Tag Archives: Buying Euros

GBPEUR plummets due to Mark Carney

Late last night Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney told the BBC that an interest rate hike would occur this year but failed to announce that it would happen at the May meeting. He did state Brexit negotiations and the performance of the UK economy will dictate when the hike occurs. This was seen as extremely dovish by investors and the pound was sold off.

The Governor also spoke about inflation and said as always inflation needs to be monitored closely. With inflation falling quicker than expected this month to 2.5%, if this trends continues I expect to only see one hike this year, which arguably is a bad situation for clients buying euros.

The pound had been making considerable gains against the euro over the last 6 weeks due to the hype of an interest rate hike and the shift in Brexit sentiment. However not that a hike may not occur, this could be the start of the slide for sterling against the pound. Furthermore with trade negotiations set to start in the upcoming months now is the time to buy pounds in my opinion.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Drop in Inflation decreases probability of BOE Rate hike (Daniel Johnson)

Is a rate hike in May by the BOE still likely?

Yesterday we saw the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI is a key measure of inflation and there was a fall to 2.5%. In order to have a healthy economy it is important that average wage growth be close to parity with inflation and this is currently the case, with average wage growth (2.8%) currently sitting above inflation. Although this could be seen as very positive, could it be considered a danger that people are making more money but are not willing to spend it?

Also if inflation in coming into line with the Bank of England’s (BOE) 2% target, could this put the potential rate hike in May on hold?

This is the concern and this is the reason we saw Sterling fall in value yesterday. I am of the opinion a rate hike will still take place due to previous strong economic data. Although Retail sales data to be released this morning could change that. There is expected to be a fall from 0.8% to – 0.5%. I would be surprised to see it the predicted – 0.5% so this could indeed strengthen the pound if there is only a slight decline. If it falls below -0.5% however this could indeed really put a rate hike in May in question.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker when the market is currently so hard to predict. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. Have faith knowing you will be dealing with a brokerage in business for over 16yrs, Foreign Currency Direct Plc. We are a no risk entity as we do not speculate on the market and we are registered with the FCA. If you have a currency provider take a minute to send over the rates they offer and I am confident I can demonstrate a significant saving.  I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk . (Daniel Johnson) Thank you for reading.

Sterling to Euro rate now sitting comfortably above 1.15, is a move closer to 1.20 now likely?

Yesterday GBP/EUR broke through 1.15 once again, although this time the pair have consolidated above this previous resistance level meaning that the pair are now trading in new territory.

Since the transitional agreement was agreed between the UK and EU negotiators sentiment surrounding the UK economy moving forward has improved, and this is behind much of the Pound’s recent gains. The Euro has also been coming under pressure as inflation levels within Europe aren’t quite as high as the ECB had hoped before cutting back on its asset purchasing program. Global concerns surrounding tensions in Syria and potential clash between the US and Russia are also impacting the Euros value due to the effects on the regions economy.

The interest rate hike next month is now almost a certainty and talk of whether the BoE will raise interest rates later in the year is now beginning to impact the rates, so if you’re planning on making a transfer soon do bear this in mind.

As the year continues I would expect Brexit related news to continue to impact the Pound’s value. The final Brexit agreement needs to be approved by the European Council and across all parliaments in the EU before it becomes official so I expect to see this topic continue to carry potential to move GBP exchange rates quite drastically.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Could the Pound break 1.15 against the Euro? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has been performing well of late against the Euro and has briefly touched 1.15 during March and I expect to see it break past that resistance level during the course of this month.

The EU transitional deal appears to have been agreed and although the Irish border issue still remains unresolved I think we could still see the Pound make further gains against the Euro.

UK Services PMI data is due out at 930am this morning with the expectation for 50.8 so any deviation could cause movement for GBPEUR exchange rates.

Indeed, if the data is positive I think this could see the market break past 1.15 later today.

The political problems in Italy appear to also be holding back the Euro from making any gains vs Sterling. Yesterday, the Eurozone unemployment level dropped to its lowest level in 9 years and with Eurozone inflation rising this could provide support to the European Central Bank to consider ending their QE programme later this year.

In theory this would usually strengthen the single currency but it did not have the expected effect which suggests to me that the political uncertainty in Italy is causing the Euro to wobble.

At the moment the Five Star Movement and the Lega Party have still not yet concluded the talks so Italy remains in a hung parliament which is never a positive for the currency involved.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry for 15 years I am confident of being able to offer you both bank beating exchange rates as well as helping you with the timing of your currency transfer.

For further information or a free quote then please send me an email detailing your requirement and I can look at proposing a strategy for you when buying or selling Euros.

I look forward to hearing from you

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Which data releases could influence the GBP/EUR rate this week? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has so far managed to hold onto its recent gains and remain trading above the 1.14 mark. This suggests to me that market sentiment surrounding the Pound has improved as previously this was the top end of the current trend and GBP/EUR would usually struggle to hold its ground at these levels.

The pair did reach 1.15 at one stage recently after news broke that the Brexit transitional deal had been arranged, much to the joys of the financial markets. This matter had been a concern previously and limited the upside for the Pound, so understandably Sterling spiked upward in the wake of the news.

Sterling has also been boosted after the Bank of England has hinted at raising interest rates in May of this year, meaning that the monetary policy of the BoE is likely to be more aggressive than many had initially expected. The pick up in wage growth has also increased these chances as wage growth begins to align with the increasing inflation levels.

Later this week there will be PMI releases covering a number of sectors within the UK, all of which are expected to show slowdowns. If you have an upcoming currency requirement involving the GBP/EUR pair, it may be wise looking into the current trade levels in case the PMI releases are worse than expected. They offer us forward looking insight into market sentiments so a gloomy outlook could result in a weaker Pound.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR rise further this week?

It is very tempting to track the GBPEUR rate now hoping for further improvements, the rates have risen to some of the best to buy Euros with pounds since May 2017. To understand whether this pair will rise further it is useful to track what has happened so far and understand why. We can then also look at events ahead to make a decision on what is likely to happen.

Overall I don’t expect the pound to Euro rate to rise significantly higher, I think actually there could be a danger the levels will fall back as the enthusiasm for the pound begins to wear off. Whilst there has been progress made with Brexit and the Bank of England should raise interest rates in May, this news is largely priced in now.

This means that any signs events are not going to progress as smoothly as previously believed could disrupt the currency and cause the pound to fall. There is still a huge amount to accomplish for the UK on Brexit plans and there is also many economic conditions for the UK to meet to warrant future hikes, which would cause the pound to rise.

I do now expect rates for Euro buyers to remain favourable but any further good news will probably be met with limited confidence on the rates since the good news is already out there. If you need to buy Euros with pounds then making some plans around the current favourable levels seems very sensible to me.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you anytime and assisting in the future.

If you need to transfer above £10,000 or Euros internationally and wish for some information on the best rates and assistance with the timing and planning of any transaction, please speak to me as above to achieve a preferential rate.

GBPEUR hits fresh highs!

The pound to Euro rate has risen to some of the highest levels since the May 2017 General Election. This was the last time GBPEUR was trading at the highs we witnessed today, if you have a transfer buying Euros with pounds then making plans around the current market sentiment is a wise move as the enthusiasm over sterling will probably subside quickly.

The pound is doing better against the Euro already on the positive expectations which have been in place for the last few weeks with the best levels now being realised. With the market looking very strong for the pound the prospect for the rate to keep rising higher is probably limited now.

If you have a transfer buying Euros with pounds it is now worth remembering just how fragile positive news can be on the currency markets and how strong the Euro has been in recent weeks. General impressions for the pound against the Euro are also linked to what is happening on the US dollar. The market has been happy to buy up the pounds this week but those sentiments can quickly change next week with more data due.

If you need to buy the Euro with the pound I would consider making plans around the latest news today and considering what your target is. Tomorrow sees the latest UK GDP (Gross Domestic Product) news from the UK, much of the important news has already been released today and this week which might mean a less volatile week.

Nevertheless, it is well worth getting any plans to buy Euros well in place in advance to make sure you don’t miss out on the spikes. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

The French cause unrest in Brexit Talks (Daniel Johnson)

Concerns over UK Financial Sector could weigh on Sterling

The French are making things difficult for the UK in Brexit talks. French Economy Minister, Bruno Le Maire has stated there is very little chance of Britain securing a free trade deal for the financial services that would provide the level of access the UK seeks. Le Maire said the UK would have to use a legal mechanism known as equivalence. Equivalence allows countries outside the EU limited access to the single market, controlled by Brussels, access can be revoked at any time which would certainly not sit well with large financial firms. Indeed Goldman Sachs has already started moving UK employees to Frankfurt due to the uncertainty surrounding Brexit.

May’s call for a mutual recognition system which would still give UK financial services access to the single market has already been rejected. Single Market access for financial services is one of the most important points of negotiation in the Brexit process and this could be a major stumbling block. The financial services sector is the UK’s biggest form of tax income.

France’s thinly veiled ploy to turn Paris into the new focal point of financial services is causing real trouble for the UK economy and the Pound as a result.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving.

I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

ECB tomorrow the major news on the Euro!

The Euro is benefiting from improved certainty from the political situation in the Germany and stronger economic news for the Eurozone. Political and economic factors are encouraging investors to increase their holdings of the Euro as there is a belief the currency will only improve in the future. Tomorrow is a key economic event from the ECB (European Central Bank) which could see volatility on the Euro.

It is quite surprising the Euro did not come unstuck following the Italian election, the lack of clarity over the final outcome from the result could easily have seen the Euro losing value. Despite anti-establishment parties gaining over 50% of the vote the single currency has held its own. Whilst the Italian news is concerning, the other factors mentioned above, political strength from Germany and good economic news across the whole Eurozone region, have all seen the Euro stronger.

If you need to or wish to look at any currency transfers buying or selling Euros then understanding these events can help to make an informed choice about when to enter the market. The ECB decision on interest rates tomorrow and Press Conference that follows could really help you to achieve a better deal for both buyers and sellers, depending on what happens. Personally, I would not be surprised to see the Euro stronger but often any movements on such events are quick and catching these ‘spikes’ requires a bit of planning.

For more information about securing an exchange rate at the best ‘time’, why not get in touch with us to learn more. We can offer a safe, secure system to transfer money internationally at the very best rates of exchange. Please contact myself Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Sterling drops as Brexit talks take centre stage, will GBP/EUR drop below 1.12? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has dropped this afternoon, as its emerged that draft guidelines on a trade agreement between Britain and the EU are published on Wednesday.

Donald Tusk, the chairman of EU leaders was in London to discuss the Brexit negotiations with UK Prime Minister, Theresa May recently. It will be him that presents the draft guidelines tomorrow so those interested in how the GBP/EUR rate is performing should be aware of this.

In the morning there will be GDP figures released out of the EU which also hold the potential to move markets. 0.6% is expected on a quarterly basis and 2.7% annually so expect any deviations from these figures to result in movement for the pair.

Then on Thursday at 12.45pm the ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision will be announced. No change is expected but those monitoring the rates should follow the statement at 1.30pm as any reference to future monetary policy may result in movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

It’s data this that can move the markets and a bout of poor data for the Pound is likely to see the Pound dip into the 1.11’s and consolidate there. The rate has dipped into the 1.11’s at times today so those with plans involving the pair should be aware of this.

If you would like to register your interest with me due to planning an upcoming currency transfer, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP EUR Rates before Theresa May Speech (James Lovick)

The pound continues to see a volatile period this week ahead of a key speech from UK Prime Minister Theresa May this Friday. GBP EUR is currently sitting just below the 1.14 level and not far off that recent 9 month high seen for the pair presenting some of the best levels seen for buying Euros. Politics in the UK will have a huge bearing on the direction of the pound from here on and Theresa May’s speech is likely to be the trigger for this. After the cabinet meeting at Chequers last week it has been reported that there is some unity between members and may help pave the way forward with Brexit.

Clients looking to buy or sell Euros should keep a close eye on the speech as there is likely to be high volatility on the back of it. If more details emerge as to the future path of Brexit and the approach is viable from all sides then the pound could see a sizeable jump higher. Much will of course depend on how well the EU side in this negotiation receive the speech and if it is immediately discredited then the pound could fall in this scenario. There could be an excellent opportunity to secure funds after the speech so do get in touch to position yourself ready.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has been speaking this week and remains of the view that the outlook for the EU is positive. However on the political front there is likely to be a volatile weekend ahead. The Italian election taking place on Sunday is potentially going to see a rise of more right wing parties including the 5-Star Movement. The anti-establishment party is leading in the polls and could create some issues for the European Union. More details about the proposed grand coalition in Germany are also expected to be announced on Sunday.

To discuss the pound and the Euro and how to achieve the most of market movements then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Brexit Talks continue to dictate Sterling levels (Daniel Johnson)

Points of Contention could lengthen Brexit talks

Brexit talks will be the main factor in Sterling value for the foreseeable future. The European Council has said that Brexit talks between Britain and the EU have moved on sufficiently to begin the new phase of negotiations.
A definitive withdrawal arrangement must include the terms in the transition stage and also a policy statement setting out the framework for the future trade relationship between the EU and Britain.
The EU would like a framework similar to the trade agreement with Canada which also goes along with Britain’s desire to exit the single market. The UK would also like to have the services sector included into any trade agreement.

There are points of contention, however. Michel Barnier, Chief EU Negotiator has warned that a transitional deal is “not a given”. Barnier also said that the EU and Britain are struggling to agree on several points of the deal. The March deadline is in place to provide much needed clarity to the public.
The main issues are the lifetime rights of residency to EU citizens who arrive in the UK following Brexit , but before 2021 and having to agree to new laws from Brussels with the UK having to accept these laws with no power to negotiate.
I am not of the opinion talks will run through smoothly and this has the potential to create weakness for the Pound. We may see short term gains when Theresa May speaks with Angela Merkel later today. Merkel has been forthcoming recently in regards to getting a deal in place with the UK.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

 

Major swings for GBPEUR exchanges rates

Today GBPEUR exchange rates have been up and down like a roller-coaster. At midday the Bank of England released their last interest rate decision which provided a fantastic window for clients that were purchasing euros. GBPEUR central levels of exchagne reached 1.1450 as the Bank of England hinted an interest rate hike is on the horizon.

The reason for the change in stance comes down to the quarterly inflation report suggesting wage growth numbers which improved last month, will continue to improve throughout 2018. Furthermore the Bank of England announced a recent survey showed private sector companies believe they will be paying their staff an additional 3.1% by this time next year.

Also in the inflation report, the Bank of England are suggesting that the worrying inflation levels will continue to decline back towards the 2% target. Their reasoning is that they believe the pound will receive a boost throughout the year, making goods and services cheaper followed by at least 1 interest rate hike within the year. Mark Carney the Governor of the Bank of England also helped the value of the pound by suggesting the jobs market will remain strong with unemployment remaining at a four decade low.

However investors have sold off the pound this afternoon looking for higher returns, which has meant the pound has fallen back below 1.14.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 Monday morning and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

GBP EUR Falls Lower as Brexit Discussions Resume

The pound has fallen further today against the Euro with rates falling to a low of 1.1219 before picking up some lost ground in afternoon trade.
The driver for the weakness in the pound is largely as a result of Brexit uncertainty and this week holds a number of important government cabinet meetings which could provide more clues as to where Brexit is heading.

The Brexit negotiations which have resumed this week haven’t started on a particularly optimistic outlook with question marks surrounding the single market and whether or not Britain will have access to it. The other sizeable issue of course is whether UK financial services will be included in any deal and considering services represents 80% of the British economy.

We are likely to see a lot of volatility for GBP EUR as developments unfold surround the terms of any deal. The prospect of a no deal scenario is also a worry for those clients holding sterling who are looking at buying Euros. Those clients who need to sell Euros would be wise to get in touch and consider taking advantage of the recent fall in the price of sterling against the Euro.

Focus now moves to the Bank of England interest rate decision on Thursday which could result in an even more volatile end to the week. Any positive noises from Mark Carney or any suggestion that interest rates will in fact rise later this year could help see the pound rally although my view is that Mark Carney will be relatively tight lipped at this meeting. Any discussion on Brexit however could see market volatility and this is a subject the Governor has been known to wade into.

To discuss how these key events this week are likely to impact on your own individual currency requirements then please feel free to get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR now rise or fall?

The pound could easily find further favour against the Euro as we get closer to understanding the outlook on the Brexit. General expectations for the pound centre around progress on the Brexit which is looking like it could actually pass off without as much pain as previously imagined. The progress we made in December is feeding through into confidence for the year ahead, personally, I am very concerned about what is in fact a real lack of progress.

The expectations have now been set very high for the pound which is actually very close to the pre-Referendum highs on a trade weighted basis. This is not the case against the Euro however which is performing very well against the pound owing to the continued economic strength for the Eurozone. Recent growth figures were the best in ten years and investors are now expecting more good news down the line.

GBPEUR appears like it could trade higher with the Italian election in March but personally I think the range we will occupy now would be closer to the 1.10-1.14 levels. Once the reality of the lack of progress on Brexit becomes apparent we are likely to see the pound slide, we only have a few months before this needs to be completed.

If you need to make a transfer involving the pound or euro, then I would be suggesting to make some plans in advance. We offer a specialist service to help with the timing of any transfer for the future, by closely monitoring the levels we aim to secure you more favourable level.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to myself Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to assisting you in the future.

 

GBP/EUR hits nine month high (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling hits nine month high against the Euro

Sterling hit a nine month high today against the Euro. The spike was caused by several contributing factors. Lord Jim O’Neill gave a very positive forecast on a recovery for the UK economy post Brexit early in the week. This was coupled with news that Dutch and Spanish finance ministers would like a close relationship in regards to trade with Britain. Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor also announced her intention to have a close bond with the UK post-Brexit. This was key, as Germany is the engine room of the Eurozone, but this is not necessarily a surprise due to the large volume of German exports to the UK, particularly cars of which the UK is a large consumer.

There is however concerns for Sterling. The biggest of which is Phase two of Brexit talks. Chief negotiator for the EU, Michel Barnier and UK Chief negotiator David Davis are at loggerheads. Barnier would like the financial sector included in any deal and Davis has stated Brussels will not be able to cherry pick aspects of the deal. Davis is clearly not happy, EU services have apparently been approaching UK companies and advising them to leave the UK or risk losing their contracts. The deal is set to be initially agreed in October, but I feel this target is unrealistic as is a full exit by 2019. I think talks could well prove problematic and I think Sterling could suffer as a result.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximise your return. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free, no obligation trading strategy for you. If you have a trade to perform I will also happily provide a free quote and I am confident our rates are among the best in the industry. I would be willing to demonstrate this in form of a comparison with any competitor. You can trade in safety knowing you are dealing with company FCA registered and one that has been trading for 16yrs. Foreign Currency Direct PLC.
If you would like my assistance I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading. Daniel Johnson

How will the Pound move against the Euro in 2018? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has remained in a fairly tight range against the Euro since the start of the year as the market appears to be waiting for further progress with the Brexit talks.

With the last meeting going relatively well in early December we saw GBPEUR rates spike in an upwards direction but the gains were relatively short-lived.

The critical issue of Brexit is that it is not just the UK who will be affected but also the European Union.

When the talks initially began last year the Pound came under a lot of pressure as the cards appeared to be in the hands of the other 27 member states.

However, recently the talks have started to progress positively and I think we could see Sterling improve in the future when the next round of discussions begin again in March.

At the moment the market is relatively settled so if you’re happy converting your money at these rates and would like a free quote then contact me directly by calling 01494725353 and ask for Tom Holian when calling.

The next catalyst for change in the short term is due to come out later on this morning with the latest release of Eurozone inflation figures at 10am. Eurozone Inflation is extremely important for the central bank when deciding monetary policy so this morning’s data could impact GBPEUR exchange rates.

The European Central Bank has already previously reduced their QE programme and if inflation remains as expected we could see the ECB possibly hint at raising interest rates at the next monthly meeting in the future which could see strength for the single currency.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like a free quote compared to using your own bank or simply want to compare rates to buy or sell Euros against your current foreign exchange provider then feel free to get in touch for a free quote. Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident of being able to help save you money on exchange rates.

Email me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Will the Euro continue to strengthen and will Carillion drag the Pound down? (Joseph Wright)

The headlines surrounding the Euro at the moment are that the currency is currently trading at an all time high against the US Dollar. The gains are generally being put down to the strong economic outlook for the Euro and also expectations that the European Central Bank will begin to cut back on the current stimulus package as the economy justifies it.

Many economists expect to see the Euro hold its ground at the current levels, and when compared with the Pound I think we may even see the Euro to Pound rate improve further especially if Brexit related issues continue to negatively impact sentiment surrounding the UK economy both during and after the Brexit process.

The case for a stronger Pound hasn’t been helped in the past week as it’s emerged that the UK’s second largest construction company, Carillion is likely to go into liquidation shortly. There is up to 20,000 jobs that could be lost as a result and a number of industries and sub-contractors could also run into issues as a result of this. The company has close links with the UK government and it’s emerged that up to 8 contracts were taken out with the company by the government since profit warnings were announced.  This is likely to be looked into further and I certainly don’t think we’ve heard the end of it.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Phase 2 of Brexit Talks could prove problematic (Daniel Johnson)

Brexit Negotiations

It looks as thought the next round of Brexit talks could be problematic which does not bode well for the pound. It seems Brussels have been making contingency plans fro a “no deal” scenario due to the possibility of UK firms losing out.

In a letter to Theresa May, Brexit Secretary, David Davis has warned that firms may have to relocate to Europe or there is the risk of seeing contracts terminated.  The second phase of talks, covering transitional arrangements after the UK leaves and economic and security co-operation moving forward are due to begin towards the end of the month.  Theresa May has said it is right to plan for all possible outcomes, including no deal. She has however stated she is confident the UK and the EU can reach a deal on their post Brexit relations in time for the UK’s departure target. I am of the opinion this is optimistic and that their could be an extension.

There are British concerns about Brussels’ preparations for Brexit with David Davis suggesting they are “frequently damaging to UK interests.” In his letter to May Davis warned it was potentially discriminatory of EU agencies to have issued guidance to businesses stating that Britain would become a “third country” outside the EU without any reference to a future trade deal sought by both parties.

Davis warned that the EU’s current stance amounted to “potential breaches of the UK’s rights as a member state”, he also said he wants the European Commision’s Brexit task force to withdraw the statements so far in light of the deal reached in December to begin trade talks.

The comments from both sides does not bode well for Sterling, it may be wise to take advantage of current levels if you are a Euro buyer.

If you have a currency requirement I would b happy to assist. You need to have an experienced broker on board in order to take advantage of rates when a brief spike occurs, especially in the current climate. If you have a currency provider already in place I am prepared to perform a comparison against them. It will take minutes and could potentially save you hundreds or even thousands of pounds. I can be contacted at  dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Brexit talks dominate GBPEUR exchange rates (Tom Holian)

The next round of Brexit negotiations are due to start later today at the meeting currently being held in Brussels.

Hopefully this could mean that things could move on to the longer-term relationship between the European Union and the UK and if the talks go well we could see the Pound make some gains vs the Euro.

Indeed, if the talks progress we could see discussions moving forward about a transition deal for what will happen once the UK has left the European Union in 2019.

The Pound made some small improvements against the Euro yesterday hitting 1.14 on the Interbank level but it appears as though GBPEUR exchange rates are waiting to see what happens with the Brexit negotiations before making their move.

I personally think we could see the Pound move in an upwards direction if the talks progress as it shows that we are getting closer to agreeing a solution.

However, whatever happens over the next few days even if the Pound does rise against the single currency I think the movements will be relatively short-lived.

Indeed, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that progress had been made but there was ‘much more work to be done and time is of the essence.’

As we go into the start of next week Eurozone inflation data is due to be released on Monday which could cause some movements for Sterling vs the Euro but ultimately I think the market will mainly be moved by whatever happens with the Brexit discussions so make sure you’re prepared for any eventuality.

If you’re in the process of either buying or selling Euros and would like to be kept updated with what is happening over the next few days then contact me directly for a free quote.

Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates than using your own bank but also help you with the timing of your trade.

Contact me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk and I look forward to hearing from you.