Tag Archives: buy euros

Mark Carney Delivers Boost For Sterling (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate touched 1.14 after a 1.5 cent boost as Mark Carney delivered hope of an interest rate hike this year. The Bank of England two weeks ago voted 5-3 in favour of holding rates but it was the first time in 7 years that 3 voted for a hike. With inflation on the charge then the bank could be forced into making a decision soon.

Governor Mark Carney also stressed that he would have no choice but to consider tapering back the current economic stimulus. The bank currently purchase billions of pounds worth of bonds through quanitivativ easing and there’s hope this may slow down. This will be seen a positive for the UK economy and could have a significant effect on Sterling.

What today’s events go to show is how fast the currency markets can move. There has been enormous pressure on Sterling following the UK election and general uncertainty with the Brexit negotiations. This led to Sterling falling to the low 1.12’s this morning, however in the space of 4 hours the rate jumped 1% into the 1.14’s

How can you capitalise on movements?

The speed of the market movement today signifies how hard it can be to make sure you exchange currency at the correct time. Working for a brokerage I am able to help you set rate alerts as notifications. Furthermore set a limit order that means your currency could be automatically bought at your desired level even if the market only reaches the level for a few seconds.

Over the next few days I think it will be unlikely that sterling will find to much more support, however if there was to be a jump into the mid 1.14’s that would see the market at a 2 week high. If you do have a currency requirement and would like to ask any questions about the information above, please don’t hesitate to send me an email at brf@currencies.co.uk.

A stable government is needed for a Pound rally (Daniel Johnson)

Theresa May’s position has now been brought into question following her call for a snap election and the aftermath. Her decision to call an election when the opposition seemed so weak back fired when the conservatives failed to win a majority victory. Attacking tory core voters was deemed a poor move by senior conservative members. The PM’s stance on Brexit is causing much unrest, with the DUP now in place alongside the conservatives it has been rumored we could be moving towards a softer Brexit. If her stance changes she could be ousted from her position, This could well cause further political uncertainty and could cause the pound to weaken further as investors lose confidence.

For Sterling to rally it is vital a stable government is in place.

Keep a close eye on Brexit negotiations as they unfold this will be key to GBP/EUR buoyancy levels moving forward. The magnitude of these talks should not be underestimated, they are the most important talks for Britain in the last 50 years. Many have the opinion these negotiations could take far longer than the two year target. I think this could well be the case when you take into account the quickest negotiation for the US and another country took four years.

It is important to take into account if that if Brussels choose to play hard ball it could be detrimental to all those involved. Britain is one of the largest economies in Europe, the cost to other countries would be substantial if trade laws become problematic. Germany would be particularly effected when you look at the amount exports to the UK. The car industry would definitely be an area hit.This could cause negotiations to go through more quickly than anticipated, although the two year target still seems unrealistic.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a trading strategy to suit your needs. If you have a current provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am confident I can demonstrate a considerable saving. It will only take a few minutes and could potentially save you thousands. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

GBP EUR Falls After Mario Draghi Statement (James Lovick)

The pound has fallen sharply against the Euro today with rates falling to a low of 1.1281. Bank of England governor Mark Carney spoke earlier today although it was European Central Bank President Mario Draghi’s comments which stole the headlines. We will hear more from Mark Carney tomorrow which could result in some market reaction for the pound.

An upbeat speech from Mario Draghi however helped strengthen the Euro and his comments were very EU friendly. This is a taste of what he said “Political winds are becoming tailwinds. There is newfound confidence in the reform process and newfound support for European cohesion, which could help unleash pent-up demand and investment. The positive rhetoric helped see the Euro rally in afternoon trading and could see further gains going forward.

Thursday sees consumer and industrial confidence in the EU which could help drive the Euro higher on a positive outlook. However it is Thursday that sees the vote in the House of Commons which could see major volatility for sterling Euro exchange rates. Clients looking to buy Euros would be wise to get in touch to consider your options as there could be some welcome opportunities made available.

News that Scottish Nationalist Party leader Nicola Sturgeon has shelved another independence referendum has helped support the pound but this was not seen against the Euro.

Friday however sees key UK Gross Domestic Product figures which have the potential to cause a stir at the end of the week. Any weakening could see GBP EUR fall further.

If you would like further information on Canadian dollar exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Brexit talks and the impact on Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

We are now a year on since the Brexit vote when the British public voted to leave the European Union and during this time we have seen huge losses for the Pound against the Euro.

As yet we are no clearer as to whether the UK will opt for a soft or a hard Brexit. Clearly in the interests of the UK and the Pound a soft Brexit would be preferred but this could take a very long time from coming to fruition.

Yesterday, Theresa May was in Brussels speaking about the subject of Brexit and she has suggested that the UK will maintain the rights of EU nationals living in the UK of which there are over 3 million.

The issue though is that the EU has not yet discussed a reciprocal arrangement and that is why the Pound has had a difficult end to the week.

As yet the Tories have still yet to from an alliance with the DUP which is necessary in order to form a majority government.

I think we are only a few days from this happening and when it does take place I expect the Pound to rise against the Euro but I think the gains will be short lived so if you need to buy Euros keep a close eye on the political situation in the UK.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you. I have worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 and I’m confident of being able to offer you better rates when buying currency as well as helping you with various contract types.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

How far could the pound fall against the euro (Dayle Littlejohn)

Over the last 8 weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have dropped 6 1/4 cents (5.5%) making a €200,000 purchase £9,250 more expensive.  

The pound has been declining due to Theresa May not winning the UK General election by a majority which has weakened her position as Prime Minister and also her power when negotiating Brexit. This week Brexit negotiations have begun and the PM has already backed tracked and gave the upper hand to the EU by confirming the divorce settlement will have to be decided before trade negotiations begin.

The Bank of England have also been making headline news. Three members of the monetary policy committee surprised the market by voting in favour of hiking interest rates but less than a week later Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney talked down the MPCs decision confirming the Bank of England are not in the position to raise rates.

Looking further ahead I believe the pound could fall further against the euro due to Theresa May remaining under pressure as Prime Minister and Brexit negotiations. It was only 8 months ago when GBPEUR dropped below 1.10 so the scope is there. For euro buyers purchasing sooner rather than later is the safe option. The currency company I work for has the power to undercut any bank or brokerage therefore I would recommend emailing me for a quote drl@currencies.co.uk.

For euro sellers timing is everything. On a daily basis I help clients that have sold property in Europe and are repatriating their euros. With regular market information my clients make informed decisions of when to trade. If you are selling or have sold a property abroad and would like to make the most amount of sterling possible feel free to email me with a brief description and I will respond with the process of using our brokerage drl@currencies.co.uk.

 

Sterling Gains Recced as Afternoon Unfolds (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate begun to recced after reaching a high of 1.14. The boost today came after comments from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Andy Haldane who suggested he will vote for a rate hike later in the year. Haldane is the Bank of England Chief Economist and is considered a key influencer for the group. His comments come a day after Governor Mark Carney announced he doesn’t see a need to start raising rates interest rates just yet.

What the movement today shows is that even a small statement can have major market effects. There was a whole cent difference between the high and the low which on a £100,000 could make you an extra €1000. When the currency markets are this volatile a brokerage can help to protect your interest in the market alerting you to the latest movements.

Quiet end to the week for UK Data

There are no major data releases for the UK for the rest of the week, however do not think that will mean a quiet market. Another Member of the Monetary Policy Committee Kristin Forbes will speak on Friday afternoon which could once again create volatility. Forbes will now be replaced having completed her term on the committee by Silvana Tenreyro. Forbes was considered a hawkish member of the committee and Tenreyro is thought to have more controlled opinions on economic policy.

The chances of an interest hike in the UK within the next few months is unlikely in my opinion. However if inflation continues to rise at the rate it has through the start of 2017 the decision may become forced.

Working for an established brokerage I am able to help you complete any transfers, by offering the best exchange rates. More importantly by fully discussing your requirements and how upcoming events could have an effect on your plans, it could protect you from any market movements. If you do have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me at brf@currencies.co.uk

Will the Brexit negotiations cause problems for the Pound? (Tom Holian)

Sterling against the Euro has been struggling recently owing to what is happening politically and at the time of writing this article the Tories have yet to form an agreement with the DUP. Indeed, when the government had to form a coalition previously it took 20 days to organise.

As we go into next week the Brexit negotiations will start which is almost 12 months to the day since the vote to leave the European Union.

As there is no current majority government there has been no confirmation whether the UK will opt for a hard or a soft Brexit and until this issue is sorted I think the Pound will struggle against the Euro.

We saw a brief recovery in GBPEUR exchange rates on Thursday when the Bank of England confirmed a 5-3 split in favour of keeping interest rates on hold.  This surprise revelation helped to provide the Pound with some small gains vs the single currency but to me I think the gains will be short lived.

Therefore, if you need to send money to Europe it may be worth taking advantage of the current rates. If you don’t have the full amount of money available at the moment it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

Having worked in the foreign exchange markets since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates compared to using your own bank but also help you with the timing of your transfer of currency.

If you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros and would like to save money then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Sterling rises after Bank of England hints at a rate hike (Joseph Wright)

The Pound appears to have consolidated above 1.14 against the Euro, making the buying Euro rate cheaper for those holding Sterling.

There are current 8 voting members of the BoE and yesterday almost half of them voted in favour of hiking rates, which caused the Pound to jump by over half a cent as soon as the news broke around lunchtime.

The reason behind the Bank of England’s voting members that would like to see a hike is most likely the rising rate of inflation in the UK, which is eating into consumers spending power as wage growth is beginning to stall within the UK.

Raising the interest rate would act to lessen the blow and it’s also a positive for the Pound so I do think we can expect to see the Pound climb if rates are going to rise for the first time in a decade.

Later this morning the Bank of England’s Quarterly Bulletin will be released which could send the markets either way depending on what’s said. If you would like to be kept updated with data releases that can impact your upcoming currency exchange plans do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBPEUR rises due to Bank of England (Dayle Littlejohn)

Earlier in the week UK inflation numbers rose to 2.9%, 0.9% above the Bank of England’s target which gave support for the pound and all eyes turned to today’s Bank of England’s interest rate decision.

Each month members of the Bank of England (8 to be precise), vote to decide whether to hike, keep on hold or cut. This afternoon 3 members voted in favour of raising interest rates which surprised the market and GBPEUR exchange rates increased over a cent and therefore made back some of the losses from the shock UK general election decision. Looking further ahead if inflation levels continue to rise over the next 2 quarters I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Bank of England act.

Its a quiet day for economic data that will have a major impact on GBPEUR exchange rates tomorrow. It has been reported that Brexit negotiations will begin Monday morning which surprises me as Theresa May has not formed a government as of yet. Could this happen tomorrow? Once the government is formed I believe this will provide further strength for the pound and GBPEUR exchange rates will start to rise towards 1.15.

The currency company I work for has won numerous awards for exchange rates therefore it enables me to trade GBPEUR / EURGBP at rates better than other UK brokerages and high street banks.

I would recommend emailing me with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP EUR Climbing as Government Deal is Expected Imminently (James Lovick)

GBP EUR has seen a small recovery as the expectation of a deal between the Conservative Party and Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is expected imminently. This move should bring some confidence to the markets and already some of this positive news is beginning to be priced into the exchange rate.

The Queens speech could create a huge amount of additional volatility as Jeremy Corbyn is expected to make an amendment to it and may try to vote it down which could see additional volatility for the pound. However it is most likely that a deal will be done keeping Theresa May in place as Prime Minister.

UK inflation data yesterday which arrived at 2.9% also helped lift the pound as the prospect of an interest rate increase in the not too distant future is becoming a reality. The Bank of England meet tomorrow and there could be a swing in the votes with another member calling for a hike at this meeting. Whilst no change is expected the minutes of the meeting are likely to give clues as to where future policy is heading and there could be a big market reaction to it.

The Spanish banking sector has come back under the spotlight after Banco Popular had a run on it by its savers which forced a rescue by Santander. Clients looking to sell Euros and bring them back to Blighty away from Spain would be wise to consider taking advantage of the excellent trading levels which are currently available. The pound could see healthy gains after a new government is formally announced and may present win opportunity for those clients that need to buy Euros.

If you would like further information on Euro exchange rates or any of the major currencies and to discuss how we can assist then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for James. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on jll@currencies.co.uk

Buying Euro rates see first signs of life since election result (Joshua Privett)

GBP/EUR has risen half a cent at the time of writing this article due to some very positive economic data in the UK cutting through some of the election noise.

Euro buyers seem to have found some support now that Theresa May has had positive meetings yesterday with her own conservative party, quelling rumours of a potential leadership challenge and painting the picture of a Government on the mend.

This was compounded today with positive murmurings coming from talks between Theresa May and the DUP in the first official steps to forming their informal partnership whilst the next government sits to perform its duties.

The manifesto will still need to be debated in Parliament, and, as such, is not out of the woods yet, and May needs to get a consensus on which features of the manifesto should be revised to meet the surge for opposition support.

For now however, the Pound seems set for improvements. Even the economic sphere is giving Sterling a helping hand.

Today inflation data for the UK economy showed thriving spending activity, pushing price rise rates up close to 3% for the year at 2.9%. Given that 60% of the UK economy is made up from domestic consumerism this is important, but there are also indirect benefits.

On Thursday the UK has its next interest rate decision and monetary policy statement. Given that a high interest rate (and this is high, the Bank of England tends to have a target rate of just 2%) is normally a prompt to raise rates and control spending activity, the UK may see policy lean more towards raising rates in the near term.

Such a move will certainly benefit the Pound’s value.

I am well positioned to assist anyone with a buying or selling Euro currency requirement to time their transfer and stay informed in this fluid marketplace. You can contact me directly on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer and your options.

One final point is that I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, and these current buying levels can be fixed in place for a future requirement you have planned using only a small deposit, eliminating any risk from further currency exchange movements.

GBP/EUR rates see slight fall to continue from Monday afternoon (Joshua Privett)

Sterling to Euro exchange rates have continued their marginal falls from Monday, as contradicting polls and the adjusting markets after the senseless attack over the weekend left markets in an abnormal state.

Initial polls released on Monday morning showed a gain in ground for the Conservatives in the election race, however, this was refuted on Monday afternoon with a competing polls forecasting that the Conservatives would fall far short of its election goals of a majority in Parliament.

Financial markets regularly lament any changes to the status quo, particularly in times of heavy uncertainty, as we are currently seeing with the UK’s Brexit negotiations, then this becomes all the more important.

This morning, the final poll released yesterday which showed this contraction emerged as the key governing factor for exchange rates throughout the day, with Sterling to Euro exchange rates seeing a steady decrease as the morning wore on. GBP/EUR at its peak yesterday hit 1.1530, as it stands it currently resides at 1.1440.

Polls will continue to change in the run up to the vote result, and, as a result, we can expect Sterling to Euro exchange rates to continue to oscillate based on the likelihood of a Conservative majority. I am well placed to assist anyone in timing their transfer in order to secure a competitive rate during this heavily uncertain period.

I have never had an issue securing more competitive exchange rates than what is on offer elsewhere, and these current buying levels can be fixed in place for a future requirement. This is useful if you require currency later on this year, but do not wish to gamble on the election result improving your situation or making your transfer more expensive.

You can contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I am able with a quote and a tailored strategy for any of your upcoming transfers.

Sterling to Euro rate continues to trade towards the lower end of its current range, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is continuing to come under pressure as we get closer to the election, especially as a number of prominent opinion polls this week have shown that the lead the Conservatives had is diminishing with some suggesting that they may not win a majority of seats required.

If the option polls are correct we could be looking at another Hung Parliament in the UK which I believe would push the Pound lower and probably back towards the 1.10 mark.

The current trend for the GBPEUR pair is between 1.1350 up to 1.1950 although a couple of times towards the back end of last year the rate did touch 1.10 twice before seeing support.

A steep drop for Sterling is in my opinion likely if a Hung Parliament is announced, and I don’t think that the current UK Prime Minister has done herself many favours this week by not attending the debates between the political rivals in the race for number 10.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the latest market updates do feel free to register your interest with me and I’ll be happy to keep you updated.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rates soften slightly after Monday recovery (Joshua Privett)

Pound to Euro rates of exchange have seen a marginal correction after the recovery recorded during the Bank Holiday period yesterday.

The heaviest falls to Sterling’s value came last week when it emerged that the election was much closer than first thought, and currency markets began scrambling over themselves to seek protection from what could end up being a very uncertain election period.

The margin for error is now very close. The expectation of a Conservative majority based on polling is similar to what the Remain camp were forecasted to win by in the Referendum last June. As such the confidence necessary to keep demand for Sterling high and therefore trading well against other currencies has been hindered somewhat.

We saw a recovery yesterday which is fairly common following large currency exchange movements, as markets re-balance waiting for more news about the upcoming election.

Without demand for Sterling its value would career downwards, making the Euro a more expensive prospect for anyone with an upcoming requirement.

Anyone with a Euro requirement in the immediate term may be wise to contact me to discuss a strategy on how to approach the vote to secure any targetted peaks and ensure you are better protected from any downside risk.

It could even be that the slight resurgence on exchange rates recorded today will be the best buying levels available before the election itself.

I have never had an issue securing more commercial exchange rates than what is on offer elsewhere. Contact me over the bank holiday weekend on jjp@currencies.co.uk while markets are closed for a short discussion concerning your personal situation.

Buying Euro rates soften as markets digest news of Manchester attack (Joshua Privett)

Pound to Euro exchange rates had undergone a further softening into the lower 1.15’s amid an anxious climate in the UK following the Manchester Arena bombing last night.

Rates had previously been falling in response to underwhelming data emerging from the UK economy concerning the diminishing potential for a UK interest rate rise.

This was further compounded by comments made by Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, yesterday who stated that the Euro was ‘too weak’ and she would like to see it gain value. These are the kind of comments which cause the short-term rally for the Euro.

However, since then, likely due to the likelihood that the situation in Manchester is contained for now, the pressure on the Pound brought out by apprehension forced by the attack abated, and, as such, GBP/EUR exchange rates were getting very close to 1.1 at the time of writing this article.

However, I would not expect this to continue. As the above suggests the underlying trend before the completely horrific attack yesterday was GBP/EUR negative. Without these being addressed it is likely the Pound will continue to remain pressured in the short-term, so Euro buyers should seriously consider their situation and the sensibility in securing an exchange rate sooner rather than later.

As such anyone with a very short-term requirement to buy Euros may be wise to contact me on 01494 787 478 and ask to be put through to Joshua to discuss a live price for your transfer and avoid being ‘last to the party’.

I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, so a short conversation could save you a healthy sum on your next transfer.

Anyone with a slightly longer term transfer can also contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer in the run up to the election aimed at maximising your currency return.

Pound to Euro exchange rates take another dip following poor inflation figures (Joshua Privett)

Pound to Euro exchange rates have unfortunately taken a further tumble this morning as fears about inflation appear to be manifesting.

There is a very intimate relationship between interest rates and inflation which is why Pound to Euro exchange rates did not fare too well today when it was revealed inflation growth appeared to be ‘petering out’.

Growing inflation is a concern for Central Banks, as this suggests that prices are ‘running away’ from the ability for consumers to buy. A common tool to combat this is to conduct interest rate rises to curb spending by increase the incentive to save – in turn keeping prices lower.

The secondary effect of this is that the Pound tends to get a bit of a boost. If interest rates rise then holding Pound’s produces a higher yield, and this means you should normally see its value rise due to increased demand.

However, inflation is not rising fast enough to justify this, and it has lend credence today with the confirmation of the inflation rate that it is unlikely the UK will be seeing an interest rate hike.

This negative outlook for the Pound fed into markets immediately today, which is why GBP/EUR tumbled to begin today’s trading session when the news came out at 9:30am.

This will likely be the dominant narrative moving forward this week, so Pound to Euro buyers may be wise to move sooner rather than later to avoid a difficult day when buying an upcoming currency requirement.

This will likely dictate Sterling rates for the rest of the week, so anyone planning a transfer can contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer based on the outcome aimed at maximising your currency return, whether this be buying or selling Euros.

I have never had an issue beating the rate of exchange offered elsewhere, so a brief conversation could save you thousands on a prospective transfer.

Has Sterling’s rally vs the Euro come to an end? (Tom Holian)

The UK published a number of lower than expected economic data releases on Thursday which caused the Pound to hit a one week low vs the Euro.

The Pound has had a very good run in recent weeks but the combination of poor Industrial & Manufacturing data caused the Pound to fall vs the single currency.

The UK’s Trade Deficit figures came out at £13.4bn and this is not a good thing for the British economy and in particular the Pound vs the Euro.

Whilst the Bank of England kept interest rates on hold the governor of the central bank Mark Carney cut the UK’s growth forecast from 2% to 1.9% and this led to investor confidence waning in the UK and as such the Pound fell against the Euro.

Inflation has been predicted to rise to 2.8% whilst average earnings are predicted to fall to just 2% which effectively means that the cost of living is going up whilst wages are falling.

German economic data out this morning showed an improvement in GDP compared to the first quarter from 0.4% to 0.6% and this helped the Euro to end the week on a high vs the Pound which has provided some good opportunities to sell Euros to buy Sterling compared to recent times.

We ended this week with US Retail Sales falling in April and typically when we see Dollar weakness this results in Euro strength which has been evident this afternoon.

As we go into next week the focus is likely to return to the UK’s political landscape and with the Tories looking like they will win without any significant challenge could this provide the Pound with a recovery against the Euro?

Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rtes compared to using your own bank .

Therefore, if you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling currency then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

How will the UK General Election effect GBP/EUR? (Daniel Johnson)

Will the Election cause Sterling weakness?

Theresa May announced a snap election to take place on 8th June. Historically a snap election would cause the currency in question to weaken, however on his occasion we saw the opposite occur. Following the announcement Sterling strengthened over the Euro. It is important to remember the market moves on rumour as well as fact. It was a shrewd move by May to announce the election while the opposition is so weak. Due to the conservatives clear lead in the polls, I am of the opinion a conservative victory is already factored into current rates of exchange. I would expect little movement on GBP/EUR if the conservatives win. It is when the unexpected occurs you can expect significant movement on the exchange.

We can use the recent French election as an example. After the first round of voting, the field was broken down to two candidates. Macron and Le Pen. Macron was so dominant after the first round the Euro strengthened due to Macron’s pro EU stance. However, when his victory was confirmed we saw little movement on GBP/EUR.

Super Thursday

Thursday brings the UK interest rate decision. I would be very surprised to see any change. It will be interesting however to look at how the monetary Policy Committee (MPC) votes. The nine members vote on whether there should be any change in interest rates, if a member’s vote changes from last month’s we could see movement on the market as this is an indication a change in monetary policy could be on the cards.

We also have manufacturing data which is expected to show a slight decline, any variation from the prediction could result in volatility.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. I will provide an individual trading strategy with no obligation to trade. If you already have a currency provider let me know what you are being offered and I am confident in showing you a considerable saving. Feel free to contact me at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading.

 

 

Pound to Euro rates still rising following snap election call (Joshua Privett)

The Pound has surged to a 6 month high against most major currency pairings following a strong show of support for the Pound in response to the snap election call by Theresa May.

Why such a strong showing of support? Many queries I received yesterday were in response to currency market theory. In the past a general rule of thumb around elections is that they tend to weaken the currency in question in the run up to the vote and the results. This is due to heightened uncertainty surrounding the event and the potential implications of the results. Currency investors are normally loathe to make strong bets on potentially surprising outcomes – the ramifications of the Brexit vote being a major example of where this can go wrong for investors.

Instead, this vote is occurring in exceptional times. The Conservatives are effectively looking for a mandate, and to quell calls for a Scottish Referendum, and the polls suggests they have the ability to do this – particularly why the Labour party appears to be in such disarray.

Currency markets are effectively responding well to a more solid British government heading into the Brexit negotiations, as the Eurozone will not see a dark cloud hanging over the British Parliament and use this for negotiation leverage. Furthermore, currency markets have normally favoured pro-business conservative candidates, so a few more years of continuity and unencumbered rule by conservatives should always provide some form of rally…

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on  jjp@currencies.co.uk  in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, so a brief conversation could save you thousands on a prospective transfer.

Sterling hits an 8-day high against the Euro as French Presidency fears hit the single currency (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro rate exceeded 1.1750 yesterday afternoon and the pair have held strong above this level so far, as at the time of writing the pair are still trading above this level at the mid-market level.

What’s also interesting to see is that today’s low so far is 1.1756 which indicates to me that there could be support for the pair at this level.

With Sterling gaining slowly since the official start to the Brexit process it appears that the currency has hit its lowest level and it’s now on the recovery, which many within financial markets suggesting that the Brexit has been priced into the Pounds value.

What may help the Pound make additional gains against the Euro later this month is the French Presidential election. There have been fears and hedged bets against the Euro as there’s a chance far-right candidate Marine Le Pen could perform better than many are expecting. This would likely result in Euro weakness due to her plans for a Frexit, but over the past week the increasing popularity of far-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon has also weighed on the Euros value due to his views on tax tariffs.

Now that Brexit is underway economic data is playing a more prominent role in the currency fluctuations involving the Pound, so if you’re planning on making a currency exchange involving the pound and another currency do feel free to get in touch regarding these events.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.