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Euro buying opportunity as Italian politics causes concern

The Euro has weakened as investors struggle to make sense of the latest news from Italy and their political situation as we wait to learn the latest coalition proposals. This has been directly linked to the latest news from the 5-Star party and also the far-right league who have both indicated that they are pursuing an agenda which does not conform to the current visions embodied by Merkel and Macron.

Aiming for deeper integration we have seen the Euro rising on the back of previously held views which believe the Eurozone is likely to grow close together and represent a more solid foundation for the future. This highly held view is now under threat as we begin to see a worrying picture emerging of political uncertainty which might create some concerns for future.

The Italian situation could easily spiral out of control as markets being to digest the latest news which is emerging of a government that does not correspond to the high expectations being placed on them. Any breakdown in talks or pursuit of policies which go against the current sentiments from the EU will ultimately lead to a concern for the markets that the Eurozone has some tough questions to answer on the politics front.

GBPEUR has nearly hit 1.15 this morning and EURUSD hit 1.17 today, these are excellent fresh opportunities which may not last if the current viewpoint suddenly deteriorates. If you have a transfer to consider in the future then making plans in advance is sensible to try and avoid the prospect of the market suddenly moving against you.

For more information at no cost or obligation please don’t hesitate to contact me Jonathan buy emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Has GBP/EUR already hit its 2018 high, and what factors could drive its value as the year progresses?

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading around the 1.14 mark, after seeing a slight boost yesterday off the back of some positive data.

After beginning yesterday’s trading session closer to the 1.13 mark the Pound was boosted when the Office of National Statistics (ONS) announced that UK unemployment sits at the record low of 4.2%, and that wage growth in the UK has outpaced the rate of inflation for the first time in a year.

Despite this positive data the Pound to Euro rate is still a couple of cents from its highest levels this year when the pair almost hit 1.16. The positive sentiment surrounding the Pound has since dropped off after the Bank of England voted against a rate hike at last weeks monetary policy meeting.

In order for GBP/EUR to hit a new 2018 high I think there will need to be a breakthrough regarding the final Brexit deal, as such positive news would likely push the Pound higher. I also think that if talk of a rate hike returns later in the year we could see a stronger Pound, especially if the European Central Bank (ECB) continue to hold off of raising interest rates this year.

For those following the pair, its worth noting that Morgan Stanley are predicting short term weakness in the Pounds value, before a longer term recovery as they believe the Pound is oversold and that this will continue in the short term future.

There is a lack of data out of the UK for the rest of the week, but this mornings inflation data from the Eurozone may influence exchange rates.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Euro rate hits May high this morning, will Euro weakness continue to push the rate higher?

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has hit a month high this morning, after breaking through 1.14 quite comfortably earlier today for the first time in May.

At the time of writing the pair are trading at 1.1425, offering those exchanging Pounds into Euros the chance to make their trade at the best levels in a few weeks. The move this morning looks like its off the back Euro weakness, with the EUR/USD rate hitting a fresh 2018 low over the past day.

The Euro is the worst performing major currency of the past week, and talk of stubborn inflationary levels stopping the ECB from amending the current monetary policy are beginning to dampen sentiments surrounding the Euro also. The European Central Bank has confirmed that there will be no interest rate hikes this year which is also dampened sentiment towards the Euro, so I can understand why the single currency is dropping especially when we consider how strong it’s been over the last year.

There are a few downsides for the Pound that I think Sterling sellers should be aware of. With Brexit talks stalling in the House of Lords and the Northern Irish border also becoming a hot topic, I think there is a chance the Pound could see a sell-off should there be a negative Brexit related update, and the UK economy has also been showing signs of a slowdown to Sterling sellers should be weary.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR exchange rates rise or fall by the end of the week?

With GBPEUR exchange reaches back above 1.14, it seems like a good time for euro buyer to take advantage as I expect the pound could come under pressure on Thursday when the Bank of England announce their latest interest rate decision.

The chances of a rate hike have dropped to 20% from 80% according to Lloyds and the reason for the fall is that UK economic data released last month disappointed. Retail sales, inflation and GDP all dropped significantly and recent Brexit developments are also putting pressure on the Bank of England’s decision.

Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney has stated over the last 18 months that Brexit developments will influence monetary policy, and with the House of Lords on a weekly basis heavily criticizing the Government, UK Prime Minister Theresa May appears to be stuck between a rock and a hard place. It was only this afternoon the House of Lords stated the UK should remain part of the single market.

My personal opinion is that the Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold and the Governor Mark Carney will continue with his stance that a hike is likely to occur this year, however he will not confirm when and this will cause the pound to lose further value.

To finish the week all eyes will turn to the ECB and President Mario Draghi’s speech. Every time the President speaks, investors are watching closely for guidance in regards to the QE program. Time is running out for the President as he will want to give the markets as much time to adjust and the plan was to cut the QE program by the end of the year. This story has the potential to have a major influence of GBPEUR exchange rates moving forward.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

 

 

GDP to influence exchange rates this week

The recent positive run for GBPEUR exchange rates came to an end last week, when UK inflation feel sharply and Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney couldn’t confirm the prospects of an interest rate hike in May. Sterling fell from the 1.16s to the 1.14s causing concern for euro buyers. Any further commentary from the Bank of England over the next couple of weeks before the decision will have the potential to cause further fluctuations.

Other UK economic data in the form of Retail sales was another reason why the Governor failed to state a hike is just around the corner. UK GDP numbers are set to be released this week and the predictions are for a slight fall as the adverse weather conditions continue to cause a problem for the UK. If GDP falls I expect that an interest rate hike may not occur which could be a problem for euro buyers but good news for Euro sellers.

In other news the house of commons is set to meet this week to discuss the customs union. The House of lords voted in favour of remaining within the customers union, however Theresa May has made it clear that the  UK is leaving. If this story continues to escalate again this could put pressure on the pound.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

GBPEUR plummets due to Mark Carney

Late last night Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney told the BBC that an interest rate hike would occur this year but failed to announce that it would happen at the May meeting. He did state Brexit negotiations and the performance of the UK economy will dictate when the hike occurs. This was seen as extremely dovish by investors and the pound was sold off.

The Governor also spoke about inflation and said as always inflation needs to be monitored closely. With inflation falling quicker than expected this month to 2.5%, if this trends continues I expect to only see one hike this year, which arguably is a bad situation for clients buying euros.

The pound had been making considerable gains against the euro over the last 6 weeks due to the hype of an interest rate hike and the shift in Brexit sentiment. However not that a hike may not occur, this could be the start of the slide for sterling against the pound. Furthermore with trade negotiations set to start in the upcoming months now is the time to buy pounds in my opinion.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

ECB’s inflation concerns weaken the Euro, will GBP/EUR manage to breach 1.13 anytime soon? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate breached 1.13 today before falling back into the later 1.12’s.

Some bearish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President, Mario Draghi first thing this morning put the Euro on the back foot throughout the day, although it does appear to have some support around the 1.13 mark.

Draghi stated that there needs to be further evidence that inflation dynamics are moving in the right direction before the ECB will consider ending its extensive quantitative easing programme which appears to have disappointed the markets.

Aside from this issue data this morning showed that there have been contractions in EU employment, and industrial production figures also disappointed out of the EU as figures showed much weaker performance in January than expected.

The Pound on the other hand has been boosted recently as fears surrounding the Brexit and the transitional deal have subdued somewhat. I do think that those planning on making a currency exchange involving the Pound should be aware that details of the transitional agreement are due to go public within the next 10 days so it’ll be interesting to see how GBP exchange perform in the wake of that news.

There is a quiet end to the week scheduled for UK economic data so it’s likely that politics will remain the main mover of GBPEUR exchange rates. If you would like to be notified should there be a spike between GBP/EUR, do make me aware.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

EU summit to have major influence on GBPEUR exchange rates

Yesterday GBPEUR exchange rates spiked close to 1.13 off the back of the Spring budget update. Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond, as expected, announced that the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) have increased growth forecasts for the next 12 months up to 1.5%. Interestingly the OBR actually only cut the growth forecast from 1.5% to 1.4% at the Autumn budget, which shows the UK economy has performed well over the last 6 months.

For people that are converting pounds into euros or euros into pounds, over the last 3 months exchange rates have been range bound by roughly 3 cents. On a daily basis we are receiving positive and negative news from the UK and EU. For example, Brexit updates are varied, European growth is fantastic however there is a concern due to the Italian election result, so it just shows why GBPEUR exchange rates are up and down like a yoyo.

As a currency trader, it is my responsibility to keep my clients informed about market movement. For most people that are converting GBPEUR, they will be working throughout the day and do not have the time to watch exchange rates and that’s where I come in. If you want help in regards to timings and also to receive fantastic exchange rates feel free to email me directly drl@currencies.co.uk.

Looking ahead the EU summit next week has the potential to have a major influence on GBPEUR exchange rate. The UK had planned to have had the transitional deal sorted before the summit therefore we should expect a few announcements surrounding the transition over the next 7 days. Furthermore, exchange rates will fluctuate next week and it all depends on what is actually said. I’m optimistic that the EU will allow the UK to start discussing trade early next month and therefore I wouldn’t be surprised to see GBPEUR reach the higher end of the 3 cent range we have been experiencing over the last 3 months.

Factors impacting GBPEUR exchange rates

As always Brexit negotiations continue to drive GBPEUR exchange rates and at present GBPEUR has reached a key support level. Over the last 8 weeks every time GBPEUR has reached 1.12 we have seen the pound strengthen against the euro? The question is will this trend continue this month?

Negotiations are on going and UK Prime Minister Theresa May is asking for a bespoke trade deal with the EU, however Michel Barnier keeps reiterating that a bespoke trade deal is another phrase for cherry picking. If the transitional deal is reached this month and trade talks start early next, I expect the pound will make gains against the euro and reach the highs we were experiencing earlier in the year.

Politics in Europe are also having an impact on GPBEUR exchange rates. The good news for the Euros is that Angela Merkal has secured her position as Chancellor of Germany. However with a hung parliament in Italy at the moment and far right party 5-Star receiving the most amount of votes, people in Italy are questioning whether they should have a referendum like the UK. This story has the potential to have a considerable impact on euro exchange rates, nevertheless with 5 Star stating they will not work with any other party, it looks like a coalition could be formed by Northern League and Forza Italia.

This week the key data releases to look out for is the ECB’s interest rate decision Thursday afternoon. Interest rates are set to remain on hold, however any hint to the tapering of the quantitative easing program could strengthen the euro. The ECB have showed concern recently that the euro is overvalued due to the devaluation of the US dollar. Therefore I expect the statement by President Mario Draghi to not give to much away and therefore the euro to remain buoyant and against the pound.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will today’s speech from Theresa May offer the GBP/EUR rate direction? (Joseph Wright)

Today could prove to be a busy day for GBP exchange rates, as the UK’s Prime Minister is scheduled to speak around lunchtime today according to reports with the Brexit being in focus.

Brexit related news and updates are proving to be the biggest mover of GBP exchange rates at the moment, and time is running out for the UK and the EU to come to an arrangement so I don’t expect to see this pattern change anytime soon.

May is expected to focus on a number of topics in today’s speech such as protecting jobs, protecting any deals that are being arranged and ensuring that any deals made benefit both parties.

As we’ve seen recently the relationship between the UK and EU negotiators is quite frosty, and the issues surrounding the Northern Irish border and the customs union appear to be sticking points.

Mark Carney will also be speaking this morning so there could be movement for GBP/EUR for this reason also, especially if there are references to future monetary policy as the global pick up in the economy is likely to result in a more aggressive monetary policy for the Bank of England than previously expected.

If you would like to be updated in the event of a major move for the GBP/EUR rate today, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

UK politics to dictate GBPEUR exchange rates this week

Towards the end of the week, I am expected major volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates and we could see the upper or lower resistance levels tested. GBPEUR exchange rates have been range bound between the high 1.13 and low 1.11s over the last 8 weeks. UK Prime Minister is to hold talks with the full cabinet on Thursday and then will address the UK public on Friday in Newcastle.

Reports are suggesting there is a threat that 15-20 Tory rebel MPs could actually defeat Theresa May and her approach to leave the Custom Union by joining with Jeremy Corbyn. This must be a serious worry for the PM and personally I cannot see it happening, but it just shows how tricky the meeting will be on Thursday. If there is no agreement what can she actually say on Friday that we don’t already know?

This Thursday Theresa May will meet with the full cabinet to discuss Brexit, quite similar to the meeting last Thursday at the Chequers retreat. However Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has waded in and stated that he will not allow Conservative MPs to ‘water down’ the plan that was agreed at the Chequers meeting last Thursday.

You have to feel for the Prime Minister as it seems she has an impossible task. Half of the country want to remain half want to leave and this seems the case with her Conservative party. Therefore I expect to major volatility with GBPEUR exchange rates towards the end of the week and it could go either way. If you are not willing to gamble on the releases then I would recommend getting in touch today and I will offer you our live buy or sell price.

My direct email address is drl@currencies.co.uk. Typical clients I look after are people that own businesses or people that are buying or selling properties either in the UK or Europe.

 

Will the release of the Brexit plan result in a stronger Pound? (Joseph Wright)

The negotiations between the UK and EU regarding the Brexit have been heating up recently, and we’re shortly expected to know what the UK’s stance is.

Just yesterday UK Prime Minister, Theresa May held emergency talks with senior cabinet members behind closed doors. The talks took place at her country residence, Chequers and one MP told the press that she ‘played a blinder’. Within the next month we’re expected to know what the Brexit plans are so I think although the markets are quite calm at the moment, we could see a lot of movement for the Pound to Euro rate in the next month.

Next week Theresa May will also be giving a speech again outlining her stance on Brexit talks so far and plans moving forward.

Although economic data is once again having an effect on the Pounds value I think that politics is likely to be the main driver of GBP exchange rates in the current climate, which makes it harder to judge where the Pound will move next and when.

If you would like to be notified in the event of a major spike for the Pound in either direction, do feel free to register your interest with me as working on a trading floor allows us to react in the wake of a major move.

Later today there will be the release of EU Inflation data which could move the markets depending on how the figure comes out.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What to expect for GBPEUR exchange rates moving forward?

In recent weeks GBPEUR exchange rates have come under pressure once more due to the developments surrounding Brexit. Head EU negotiator Michel Barnier told the press last week that the transitional talks have broken down and if the UK and EU cannot come to an agreement then the likelihood is there wont be a transition.

No suprises the uncertainty sent the pound tumbling from the 1.14 highs and GBPEUR exchange rates are now floating in the 1.12s. Good news for any client selling euros to buy pounds.

Looking further ahead UK Prime Minister Thersa May is set to address the public on Saturday. This speech will be watched closely by any person involved with the pound and Conservative MPs. It was only last weekend Pro European Conservative MP Anna Soubry warned that MPs could rebel against the PM if she decides to take a hard Brexit approach.

Personally I expect the transitional talks to continue to put pressure on the pound and exchange rates could fall back towards 1.10 in the upcoming 4 weeks. However, I expect the deal will be reached between the UK and EU which will pave the way for trades talks and therefore GBPEUR will improve back to the highs we experience earlier this month. If my predictions materialise then there may be opportunity for both euro buyers and sellers.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

 

Will GBPEUR now rise or fall?

The pound could easily find further favour against the Euro as we get closer to understanding the outlook on the Brexit. General expectations for the pound centre around progress on the Brexit which is looking like it could actually pass off without as much pain as previously imagined. The progress we made in December is feeding through into confidence for the year ahead, personally, I am very concerned about what is in fact a real lack of progress.

The expectations have now been set very high for the pound which is actually very close to the pre-Referendum highs on a trade weighted basis. This is not the case against the Euro however which is performing very well against the pound owing to the continued economic strength for the Eurozone. Recent growth figures were the best in ten years and investors are now expecting more good news down the line.

GBPEUR appears like it could trade higher with the Italian election in March but personally I think the range we will occupy now would be closer to the 1.10-1.14 levels. Once the reality of the lack of progress on Brexit becomes apparent we are likely to see the pound slide, we only have a few months before this needs to be completed.

If you need to make a transfer involving the pound or euro, then I would be suggesting to make some plans in advance. We offer a specialist service to help with the timing of any transfer for the future, by closely monitoring the levels we aim to secure you more favourable level.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to myself Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to assisting you in the future.

 

A good week for GBPEUR exchange rates

This week the pound has gained momentum against all of the major currencies and in particular the euro. GBPEUR exchange rates have been trading close to a 6 month high and many of my clients have taken advantage.

Early in the week average earning numbers exceeded expectation which was a big surprise as the Bank of England have been predicting that average earnings would continue to fall in the months to come. The problem the Bank of England have been facing is that inflation numbers have been outpacing average earnings.

Earlier today UK GDP numbers have also impressed. The consensus for the quarterly figures were 0.4% and the numbers were released at 0.5%. Furthermore the yearly numbers were set to be released at 1.4% and the number was released at 1.5%.

Central levels of exchange have finished in the 1.14s and for any client buying euros this is a window of opportunity that you may want to take advantage of. In the last 3 weeks, exchange rates have improved by 3 cents and I cant see how we are going to see any further improvements short term.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Common clients I help on a daily basis are Sole traders, MD or FD of a company, property buyers and sellers. If you are one of the three and are currently using the bank to transfer your currency you need to be made aware that you could be saving money!

 

How will the Pound move against the Euro in 2018? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has remained in a fairly tight range against the Euro since the start of the year as the market appears to be waiting for further progress with the Brexit talks.

With the last meeting going relatively well in early December we saw GBPEUR rates spike in an upwards direction but the gains were relatively short-lived.

The critical issue of Brexit is that it is not just the UK who will be affected but also the European Union.

When the talks initially began last year the Pound came under a lot of pressure as the cards appeared to be in the hands of the other 27 member states.

However, recently the talks have started to progress positively and I think we could see Sterling improve in the future when the next round of discussions begin again in March.

At the moment the market is relatively settled so if you’re happy converting your money at these rates and would like a free quote then contact me directly by calling 01494725353 and ask for Tom Holian when calling.

The next catalyst for change in the short term is due to come out later on this morning with the latest release of Eurozone inflation figures at 10am. Eurozone Inflation is extremely important for the central bank when deciding monetary policy so this morning’s data could impact GBPEUR exchange rates.

The European Central Bank has already previously reduced their QE programme and if inflation remains as expected we could see the ECB possibly hint at raising interest rates at the next monthly meeting in the future which could see strength for the single currency.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like a free quote compared to using your own bank or simply want to compare rates to buy or sell Euros against your current foreign exchange provider then feel free to get in touch for a free quote. Having worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers since 2003 I am confident of being able to help save you money on exchange rates.

Email me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

EU summit to take centre stage

Tomorrow and Friday EU officials will meet at the EU summit in Brussels to discuss everything that is impacting the Eurozone at present but the main focus will be the Brexit negotiations.

In recent weeks the UK and EU have come to a gentleman’s agreement in regards to the divorce bill, EU citizens rights and the Irish border. Nothing has been finalised however Michel Barnier has announced that stage 2 negotiations can now begin.

At the EU summit all of the EU leaders should confirm Mr Barnier’s thoughts which could give the pound a further boost against the euro. However as news broke last week that a deal has been reached i’m not expecting to see major fluctuations. In fact I would expect that GBPEUR breaks through and sits above 1.14 by the end of the week.

It’s quite clear to see that the UK and EU officials are trying to come to an agreement in regards to Brexit, and therefore I am optimistic the pound could continue its recovery against the euro in the early months of 2018.

For clients that are converting euros into pounds a €200,000 transfer generates you an additional £25,000 now compared to Pre Brexit levels. Personally I wouldn’t take the gamble any longer and would look to sell my euros and buy sterling as soon as possible.

The other key economic event that will impact GBPEUR exchange rates this week is the Bank of England’s interest rates. The Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold at 0.5%, however as inflation has risen to a 6 year high, the minutes should outline how the central bank plan to tackle the worrying high levels.

If you are buying or selling euros this year, today is the day to get in touch. Many people still believe the only way to transfer large amounts of money is through the bank and this is not the case. The company I work for enables me to give better exchange rates than high street banks which consequently means the individual saves money.

I would recommend emailing me with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

The impact of exchange rates when selling a property in Europe (Tom Holian)

If you’re in the process of selling a property abroad the chances are that you’re doing research about how to save money when selling Euros to buy Pounds.

We have seen the Pound come under a lot of pressure since June 2016 when the UK voted with a majority to leave the European Union and although the Pound has been improving recently the gains could be very short lived.

The next EU summit is due to take place next Thursday and Friday and up for discussion will be the Irish border issue as well as trying to kick start the trade negotiations.

At the moment the Irish border issue is clearly far from being sorted and I think unless this gets resolved by next week the Pound could face some real problems next week as the trade talks could stall making the whole meeting almost rather pointless.

The UK announces both Industrial and Manufacturing data in the morning so this could cause some short term movements tomorrow and as we go into the afternoon the latest NIESR GDP data is announced for the last three months.

Although these are not the official figures they are usually very accurate and therefore could be an indicator as to which way GBPEUR exchange rates will move towards the end of the week.

Many of my clients who are buying or selling a house in Europe have been buying forward contracts recently in order to avoid the uncertainty as to where exchange rates could be by the time completion comes around.

This involves paying a small deposit with the balance to be paid at a later stage to guarantee an exchange rate.

If you need to make a currency transfer over the next few days or weeks and would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling currency then feel free to get in touch.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident of not only being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your currency transfer.

To find out more contact me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR rise or fall over December?

The pound is very volatile against the Euro on the shifts in the Brexit negotiations! GBPEUR rose by almost 1.5 cents against the Euro hitting some of the best rates in 3 months but the good news did not last with the DUP (Democratic Unionist Party) failing to back up Theresa May’s new position. This has seen sterling slide back below 1.13 this morning which is presenting a good opportunity for Euro sellers to buy pounds which might not last!

The overall impression is that the pound will rise further once any kind of deal is struck so if you need to buy pounds with Euros moving on this opportunity is wise. The flipside is that should the negotiations surprisingly break down and the DUP withdraw support for the Conservative Party, sterling could fall much further.

For the pound, there is more important news on the economy this morning with the latest Services PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) data released at 09.30 am. If you have a transfer to make soon then today’s data could be key to short-term movements. Whilst the headline Brexit news will be key to influencing the overall position I would not be surprised to see the pound strengthen on the back of this news as Services are a key component of the UK economy.

GBPEUR is extremely volatile at present as the markets tried to second guess the outcome of the Brexit negotiations and also the Spanish Catalonian election. If you have a transfer to make in the future this will be key too to movements on the Euro.

For more information on the GBPEUR forecast please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR spikes above 1.13

Overnight key Brexit developments have been made and euro buyers have reaped the rewards with exchange rates spiking from the lower 1.11s to the lower 1.13s. Reports are suggesting that the UK has offered €50bn as a divorce settlement which equates approximately to £44bn. No agreement has been made however it appears that the EU have welcomed the figure which in my eyes is a break through in the Brexit negotiations.

In recent weeks the amount of euros the UK would pay the EU as a divorce settlement has been the sticking point. Early this year the UK were suggesting they wouldn’t pay a penny to leave the EU and the EU wanted €100bn. It just shows developments have been made.

The next question is what next? This development shows quite clearly that the UK and EU want to eventually come to an agreement and I am optimistic that this will eventually happen. However the Irish border could be the next sticking point as Northern Ireland have stated they do not want a hard border.

On the 14th and 15 of December the EU will decide whether trade negotiations can begin. If enough progression has been made I expect the pound could continue to rise against the euro.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **