Tag Archives: eurozone

GBP/EUR exchange rates still range bound – Data tomorrow to impact Euro exchange rates

So far this week we have still seen GBP/EUR exchange rates remain in the same range of 1.12 – 1.13 with no major threat of breaking out.

Tomorrow we have a number of releases that do have the potential to change that, all from the Eurozone.

European Central Bank president Mario Draghi is due to speak tomorrow morning at 08:00am and ECB member Praet is due to follow up with a speech at 08:45am. Any comments from either member that hint towards any fuiscal changes in the coming days, weeks or month could lead to volatility for Euro exchange rates.

Later in the morning we have industrial production figures, employment change and the ECB vice president Vitor Constancio and any one of these three have the potential to move the markets, industrial production figures are due to have come down a little which may weaken the Euro, employment change is also expected to have fallen too so we may see a little weakness for the Euro in the morning should these expectations be correct.

Towards the end of the trading week on Friday we have Consumer Price Index or CPI figures due out from the Eurozone and this might lead to a volatile finish to the week for Euro exchange rates in what looks on paper like a reasonably quiet week for economic data releases, key speeches and Brexit based news.

If you are generally busy a lot of the time and you do not have time to watch the market then a proactive and reliable broker should be able to do this for you, if you would like me to do exactly that then you are more than welcome to get in touch with me directly. Having worked in currency exchange for over a decade not only do I understand the importance of keeping clients up to date with market movements, but also how much difference timing a transaction correctly can make.

If you would like my assistance, feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to get in touch with you directly.

Will the Pound to Euro rate manage to break out of its current trend? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been trading within quite a thin range for some time now, as the pair have failed to break out of the 1.12 to 1.1450 trading range significantly for some time now.

Sterling has struggled to rise above the 1.15 mark since June of last year, so those of our readers following the rates hoping for good times to make their transfer should consider that GBP/EUR is still towards the top end of its trend.

In order for our readers to base their trades off of levels in the 1.15’s, they will need to see Sterling improve to levels not seen for some time.

Friday could be the busiest day for GBP/EUR exchange rates this week due to the high volume of data set for release as well as a number of key persons set to speak. It’s day’s such as this that can result in a break out of a long term trend so those planning on making a transfer should consider planning around busy days of economic data. This is something we can help with so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to discuss this further.

There will be construction data released at 9.30am on Friday, and both Theresa May and (UK PM) along with the governor of the Bank of England (Mark Carney) will be speaking so expect any new Brexit breakthroughs to result in movement for the GBP/EUR exchange rate.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the release of the Brexit plan result in a stronger Pound? (Joseph Wright)

The negotiations between the UK and EU regarding the Brexit have been heating up recently, and we’re shortly expected to know what the UK’s stance is.

Just yesterday UK Prime Minister, Theresa May held emergency talks with senior cabinet members behind closed doors. The talks took place at her country residence, Chequers and one MP told the press that she ‘played a blinder’. Within the next month we’re expected to know what the Brexit plans are so I think although the markets are quite calm at the moment, we could see a lot of movement for the Pound to Euro rate in the next month.

Next week Theresa May will also be giving a speech again outlining her stance on Brexit talks so far and plans moving forward.

Although economic data is once again having an effect on the Pounds value I think that politics is likely to be the main driver of GBP exchange rates in the current climate, which makes it harder to judge where the Pound will move next and when.

If you would like to be notified in the event of a major spike for the Pound in either direction, do feel free to register your interest with me as working on a trading floor allows us to react in the wake of a major move.

Later today there will be the release of EU Inflation data which could move the markets depending on how the figure comes out.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP/EUR Forecast – Brexit Negotiations Continue to Drive Sterling’s Value (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have remained flat during Tuesday’s trading, with the markets seemingly waiting on the next Brexit report before making a major move.

The pair has remained rang bound of late, with Sterling finding plenty of support above 1.10 but not threatening to break through 1.13 against its EUR counterpart.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May has reshuffled her cabinet in the hope of bringing some stability and in turn some confidence back to the markets. However, investors have not reacted particularly positively to this development and whilst the Pound has found a foothold of late, a sustainable increase against the EUR looks unlikely under current market conditions.

The EUR itself has benefited from a prosperous Eurozone economy, which has exceeded expectation at almost every turn. It seems to have been the currency of choice for investors throughout much of 2017 but whether that trend continues over the coming months, is likely to be hinge on how phase two of Brexit negotiations develop.

With so much market focus and emphasis on the UK’s separation from EU neighbours, any positive strides forward in this sphere is likely to benefit Sterling immensely. Brexit has been a weight around its neck for the past 18 months but personally, I feel any resolution in the short-term is highly unlikely.

It is far more conceivable that negotiation’s will continue to stagnate, as they did during the early stages, and this in turn is likely to handicap any sustainable increases for the Pound.

Therefore I would be tempted to remove any risk from the market and lock in any short-term currency exchange before Brexit negotiations resume.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency transfer to make you can contact me directly on 01494 787 478. We can help guide you through this turbulent market and as a company we have over eighteen years’ experience, in helping our clients achieve the very best exchange rates on any given market.

Our award inning rates can be accessed very easily over the phone and I can keep you posted with key market developments ahead of any prospective exchange you need to make.

Feel free to email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk to find out all the options available to you ahead of your currency transfer.

What can we expect in 2018 on GBPEUR exchange rates?

2018 is looking like another volatile year with plenty of fresh news and developments in a number of areas which could see changes and shifts in the GBPEUR exchange rate. Notably, Brexit will continue to be a key driver for the pound which will see the rates inextricably linked to shifts in sentiment over the Brexit. The Euro has a number of key hurdles to overcome, mainly political like the UK.

If you are considering buying Euros you would be forgiven for checking the headlines over Angela Merkel and the Spanish situation and expecting the Euro to be much weaker. The outlook for the Euro is however still very positive despite the fear and uncertainty surrounding the political situation. Yes, the outlook for the Euro has deteriorated slightly but the prospects for the Euro still remain rather positive.

All in all, the uncertainty surrounding Brexit will I feel be more of a drag on GBPEUR than the political uncertainty in the Eurozone. We should see the market shift according to the run of events which could see the Euro weaker in March when we have the Italian election. Further negative developments on the Spanish or German situation could weigh on the Euro but as mentioned I do feel the weakness of the pound will remain more in focus once again in 2018.

If you are buying or selling Euros for pounds the exchange rate is at an important junction as we have more reasons to be positive over Brexit which has helped the pound, but a number of challenges remain ahead. If you wish to get an overview of the position or discuss further a forecast relating specifically to your position, please feel free to contact me Jonny to discuss further your currency situation.

To learn more about the year ahead on GBPEUR exchange rates and discuss options and strategy please contact me on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Rate hike expectations pushing up the Pound, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has continued to climb against the Euro in the lead up to this Thursday’s interest rate decision by the Bank of England.

It will be at 12pm tomorrow when the decision will be announced and markets are expecting to see the base rate hiked by 25 basis points to 0.5%. This will be the first hike in 10 years if it goes ahead and likely to make financial headlines, although should it go ahead like many expect I think there will be quite a muted response by markets as the hike is already being priced in to the Pound’s value.

I think the risk lies in the not being a rate hike, as the Pound would be likely to fall quite dramatically due to there being many disappointed investors as well as speculators quick to try and take advantage of the fall.

For those of our readers planning an upcoming currency exchange involving the Pound, and hoping the expected rate hike will make the Pound gain more value I would be weary as due to the expectations of it happening I personally think it’s unlikely there will be much market reaction.

If you wish to be updated should there be any major movement do feel free to register your interest with me, as working on a trading floor allows us to react instantly to market movements.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

All eyes on Inflation figures this morning (Joseph Wright)

This morning could be important for Sterling exchange rates, not just this morning but moving forward as analysts are expecting to see UK inflation levels hit a 5-year high.

The weakening of the Pound since the Brexit vote has pushed up the rate of inflation in the UK, and for a while now the inflation level has been well above the Bank of England’s 2% target. Many analysts in the city are expecting to see the rate hit 3% for September, and if this happens there is a high chance that the Bank of England may look to hike interest rates for the first time in over 10 years.

A 3% inflation level would be a 5-year high and the governor of the Bank of England has hinted at hiking rates as soon as next month.

A high reading this morning would likely result in Sterling strength as the markets would expect to see a rate hike from the BoE, and at the same time if the inflation level is lower than expectations, I think there’s a chance the Pound would fall.

Mark Carney will also be speaking later this morning as he testifies to MP’s on the Treasury this morning. It will be interesting to see whether he discusses inflation and potential rate hikes and if he does it will be interesting to see how the Pound reacts.

Aside from today’s busy morning this Thursday could also be busy as Retail Sales data will be released which could impact Sterling depending on how the figures perform.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate in focus as it’s trading at an 8-year low, will the sell-off continue? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling is continuing to come under pressure this morning after breaching the 1.09 mark during yesterday’s trading session.

The breach of 1.09 has continued this morning as the pair are now trading at their lowest levels since 2009, with 1.0868 the lowest level the pair have hit so far.

This comes at a time where risk appetite worldwide is on the decline after US President Donald Trump’s threat to end the NAFTA agreement and shut down the US government if he doesn’t receive funding for the wall he plans on building along the boarder of Mexico.

There have also been a number of forecasts from major financial institutions recently suggesting the Pound could fall as low as 1 for 1 with the Euro, with HSBC, Morgan Stanley and Citi all making this same prediction for the pair in 2018.

Should these predictions comes true then it may be worth looking into the current exchange rates if you’re planning a large GBP to EUR transfer as there is still some distance to go should they be correct.

Tomorrow at 9.30am there will be the release of UK GDP data for the month of July, and there could be movement between GBP/EUR if this figure is released some distance from its expectation.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

The number of GBP to EUR parity forecasts increases, will GBP/EUR hit 1.1 by the end of the year? (Joseph Wright)

The talk of Brexit negotiations beginning badly is having an impact on the Pounds value against all major currency pairs, but it appears that the GBP/EUR rate has been the biggest loser in all of this so far.

Recent comments from David Davis, the Brexit secretary have added fuel to the fire after he revealed that Michel Barnier ‘is getting quite cross with us’. Michel Barnier is the EU’s chief negotiator which just goes to show that the UK going to need to get a move on regarding its Brexit negotiation plans.

With there being less likelihood of an interest rate hike this year from the Bank of England now that inflation pressures have subsided there have been a number of major financial institutions forecasting parity between the Pound and the Euro in 2018.

In just the last week, Morgan Stanley, HSBC and now City Index have all made this prediction which gives those planning on making a large GBP to EUR transfer a decision to make as the rate is currently just below 1.10.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding the Pound to Euros price movements do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Macron wins but Euro remains flat against the Pound (Tom Holian)

Emmanuel Macron has been confirmed as the new President of France with a convincing win over the more controversial candidate Marine Le Pen.

What make this interesting in terms of the currency markets is that this has done little to move the Euro vs the Pound and if anything we have seen GBPEUR exchange rates make gains since the start of the week.

Tomorrow morning there is a host of economic data due out from Germany in the form of Industrial Production data as well as Trade Balance. As Germany is the leading economy in the Eurozone any data can affect GBPEUR exchange rates.

The focus is now likely to return to what is happening politically in the UK and with the general election due to take place a month from today I think we could see the Pound make some gains in the weeks ahead as it appears as though the Tories will win with a clear majority at the moment.

If this happens this could provide the UK with more stability which means Theresa May will be able to start progressing the Brexit negotiations.

Therefore, if you’re in the process of looking to sell Euros during this month it may be worth looking at a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate with a small deposit for a future date.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your transfer. 

If you have a currency transfer to make involving buying Euros or selling Euros and would like further information or a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

French election news strengthens the Euro vs the Pound (Tom Holian)

Sterling vs Euro exchange rates have fallen from their recent high reached five months ago after the UK announced a snap general election last week.

This gave the Pound a much needed boost vs the Euro but the gains have been short lived as the French elections announced their first round of results over the weekend.

The French public have voted for two candidates who will now go head to head in the next round which is due to take place on May 7th. The likelihood is that Emmanuel Macron will defeat the more controversial National Front leader Marine Le Pen.

This has led to the single currency recovering from its losses from the end of last week and the reason for the improvement in EURGBP exchange rates during today.

On Thursday there are a number of data releases likely to affect GBPEUR exchange rates with Services data from the Eurozone alongside a Business Climate indicator survey.

This will be followed by the latest European Central Bank decision due out and the subsequent statement released by ECB president Mario Draghi.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industryfor one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident not only of offering you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your trade,

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Pound to Euro rate drops in wake in Dutch election results, where to next for GBP/EUR? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has continued to lose value against the Euro throughout the month, and despite making a few fight-backs the currency is now lodged below the 1.15 mark at the mid-market level.

Late last night it was announced that Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte won the most seats in the parliamentary election, and defeated far-right hopeful Gert Wilders who was predicted to put in a strong performance. Had Wilders of won more seats or put in a stronger performance I would have expected to see the Euro lose value on fears of his plans to remove the Netherlands from the EU, but the win for the current Prime Minister has eased these fears which has strengthened the Euro further.

The Euro had been boosted recently after the European Central Bank recently confirmed that they will be tapering the current quantitative easing programme due to signs of the economy improving.

Moving forward I think we could see the Euro gain even further as the Brexit begins, particularly if it becomes public that trade negotiations are going badly.

Later today there will be an interest rate decision from the Bank of England, and although no changes are expected it will be interesting to see what governor Mark Carney has to say regarding the UK economy.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBPEUR drops to 1 month low

The pound to euro rate has slipped to a 1 month low as sterling buckles under fresh economic uncertainty from the Brexit. Many commentators now feel the UK is likely to enter a period of slow growth which does not bode well for the future. As the economy begins to slow down this is being attributed to the weak pound as it makes overseas purchases more expensive and pushes up costs for many businesses and consumers. The weaker pound we are seeing is likely to continue in the coming weeks particularly as we get closer to the triggering of Article 50.

Article 50 could be triggered any day now and the viewpoint that the pound will strengthen is perhaps not as entrenched as first might have been believed. The overall trend on GBPEUR has been lower lately and personally, I wouldn’t be surprised to see further losses. Much of the recent Euro weakness has now been priced into the current GBPEUR offering which will I believe see the rate struggle to rise much higher.

If you have a transfer involving the pound and the euro making some plans in advance is crucial to understanding what we will expect next. The rate could just as easily slip to 1.10 as fly up to 1.20. I expect the level will find some support now we have had all the bad news in the market priced in.

If you have a transfer to make please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk for the latest trends and themes and some proactive assistance to meet and secure your currency.

Will GBPEUR rates hit 1.20 or 1.10 again?

Most expectations centre around the likelihood sterling will rise further against a weaker Euro in the coming weeks and months since the general impression for the market is the Euro will become weaker on political uncertainty. GBPEUR is currently resting around 1.15-1.16 but I feel a move higher and both lower is feasible. With so many different events potentially to affect the rate clients looking to buy or sell the pound and euro should be I believe making careful plans sooner rather than later.

The first major hurdles begin next month when the triggering of Article 50 will take place and should see attention firmly on the UK. With most analysts predicting the pound will fall lower in the coming months I would not be surprised to the pound react badly. Whilst we have seen sterling stronger in many respects because we have some clarity over Brexit there are still numerous details to finalise. What kind of deal will the UK get? Will it be achievable in two years? Sterling is clearly going to remain in choppy waters and any pending economic damage from the recent rising Inflation rates could also torpedo sterling strength.

Turning to events across the Channel we are of course not too far from some major political uncertainty there too. Dutch elections scheduled for the 15th March could see GBPEUR come under some real pressure with the Euro likely to weaken further in the coming months. I would not be surprised to see GBPEUR come under further pressure with GBPEUR quite likely to reach the 1.20 mark although this is more than likely to be in the month of April.

If you have a transfer to consider involving the pound or euro then making some firm plans in advance is I believe a sensible move. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR rises to fresh highs, what next?

GBPEUR rates have risen to fresh highs presenting some new opportunities for Euro buyers to buy Euros at much better exchange rates than previously thought. The pound to Euro rate rose to almost 1.16 which is a big improvement from the 1.12 that was on offer only a few days ago. Most analysts are worried about the pound in the coming months but Theresa May’s speech has given us fresh direction which could be well worth taking advantage of.

The pound has risen as Theresa May looks to set out a clear vision on her plans for Brexit. This will be in contrast to some of the EU leaders who will give a speech today and may well be looking to dampen May’s position. Expectations are for the UK to now approach the negotiations with some more vigour but it will interesting to see just the pound to euro rate reacts as we learn of updates from the EU as to how they have viewed the recent comments by May.

There is still plenty happening this week which could move the GBPEUR rate including the release of the latest UK Unemployment data today and then the European Central Bank interest rate decision and meeting tomorrow. Markets are very much focused on what is happening for the pound over Brexit but these events  could present some short term opportunities.

Friday is also Donald Trump’s inauguration which could really move the market as investors second guess the market and how Donald Trump’s policies will move global indices on currency and commodities. Most investors are now awaiting with baited breath the next twists and turns on GBPEUR, personally if I was buying Euros I would be cautious about holding on for too long.

For further information on the getting the best exchange rates please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I am very confident I can help with some useful information and an exchange rate that will save you money over other sources, please feel free to contact me.

Thank you for reading.

Jonathan Watson

What trading rates can I expect on GBPEUR in 2017?

I would expect that the GBPEUR levels on offer for GBPEUR in the coming weeks and months will remain within the ranges we have seen since the Referendum. These are 1.2013 to 1.1068 on the interbank exchange rate. Simply knowing the ranges is helpful but what is more useful is the upcoming events that can move the rates and understanding in advance your options to help you navigate the markets. Understanding the FX markets is some respects simple, in others impossible to make sense of.

We could easily be looking at a quick change on GBPEUR at any point in the next week or so as the Supreme Court decision is released. We are looking to this result as the main driver on GBPEUR in the short term. If you have a transfer to consider you should be closely monitoring this decision or if you wish you can alert me to your position and I can monitor it for you. Just email jmw@currencies.co.uk to highlight your situation Other flashpoints include the inauguration of Donald Trump on the 20th December. Will we finally see this as the end of the Trump rally that has been taking place in recent weeks?

Looking further into 2017 we have also the Dutch and French elections. If you have a transfer to consider in the future then making sure you are aware of such issues and their potential to impact your exchange rate is sensible. Personally I feel the pound is undervalued at present. There is real potential for some upside in the coming weeks and months once we get some clarity on the Brexit plans. Ultimately this could take a few months to manifest so clients looking to move now or in the next 6 weeks might wish to take advantage of any short term spikes as the pound is likely to remain under pressure.

For more information on events that will shape your exchange rate please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I am your personal account manager here and will be very happy to hear from you and offer some assistance.

Thank you for reading, I look forward to answering your questions.

Sterling Struggling to Find Support Above 1.20 (Matthew Vassallo)

Sterling has found a lot of resistance around 1.20 against the EUR, with the single currency continuing to find support under this threshold.

The Pound has touched this level on more than one occasion over the past couple of weeks but evidently does have enough market support, or investor confidence to breach this consistently under the current market conditions.

1.20 has become something of a glass ceiling for the Pound and whilst GBP has clearly found a foothold over recent weeks, I’m not convinced that we are going to see another aggressive move in the short-term.  Whilst the Eurozone is facing multiple problems of its own, both economically and politically, the UK economy’s  prosperity is currently being driven by our on-going Brexit from the EU.

This is likely dominate market sentiment for months, possibly even years to come and as such I would be wary about putting too much faith in sustainable Sterling strength. Until we have a clear picture of how we will facilitate our Brexit the uncertainty that this has created will handicap any major advances for the Pound in my opinion.

I do feel as we move into 2017 and assuming we do get some factual information released about how the UK economy will move forward post Brexit, that economic issues manifesting themselves inside the Eurozone will inadvertently push Sterling’s value up. However, I would be prepared to gamble on this and as such I would be taking advantage of the 4-5 cent improvement seen for those clients holding the Pound over the past month.

If you have an upcoming Sterling currency exchange to make and you are concerned by the increased market volatility of late, it may be wise to look at protecting the gains you’ve made, or limiting your losses with one of our forward contracts, rather than gamble on what has become an increasingly volatile and unpredictable market.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements ahead of your currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

 

GBPEUR may rise towards the end of this week!

The pound to euro exchange rate could experience volatility towards the end of this week following a key piece of economic news from the United States. The US will vote on whether or not to raise their interest rate this week Wednesday and it is widely expected they will vote to hike rates by 0.25%. If you are looking to make GBPEUR exchange this news will have an impact on your exchange rate and the currency markets.

The US dollar is the worlds most traded currency and as such has very strong relationships with each currency. Simply put movements on the US dollar have bearing on all currencies. Therefore with the big decision on Wednesday night we could see the pound and the Euro reacting individually to the US dollar which will influence their own relationship.

The outcome of tomorrow’s decision will in my opinion weaken the Euro since the pound has generally been holding up against the US dollar. Therefore as the US dollar strengthens (assuming the Fed do raise rates) then the Euro should weaken which will present some better opportunities to buy the Euro with the pound.

This morning at 09.30 am is the latest UK Inflation data which will of course effect the pound, then tomorrow is the latest UK Unemployment data. Retail Sales for the UK is released Thursday when of course we will also have the latest news from the US Interest rate decision. Another factor in all of this will be the Inflation Eurozone data released Thursday, all in all this is a busy week for the GBPEUR rate.

I expect the GBPEUR rate to be higher towards the end of the week, if you have any transfers to consider please speak to me about how to go about forming a strategy to help you capitalise on any improvements. Please either email jmw@currencies.co.uk or call 01494 787 478. I would be very interested to speak with you and offer assistance with your plans.

Sterling Euro hits 3 month high on single market comments (Tom Holian)

Sterling Euro exchange rates hit a 3 month high during yesterday’s trading session breaking through 1.19 on the Interbank level after comments from Brexit secretary David Davis that the UK may still make payments to the EU even after we’ve left in order to stay in the single market.

These comments really helped the Pound to gain vs all major currencies and hence the 3 month high to buy Euros yesterday.

This weekend could possibly result in even higher levels for GBPEUR exchange rates when the Italians hold their own referendum on constitutional reform on Sunday.

Matteo Renzi is looking to change the banking sector centrally but if the vote doesn’t go his way he has threatened to resign and if this does happen then this is likely to cause political uncertainty for one of the strongest nations in the Eurozone and therefore this could result in Euro weakness vs the Pound.

The Euro has really struggled vs the US Dollar hitting close to a decade low recently and owing to the Dollar strength this has helped the Pound to make gains vs the single currency.

Also next week the European Central Bank are due to meet to discuss their latest interest rate decision on Thursday and although I don’t expect a rate cut to come I think the central bank will discuss the problems with low inflation on the continent and this could lead to further Quantitative Easing being announced which could see GBPEUR rates go in an upwards direction.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident that not only can I offer you bank beating exchange rates when buying or selling Euros but also help you with the timing of your transfer.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to buy or sell Euros then please email me for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

GBP/EUR Spike Following False Memo (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have recovered this morning following yesterday’s losses for the Pound. Sterling lost value yesterday following the release an apparent leaked memo, which indicated that up 30,000 additional civil servants would be required to facilitate our Brexit following the triggering of Article 50.

This memo was widely renounced last night and this morning and the Pound has benefited as a result. Despite today’s spike yesterday’s sudden dip proves how fragile the UK economy and GBP remains in investors eyes and for that reason I would still be keen to take advantage of the improvement seen since last week.

GBP/EUR movements have been unpredictable ever since the UK’s decision to leave the EU and with pressure on both the UK & Eurozone economies I do not anticipate this trend to change anytime soon. Unless you are a gambler or extremely risk adverse, I would be tempted to make provisions to try and limit further negative market movement by locking in any short-term currency exchanges. You can also look to protect longer-term positions by way of a forward contract, which will completely eliminate the chance of future negative market movement.

The global impact of US President elect Donald Trump is yet to take full effect and with so much uncertainty surrounding the UK and our upcoming Brexit, alongside vast political and economic positons inside the Eurozone, I would not be prepared to risk heavy losses in such an uncertain and unstable market.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency exchange to make and you are concerned by the increased market volatility of late, it may be wise to look at protecting the gains you’ve made, or limiting your losses with one of our forward contracts, rather than gamble on what has become an increasingly volatile and unpredictable market.

If you would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements ahead of your currency exchange, or simply wish to compare our award-winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk