Theresa May recently. It will be him that presents the draft guidelines tomorrow so those interested in how the GBP/EUR rate is performing should be aware of this.

In the morning there will be GDP figures released out of the EU which also hold the potential to move markets. 0.6% is expected on a quarterly basis and 2.7% annually so expect any deviations from these figures to result in movement for the pair.

Then on Thursday at 12.45pm the ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision will be announced. No change is expected but those monitoring the rates should follow the statement at 1.30pm as any reference to future monetary policy may result in movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

It’s data this that can move the markets and a bout of poor data for the Pound is likely to see the Pound dip into the 1.11’s and consolidate there. The rate has dipped into the 1.11’s at times today so those with plans involving the pair should be aware of this.

If you would like to register your interest with me due to planning an upcoming currency transfer, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Investors hang on Theresa May’s speech at 13.30 (Daniel Johnson)

May’s speech expected to cause volatility

GBP/EUR rates will be mainly dictated by the progress in Brexit negotiations. The Irish border situation has again come into the spot light. UK PM, Theresa May has turned down proposals from Brussels that could potentially annex Northern Ireland by keeping them in the single market.
The PM is due to speak later today and investors wait with baited breath to see if May gives some form of clarity on the Brexit situation. She is widely expected to rule out Britain being part of the customs union with the EU.
There has been recent talks at Chequers with members of her cabinet and it appears there is now some unity between the remainers and the leavers in the cabinet. This is neded considering many have been at loggerheads for some time. I feel many MPs have put their own personal agenda in front of focusing on getting a Brexit deal in place. I would expect May to state there is now a framework in place for negotiations and that she has the backing of her cabinet.

I think May will try and avoid any mention of a hard line stance which has the potential to hurt the Pound. Sterling does have the potential to strengthen, but nothing substantial. It is a question of whether investors believe her comments and credibility.

GBP/EUR has been sat between 1.12 – 1.15 for some time. 1.15 being a resistance point with the GBP/EUR quickly retracting when 1.15 is hit. If you have to move short term buying Euros aim to move around 1.1430 as having too high expectations could prove costly.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a free trading strategy. During a period of such uncertainty it is important to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximize your return. We have tools at our disposal to make sure you do not miss out if there is a spike in your favour.
If you already have a currency provider in place. Drop me an email with what you are being offered and I am very confident I will be able to demonstrate a significant saving. It will only take you two minutes and I am sure it will be worth your while. You can trade in safety knowing you are with a Foreign Currency Direct PLC, a firm trading for over 16yrs and FCA registered.
If you would like my help feel free to email me at dcj@currencies.co.uk.
Thank you for reading.

Will today’s speech from Theresa May offer the GBP/EUR rate direction? (Joseph Wright)

Today could prove to be a busy day for GBP exchange rates, as the UK’s Prime Minister is scheduled to speak around lunchtime today according to reports with the Brexit being in focus.

Brexit related news and updates are proving to be the biggest mover of GBP exchange rates at the moment, and time is running out for the UK and the EU to come to an arrangement so I don’t expect to see this pattern change anytime soon.

May is expected to focus on a number of topics in today’s speech such as protecting jobs, protecting any deals that are being arranged and ensuring that any deals made benefit both parties.

As we’ve seen recently the relationship between the UK and EU negotiators is quite frosty, and the issues surrounding the Northern Irish border and the customs union appear to be sticking points.

Mark Carney will also be speaking this morning so there could be movement for GBP/EUR for this reason also, especially if there are references to future monetary policy as the global pick up in the economy is likely to result in a more aggressive monetary policy for the Bank of England than previously expected.

If you would like to be updated in the event of a major move for the GBP/EUR rate today, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the release of the Brexit plan result in a stronger Pound? (Joseph Wright)

The negotiations between the UK and EU regarding the Brexit have been heating up recently, and we’re shortly expected to know what the UK’s stance is.

Just yesterday UK Prime Minister, Theresa May held emergency talks with senior cabinet members behind closed doors. The talks took place at her country residence, Chequers and one MP told the press that she ‘played a blinder’. Within the next month we’re expected to know what the Brexit plans are so I think although the markets are quite calm at the moment, we could see a lot of movement for the Pound to Euro rate in the next month.

Next week Theresa May will also be giving a speech again outlining her stance on Brexit talks so far and plans moving forward.

Although economic data is once again having an effect on the Pounds value I think that politics is likely to be the main driver of GBP exchange rates in the current climate, which makes it harder to judge where the Pound will move next and when.

If you would like to be notified in the event of a major spike for the Pound in either direction, do feel free to register your interest with me as working on a trading floor allows us to react in the wake of a major move.

Later today there will be the release of EU Inflation data which could move the markets depending on how the figure comes out.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Which direction will GBPEUR take next?

The pound is looking better supported against all currencies and this includes the Euro which it is still nudging some of the better rates in the last 6 months against. If you wish to buy Euros with pounds the good news for sterling is not enough, the Euro is very strong and Euro buyers need some weakness on the part of the Euro get a better rate.

This morning we have the latest UK GDP (Gross Domestic Product) figures which will give us some insight into the pace of growth for the UK economy at present. Overall impressions over the outlook on the GBPEUR rate really are mixed, with both currencies benefiting from improved economic data sets.

Politically, both countries are set on uncertain courses, the UK is struggling with Brexit and many Eurozone countries are feeling political pressures. The biggest concerns stem from the Italian election next weekend, there are a number of far-right and anti-EU and anti-Euro politicians in the running for the top jobs in government.

Despite concerns politically in the Eurozone there are probably greater concerns for the UK with the fears over the worst outlook on Brexit hindering the pound. Whilst sterling is stronger lately as we get some more positive news on what the final deal will be for the UK and the EU, we do still have a long way to go for the pound to really find its feet.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds we are only 2 cents off the best rates to buy since May last year, this is a very good point to note. With GBPEUR looking like it was headed to near parity or one for one, it is very encouraging to see the rates back at this level which whilst compared to overall levels in the last few years are still low, do represent a significant improvement from the lowest points.

If you need to buy or sell Euros and wish for any information on the best timing and appropriate strategies to maximise your deal, please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk to get a full overview of the upcoming events and strategy on the best rates of exchange.

 

 

Will today’s speech give GBP/EUR direction? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been hovering around the 1.13 mark over the past 24 hours, but a key speech in Austria this morning could offer the pair some direction moving forward.

At 9.30am this morning David Davis, the Brexit Secretary will give a speech on Brexit where he is expected to say ‘Britain won’t turn into a Mad Max-style dystopia’. He’s also expected to say that Britain won’t abandon workers’ rights and environmental concerns after Brexit.

In the build up to this the Pound has softened against some major currency pairs but it’s holding its ground against the Euro so far, leading me to believe that some bullish comments from David Davis are likely to result in GBP/EUR breaching 1.13.

Aside from this morning I think the next month could be busy for GBP exchange rates as within the next month we’re likely to know the UK’s stance on the Brexit transitional deal. Also the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond will announce the latest Spring statement so there are plenty of events that could potentially move the markets.

If you would like to be kept updated in the event of a major market move for GBP/EUR, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What to expect for GBPEUR exchange rates moving forward?

In recent weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have come under pressure once more due to the developments surrounding Brexit. Head EU negotiator Michel Barnier told the press last week that the transitional talks have broken down and if the UK and EU cannot come to an agreement then the likelihood is there wont be a transition.

No suprises the uncertainty sent the pound tumbling from the 1.14 highs and GBPEUR exchange rates are now floating in the 1.12s. Good news for any client selling euros to buy pounds.

Looking further ahead UK Prime Minister Thersa May is set to address the public on Saturday. This speech will be watched closely by any person involved with the pound and Conservative MPs. It was only last weekend Pro European Conservative MP Anna Soubry warned that MPs could rebel against the PM if she decides to take a hard Brexit approach.

Personally I expect the transitional talks to continue to put pressure on the pound and exchange rates could fall back towards 1.10 in the upcoming 4 weeks. However, I expect the deal will be reached between the UK and EU which will pave the way for trades talks and therefore GBPEUR will improve back to the highs we experience earlier this month. If my predictions materialise then there may be opportunity for both euro buyers and sellers.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!