Tag Archives: Brexit

The number of GBP to EUR parity forecasts increases, will GBP/EUR hit 1.1 by the end of the year? (Joseph Wright)

The talk of Brexit negotiations beginning badly is having an impact on the Pounds value against all major currency pairs, but it appears that the GBP/EUR rate has been the biggest loser in all of this so far.

Recent comments from David Davis, the Brexit secretary have added fuel to the fire after he revealed that Michel Barnier ‘is getting quite cross with us’. Michel Barnier is the EU’s chief negotiator which just goes to show that the UK going to need to get a move on regarding its Brexit negotiation plans.

With there being less likelihood of an interest rate hike this year from the Bank of England now that inflation pressures have subsided there have been a number of major financial institutions forecasting parity between the Pound and the Euro in 2018.

In just the last week, Morgan Stanley, HSBC and now City Index have all made this prediction which gives those planning on making a large GBP to EUR transfer a decision to make as the rate is currently just below 1.10.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding the Pound to Euros price movements do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound fall lower than 1.10 over the next few days? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has remained under pressure against the Euro recently as the negative effects of Brexit appear to be gathering pace.

We are now ten years on from the credit crunch and over 10 years since the Bank of England last raised interest rates in the UK.

Trade Balance figures in the UK yesterday showed a big deficit for June and this is highlighting that the lack of investment and spending by businesses in light of the uncertainty caused by Brexit.

Manufacturing and industrial production data showed a rise but the overwhelming factor is that of Brexit which is causing problems for Sterling Euro exchange rates.

Credit ratings agency Moody’s has recently cut its outlook for consumer debt and has warned that high inflation combined with a falling in wages could cause a large exposure to the debt.

Next week on Tuesday UK inflation data is due out and I think if we see a figure lower than last month’s 2.6% then this could see GBPEUR rates fall below the support level of 1.10 going into the middle of next week.

Therefore, if you’re in the process of buying Euros then it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to secure an exchange rate for a future date with a small deposit.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Euro at 10 month high against the Pound (Tom Holian)

Pound Euro exchange rates have continued to fall this week hitting support levels of 1.10 earlier this afternoon.

The Pound is really struggling caused by the uncertainty of Brexit and the recent downgrading of the UK’s growth forecast for both this year and next.

Earlier on today French Trade Balance came out much better than expected as did their Export figures which further highlighted the strength of the economy in the Eurozone.

Indeed, the Euro is now trading at its best level in almost 18 months against the US Dollar which is good news for anyone holding Euros at the moment.

If you’re in the process of selling a property in Europe but have not yet completed it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date.

This involves paying a small deposit and the remaining balance at a date that works for you. This means you know exactly how much Sterling you will get when the property completes and can be especially useful if you’re concerned as to what may happen to GBPEUR exchange rates in the weeks ahead.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBP/EUR Drops Again During Friday’s Trading (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has come under pressure once again during Friday’s trading, following poor Manufacturing & Industrial Production figures this morning.

With figures well under market expectation, the Pound was under pressure immediately dropping almost a cent at the low to 1.1281.

Despite a recovery during the afternoon following the NIESR Gross Domestic Product (GDP) prediction.

The well-respected think tank has predicted GDP to grow to 0.3% this month, which if it comes to fruition, will show a steady improvement from last month’s reading.

It wasn’t that long ago that the Pound was creeping towards 1.20 but a complete shift in conditions, has seen the EUR gain almost seven cents at its high.

Despite Sterling finding a foothold over recent days, the current climate both politically & economically inside the UK means that any major upturn is unlikely in the short-term.

We can help our clients pin point specific moments to execute their currency exchanges, even when they are battling a falling market.

The current uncertainty surrounding our fragmented government and grave concerns amongst investors regarding how we will facilitate our Brexit, are two of the defining factors driving Sterling’s value at present.

With both of these issues, in particular the long Brexit process, will be resolved in the short-term and as such clients with a GBP/EUR requirement need to be realistic in terms of what they’re targeting on any exchange.

Clients should also consider any bottom lines, in order to protect their positions wherever possible.

There are no guarantees in the currency markets and with so many unanswered questions, let us help you navigate this turbulent market and maximise any currency exchange you need to make.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

 

Will GBPEUR rise or fall in July? Important news for GBPEUR clients….

Since the UK election GBPEUR has only moved 2 cents between the high and the low which some would read as boring, I read as opportunity! Clients looking to buy or sell the pound or Euros following say an overseas property purchase or sale, should be preparing for further volatility on the foreign exchange market that could well present some fresh opportunities to maximise their exchange rate. On a €100,000 sale into sterling a cent at current levels is £750 more in the sellers pocket. We work to highlight improvements on the market to clients in such positions to help them make an informed choice about when to execute their exchange.

If you have a transfer to consider buying or selling Euros for pounds getting the timing on your exchange correct is critical to getting the most for your money. With GBPEUR having been trapped in a range between 1.1270 and 1.1468 there has not been much opportunity for either Euro buyers or sellers to capitalise. I have many of my clients who need to buy Euros for an overseas property purchase or to pay business Invoices holding off expecting the rate to recover. And too, many of my Euro sellers are also holding off expecting the pound to crash!

With so many different potential outcomes from the rates being prepared is vital to capitalise on spikes or to limit any losses. A very popular contract type at present is a limit order whereby we look to automatically purchase a currency for you if we do get to a certain level. Popular Limits buying Euros are at 1.15 currently.

If you have a transaction to consider in the future then making some plans in advance is crucial to getting the best deals. We can very easily set up one of these orders to help limit your exposure and maximise the return.

For more information on the GBPEUR forecast and the best way to maximise your rate please speak to me Jonathan Watson to get a full overview and discuss strategy. Please email jmw@currencies.co.uk with an overview of your position to get the latest news and updates.

Brexit talks and the impact on Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

We are now a year on since the Brexit vote when the British public voted to leave the European Union and during this time we have seen huge losses for the Pound against the Euro.

As yet we are no clearer as to whether the UK will opt for a soft or a hard Brexit. Clearly in the interests of the UK and the Pound a soft Brexit would be preferred but this could take a very long time from coming to fruition.

Yesterday, Theresa May was in Brussels speaking about the subject of Brexit and she has suggested that the UK will maintain the rights of EU nationals living in the UK of which there are over 3 million.

The issue though is that the EU has not yet discussed a reciprocal arrangement and that is why the Pound has had a difficult end to the week.

As yet the Tories have still yet to from an alliance with the DUP which is necessary in order to form a majority government.

I think we are only a few days from this happening and when it does take place I expect the Pound to rise against the Euro but I think the gains will be short lived so if you need to buy Euros keep a close eye on the political situation in the UK.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you. I have worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 and I’m confident of being able to offer you better rates when buying currency as well as helping you with various contract types.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

How far could the pound fall against the euro (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 8 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have dropped 6 1/4 cents (5.5%) making a €200,000 purchase £9,250 more expensive.  

The pound has been declining due to Theresa May not winning the UK General election by a majority which has weakened her position as Prime Minister and also her power when negotiating Brexit. This week Brexit negotiations have begun and the PM has already backed tracked and gave the upper hand to the EU by confirming the divorce settlement will have to be decided before trade negotiations begin.

The Bank of England have also been making headline news. Three members of the monetary policy committee surprised the market by voting in favour of hiking interest rates but less than a week later Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney talked down the MPCs decision confirming the Bank of England are not in the position to raise rates.

Looking further ahead I believe the pound could fall further against the euro due to Theresa May remaining under pressure as Prime Minister and Brexit negotiations. It was only 8 months ago when GBPEUR dropped below 1.10 so the scope is there. For euro buyers purchasing sooner rather than later is the safe option. The currency company I work for has the power to undercut any bank or brokerage therefore I would recommend emailing me for a quote drl@currencies.co.uk.

For euro sellers timing is everything. On a daily basis I help clients that have sold property in Europe and are repatriating their euros. With regular market information my clients make informed decisions of when to trade. If you are selling or have sold a property abroad and would like to make the most amount of sterling possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process of using our brokerage drl@currencies.co.uk.

 

Queen’s Speech set to cause swings on GBP/EUR (Daniel Johnson)

Could a firm Government cause a Pound rally

Today at 11.30am we will see the state opening of parliament and the Queen’s speech. This had been delayed as the conservatives and the DUP attempt to put a coalition deal together. There has been rumors the negotiations have been problematic with the DUP stating conservative negotiators have been poor. Let us hope this is not a sign of things  to come considering Brexit negotiations have just begun.

Political uncertainty historically weakens the currency in question and the current situation is a clear demonstration of what a country without a government does to the value of the currency in question. There is also in house troubles within the Tory party with senior conservative members giving eight days for Theresa May to prove her credential as PM or risk a leadership challenge. If her stance is changed on hard Brexit we could well see this occur. This could happen as the DUP wish to have a soft border between Northern Ireland and Southern Ireland, this would go against May’s plans for a hard borders which would be a feature in a hard Brexit. We are currently in political limbo and many are expecting Sterling to rise in value once we have a government in place. Although this is definitely a probable outcome I am of the opinion a conservative-DUP government is already factored into current exchange rates. The big market mover will be which course of action the government will take in regards to a hard or soft Brexit.

If you have a currency requirement and would like the assistance of a skilled broker feel free to get in touch. If you let me the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a free, individual trading strategy. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. (Daniel Johnson)

Brexit talks begin and the impact for Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

The Brexit negotiations have now finally begun after the triggering of Article 50 many weeks ago. We are also almost one year on from the vote to leave the European Union which caused the Pound to plummet by almost 15 cents and as yet it is still not clear whether the UK will opt for a hard or a soft Brexit.

As yet the Conservatives have failed to reach an agreement with the DUP but to me this is just a matter of time. The importance of this arrangement could be key to the Brexit talks as the Irish border is clearly an enormous issue so it could be argued that the DUP could be integral for a softer Brexit.

It is going to take months before a clear picture as to how Brexit will pan out but in the short term I would be surprised to see this have any positive effect when it comes to Sterling vs the Euro.

My reasoning is that there are 27 member states that want to keep the European Union together compared to just the UK so for me I think the talks will be rather difficult as well as protracted which surely cannot help the Pound vs the Euro.

Therefore, if you are looking to buy Euros it may be worth organising this in the short term.

 

Having worked in the foreign exchange markets since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates compared to using your own bank but also help you with the timing of your transfer of currency.

If you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros and would like to save money then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Sterling Under Pressure Ahead of BoE Interest Rate Decision (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling remains under pressure, despite a slight upturn following yesterday’s positive inflation data.

GBP/EUR rates hit a high of 1.1407, before retracting following some positive Eurozone employment data. The UK also had its official Unemployment rate released, with the figure of 4.6% coming out as expected.

The markets focus will now turn to tomorrow’s key data releases. UK Retail Sales and the Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision & subsequent minutes will take centre stage. Those clients holding Sterling will hoping for a marked improvement on the UK’s economic outlook, with last week’s general election results still handicapping any major advances for the Pound.

However, EUR sellers should also proceed with caution. Any deal between UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s led Conservative party and the unknown and somewhat controversial DUP party could bring with it some political stability and this could help alleviate some of the pressure on Sterling.

Now could be the perfect opportunity to sell any short-term EUR positions and remove any uncertain ty from this extremely fragile and unpredictable market.

The current market is proving increasingly difficult to dissect and as such I am of the opinion that clients both buying and selling GBP/EUR should be looking for short-term opportunities.

On-going concerns regarding our Brexit negotiations are also weighing heavily on investors’ minds and with confidence in are fragmented government hitting new lows over the past few days, I would not be prepared to gamble on which direction GBP/EUR rates may take next.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

UK Braces Itself for Election Day – How will GBP/EUR Rates React to the Result? (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have remained marooned under 1.15 during Wednesday’s trading, ahead of tomorrow’s UK general election.

With recent polls suggesting the Corbyn led Labour party have gained some momentum, the key question now is what is the likely result and how with the markets react to the final outcome?

Whilst the result seems to be more uncertain over recent days, the Pound did find some support earlier this week. It gained over a cent against the EUR following a tough run over the past week.

The markets have been gearing themselves up towards tomorrow’s key vote and it has been the election and the subsequent outcome, which has been shaping GBP/EUR exchange rates over recent weeks.

Investors had clearly factored in a Conservative majority victory but since reports of a 20-point lead last month, each subsequent poll has indicated a decreasing advantage. This in turn has caused investors to panic, with the result being a sell-off of large Sterling positions and a downturn in the Pound’s value.

I’m extremely wary about pre-election polls, especially after last year’s UK referendum and US election results. However, with strong indications that a hung parliament is now a very real possibility, are you prepared to gamble on the result if you have a short-term Sterling currency exchange to mate?

Personally, I feel that the Pound is fighting an on-going uphill battle and any short-term improvements should be protected wherever feasible. Even a strong Conservative victory will only boost the Pound back to the levels we saw a couple of weeks ago, which have already proved unsustainable over recent months.

Looking beyond Thursdays vote and the UK economy still has many issues to content with. The Brexit negotiations have not even started and seemed to have hit a wall, whilst UK growth forecasts for next year and beyond have shrunk.

I still feel based on current market conditions that the downside risk outweighs the current upside gains and for this reason I would be removing as much risk as possible from the current market.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling to Euro rate continues to trade towards the lower end of its current range, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is continuing to come under pressure as we get closer to the election, especially as a number of prominent opinion polls this week have shown that the lead the Conservatives had is diminishing with some suggesting that they may not win a majority of seats required.

If the option polls are correct we could be looking at another Hung Parliament in the UK which I believe would push the Pound lower and probably back towards the 1.10 mark.

The current trend for the GBPEUR pair is between 1.1350 up to 1.1950 although a couple of times towards the back end of last year the rate did touch 1.10 twice before seeing support.

A steep drop for Sterling is in my opinion likely if a Hung Parliament is announced, and I don’t think that the current UK Prime Minister has done herself many favours this week by not attending the debates between the political rivals in the race for number 10.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the latest market updates do feel free to register your interest with me and I’ll be happy to keep you updated.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Macron wins but Euro remains flat against the Pound (Tom Holian)

Emmanuel Macron has been confirmed as the new President of France with a convincing win over the more controversial candidate Marine Le Pen.

What make this interesting in terms of the currency markets is that this has done little to move the Euro vs the Pound and if anything we have seen GBPEUR exchange rates make gains since the start of the week.

Tomorrow morning there is a host of economic data due out from Germany in the form of Industrial Production data as well as Trade Balance. As Germany is the leading economy in the Eurozone any data can affect GBPEUR exchange rates.

The focus is now likely to return to what is happening politically in the UK and with the general election due to take place a month from today I think we could see the Pound make some gains in the weeks ahead as it appears as though the Tories will win with a clear majority at the moment.

If this happens this could provide the UK with more stability which means Theresa May will be able to start progressing the Brexit negotiations.

Therefore, if you’re in the process of looking to sell Euros during this month it may be worth looking at a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate with a small deposit for a future date.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your transfer. 

If you have a currency transfer to make involving buying Euros or selling Euros and would like further information or a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Could Tough Brexit Negotiations Halt Sterling’s Rise? (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound has enjoyed a positive run against the EUR of late but has found resistance around the current levels over recent days.

With the pair now trading around 1.18, having hit a high of over 1.19 over the past couple of weeks, it indicates that the EUR is finding a lot of support under 1.20.

As regular readers will know this is a key resistance level on the pair and I certainly feel we need to see another shift in market sentiment, in order for the Pound to break through this.

Whilst the EUR has come under pressure ahead of the French elections, with the markets fearing a far right Le Pen victory, this scenario looks to becoming less and less likely. Whilst I’m wary about reading too much into poll numbers following last year’s surprising Brexit result and Trump’s victory in the US elections, I do feel that a Macron win on Sunday will help to solidify the single currencies positon.

The Pound found support following the announcement of a UK general election in June and the likely result of a Conservative victory, bringing an element of stability to the markets due to the continuity it will bring over the coming years. However, this positive spike seems to have cooled somewhat and based on some worrying reports this week, in regards to the UK’s Brexit negotiations and how tough they are likely to be, are you prepared to risk losing the gains made for Sterling over the past month?

My overall feeling has been that clients holding the Pound should be looking for short-term market opportunities, rather than hold out for long-term sustainable gains whilst so much uncertainty around the UK economy remains.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May has come out fighting this week, in response to reports that the UK has little understanding of how the EU works if it thinks it will be getting a good deal in regards to our Brexit. Whilst political jostling could account for a portion of this, I do feel we are in for a rocky road over the coming months. As such I would be looking to protect any GBP/EUR requirement, rather than gamble on an extremely uncertain market.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

1.20 Still a Key Resistance Level for GBP/EUR Exchange Rates (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has met resistance under 1.20 against the EUR and is struggling to break through this key level for the pair.

Despite this week’s positive move, I am not convinced that the recent trend will allow the Pound to sustainably move above this threshold.

Sterling has gained over two cents following UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s decision to call a snap general election in June. This positive move went against the grain, as historically any political U-turns usually bring with it a level of uncertainty and the currency in question is put under pressure. As regular readers will know any economic & political uncertainty is a currencies biggest downfall and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of Sterling’s gains over the past 48 hours.

There are still many unanswered questions and despite many assuming the result of the election is a forgone conclusion, last year’s political outcomes in terms of the Brexit result and President Trump’s victory, should head a warning to us all that the expected outcome does not always come to fruition.

There is no doubt Sterling has gained a foothold and EUR sellers may well have missed the opportune time to sell their positions but the current levels remain attractive, certainly when you consider the history on the pair.

The main talking point over the next few of weeks is likely to centre around the French elections and with the far right Marine Le Penn once again gaining support, having seemingly been out of the race, investors are likely to be extremely wary about what the outcome could be should she get into power. With so much economic and political uncertainty across the Eurozone region are you prepared to gamble on a seismic shift in market conditions, which would be needed to significantly boost the EUR value in my opinion.

My overall opinion is that both buyers and sellers should be looking at short-term market opportunities to secure their transfers, rather than gamble on the long-term outcome whilst so much uncertainty surrounding the UK & Eurozone economies remains.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling hits an 8-day high against the Euro as French Presidency fears hit the single currency (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro rate exceeded 1.1750 yesterday afternoon and the pair have held strong above this level so far, as at the time of writing the pair are still trading above this level at the mid-market level.

What’s also interesting to see is that today’s low so far is 1.1756 which indicates to me that there could be support for the pair at this level.

With Sterling gaining slowly since the official start to the Brexit process it appears that the currency has hit its lowest level and it’s now on the recovery, which many within financial markets suggesting that the Brexit has been priced into the Pounds value.

What may help the Pound make additional gains against the Euro later this month is the French Presidential election. There have been fears and hedged bets against the Euro as there’s a chance far-right candidate Marine Le Pen could perform better than many are expecting. This would likely result in Euro weakness due to her plans for a Frexit, but over the past week the increasing popularity of far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon has also weighed on the Euros value due to his views on tax tariffs.

Now that Brexit is underway economic data is playing a more prominent role in the currency fluctuations involving the Pound, so if you’re planning on making a currency exchange involving the pound and another currency do feel free to get in touch regarding these events.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

 

Will the pound rise or fall tomorrow against the Euro? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Since the UK public voted out of the European Union the financial investors have been unsure whether UK would actually leave or if another referendum would take place. After a High Court ruling, a Supreme Court ruling and some other stumbling blocks UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to trigger Article 50 tomorrow morning.

For euro sellers buying pounds this could be the spike in the market that you have waited for as I believe exchange rates will drop 1-2% in your favour. We are expecting a busy day on the market and I will have to use my time wisely however if you are looking to transfer your euros into sterling and want to achieve the best rates tomorrow feel free to email me directly with your contact details. I will give you a call first thing tomorrow morning to run through the process and a strategy to maximise your returns drl@currencies.co.uk.

For euro buyers, I hope you have purchased when the market increased to the higher teens, however if you haven’t again you can email me and I will call you first thing to secure your currency before the Prime Minister makes the announcement or another strategy would be to sit back and ride it out as the French election towards the end of April could provide opportunity. Anti EU Marine Le Pen has gained momentum in the last 3 months ans is neck and neck with pro EU Macron. If Le Pen managed to get into power we could see another country holding a referendum in regards to EU membership

With all of the articles I write, I normally state that I will respond via email however as inquiries are coming think and fast, I will only be replying to clients in the form of a call tomorrow. Therefore if you do not provide your telephone number do not expect an email until Thursday morning drl@currencies.co.uk.

Enjoy your evening and I look forward to speaking with you tomorrow morning.

 

Markets Ready Themselves for Article 50! – How will Sterling React? (Matthew Vassallo)

As we enter a week in which history will be made, now is the time to consider any short-term GBP/EUR currency requirements.

On Wednesday UK Prime Minister Theresa May will trigger Article 50, which will officially start the process of the UK leaving the EU. This seismic event has never been witnessed before as the UK will be the first nation to leave the single member state, with the outcome of this having been debated for months on end.

Whilst we will not know whether this was the correct decision or not for years to come, what we do know is an element of certainty will return to the markets. Due to the fact UK’s cards will finally being laid on the table, the question now is whether  the Pound can actually benefit as a result?

I think its poignant that the Pound actually received some support following Theresa May’s announcement last week that the bill would finally be triggered this Wednesday and as such, personally, I am not anticipating a major retraction for the Pound following the event. Of course, a downturn is possible, especially when you consider how much negativity has surrounded the whole event since last year’s referendum. but my feeling is that much of that negativity has been factored into the current GBP/EUR rates.

Regardless of personal opinion I feel the markets will be somewhat relieved when this bill is invoked, as it will remove any remaining uncertainty surrounding the issue. Yes, we still have a long road ahead but hopefully as we move beyond next Wednesday the markets will refocus and assuming there are no nasty surprises around the corner, the Pound has far more chance of a sustainable recovery in my opinion.

If you have an upcoming Sterling or Euro currency transfer to make, then we can help you navigate this turbulent market by keeping clients up to speed with all the latest developments regarding Brexit and beyond.

If you would like us to monitor the market for you ahead of a currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me directly on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

How will the Invocation of Article 50 effect GBP/EUR? (Daniel Johnson)

Could we see Sterling strength?

I feel my opinion on this one is slightly controversial, I am going against the grain. I think that once the dust settles Sterling will sit in a better position than we sit now (1.16). I would not expect significant gains however.

The market moves on rumour as well as fact. We see big swings on the exchange when something unforeseen occurs. The triggering of Article 50 is a certainty and we know the date it will occur, Wednesday 29th March. I think this is already factored into current buoyancy levels on GBP/EUR.

When to move GBP – EUR

Despite my prediction, I would not perform my entire trade after the event. I would move in tranches, maybe 30% – 40% before hand in order to protect myself from potential losses. I had several clients during the Brexit vote last year convinced we would remain and Sterling would rally, rather than move in tranches, they put all their eggs in one basket. When results came through some clients found their property purchases had become tens of thousands more expensive.

There is bound to be volatility, many seven figure investors are waiting for this event before pushing the button.

If you are holding Euros I would not procrastinate too long, I think the single currency could be in for a rough year. There are two general elections within the Eurozone this year, both of which could see a far-right party gain power, which would result in a referendum. We have already seen the damage caused to Sterling by a referendum. Also keep in mind Italian banks’ bad loans now above the €360bn mark and Greek debt and we could see big falls in Euro value.

If you would like my assistance with your currency requirements I will be happy to help. I will provide an indivdual trading strategy to suit your needs and also provide a comparison against your current provider. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

What impact could Article 50 have on Sterling? (Tom Holian)

There are a lot of mixed opinions as to what could happen to Pound Euro exchange rates in the weeks ahead once Article 50 has finally been triggered.

As yet no formal date has been announced so we still do not know exactly when this will happen. However, according to Brexit secretary David David it will happen before the end of the month.

With Royal Assent having now been granted then the UK government could trigger it any day now so why delay?

In my opinion the government is stalling as it still does not yet know what it will do when formal negotiations start.

What is for sure is that 2 years of uncertainty will be facing the UK and if negotiations get off to a bad start then we could see huge problems ahead for the Pound.

When you look at what happened immediately following the Brexit vote back in June last year the Pound saw its biggest single daily loss in history against the Euro as well as against all other major currencies.

The uncertainty caused by what happened had a huge negative effect on Sterling exchange rates.

This time round things are likely to be slightly different however I do expect to see a huge amount of volatility coming in the direction for Sterling.

It has never been more important to be prepared for such uncertainty on GBPEUR exchange rates so if you would like further information about how I can save you money compared to using a bank when converting Euros then contact me directly.

Having seen what happened with Brexit last year anything could happen in the next fortnight. 

If you would like a free quote then contact me directly with a brief outline of what you need to do including the volume and timescale involved and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk