Tag Archives: currency transfer

Mark Carney Delivers Boost For Sterling (Ben Fletcher)

The GBP/EUR rate touched 1.14 after a 1.5 cent boost as Mark Carney delivered hope of an interest rate hike this year. The Bank of England two weeks ago voted 5-3 in favour of holding rates but it was the first time in 7 years that 3 voted for a hike. With inflation on the charge then the bank could be forced into making a decision soon.

Governor Mark Carney also stressed that he would have no choice but to consider tapering back the current economic stimulus. The bank currently purchase billions of pounds worth of bonds through quanitivativ easing and there’s hope this may slow down. This will be seen a positive for the UK economy and could have a significant effect on Sterling.

What today’s events go to show is how fast the currency markets can move. There has been enormous pressure on Sterling following the UK election and general uncertainty with the Brexit negotiations. This led to Sterling falling to the low 1.12’s this morning, however in the space of 4 hours the rate jumped 1% into the 1.14’s

How can you capitalise on movements?

The speed of the market movement today signifies how hard it can be to make sure you exchange currency at the correct time. Working for a brokerage I am able to help you set rate alerts as notifications. Furthermore set a limit order that means your currency could be automatically bought at your desired level even if the market only reaches the level for a few seconds.

Over the next few days I think it will be unlikely that sterling will find to much more support, however if there was to be a jump into the mid 1.14’s that would see the market at a 2 week high. If you do have a currency requirement and would like to ask any questions about the information above, please don’t hesitate to send me an email at brf@currencies.co.uk.

Brexit talks and the impact on Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

We are now a year on since the Brexit vote when the British public voted to leave the European Union and during this time we have seen huge losses for the Pound against the Euro.

As yet we are no clearer as to whether the UK will opt for a soft or a hard Brexit. Clearly in the interests of the UK and the Pound a soft Brexit would be preferred but this could take a very long time from coming to fruition.

Yesterday, Theresa May was in Brussels speaking about the subject of Brexit and she has suggested that the UK will maintain the rights of EU nationals living in the UK of which there are over 3 million.

The issue though is that the EU has not yet discussed a reciprocal arrangement and that is why the Pound has had a difficult end to the week.

As yet the Tories have still yet to from an alliance with the DUP which is necessary in order to form a majority government.

I think we are only a few days from this happening and when it does take place I expect the Pound to rise against the Euro but I think the gains will be short lived so if you need to buy Euros keep a close eye on the political situation in the UK.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you. I have worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 and I’m confident of being able to offer you better rates when buying currency as well as helping you with various contract types.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Sterling rises as negotiations begin, but will the Pound to Euro rate continue to climb as they continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has edged up today against the Euro as well as against other major currency pairs, making the buying of oversea’s currencies a cheaper proposition than yesterday.

The reason behind the positive movements for the Pound can be put down to the latest updates regarding the Brexit process. It appears that the early stages of the Brexit negotiations are going quite well, which has boosted sentiment surrounding the UK economy moving forward and therefore the Pounds value.

I think that moving forward if the negotiations continue to go relatively smoothly, we can expect to see the Pound begin its recovery from its current levels, especially when when consider how the Pound is trading around historical lows against many currency pairs at the moment.

Against the Euro Sterling has lost around 5 cents over the past month or so, so there’s certainty scope for the currency to gain if things go to plan.

Next week Friday is likely to be once of the busiest days for GBPEUR as GDP data for the UK will be released around 9.30am. The expectations are for 2% annual growth so we’ll see how the currency performs in the wake of the news.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP/EUR Forecast – The Referendum Result a Year On (Matthew Vassallo)

A year ago today, the UK public voted to leave the European Union.

The result of this historic vote has been dissected and discussed ever since but are we any clearer as to what it really means to be ‘OUT’ of the EU?

What we do know is that since that day Sterling has struggled to gain sustained market support, with investors questioning how the UK economy will fare over the coming years.

This uncertainty has sapped investor confidence in the UK economy and the Pound has suffered as a result. GBP/EUR have not broken through 1.20 in the past 12 months, with the current levels of around 1.14 becoming a far fairer reflection of the current value on the pair.

Whilst the current cloud of uncertainty means that long-term predictions are becoming almost futile but what I have been advocating to my clients is that they look to protect their positions wherever possible and look for short-term market spikes.

Investors remain extremely sceptical regarding the upcoming Brexit negotiations, with the negative focus seemingly shifting further towards the UK’s side and away from the EU.

Let’s not forget that the EU are losing an integral member of the single member state, with the ramifications of this as yet, remaining unclear.

We also need to consider the current political vacuum, created by the shock general election results. The Pound is struggling against a divided government and a divided country and until we have a clear economic plan in place to move the UK economy forward, I feel that the Pound will continue in its struggle to make any major inroads.

Whilst this is likely to handicap any major advances for Sterling, EU sellers would be wise to take advantage of the current window of opportunity and remove any on-going risk from this most unstable of markets.

Now is the time to contact a personal currency broker and here I can help guide you through this turbulent market. I assist my clients with the timing of their currency transfers, to ensure that any market value is maximised.

We can offer award winning exchange rates & service, which surpass any of our competitors.

Please feel free to contact me if you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our rates to those of your current provider.

I am available on 0044 1494 725 353 between 08.30-18.00 and just ask one for the team for Matthew. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Brexit talks begin and the impact for Pound Euro exchange rates (Tom Holian)

The Brexit negotiations have now finally begun after the triggering of Article 50 many weeks ago. We are also almost one year on from the vote to leave the European Union which caused the Pound to plummet by almost 15 cents and as yet it is still not clear whether the UK will opt for a hard or a soft Brexit.

As yet the Conservatives have failed to reach an agreement with the DUP but to me this is just a matter of time. The importance of this arrangement could be key to the Brexit talks as the Irish border is clearly an enormous issue so it could be argued that the DUP could be integral for a softer Brexit.

It is going to take months before a clear picture as to how Brexit will pan out but in the short term I would be surprised to see this have any positive effect when it comes to Sterling vs the Euro.

My reasoning is that there are 27 member states that want to keep the European Union together compared to just the UK so for me I think the talks will be rather difficult as well as protracted which surely cannot help the Pound vs the Euro.

Therefore, if you are looking to buy Euros it may be worth organising this in the short term.

 

Having worked in the foreign exchange markets since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you better exchange rates compared to using your own bank but also help you with the timing of your transfer of currency.

If you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros and would like to save money then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Sterling rises after Bank of England hints at a rate hike (Joseph Wright)

The Pound appears to have consolidated above 1.14 against the Euro, making the buying Euro rate cheaper for those holding Sterling.

There are current 8 voting members of the BoE and yesterday almost half of them voted in favour of hiking rates, which caused the Pound to jump by over half a cent as soon as the news broke around lunchtime.

The reason behind the Bank of England’s voting members that would like to see a hike is most likely the rising rate of inflation in the UK, which is eating into consumers spending power as wage growth is beginning to stall within the UK.

Raising the interest rate would act to lessen the blow and it’s also a positive for the Pound so I do think we can expect to see the Pound climb if rates are going to rise for the first time in a decade.

Later this morning the Bank of England’s Quarterly Bulletin will be released which could send the markets either way depending on what’s said. If you would like to be kept updated with data releases that can impact your upcoming currency exchange plans do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Sterling Under Pressure Ahead of BoE Interest Rate Decision (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling remains under pressure, despite a slight upturn following yesterday’s positive inflation data.

GBP/EUR rates hit a high of 1.1407, before retracting following some positive Eurozone employment data. The UK also had its official Unemployment rate released, with the figure of 4.6% coming out as expected.

The markets focus will now turn to tomorrow’s key data releases. UK Retail Sales and the Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision & subsequent minutes will take centre stage. Those clients holding Sterling will hoping for a marked improvement on the UK’s economic outlook, with last week’s general election results still handicapping any major advances for the Pound.

However, EUR sellers should also proceed with caution. Any deal between UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s led Conservative party and the unknown and somewhat controversial DUP party could bring with it some political stability and this could help alleviate some of the pressure on Sterling.

Now could be the perfect opportunity to sell any short-term EUR positions and remove any uncertain ty from this extremely fragile and unpredictable market.

The current market is proving increasingly difficult to dissect and as such I am of the opinion that clients both buying and selling GBP/EUR should be looking for short-term opportunities.

On-going concerns regarding our Brexit negotiations are also weighing heavily on investors’ minds and with confidence in are fragmented government hitting new lows over the past few days, I would not be prepared to gamble on which direction GBP/EUR rates may take next.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

Best rate to sell Euros to buy Pounds since November 2016 (Tom Holian)

The Pound has now dropped to its lowest level to buy Euros since November last year as the political landscape remains uncertain.

Although the Tories managed to succeed as the largest party they did not win enough votes to form a majority government and at the moment talks are continuing between the Conservatives and the DUP in an attempt to conclude the election result.

The Queen’s Speech has been delayed for a few days until things are sorted out with the initial date of June 19th having now been postponed. The speech is one written by the government and outlines its plans for how it will run parliament during its term.

All this news does not bode well for Sterling Euro exchange rates as uncertainty will often cause problems for the currency involved. Previously when the Tories were forced to form a coalition with the Lib Dems back in 2010 it took almost 3 weeks after the election result to have the Queen’s Speech.

I personally think we’ll see further problems ahead for the Pound against the single currency whilst all this uncertainty continues.

The election result may even delay the Brexit talks which were also due to start next week. Until we have some form of agreement then we will be stuck in limbo so I cannot see the Pound making gains vs the Euro in the short term until things settle down.

Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers for almost 15 years I am confident of being able to offer you better exchange rates than using your own bank when buying or selling Euros as well as offering you a number of different contract options typically unavailable from your high street bank.

For further information or for a free quote when exchanging currency then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

General Election causes Pound to fall against the Euro (Tom Holian)

Sterling vs the Euro has crashed as the election result caused a big shock for the foreign exchange markets. The fall happened immediately after the release of the first exit polls on Thursday night which showed that a hung parliament would be likely with the Tories not being able to form a majority government.

Even when I saw the release of the initial poll owing to what happened during 2016 when the polls were completely wrong in predicting both the Brexit vote as well as the Trump victory I didn’t have too much faith in them being correct.

However, on this occasion the results were almost spot on and we saw the Pound drop into the 1.12 region at one point on Friday morning.

The Tories failed to achieve a majority government and this led to a fall in value of Sterling vs the Euro and at the time of writing the Tories are looking to sort out an agreement with the DUP.

The Pound managed to put a stop to its losses by midday on Friday and with calls for Theresa May to resign this could have caused further uncertainty for Sterling so as she has stayed this helped the Pound to resist falling further vs the single currency.

The next stumbling block for the Pound will come in just over a week’s time with the German Chancellor Angela Merkel suggesting that there is now no reason to delay the Brexit talks.

As we now know who will be leading the country the talks are due to start on June 19th and as we have already seen in the last few months the European leaders are likely to make the talks as difficult as possible in order to discourage other countries from doing the same.

Therefore, I think the Pound could be under further pressure this month vs all major currencies including the Euro.

If you’re in the process of buying a house in Europe it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

To find out more or for a free quote when buying or selling Euros compared to using your bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

UK Braces Itself for Election Day – How will GBP/EUR Rates React to the Result? (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have remained marooned under 1.15 during Wednesday’s trading, ahead of tomorrow’s UK general election.

With recent polls suggesting the Corbyn led Labour party have gained some momentum, the key question now is what is the likely result and how with the markets react to the final outcome?

Whilst the result seems to be more uncertain over recent days, the Pound did find some support earlier this week. It gained over a cent against the EUR following a tough run over the past week.

The markets have been gearing themselves up towards tomorrow’s key vote and it has been the election and the subsequent outcome, which has been shaping GBP/EUR exchange rates over recent weeks.

Investors had clearly factored in a Conservative majority victory but since reports of a 20-point lead last month, each subsequent poll has indicated a decreasing advantage. This in turn has caused investors to panic, with the result being a sell-off of large Sterling positions and a downturn in the Pound’s value.

I’m extremely wary about pre-election polls, especially after last year’s UK referendum and US election results. However, with strong indications that a hung parliament is now a very real possibility, are you prepared to gamble on the result if you have a short-term Sterling currency exchange to mate?

Personally, I feel that the Pound is fighting an on-going uphill battle and any short-term improvements should be protected wherever feasible. Even a strong Conservative victory will only boost the Pound back to the levels we saw a couple of weeks ago, which have already proved unsustainable over recent months.

Looking beyond Thursdays vote and the UK economy still has many issues to content with. The Brexit negotiations have not even started and seemed to have hit a wall, whilst UK growth forecasts for next year and beyond have shrunk.

I still feel based on current market conditions that the downside risk outweighs the current upside gains and for this reason I would be removing as much risk as possible from the current market.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

Election week is heating up. How will it effect the currency market? (Daniel Johnson)

Labor only 4 points behind the Tories

Labor are now very close in the polls to the conservatives. The latest YouGov poll has a gap of just four points. Historically, during an election the currency in question weakens. As a rule, the more uncertain the outcome, the weaker the currency. The conservatives are deemed as a safer bet for the UK economy than Labor. When the snap election was called we saw Sterling strengthen against the majority of major currencies due the significant lead in the polls. This gap has been cut which is why we have seen the pound drop in value.

If the conservatives gain a majority victory I would expect to see Sterling strengthen. If there is not a majority victory expect further falls for the pound. A hung parliament I would expect to see further falls for the pound. Despite many parties stating they are not willing to form a coalition with particular opposition,I’m sure they will soon change their tunes when they see the opportunity for power. As demonstrated by the Lib Dems in 2010.

If there is a coalition this could cause problems for the pound, parties combined with differing manifestos means getting anything through parliament will be problematic, but the major concern is how this will effect brexit trade negotiations. Potentially, Labor could form a coalition with more than one other party which could be considered worst case scenario for negotiations. I would not expect a pound  recovery in the event of this outcome.

If you have a currency requirement it is absolutely crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker who has traded through similar periods of volatility. We have contract options available that can put you in a position to trade even if your funds are not available, this should definitely be considered for those who are waiting on their Euros to released from other assets. This could be a small window of opportunity.

If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to get back to you within 24hrs with a free, trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you already have a currency provider I will be happy to perform a comparison and I am very confident I will be able to demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. I look forward to being of help.

 

Election news causes the Pound to wobble against the Euro (Tom Holian)

The Pound has slipped vs the Euro during Friday’s trading session as the most recent opinion poll has shown that the lead for the Tories over Labour has slipped to just 5%.

Previously the Tories were showing a huge lead over the opposition and this data release has caused a big surprise to the markets and we have seen rates to buy Euros with Pounds drop to their lowest level in months.

With the Tories previously expected to win by a huge majority this has led to the Pound weakening as any change in the voting pattern has caused concerns for investors.

Generally speaking if the existing government wins it provides another term of financial stability for UK businesses and therefore this is why the change in the poll has caused the Pound to suffer against the single currency.

Immediately after Easter when Theresa May called a snap general election this saw GBPEUR exchange rates challenge 1.20 on the Interbank level and although they didn’t reach that rate this was the highest we had seen the Pound get to vs the Euro since the end of 2016.

The Pound has also been weakening owing to rising inflation levels. Typically the Bank of England would look at increasing interest rates to combat high inflation levels but with the amount of QE having been used in recent years I cannot see any change in interest rates coming anytime soon.

Therefore, the central bank is struggling what to do next in terms of controlling inflation and this is causing problems for Sterling exchange rates vs the Euro.

With less than two weeks to go if you would like to make a currency transfer and save money compared to using your own bank then why not contact me for a free quote. I work for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers and have done since 2003 so I’m confident that a quick email could save you a lot of money.

I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

What can we expect from the GBPEUR rate in the coming weeks?

The overall implication for the pound from the UK election is likely to be some turbulence  as we get closer to the actual election, indeed we have already seen close to 5 cents movement between the high and the low since the snap-election was called back in April. Overall the the belief that the pound will rise after the election is I believe a little misplaced, I think there is a real risk the pound could actually fall because expectations will not be met. What I also believe is that the Euro will remain strong and this will continue to weigh on the pound to euro rate and continue to make buying Euros more expensive.

With the pound currently mid range against the euro based on the trends of this year I believe Euro buyers are still looking at some tempting opportunities. With an election comes uncertainty and whilst A strong Theresa May victory would see sterling rise, this cannot be guaranteed. If we look at the last two elections the polls have been wrong and we know that the polls before the Referendum pointed towards a Remain vote. Gambling that the outcome will be favourable for you could prove a costly mistake.

Political concerns in the Eurozone have abated with Le Pen failing to make her mark on the French Presidency and Emmanuel Macron helping to soothe nerves that France might be at threat from the right wing populism that many believed was sweeping across the world. The general belief for the GBPEUR rate is that the pound still remains on the back foot and susceptible to sudden deterioration as the market still tries to come to terms with the Brexit.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling pound to Euros please get in touch to learn of the best deals and rates plus receive some practical assistance with the timing of any transfer too. Please email jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn more about the rates and services we can offer.

Pound continues to fall against the Euro as predicted (Tom Holian)

Pound Euro exchange rates have continued to fall during today’s trading session and this has been the case for almost two weeks now.

There doesn’t appear to be a lot of confidence in Sterling at the moment and the Euro is going from strength to strength.

Not only is the Euro strong vs the Pound but it is also strong vs the US Dollar.

Typically when the Dollar weakens this results in Euro strength and this appears to be the case at the moment.

There is a lot of economic data due out for Europe tomorrow with German GDP data for the first quarter as well as manufacturing data.

As Germany is the leading economy in Europe if the economic data is strong in the morning expect GBPEUR exchange rates to fall.

Turning the focus to the UK, inflation has been one of the main culprits for Sterling’s recent demise vs the Euro. The Inflation Report Hearings are due out at 11am and if they highlight the ongoing problem then I expect to see the Pound fall even further against the single currency.

With just over a fortnight to go before the UK’s general election then we could see further volatility ahead so if you want to avoid the risk of the market moving against you then it may be worth looking at buying a forward contract which allows you to secure an exchange rate for a future date.

If you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates as well as helping you with the timing of your trade.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Economic data to set the tone for Pound vs Euro exchange rates this week (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued to drift down vs the Euro during today’s trading session as the markets are still digesting the news from the back end of last week.

However, the market has remained relatively quiet today in anticipation of another big day in terms of economic data tomorrow and Wednesday.

Although we saw the news from the latest Quarterly Inflation Report on Thursday all eyes will be on tomorrow morning’s Consumer Price Index due at 930am. The expectation is for 2.6% which is higher than the Bank of England’s target of 2% so anything different could cause some volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates.

Closely following the UK’s inflation data the Eurozone will release GDP data for the first quarter of 2017. The expectation is for growth of 1.7% year on year and with the German economy performing well in recent weeks I would not be surprised to see a positive announcement for the Eurozone and if this takes place we could see the Pound lose ground vs the Euro during tomorrow’s trading session.

On Wednesday UK unemployment data is due and although unemployment figures have been getting lower here in the UK the real problem is that of Average Earnings which have started to slow recently.

In layman’s terms this means that although there are more people in work their spending power is reduced and generally speaking this tends to weaken the currency involved.

Therefore, I think over the next two days Sterling will face a difficult period vs the Euro.

If you would like further information or for a free quote when buying or selling Euros compared to using your own bank then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Working for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates as well as being able to offer you different types of contracts including forward contracts which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date.

Email me below.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Pound to Euro rate hits one-week low as Bank of England lowers growth forecast (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has dropped to its lowest level in a week yesterday as data from the disappointed.

The Bank of England (BoE) slashed its growth forecast as yesterday’s quarterly inflation report confirmed that inflation levels within the UK will soon outstrip earnings growth. Sterling has dropped below 1.1850 this morning as the softening of the Pound continues although the currency is still towards the top of the current trading range.

Those considering a Sterling transfer should bear in mind that earlier this week analysts at Lloyds bank downgraded their GBP/EUR price target from 1.18 to 1.16 at the end of 2017. This level is below the Pounds current mid-market value, so it seems that some professionals expect the pound to fall as the year goes on.

I also think that if it surfaces that Brexit negotiations have begun badly, we could see a sell-off for the Pound as the setting up of new trade agreements is likely to be the governments priority as the UK enters a time of uncertainty. Now that economic data is playing a more prominent role in the value of the Pound it’s certainly worth paying a close eye on data releases as they’re impacting Sterling rates to a greater extent than last year when politics played a greater role.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Macron wins but Euro remains flat against the Pound (Tom Holian)

Emmanuel Macron has been confirmed as the new President of France with a convincing win over the more controversial candidate Marine Le Pen.

What make this interesting in terms of the currency markets is that this has done little to move the Euro vs the Pound and if anything we have seen GBPEUR exchange rates make gains since the start of the week.

Tomorrow morning there is a host of economic data due out from Germany in the form of Industrial Production data as well as Trade Balance. As Germany is the leading economy in the Eurozone any data can affect GBPEUR exchange rates.

The focus is now likely to return to what is happening politically in the UK and with the general election due to take place a month from today I think we could see the Pound make some gains in the weeks ahead as it appears as though the Tories will win with a clear majority at the moment.

If this happens this could provide the UK with more stability which means Theresa May will be able to start progressing the Brexit negotiations.

Therefore, if you’re in the process of looking to sell Euros during this month it may be worth looking at a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate with a small deposit for a future date.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your transfer. 

If you have a currency transfer to make involving buying Euros or selling Euros and would like further information or a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Will the Pound improve after the French election? (Tom Holian)

We are now just a short time away from the French election which will be key in the short term movement for GBPEUR exchange rates.

At the moment it looks more than likely that Macron will win on Sunday with a clear majority vs Marine Le Pen but for me if the vote is closer than most expect then I think we’ll see some problems ahead for the single currency.

Le Pen is one of the most controversial candidates in France for years as she has campaigned for both a French referendum on the European Union as well as leaving the Euro in favour of the French Franc.

With the UK election campaign now in full swing I think as the Tories have done so well with the local elections I don’t see any real challenge from any other party and this is likely to provide Theresa May with a clear path to victory.

Over the month I think we could see the Pound improving against the Euro challenging 1.20 on the Interbank level.

However, once the general election is concluded the focus will then return to the Brexit negotiations and Theresa May has already said she’ll make things difficult and therefore I think we’ll see the Pound start to fall once the talks commence.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident of being able to offer you both bank beating exchange rates and also help you with various contract types typically not available from your own bank.

For further information or for a free quote when buying or selling Euros then feel free to contact med directly and I look forward to hearing form you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Could Tough Brexit Negotiations Halt Sterling’s Rise? (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound has enjoyed a positive run against the EUR of late but has found resistance around the current levels over recent days.

With the pair now trading around 1.18, having hit a high of over 1.19 over the past couple of weeks, it indicates that the EUR is finding a lot of support under 1.20.

As regular readers will know this is a key resistance level on the pair and I certainly feel we need to see another shift in market sentiment, in order for the Pound to break through this.

Whilst the EUR has come under pressure ahead of the French elections, with the markets fearing a far right Le Pen victory, this scenario looks to becoming less and less likely. Whilst I’m wary about reading too much into poll numbers following last year’s surprising Brexit result and Trump’s victory in the US elections, I do feel that a Macron win on Sunday will help to solidify the single currencies positon.

The Pound found support following the announcement of a UK general election in June and the likely result of a Conservative victory, bringing an element of stability to the markets due to the continuity it will bring over the coming years. However, this positive spike seems to have cooled somewhat and based on some worrying reports this week, in regards to the UK’s Brexit negotiations and how tough they are likely to be, are you prepared to risk losing the gains made for Sterling over the past month?

My overall feeling has been that clients holding the Pound should be looking for short-term market opportunities, rather than hold out for long-term sustainable gains whilst so much uncertainty around the UK economy remains.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May has come out fighting this week, in response to reports that the UK has little understanding of how the EU works if it thinks it will be getting a good deal in regards to our Brexit. Whilst political jostling could account for a portion of this, I do feel we are in for a rocky road over the coming months. As such I would be looking to protect any GBP/EUR requirement, rather than gamble on an extremely uncertain market.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.

1.20 Still a Key Resistance Level for GBP/EUR Exchange Rates (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has met resistance under 1.20 against the EUR and is struggling to break through this key level for the pair.

Despite this week’s positive move, I am not convinced that the recent trend will allow the Pound to sustainably move above this threshold.

Sterling has gained over two cents following UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s decision to call a snap general election in June. This positive move went against the grain, as historically any political U-turns usually bring with it a level of uncertainty and the currency in question is put under pressure. As regular readers will know any economic & political uncertainty is a currencies biggest downfall and for this reason I would be extremely tempted to take advantage of Sterling’s gains over the past 48 hours.

There are still many unanswered questions and despite many assuming the result of the election is a forgone conclusion, last year’s political outcomes in terms of the Brexit result and President Trump’s victory, should head a warning to us all that the expected outcome does not always come to fruition.

There is no doubt Sterling has gained a foothold and EUR sellers may well have missed the opportune time to sell their positions but the current levels remain attractive, certainly when you consider the history on the pair.

The main talking point over the next few of weeks is likely to centre around the French elections and with the far right Marine Le Penn once again gaining support, having seemingly been out of the race, investors are likely to be extremely wary about what the outcome could be should she get into power. With so much economic and political uncertainty across the Eurozone region are you prepared to gamble on a seismic shift in market conditions, which would be needed to significantly boost the EUR value in my opinion.

My overall opinion is that both buyers and sellers should be looking at short-term market opportunities to secure their transfers, rather than gamble on the long-term outcome whilst so much uncertainty surrounding the UK & Eurozone economies remains.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt.

Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk.