Tag Archives: best exchange rates

Eurozone Inflation To Cause Volatility (Ben Fletcher)

This morning the latest Inflation data will be released for the Eurozone which should provide an indication as to what the European Central Bank will decide to do in the next few weeks. Many analysts at the moment believe the ECB will start to reduce the amount of economic stimulus as early as September however if the EU economic data is not strong then that’s less likely to happen.

The Euro has been putting significant pressure under Sterling with many investors choosing to back the single markets major currency. There has been considerable growth across the EU with output data at one of its highest in years and future confidence soaring. Most of this strength has come from France and Germany but there also appears to be optimism that the Greek and Italian economies will this year grow.

There is still the small issue of multi-billions worth of bailout funds and it seems incredibly unlikely that those funds will ever be paid back. The Greek pension fund has already been completely raided and the higher tax bracket is considerably over 60%, which makes you think if the economy doesn’t start to grow there is nothing more to give and no more room for squeezing.

Today with the general downward movement of the GBP/EUR I would not be surprised to see the 1.09 level tested.

I am in a position to help you execute a transfer and I am confident I can offer you the best rates. Therefore if you do have a question with regards to my forecast please get in touch. When it comes to moving large sums of money a movement of a cent can often relate to a significant difference in your returns. Helping you formulate a strategy could make sure you’re in the best position to exchange currency when the market is in your favor, please contact me Ben Fletcher at brf@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Short Term Forecast – Will Sterling Strengthen? (Ben Fletcher)

Sterling has been under continuous pressure these past few months presenting the opportunity for people to sell Euros back at some of the best levels in 9 months. Each week the range in which the GBP/EUR rate resides at has fallen nearly a cent suggesting there is more potential for the rate to continue to fall. If you have been waiting to sell Euros back to Pounds and are still holding on, the next month might be the best time.

German Election

At the end of September Germany will head to the polls in what is thought to be a non-event to re-elect current Chancellor Angela Merkel. Whilst Merkel is the major favourite there has been some surprising events that have taken place around the globe in the past year and anything unexpected could create Euro weakness. At the moment there doesn’t really appear to be any major rivals and the concern that Nationalist parties were coming back seems to have died down. Merkel was heavily criticised by many in her own country for welcoming 1 million refugees, however in the light of no other viable leaders her tenure looks set to continue.

From the perspective of the GBP/EUR rate, over the next month we may see some Euro weakness start to creep in due to election uncertainty. But by that point the GBP/EUR may be close to moving below the 1.10 level, which in my opinion would be a best case scenario for Euro sellers.

If you have a upcoming requirement you would like to discuss or ask any questions about the comments please send me an email briefly explaining your requirement at brf@currencies.co.uk. I would be more than happy to share my thoughts and try to help you develop a plan that will enable you to maximise your transfer. I will aim to respond within a few hours.

What next for GBPEUR rates?

Overall the belief on the GBPEUR rate is that it will now continue to ebb lower and lower as the uncertainty over the UK’s political and economic outlook is overshadowed by much improved economic data and also political certainty in the Eurozone. Those who predicted the demise of the Euro and the Eurozone a few years ago are now facing some serious questions as the outlook for the Eurozone continues to improve. If you are selling Euros the likelihood of further improvements cannot be ruled out. The extra 2 cents gained for Euro sellers this week is an extra £1500 in your pocket per €100,000 transferred. If you wish to learn more about rate movements and how much you could save please contact me jmw@currencies.co.uk.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling the pound and Euro the current trend is looking likely to favour the Euro but there could be surprises on the way. For example Mario Draghi was actually quite ‘dovish’ or soft in his comments yesterday during the European Central Bank (ECB) Press Conference. Nevertheless the Euro rallied essentially as Mario revealed there are plans to taper their bond buying purchases in the future.

This strengthened the Euro but Mario didn’t actually reveal too much on timings, that means that the market might actually have overreacted to his comments. This can often be the case on markets so Euro strength is neither guaranteed or assured. However looking at the overall picture and particularly against a weaker pound a further decline in the GBPEUR rate looks to me likely.

If you have a transfer buying or selling Euros we are here to help with the planning and execution of any transactions for the future. We can help with the forecasting and devising of strategies to help you maximise the transaction. Thank you for reading and please contact me if you would like to discuss anything further by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

UK Data and Carney to Dictate GBP/EUR (Ben Fletcher)

This we will see a whole flurry of UK data including the Producer Price Index along with the latest Consumer Price Index. The CPI data which currently sits at 2.9% compared to this time last year, is a key indicator of inflation levels. If this level moves above 3%, which it isn’t expected to however the recent climb would suggest other wise, he market could move. If inflation continues to rise faster than average earnings consumers will start to feel the pinch, however the Bank of England could have a solution.

Governor of the Bank of England is expected to deliver a speech just after lunchtime today discussing his latest thoughts on the UK economy. The big question for investors at the moment is the potential of a UK interest rate hike in the short term. The Bank of England can encourage people to stop spending by raising interest rates, alternatively if people start to save more that has consequences on retail as a whole.

There is a very fine balance with so much uncertainty surrounding namely Brexit. Whilst the data and speeches are happening in the UK, David Davis along with his Brexit negotiations team are sat around a table with the EU team. We’re not likely to see any outcomes to the talks in round two of discussions, but we may receive news that the talks are going well and any concessions for Sterling will be seen as positive.

When the markets are this volatile there will always be spikes and drops, making timing a transfer vital to maximise your funds. If you have any questions with my forecast above or would like to simply discuss an upcoming requirement you have please send me an email to brf@currencies.co.uk. I would be happy to share my thoughts with you and I may be able to offer a viable solution to help you complete a trade, as I have several years experience working for a brokerage

What can we expect next for GBPEUR exchange rates?

What is the likelihood of GBPEUR rate rising much higher is a very common question I am being lately. Trying to second guess the market and hoping for big improvements often leads only to disappointment when expecting a certain outcome. The pound against the Euro is in a very volatile situation at the moment which could easily see the rates quickly and unexpectedly changing, keeping up to date with the developments is a crucial factor to ensuring you maximise the transfer.

This week we have a number of important data releases which will be crucial to determining the next steps on the currency pairing. Overall I expect the market to favour sterling weakness but much of this has been built in to the current rates and therefore we will need some fresh new bad news so clients looking to buy sterling need to be careful holding back just waiting for rates to improve.

We aim to offer clients a clear forecast of current evens and work proactively to help determine the very best times to trade and buy currency. If you have a transfer to consider then understanding the coming news and information is critical to getting the best deals. For more information at no cost or obligation on what to look out for in the coming weeks to help you get the best deal please do feel free to contact me directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Tomorrow is UK Inflation and then Thursday is the latest European Central Bank Interest Rate decision, these are big events and trading them properly and understanding the outcomes could potentially save you hundred or thousands depending on the outcomes.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and working with you to achieve the maximum for your transfer.

 

GBP/EUR Back Above 1.14 (Ben Fletcher)

Sterling’s positive end to the week continued all the way to the close of business this evening as the GBP/EUR rate shot up to a high of 1.143. This has come as a considerable surprise following the fall to 1.118 on Wednesday, which convinced many further losses were on there way. Now that there has been a resurgence in the rate, the rise to 1.15 is a hot topic. The last time the rate reached that level was 6 weeks ago and that was only available for a few hours.

There is still a considerable amount of uncertainty surrounding Sterling, especially as the Great Repeal Bill is to be released shortly and every opposing party to the Government plans to challenge their plans. However some of the major concerns appear to have taken a slight back seat and at least for the last 48 hours no new negative headlines have appeared. It’s thought that earlier in the week Sterling was oversold as markets became over pessimistic on the UK conditions, with that in mind the recent jump is just making up lost ground.

GBP/EUR, where to next?

Now that we have seen favorable Sterling the movement the next step will be a jump above 1.15. This week we saw members of the Bank of England talk down a interest rate hike in the near future which was the main cause of the GBP/EUR rate dropping over a percent. Arguably if there was to be talk of a hike, that percent may return which would see a jump to the 1.15’s.

If you have any questions with regards to my forecast above please don’t hesitate to contact me. I would be more than happy to discuss your requirement and provide a strategy that will work for your unique needs. I may also be able to offer a potential method of completing the transfer. Please send me a brief description of what you’re looking to do at brf@currencies.co.uk

 

GBP/EUR, Calm Before the Storm? (Ben Fletcher)

Yesterday the GBP/EUR rate hardly moved half a cent across the whole of the day with very little changing in the market. Until the drop on Friday due to poor economic data for the UK, the rate had spent most of the week hovering around the 1.14 mark. This morning the rate is back above 1.13 and in my opinion there could be a opportunity for the rate to lift a little today.

MPC Members Speak Today

Two of the nine Monetary Policy Committee members will speak today Andy Haldane and Dr Ben Broadbent. The MPC are thought to be investigating whether a interest rate hike would be beneficial for the UK in the short term future. The two committee members who vote with the other 7 will provide their insights, if they’re hawkish and suggest a hike may happen that could provide market optimism boosting Sterling. Alternatively Andy Haldane is returning for his second stint on the MPC and was previously known for his Dovish attitude. There is of course every chance this is a non-event, but with little positivity around for Sterling any spikes in the market should be capitalised on.

In my opinion over the course of the next few weeks the GBP/EUR rate may move back towards the 1.14 but I find it hard to see anything much more substantial happening. The second round of Brexit talks will begin next week and we may get some further updates into how they’re progressing. However Theresa May is coming under so much pressure in the UK, even as much so that MP’s are calling for her resignation. If May was to resign then another general election would only add to further uncertainty and the GBP/EUR rate may drop below 1.10.

If you would like to ask me any further questions with regards to my forecast, please feel free to send me an email to brf@currencies.co.uk. If you send me a brief description of what you’re looking to achieve, I will respond within a few hours. Hopefully I can assist with devising a strategy to help you achieve your goal and potentially help execute the trade.

Where next for the GBPEUR exchange rate?

When looking for indications as to the future direction of GBPEUR exchange rates it can be helpful to consult the information of a currency specialist who can highlight the important trends and themes that will move the market. A 1 cent improvement selling €100,000 at current levels would result in a £800 saving! We offer assistance to clients looking to increase the value of their currency exchange by offering information on the market to help them time and execute their transfer for maximium effect.

If you are looking to buy or sell Euros for pounds then the last month has see a fairly choppy range developing in a tight band of 2 cents. Whilst we haven’t broken free of the 1.1260 to 1.1470 range, the movement within these parameters has been rather unpredictable with the market jumping back and forth according to speculation on various factors.

One key point to be noting is the prospect of a UK interest rate hike or the European Central Bank (ECB) considering to withdraw their economic stimulus. These two factors are example of two highly unpredictable factors which could see the pound rising or falling against the Euro rather suddenly.

With tremendous pressure on sterling and there appearing to be no easy way out of the current situation for the pound and the UK, GBPEUR seems like it could easily spend much of the coming weeks and months in a 1.10-1.15 range. It is very difficult to see what would lead to sterling rise dramatically but there could be surprises.

If you need to make a transfer of more than £10,000 worth buying or selling Euros then understanding the best steps forward in advance will give you the greatest chance of securing the best rate. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk or please call 01494 787 478.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

 

 

GBP/EUR – Where Next? (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling struggles against the Euro

We have seen gains for Sterling against most major currency pairings  following a government being appointed in the UK. The euro however is proving to be stubborn, with a resistance point at 1.14. I think there will need to be a significant catalyst for GBP/EUR to breach 1.14 and remain above it.

Over the last decade Eurozone positive data has been sporadic and has held back The European Central Bank (ECB) from tapering Quantitative Easing (QE). We have recently however seen positive data more widely spread both geographically and in industry sectors. This is good news for Draghi and could mean we could see tapering sooner rather than later. If this does occur I would expect a sharp rise in Euro strength.

It is not all good news in the Eurozone however, let us not forget Greece, struggling to make debt repayments to the IMF. The debt is so great it seems impossible to imagine a stable Greek economy. If this problem comes in to the lime light this could hinder any Euro advance.

I am of the opinion Sterling is chronically undervalued, before the referendum announcement GBP/EUR sat above 1.40. I think short to medium term it will be tough time for the pound. I think once we have a more stable government and the Brexit stance is clear the pound will have the opportunity to rally. Although leave voters will not be happy, it may be the wise move to  compromise on immigration in order to have market access. This would almost certainly cause a spike in Sterling value. It is a shame we are in this position, it seems the whole reason the UK is in tatters is due to politicians pursuing their own agenda.

The Monetary Policy Commitee (MPC) recently voted on a change an interest rate and there was change in stance with 3 members voting in favour of a hike.  I believe this is not a solution to the rapid rise in inflation. The Bank of England are trying to fight a problem with the wrong tools. Many believe rate hikes drop and fall usually by 0.25%. This is not gospel and rates may move by as little as 0.5%. If there is a change in rates I would expect this to be the choice which would not have a huge impact Sterling value.

If you have a large currency transfer to perform in the coming days, weeks or months then I will be happy to speak to you directly as I will be willing to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the best possible rate when you do come to trade. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a significant difference so for the sake of taking a few minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can contact me (Daniel Johnson) on dcj@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavor to get back to you as quickly as possible. Thank you for reading.

 

Queens speech vote to influence GBPEUR exchange rates (Dayle Littlejohn)

As Theresa May failed to win the General Election by a majority the Conservative Prime Minister has been in negotiations with the Democratic  Unionist Party (DUP) and a minority Government has been formed. Members of Parliament will have the final vote on the minority Government later this afternoon.

For Jeremy Corbyn to win and effectively vote down the queens speech members of the conservative party will have to vote against Theresa May and I just cant see this happening. Therefore I expect the minority government to be officially formed by the end of the week which could lead to further sterling strength against the Euro and exchange rates to drift towards the mid teen territory.

Looking further ahead Theresa May’s position as Prime Minister will continue to be scrutinised and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the PM resign in the upcoming 6 months. This view is supported by American Financial Service City Group as they informed all of their clients that they expect Theresa May will resign in the upcoming months due to a Conservative rebellion. If she did resign the new Prime Minister could call another General Election which would weigh down on the pound further.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Mark Carney Delivers Boost For Sterling (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate touched 1.14 after a 1.5 cent boost as Mark Carney delivered hope of an interest rate hike this year. The Bank of England two weeks ago voted 5-3 in favour of holding rates but it was the first time in 7 years that 3 voted for a hike. With inflation on the charge then the bank could be forced into making a decision soon.

Governor Mark Carney also stressed that he would have no choice but to consider tapering back the current economic stimulus. The bank currently purchase billions of pounds worth of bonds through quanitivativ easing and there’s hope this may slow down. This will be seen a positive for the UK economy and could have a significant effect on Sterling.

What today’s events go to show is how fast the currency markets can move. There has been enormous pressure on Sterling following the UK election and general uncertainty with the Brexit negotiations. This led to Sterling falling to the low 1.12’s this morning, however in the space of 4 hours the rate jumped 1% into the 1.14’s

How can you capitalise on movements?

The speed of the market movement today signifies how hard it can be to make sure you exchange currency at the correct time. Working for a brokerage I am able to help you set rate alerts as notifications. Furthermore set a limit order that means your currency could be automatically bought at your desired level even if the market only reaches the level for a few seconds.

Over the next few days I think it will be unlikely that sterling will find to much more support, however if there was to be a jump into the mid 1.14’s that would see the market at a 2 week high. If you do have a currency requirement and would like to ask any questions about the information above, please don’t hesitate to send me an email at brf@currencies.co.uk.

A stable government is needed for a Pound rally (Daniel Johnson)

Theresa May’s position has now been brought into question following her call for a snap election and the aftermath. Her decision to call an election when the opposition seemed so weak back fired when the conservatives failed to win a majority victory. Attacking tory core voters was deemed a poor move by senior conservative members. The PM’s stance on Brexit is causing much unrest, with the DUP now in place alongside the conservatives it has been rumored we could be moving towards a softer Brexit. If her stance changes she could be ousted from her position, This could well cause further political uncertainty and could cause the pound to weaken further as investors lose confidence.

For Sterling to rally it is vital a stable government is in place.

Keep a close eye on Brexit negotiations as they unfold this will be key to GBP/EUR buoyancy levels moving forward. The magnitude of these talks should not be underestimated, they are the most important talks for Britain in the last 50 years. Many have the opinion these negotiations could take far longer than the two year target. I think this could well be the case when you take into account the quickest negotiation for the US and another country took four years.

It is important to take into account if that if Brussels choose to play hard ball it could be detrimental to all those involved. Britain is one of the largest economies in Europe, the cost to other countries would be substantial if trade laws become problematic. Germany would be particularly effected when you look at the amount exports to the UK. The car industry would definitely be an area hit.This could cause negotiations to go through more quickly than anticipated, although the two year target still seems unrealistic.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a trading strategy to suit your needs. If you have a current provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am confident I can demonstrate a considerable saving. It will only take a few minutes and could potentially save you thousands. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

Sterling rises as negotiations begin, but will the Pound to Euro rate continue to climb as they continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has edged up today against the Euro as well as against other major currency pairs, making the buying of oversea’s currencies a cheaper proposition than yesterday.

The reason behind the positive movements for the Pound can be put down to the latest updates regarding the Brexit process. It appears that the early stages of the Brexit negotiations are going quite well, which has boosted sentiment surrounding the UK economy moving forward and therefore the Pounds value.

I think that moving forward if the negotiations continue to go relatively smoothly, we can expect to see the Pound begin its recovery from its current levels, especially when when consider how the Pound is trading around historical lows against many currency pairs at the moment.

Against the Euro Sterling has lost around 5 cents over the past month or so, so there’s certainty scope for the currency to gain if things go to plan.

Next week Friday is likely to be once of the busiest days for GBPEUR as GDP data for the UK will be released around 9.30am. The expectations are for 2% annual growth so we’ll see how the currency performs in the wake of the news.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How far could the pound fall against the euro (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 8 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have dropped 6 1/4 cents (5.5%) making a €200,000 purchase £9,250 more expensive.  

The pound has been declining due to Theresa May not winning the UK General election by a majority which has weakened her position as Prime Minister and also her power when negotiating Brexit. This week Brexit negotiations have begun and the PM has already backed tracked and gave the upper hand to the EU by confirming the divorce settlement will have to be decided before trade negotiations begin.

The Bank of England have also been making headline news. Three members of the monetary policy committee surprised the market by voting in favour of hiking interest rates but less than a week later Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney talked down the MPCs decision confirming the Bank of England are not in the position to raise rates.

Looking further ahead I believe the pound could fall further against the euro due to Theresa May remaining under pressure as Prime Minister and Brexit negotiations. It was only 8 months ago when GBPEUR dropped below 1.10 so the scope is there. For euro buyers purchasing sooner rather than later is the safe option. The currency company I work for has the power to undercut any bank or brokerage therefore I would recommend emailing me for a quote drl@currencies.co.uk.

For euro sellers timing is everything. On a daily basis I help clients that have sold property in Europe and are repatriating their euros. With regular market information my clients make informed decisions of when to trade. If you are selling or have sold a property abroad and would like to make the most amount of sterling possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process of using our brokerage drl@currencies.co.uk.

 

Queen’s Speech set to cause swings on GBP/EUR (Daniel Johnson)

Could a firm Government cause a Pound rally

Today at 11.30am we will see the state opening of parliament and the Queen’s speech. This had been delayed as the conservatives and the DUP attempt to put a coalition deal together. There has been rumors the negotiations have been problematic with the DUP stating conservative negotiators have been poor. Let us hope this is not a sign of things  to come considering Brexit negotiations have just begun.

Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question and the current situation is a clear demonstration of what a country without a government does to the value of the currency in question. There is also in house troubles within the Tory party with senior conservative members giving eight days for Theresa May to prove her credential as PM or risk a leadership challenge. If her stance is changed on hard Brexit we could well see this occur. This could happen as the DUP wish to have a soft border between Northern Ireland and Southern Ireland, this would go against May’s plans for a hard borders which would be a feature in a hard Brexit. We are currently in political limbo and many are expecting Sterling to rise in value once we have a government in place. Although this is definitely a probable outcome I am of the opinion a conservative-DUP government is already factored into current exchange rates. The big market mover will be which course of action the government will take in regards to a hard or soft Brexit.

If you have a currency requirement and would like the assistance of a skilled broker feel free to get in touch. If you let me the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a free, individual trading strategy. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. (Daniel Johnson)

How do I get the best GBPEUR rates for my international transfer?

The pound to Euro rate will this week generally remain at the mercy of the latest news on Brexit negotiations. So far we have heard that the Brexit Bill and the discussion of rights of EU nationals were top of the list to settle. Talks have opened amicably so far and there has been no major movement on the rates just yet. These pieces of news will be come out from time to time and should be carefully monitored for clients looking to transfer large volumes of pounds or Euros internationally looking for the best rates of exchange or optimum times to trade. For example clients looking to buy or sell overseas property or businesses making payments to foreign suppliers.

With these talks scheduled to carry on over various sessions there is plenty of potential for something unexpected to come out of the talks which could catch the headlines and trigger some volatility on GBPEUR exchange rates. The pound is looking like it could easily rise higher if there is a belief a softer Brexit will be achieved, if it looks like talks a running into difficulty we could easily see the pound drop lower.

If you have a currency exchange to make then making plans in advance is always a smart way to try and avoid the volatility on the markets. We can help with the timing, planning and execution of any currency deals you will need in the future. The general impression for the pound is that we will see some unexpected swings as we learn of firmer details of the Brexit talks but these could be sudden and unexpected.

We offer a proactive service to keep our clients up to date with the market and to help try and target a better deal. Exchange rates change very quickly creating spikes which for a a few minutes may present savings of hundreds or thousands of pounds depending on how you need to do or how big the movement is.

If you wish to learn more about the market and all of your options then please do not hesitate to contact me Jonathan directly to discuss how we can offer the kind of support that really does help lead you to a position to get the best rates. Please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn more.

Sterling rises after Bank of England hints at a rate hike (Joseph Wright)

The Pound appears to have consolidated above 1.14 against the Euro, making the buying Euro rate cheaper for those holding Sterling.

There are current 8 voting members of the BoE and yesterday almost half of them voted in favour of hiking rates, which caused the Pound to jump by over half a cent as soon as the news broke around lunchtime.

The reason behind the Bank of England’s voting members that would like to see a hike is most likely the rising rate of inflation in the UK, which is eating into consumers spending power as wage growth is beginning to stall within the UK.

Raising the interest rate would act to lessen the blow and it’s also a positive for the Pound so I do think we can expect to see the Pound climb if rates are going to rise for the first time in a decade.

Later this morning the Bank of England’s Quarterly Bulletin will be released which could send the markets either way depending on what’s said. If you would like to be kept updated with data releases that can impact your upcoming currency exchange plans do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Critical 36 hours for GBPEUR exchange rates!

GBPEUR has opened this morning flirting around the 1.15 mark as markets digest events for a crucial couple of days for this pairing. The headline event is of course the UK election which takes place today, results due early tomorrow morning. Today however we have the latest ECB (European Central Bank) meeting which will be closely followed for information relating to any changes in monetary policy from the ECB. All in all I expect the predictions will be correct and GBPEUR will rise as Theresa May secures a much larger majority although I don’t see a landslide.

GBPEUR has slipped down to almost 1.13 in the last week as markets begin to price in the possibility of a Labour win or indeed a hung parliament. With the election taking place at such a crucial time with Brexit running in the background markets are being careful to not be caught out. Markets were surprised by the Trump and Brexit votes of last year which saw big swings on exchange rates, this time investors are being very careful about placing too high an expectation on any particular outcome.

Overall nothing can be taken too much for granted as historically the Conservative vote has been largely underestimated in the polls, this was true following the 2010 and 2015 election so may well see Theresa May winning more the the polls indicate. I expect GBPEUR would fall down to say 1.12 on a hung parliament, 1.10 on a Corbyn victory and 1.16-1.17 on a majority of 50-80. Anything above 80 would probably lead to rates approaching the very high teens, should May match Thatcher’s landslide of 144 then I think 1.20 could be on the cards.

If you have a transfer to make making some plans around these important events is I believe crucial to getting the best deal and not missing out. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Election week is heating up. How will it effect the currency market? (Daniel Johnson)

Labor only 4 points behind the Tories

Labor are now very close in the polls to the conservatives. The latest YouGov poll has a gap of just four points. Historically, during an election the currency in question weakens. As a rule, the more uncertain the outcome, the weaker the currency. The conservatives are deemed as a safer bet for the UK economy than Labor. When the snap election was called we saw Sterling strengthen against the majority of major currencies due the significant lead in the polls. This gap has been cut which is why we have seen the pound drop in value.

If the conservatives gain a majority victory I would expect to see Sterling strengthen. If there is not a majority victory expect further falls for the pound. A hung parliament I would expect to see further falls for the pound. Despite many parties stating they are not willing to form a coalition with particular opposition,I’m sure they will soon change their tunes when they see the opportunity for power. As demonstrated by the Lib Dems in 2010.

If there is a coalition this could cause problems for the pound, parties combined with differing manifestos means getting anything through parliament will be problematic, but the major concern is how this will effect brexit trade negotiations. Potentially, Labor could form a coalition with more than one other party which could be considered worst case scenario for negotiations. I would not expect a pound  recovery in the event of this outcome.

If you have a currency requirement it is absolutely crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker who has traded through similar periods of volatility. We have contract options available that can put you in a position to trade even if your funds are not available, this should definitely be considered for those who are waiting on their Euros to released from other assets. This could be a small window of opportunity.

If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to get back to you within 24hrs with a free, trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you already have a currency provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am very confident I will be able to demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. I look forward to being of help.

 

Sterling to Euro rate continues to trade towards the lower end of its current range, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is continuing to come under pressure as we get closer to the election, especially as a number of prominent opinion polls this week have shown that the lead the Conservatives had is diminishing with some suggesting that they may not win a majority of seats required.

If the option polls are correct we could be looking at another Hung Parliament in the UK which I believe would push the Pound lower and probably back towards the 1.10 mark.

The current trend for the GBPEUR pair is between 1.1350 up to 1.1950 although a couple of times towards the back end of last year the rate did touch 1.10 twice before seeing support.

A steep drop for Sterling is in my opinion likely if a Hung Parliament is announced, and I don’t think that the current UK Prime Minister has done herself many favours this week by not attending the debates between the political rivals in the race for number 10.

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If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.