Tag Archives: Best GBP/EUR exchange rates

Mark Carney Delivers Boost For Sterling (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate touched 1.14 after a 1.5 cent boost as Mark Carney delivered hope of an interest rate hike this year. The Bank of England two weeks ago voted 5-3 in favour of holding rates but it was the first time in 7 years that 3 voted for a hike. With inflation on the charge then the bank could be forced into making a decision soon.

Governor Mark Carney also stressed that he would have no choice but to consider tapering back the current economic stimulus. The bank currently purchase billions of pounds worth of bonds through quanitivativ easing and there’s hope this may slow down. This will be seen a positive for the UK economy and could have a significant effect on Sterling.

What today’s events go to show is how fast the currency markets can move. There has been enormous pressure on Sterling following the UK election and general uncertainty with the Brexit negotiations. This led to Sterling falling to the low 1.12’s this morning, however in the space of 4 hours the rate jumped 1% into the 1.14’s

How can you capitalise on movements?

The speed of the market movement today signifies how hard it can be to make sure you exchange currency at the correct time. Working for a brokerage I am able to help you set rate alerts as notifications. Furthermore set a limit order that means your currency could be automatically bought at your desired level even if the market only reaches the level for a few seconds.

Over the next few days I think it will be unlikely that sterling will find to much more support, however if there was to be a jump into the mid 1.14’s that would see the market at a 2 week high. If you do have a currency requirement and would like to ask any questions about the information above, please don’t hesitate to send me an email at brf@currencies.co.uk.

A stable government is needed for a Pound rally (Daniel Johnson)

Theresa May’s position has now been brought into question following her call for a snap election and the aftermath. Her decision to call an election when the opposition seemed so weak back fired when the conservatives failed to win a majority victory. Attacking tory core voters was deemed a poor move by senior conservative members. The PM’s stance on Brexit is causing much unrest, with the DUP now in place alongside the conservatives it has been rumored we could be moving towards a softer Brexit. If her stance changes she could be ousted from her position, This could well cause further political uncertainty and could cause the pound to weaken further as investors lose confidence.

For Sterling to rally it is vital a stable government is in place.

Keep a close eye on Brexit negotiations as they unfold this will be key to GBP/EUR buoyancy levels moving forward. The magnitude of these talks should not be underestimated, they are the most important talks for Britain in the last 50 years. Many have the opinion these negotiations could take far longer than the two year target. I think this could well be the case when you take into account the quickest negotiation for the US and another country took four years.

It is important to take into account if that if Brussels choose to play hard ball it could be detrimental to all those involved. Britain is one of the largest economies in Europe, the cost to other countries would be substantial if trade laws become problematic. Germany would be particularly effected when you look at the amount exports to the UK. The car industry would definitely be an area hit.This could cause negotiations to go through more quickly than anticipated, although the two year target still seems unrealistic.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a trading strategy to suit your needs. If you have a current provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am confident I can demonstrate a considerable saving. It will only take a few minutes and could potentially save you thousands. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

Sterling rises as negotiations begin, but will the Pound to Euro rate continue to climb as they continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has edged up today against the Euro as well as against other major currency pairs, making the buying of oversea’s currencies a cheaper proposition than yesterday.

The reason behind the positive movements for the Pound can be put down to the latest updates regarding the Brexit process. It appears that the early stages of the Brexit negotiations are going quite well, which has boosted sentiment surrounding the UK economy moving forward and therefore the Pounds value.

I think that moving forward if the negotiations continue to go relatively smoothly, we can expect to see the Pound begin its recovery from its current levels, especially when when consider how the Pound is trading around historical lows against many currency pairs at the moment.

Against the Euro Sterling has lost around 5 cents over the past month or so, so there’s certainty scope for the currency to gain if things go to plan.

Next week Friday is likely to be once of the busiest days for GBPEUR as GDP data for the UK will be released around 9.30am. The expectations are for 2% annual growth so we’ll see how the currency performs in the wake of the news.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How far could the pound fall against the euro (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 8 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have dropped 6 1/4 cents (5.5%) making a €200,000 purchase £9,250 more expensive.  

The pound has been declining due to Theresa May not winning the UK General election by a majority which has weakened her position as Prime Minister and also her power when negotiating Brexit. This week Brexit negotiations have begun and the PM has already backed tracked and gave the upper hand to the EU by confirming the divorce settlement will have to be decided before trade negotiations begin.

The Bank of England have also been making headline news. Three members of the monetary policy committee surprised the market by voting in favour of hiking interest rates but less than a week later Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney talked down the MPCs decision confirming the Bank of England are not in the position to raise rates.

Looking further ahead I believe the pound could fall further against the euro due to Theresa May remaining under pressure as Prime Minister and Brexit negotiations. It was only 8 months ago when GBPEUR dropped below 1.10 so the scope is there. For euro buyers purchasing sooner rather than later is the safe option. The currency company I work for has the power to undercut any bank or brokerage therefore I would recommend emailing me for a quote drl@currencies.co.uk.

For euro sellers timing is everything. On a daily basis I help clients that have sold property in Europe and are repatriating their euros. With regular market information my clients make informed decisions of when to trade. If you are selling or have sold a property abroad and would like to make the most amount of sterling possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process of using our brokerage drl@currencies.co.uk.

 

Sterling Gains Recced as Afternoon Unfolds (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate begun to recced after reaching a high of 1.14. The boost today came after comments from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Andy Haldane who suggested he will vote for a rate hike later in the year. Haldane is the Bank of England Chief Economist and is considered a key influencer for the group. His comments come a day after Governor Mark Carney announced he doesn’t see a need to start raising rates interest rates just yet.

What the movement today shows is that even a small statement can have major market effects. There was a whole cent difference between the high and the low which on a £100,000 could make you an extra €1000. When the currency markets are this volatile a brokerage can help to protect your interest in the market alerting you to the latest movements.

Quiet end to the week for UK Data

There are no major data releases for the UK for the rest of the week, however do not think that will mean a quiet market. Another Member of the Monetary Policy Committee Kristin Forbes will speak on Friday afternoon which could once again create volatility. Forbes will now be replaced having completed her term on the committee by Silvana Tenreyro. Forbes was considered a hawkish member of the committee and Tenreyro is thought to have more controlled opinions on economic policy.

The chances of an interest hike in the UK within the next few months is unlikely in my opinion. However if inflation continues to rise at the rate it has through the start of 2017 the decision may become forced.

Working for an established brokerage I am able to help you complete any transfers, by offering the best exchange rates. More importantly by fully discussing your requirements and how upcoming events could have an effect on your plans, it could protect you from any market movements. If you do have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Pound to Euro exchange rates set for marginal fall and strong rise next week (Joshua Privett)

When entering the latter part of the month, economics takes a back seat, and as such the rollercoaster of politics will be at the forefront in governing Pound to Euro rates this week.

We begin with the French local elections, the final part of the French election cycle. This will decide whether the new President, Emmanuel Macron, has the majority he needs to govern effectively.

He is proposing a sweeping change to French labour laws and a host of new pro-business policies. This is why his initial election victory saw the Euro gain almost two cents against Sterling. Should a Parliamentary majority form, then it’s likely we will see further Euro strength given his ability to govern effectively will be cemented. Well, as much as French unions will permit.

In any case, polling is today and the result itself should see further Euro strength when markets re-open tomorrow.

However, the UK is also trying to consolidate political stability. There was a delayed announcement for the Conservative-DUP partnership last week, but the initial hints were enough to see the Pound flirst upwards agains the Euro. Confirmation should realise those hinted gains for Euro buyers.

Then their plans for a Government manifesto will have to be voted on in Parliament given that the Conservatives do not have the majority they need to rule as a single party. Furthermore markets are waiting to hear further news on whether a softer Brexit approach will be taken.

Euro sellers may be wise to seize any opportunities created by the French election result tomorrow. Conversely anyone with a GBP/EUR requirement should be monitoring political developments next week in order to give yourself the best opportunity to puchase at any peaks which emerge rather than a trough.

I strongly recommend that anyone with a Euro buying or selling requirement should contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer. I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, so a brief conversation could save you thousands on a prospective transfer.

Sterling rises after Bank of England hints at a rate hike (Joseph Wright)

The Pound appears to have consolidated above 1.14 against the Euro, making the buying Euro rate cheaper for those holding Sterling.

There are current 8 voting members of the BoE and yesterday almost half of them voted in favour of hiking rates, which caused the Pound to jump by over half a cent as soon as the news broke around lunchtime.

The reason behind the Bank of England’s voting members that would like to see a hike is most likely the rising rate of inflation in the UK, which is eating into consumers spending power as wage growth is beginning to stall within the UK.

Raising the interest rate would act to lessen the blow and it’s also a positive for the Pound so I do think we can expect to see the Pound climb if rates are going to rise for the first time in a decade.

Later this morning the Bank of England’s Quarterly Bulletin will be released which could send the markets either way depending on what’s said. If you would like to be kept updated with data releases that can impact your upcoming currency exchange plans do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBPEUR rises due to Bank of England (Dayle Littlejohn)

Earlier in the week UK inflation numbers rose to 2.9%, 0.9% above the Bank of England’s target which gave support for the pound and all eyes turned to today’s Bank of England’s interest rate decision.

Each month members of the Bank of England (8 to be precise), vote to decide whether to hike, keep on hold or cut. This afternoon 3 members voted in favour of raising interest rates which surprised the market and GBPEUR exchange rates increased over a cent and therefore made back some of the losses from the shock UK general election decision. Looking further ahead if inflation levels continue to rise over the next 2 quarters I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Bank of England act.

Its a quiet day for economic data that will have a major impact on GBPEUR exchange rates tomorrow. It has been reported that Brexit negotiations will begin Monday morning which surprises me as Theresa May has not formed a government as of yet. Could this happen tomorrow? Once the government is formed I believe this will provide further strength for the pound and GBPEUR exchange rates will start to rise towards 1.15.

The currency company I work for has won numerous awards for exchange rates therefore it enables me to trade GBPEUR / EURGBP at rates better than other UK brokerages and high street banks.

I would recommend emailing me with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the pound to Euro rate continue to rise?

The pound to Euro rate will continue its volatility in the coming weeks as we get closer to understanding just what type of Government the UK will have in the future. Overall expectations for the future remain unclear as we try to understand what Brexit means and what type of  government the UK will have in the future. It appears a ‘hard Brexit’ is now less likely but with 80% of voters having voted for parties who remain committed to Brexit just what will the future entail? With such uncertainty hanging over the market and the pound the GBPEUR rate does seem very much poised to languish at these lower levels, a move further down cannot be ruled out.

Today is the UK Bank of England decision which could well see some volatility on exchange rates, the general belief we would see UK interest rates rising has been fading and concerns are now rising about the problems in the UK economy form Brexit, the outcome from all of this for the pound is no longer a question. The reality is that the economic conditions in the UK are not meeting expectation and we could be well in line for further falls in the value of the pound.

If you have a transfer to make in the future the outlook on the exchange rate is not looking great for Euro buyers. Euro sellers are now looking at much improved conditions and the market could easily favour further improvements. If you have a transfer to make selling Euros for pounds then the current market should not be taken too much for granted.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I can  provide some insight and information regarding your situation and am very confident I can offer a rate which will save you money.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Buying Euro rates see first signs of life since election result (Joshua Privett)

GBP/EUR has risen half a cent at the time of writing this article due to some very positive economic data in the UK cutting through some of the election noise.

Euro buyers seem to have found some support now that Theresa May has had positive meetings yesterday with her own conservative party, quelling rumours of a potential leadership challenge and painting the picture of a Government on the mend.

This was compounded today with positive murmurings coming from talks between Theresa May and the DUP in the first official steps to forming their informal partnership whilst the next government sits to perform its duties.

The manifesto will still need to be debated in Parliament, and, as such, is not out of the woods yet, and May needs to get a consensus on which features of the manifesto should be revised to meet the surge for opposition support.

For now however, the Pound seems set for improvements. Even the economic sphere is giving Sterling a helping hand.

Today inflation data for the UK economy showed thriving spending activity, pushing price rise rates up close to 3% for the year at 2.9%. Given that 60% of the UK economy is made up from domestic consumerism this is important, but there are also indirect benefits.

On Thursday the UK has its next interest rate decision and monetary policy statement. Given that a high interest rate (and this is high, the Bank of England tends to have a target rate of just 2%) is normally a prompt to raise rates and control spending activity, the UK may see policy lean more towards raising rates in the near term.

Such a move will certainly benefit the Pound’s value.

I am well positioned to assist anyone with a buying or selling Euro currency requirement to time their transfer and stay informed in this fluid marketplace. You can contact me directly on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer and your options.

One final point is that I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, and these current buying levels can be fixed in place for a future requirement you have planned using only a small deposit, eliminating any risk from further currency exchange movements.

GBP/EUR rates see slight fall to continue from Monday afternoon (Joshua Privett)

Sterling to Euro exchange rates have continued their marginal falls from Monday, as contradicting polls and the adjusting markets after the senseless attack over the weekend left markets in an abnormal state.

Initial polls released on Monday morning showed a gain in ground for the Conservatives in the election race, however, this was refuted on Monday afternoon with a competing polls forecasting that the Conservatives would fall far short of its election goals of a majority in Parliament.

Financial markets regularly lament any changes to the status quo, particularly in times of heavy uncertainty, as we are currently seeing with the UK’s Brexit negotiations, then this becomes all the more important.

This morning, the final poll released yesterday which showed this contraction emerged as the key governing factor for exchange rates throughout the day, with Sterling to Euro exchange rates seeing a steady decrease as the morning wore on. GBP/EUR at its peak yesterday hit 1.1530, as it stands it currently resides at 1.1440.

Polls will continue to change in the run up to the vote result, and, as a result, we can expect Sterling to Euro exchange rates to continue to oscillate based on the likelihood of a Conservative majority. I am well placed to assist anyone in timing their transfer in order to secure a competitive rate during this heavily uncertain period.

I have never had an issue securing more competitive exchange rates than what is on offer elsewhere, and these current buying levels can be fixed in place for a future requirement. This is useful if you require currency later on this year, but do not wish to gamble on the election result improving your situation or making your transfer more expensive.

You can contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I am able with a quote and a tailored strategy for any of your upcoming transfers.

Election week is heating up. How will it effect the currency market? (Daniel Johnson)

Labor only 4 points behind the Tories

Labor are now very close in the polls to the conservatives. The latest YouGov poll has a gap of just four points. Historically, during an election the currency in question weakens. As a rule, the more uncertain the outcome, the weaker the currency. The conservatives are deemed as a safer bet for the UK economy than Labor. When the snap election was called we saw Sterling strengthen against the majority of major currencies due the significant lead in the polls. This gap has been cut which is why we have seen the pound drop in value.

If the conservatives gain a majority victory I would expect to see Sterling strengthen. If there is not a majority victory expect further falls for the pound. A hung parliament I would expect to see further falls for the pound. Despite many parties stating they are not willing to form a coalition with particular opposition,I’m sure they will soon change their tunes when they see the opportunity for power. As demonstrated by the Lib Dems in 2010.

If there is a coalition this could cause problems for the pound, parties combined with differing manifestos means getting anything through parliament will be problematic, but the major concern is how this will effect brexit trade negotiations. Potentially, Labor could form a coalition with more than one other party which could be considered worst case scenario for negotiations. I would not expect a pound  recovery in the event of this outcome.

If you have a currency requirement it is absolutely crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker who has traded through similar periods of volatility. We have contract options available that can put you in a position to trade even if your funds are not available, this should definitely be considered for those who are waiting on their Euros to released from other assets. This could be a small window of opportunity.

If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to get back to you within 24hrs with a free, trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you already have a currency provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am very confident I will be able to demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. I look forward to being of help.

 

Sterling to Euro rate continues to trade towards the lower end of its current range, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is continuing to come under pressure as we get closer to the election, especially as a number of prominent opinion polls this week have shown that the lead the Conservatives had is diminishing with some suggesting that they may not win a majority of seats required.

If the option polls are correct we could be looking at another Hung Parliament in the UK which I believe would push the Pound lower and probably back towards the 1.10 mark.

The current trend for the GBPEUR pair is between 1.1350 up to 1.1950 although a couple of times towards the back end of last year the rate did touch 1.10 twice before seeing support.

A steep drop for Sterling is in my opinion likely if a Hung Parliament is announced, and I don’t think that the current UK Prime Minister has done herself many favours this week by not attending the debates between the political rivals in the race for number 10.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the latest market updates do feel free to register your interest with me and I’ll be happy to keep you updated.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Buying Euro rates soften as markets digest news of Manchester attack (Joshua Privett)

Pound to Euro exchange rates had undergone a further softening into the lower 1.15’s amid an anxious climate in the UK following the Manchester Arena bombing last night.

Rates had previously been falling in response to underwhelming data emerging from the UK economy concerning the diminishing potential for a UK interest rate rise.

This was further compounded by comments made by Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, yesterday who stated that the Euro was ‘too weak’ and she would like to see it gain value. These are the kind of comments which cause the short-term rally for the Euro.

However, since then, likely due to the likelihood that the situation in Manchester is contained for now, the pressure on the Pound brought out by apprehension forced by the attack abated, and, as such, GBP/EUR exchange rates were getting very close to 1.1 at the time of writing this article.

However, I would not expect this to continue. As the above suggests the underlying trend before the completely horrific attack yesterday was GBP/EUR negative. Without these being addressed it is likely the Pound will continue to remain pressured in the short-term, so Euro buyers should seriously consider their situation and the sensibility in securing an exchange rate sooner rather than later.

As such anyone with a very short-term requirement to buy Euros may be wise to contact me on 01494 787 478 and ask to be put through to Joshua to discuss a live price for your transfer and avoid being ‘last to the party’.

I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, so a short conversation could save you a healthy sum on your next transfer.

Anyone with a slightly longer term transfer can also contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer in the run up to the election aimed at maximising your currency return.

Terrorist Attack in Manchester (Daniel Johnson)

22 Dead in terrorist attack

Police have now confirmed that 22 people have lost their lives including children and 59 injured after an explosion at an Ariana Grande concert at the Manchester arena. Our thoughts are with all those affected. Terrorist attacks do effect currency, perhaps due to the common occurrence of such atrocities it does not have the same impact as previously. The attack has however contributed to losses for Sterling with GBP/EUR now in the 1.1540s.

UK Election. How will it effect GBP/EUR?

The move to call a snap general election by Theresa May looked to be a shrewd one. Calling an election when the opposition was so weak was thought to almost guarantee a conservative victory. Usually a snap election would cause the currency in question to weaken in value, but on this occasion the opposite occurred. A conservative victory is deemed as positive for the UK economy, investor confidence grew after the announcement and the pound rallied. Since then however the PM has riled her core voters by stating that if the elderly have more than £100k in cash or assets they will pay for their own care. This has caused Corbyn to gain ground on the Conservatives with Labor now only 6 points behind the Tories. Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question. If we look at the last general election we saw volatility very close to the day of the vote. This could create a valuable opportunity for Euro sellers at this election.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is vital to be in touch with an experienced broker in such volatile times. I will be happy to provide a individual trading strategy to suit your needs with no obligation to trade with us. If you would like to get in touch feel free to e-mail me at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

 

 

Pound to Euro exchange rates take another dip following poor inflation figures (Joshua Privett)

Pound to Euro exchange rates have unfortunately taken a further tumble this morning as fears about inflation appear to be manifesting.

There is a very intimate relationship between interest rates and inflation which is why Pound to Euro exchange rates did not fare too well today when it was revealed inflation growth appeared to be ‘petering out’.

Growing inflation is a concern for Central Banks, as this suggests that prices are ‘running away’ from the ability for consumers to buy. A common tool to combat this is to conduct interest rate rises to curb spending by increase the incentive to save – in turn keeping prices lower.

The secondary effect of this is that the Pound tends to get a bit of a boost. If interest rates rise then holding Pound’s produces a higher yield, and this means you should normally see its value rise due to increased demand.

However, inflation is not rising fast enough to justify this, and it has lend credence today with the confirmation of the inflation rate that it is unlikely the UK will be seeing an interest rate hike.

This negative outlook for the Pound fed into markets immediately today, which is why GBP/EUR tumbled to begin today’s trading session when the news came out at 9:30am.

This will likely be the dominant narrative moving forward this week, so Pound to Euro buyers may be wise to move sooner rather than later to avoid a difficult day when buying an upcoming currency requirement.

This will likely dictate Sterling rates for the rest of the week, so anyone planning a transfer can contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer based on the outcome aimed at maximising your currency return, whether this be buying or selling Euros.

I have never had an issue beating the rate of exchange offered elsewhere, so a brief conversation could save you thousands on a prospective transfer.

Pound to Euro rate hits one-week low as Bank of England lowers growth forecast (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has dropped to its lowest level in a week yesterday as data from the disappointed.

The Bank of England (BoE) slashed its growth forecast as yesterday’s quarterly inflation report confirmed that inflation levels within the UK will soon outstrip earnings growth. Sterling has dropped below 1.1850 this morning as the softening of the Pound continues although the currency is still towards the top of the current trading range.

Those considering a Sterling transfer should bear in mind that earlier this week analysts at Lloyds bank downgraded their GBP/EUR price target from 1.18 to 1.16 at the end of 2017. This level is below the Pounds current mid-market value, so it seems that some professionals expect the pound to fall as the year goes on.

I also think that if it surfaces that Brexit negotiations have begun badly, we could see a sell-off for the Pound as the setting up of new trade agreements is likely to be the governments priority as the UK enters a time of uncertainty. Now that economic data is playing a more prominent role in the value of the Pound it’s certainly worth paying a close eye on data releases as they’re impacting Sterling rates to a greater extent than last year when politics played a greater role.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How will the UK General Election effect GBP/EUR? (Daniel Johnson)

Will the Election cause Sterling weakness?

Theresa May announced a snap election to take place on 8th June. Historically a snap election would cause the currency in question to weaken, however on his occasion we saw the opposite occur. Following the announcement Sterling strengthened over the Euro. It is important to remember the market moves on rumour as well as fact. It was a shrewd move by May to announce the election while the opposition is so weak. Due to the conservatives clear lead in the polls, I am of the opinion a conservative victory is already factored into current rates of exchange. I would expect little movement on GBP/EUR if the conservatives win. It is when the unexpected occurs you can expect significant movement on the exchange.

We can use the recent French election as an example. After the first round of voting, the field was broken down to two candidates. Macron and Le Pen. Macron was so dominant after the first round the Euro strengthened due to Macron’s pro EU stance. However, when his victory was confirmed we saw little movement on GBP/EUR.

Super Thursday

Thursday brings the UK interest rate decision. I would be very surprised to see any change. It will be interesting however to look at how the monetary Policy Committee (MPC) votes. The nine members vote on whether there should be any change in interest rates, if a member’s vote changes from last month’s we could see movement on the market as this is an indication a change in monetary policy could be on the cards.

We also have manufacturing data which is expected to show a slight decline, any variation from the prediction could result in volatility.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. I will provide an individual trading strategy with no obligation to trade. If you already have a currency provider let me know what you are being offered and I am confident in showing you a considerable saving. Feel free to contact me at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

 

 

Is the Pound to Euro rate trading at the top of its current trend? (Joseph Wright)

Many of our clients planning a GBP to EUR currency exchange have been waiting for some time for the GBP/EUR rate to exceed 1.20.

The pair have been locked between a wide trading range of 1.10 to 1.20 pretty much since the initial shock of the Brexit vote last June, and on a number of occasions the pair have bounced off of 1.20 as the level appears to be acting as a psychological barrier.

Whilst many are playing the waiting game some have based their trades off of mid-market levels in the high teens such as 1.19 – 1.1950 and so far this appears to be the smartest move.

Interestingly analysts at Lloyds bank have recently stated that they believe the Pound is trading at fair value against the Euro at its current levels, and that they aren’t expecting to see the Pound climb much higher.

Personally I think we will see the Pound to Euro rate test 1.20 once again but I think there will need to be a large weakening of the Euro specifically if we are to see the GBP/EUR pair exceed 1.20.

Later today UK GDP data will be released with 0.4% on a quarterly basis the expectation, so expect any deviations from this level to result in GBP/EUR volatility, and feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated regarding this figure.

 If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will GBPEUR rise or fall on the French elections?

The general impression is that  GBPEUR will rise since the French election offers lots of potential for Euro weakness in the coming months. The overall impression on financial markets is that a Le Pen or Melenchon victory would severely weaken the Euro, with a real chance at least one of these candidates will make it through to the second round after Sunday’s first round vote the single currency could be in for a tough couple of weeks. What happens is very much open to interpretation, nothing should be taken for granted in such uncertain times, however.

The overriding expectation is that the French election will ultimately be won by the more centrist ‘reformer’ Macron. Performing well in the polls the market is expecting he will beat Le Pen in the run-off on the 7th May. If you have a Euro buying requirement the rates on Monday morning could be much improved as the market debates the likelihood of a Le Pen victory.

The pound has been much stronger on the back of the General Election announcement earlier this week for the UK. Most reports have the pound much stronger in the next few weeks as Theresa May cements her position and is able to drive through more reform. A flipside view is that with her relying less on the elements in the Tory party who seek a harder Brexit, she will be forced to create more of a softer Brexit. This is one of the reasons for the pound rising but such elements and expectations can quickly change.

If you are buying or selling the pound and euro in the coming days and weeks the importance of the French election and the continued Brexit fallout shouldn’t be underestimated. With only a few days between the two rounds of the French election Euro buyers might find they are presented with a fresh unique opportunity to buy Euros, the best in 2017 so far.

If you would like some assistance with the timing and planning of any currency transfers please contact the author Jonathan Watson directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk