Tag Archives: sterling forecast

Will the pound to Euro rate continue to rise?

The pound to Euro rate will continue its volatility in the coming weeks as we get closer to understanding just what type of Government the UK will have in the future. Overall expectations for the future remain unclear as we try to understand what Brexit means and what type of  government the UK will have in the future. It appears a ‘hard Brexit’ is now less likely but with 80% of voters having voted for parties who remain committed to Brexit just what will the future entail? With such uncertainty hanging over the market and the pound the GBPEUR rate does seem very much poised to languish at these lower levels, a move further down cannot be ruled out.

Today is the UK Bank of England decision which could well see some volatility on exchange rates, the general belief we would see UK interest rates rising has been fading and concerns are now rising about the problems in the UK economy form Brexit, the outcome from all of this for the pound is no longer a question. The reality is that the economic conditions in the UK are not meeting expectation and we could be well in line for further falls in the value of the pound.

If you have a transfer to make in the future the outlook on the exchange rate is not looking great for Euro buyers. Euro sellers are now looking at much improved conditions and the market could easily favour further improvements. If you have a transfer to make selling Euros for pounds then the current market should not be taken too much for granted.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I can  provide some insight and information regarding your situation and am very confident I can offer a rate which will save you money.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will the pound to Euro rate fall further?

The pound to euro exchange rate could now really suffer as we get closer to the UK election and any uncertainty of a strong Theresa May victory weighs on the pound and sees exchange rates fall. The overriding impression on the market is that we will soon see the pound rise higher on the back of a strong Theresa May victory. However the potential for a big improvement on the exchange rate is not as high as in previous years where we have seen the market fall and rise sharply owing to the uncertainty around the outcome. This morning’s Retail Sales figures are reason to expect some turbulence ahead of the bigger news in June.

Therefore if you have a currency requirement buying or selling the pound and Euro making some plans around this important event is crucial. Once the UK election is over there then begins a whole new set of problems as we learn of the latest news surrounding the Brexit deal and further problems. If you have a transaction you are considering in the future then making some plans in advance is sensible to avoid the risk of further uncertainty or surprises causing upset.

There is a strong belief that the pound to Euro rate will rise in the future as we get closer to understanding the true nature of the Brexit. However we could be waiting some time to find out exactly how this will pan out. With German elections later in the year the Euro might strengthen but assuming the Conservatives win a strong majority the outlook for GBPEUR is I believe to be close to 1.20 than the mid teens.

If you have a transfer buying or selling the GBPEUR currency pairing then the next few weeks look very interesting. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Euro on the charge, where next for GBPEUR exchange rates?

The pound to Euro rate dropped yesterday as UK Inflation data was shown to be rising at a faster pace than thought and this piles pressure on UK consumers. With consumers in the UK making up a large degree of the financial activity since Brexit, consumer behaviour is crucial to where the UK economy and sterling exchange rates ultimately heads.

The biggest factor for the Euro is at present is improved political news and also economic news. Eurozone GDP was confirmed at 0.5% yesterday and Emmanuel Macron made headway in forming a cabinet which has dispelled some of the fears relating to the Euro over the last few weeks. The economic outlook in the Eurozone is looking much more positive and with Angela Merkel’s party also faring well in the recent elections, much of the political fear and worry over the Eurozone is being neutralised.

This represents a shift as Donald Trump begins to encounter problems with not just the US economy but also politics coming under fire for leaking information to the Russians and also for firing the head of the FBI. The UK too is struggling politically, whilst Theresa May should win the election in June there is uncertainty there over just how it will effect the Brexit.

So all in all the Euro is benefiting from uncertainty elsewhere. I expect this trend to remain as we get closer to the UK election and Donald Trump continues to dance to his own tune with no tangible benefit to the US economy. GBPEUR could easily drift lower now down to 1.14 or 1.15 as we approach the UK election.

Today we have key data with the latest Unemployment figures for the UK so if you have a transfer to make please keep your eyes peeled for this morning’s data at 09.30 am. All in all if you have any currency transfers to make understanding the market and all of your options is key. For a detailed analysis of your position and how we might be able to help please contact me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Will GBPEUR rates rise to 1.20?

It is now looking much less likely but remains a distinct possibility. The overall expectation for the market is that we may possibly see a higher pound but there does definitely remain a risk the pound will slip from the recent highs as the Euro is stronger and might strengthen further as we get the result from the French election. It is now apparent just how much the French election was priced into the value of the Euro as we got Sunday’s results. The market now appears to believe that Macron will win but there is always the chance of a surprise.

On balance, if I was buying Euros I would be looking to move sooner than later ahead of the results from the French election. The expectation for the market is that we will see the Euro gain against a weaker pound. June sees the UK election which is more than likely to contribute to a weaker pound, the overall impression is that Theresa May will win but that doesn’t mean sterling wouldn’t suffer as we get closer to the result. The market will have to debate the likelihood of that victory against the strength of any majority, in recent years the polls have been very wrong!

The pound has recently struggled to break the 1.20 barrier and has also failed to rise above this level at every attempt since the June Referendum. The likelihood of 1.20 is now obviously higher than a few months ago but a challenge above this level will not be easily completed. It will take a big chance of sentiment so if you have a transfer to make buying Euros taking stock of current levels is I believe very sensible.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling the Euro or pound then the next few weeks will be key! For more information to help with the planning and execution of any currency exchanges please don’t hesitate to contact me, Jonathan Watson, directly on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Will GBPEUR rise or fall on the French elections?

The general impression is that  GBPEUR will rise since the French election offers lots of potential for Euro weakness in the coming months. The overall impression on financial markets is that a Le Pen or Melenchon victory would severely weaken the Euro, with a real chance at least one of these candidates will make it through to the second round after Sunday’s first round vote the single currency could be in for a tough couple of weeks. What happens is very much open to interpretation, nothing should be taken for granted in such uncertain times, however.

The overriding expectation is that the French election will ultimately be won by the more centrist ‘reformer’ Macron. Performing well in the polls the market is expecting he will beat Le Pen in the run-off on the 7th May. If you have a Euro buying requirement the rates on Monday morning could be much improved as the market debates the likelihood of a Le Pen victory.

The pound has been much stronger on the back of the General Election announcement earlier this week for the UK. Most reports have the pound much stronger in the next few weeks as Theresa May cements her position and is able to drive through more reform. A flipside view is that with her relying less on the elements in the Tory party who seek a harder Brexit, she will be forced to create more of a softer Brexit. This is one of the reasons for the pound rising but such elements and expectations can quickly change.

If you are buying or selling the pound and euro in the coming days and weeks the importance of the French election and the continued Brexit fallout shouldn’t be underestimated. With only a few days between the two rounds of the French election Euro buyers might find they are presented with a fresh unique opportunity to buy Euros, the best in 2017 so far.

If you would like some assistance with the timing and planning of any currency transfers please contact the author Jonathan Watson directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR breaks 1.17 as services sector remains strong, will the pair hit 1.20? (Joseph Wright)

The UK economy was given a boost yesterday as data showed that its most important sector is performing well.

Economists had anticipated growth in the UK’s services sector but the figure came out higher than they had expected, and the reason Sterling saw a boost of the back of this data release is because the services sector accounts for around 75% of the UK’s economy.

For this reason data releases reflecting the health of this area of the economy can result is swings within GBP exchange rates. Due to the UK entering what could be considered a sensitive time as Brexit is now underway I expect to see these figures followed closely and I think we may see dips within the Pounds value should these figures disappoint.

Another news release which could be watched closely is Gross Domestic Product figures as these will also reflect the health of the UK economy. The next release comes out tomorrow at 1pm and the expectation is for a figure of 0.6% so expect any major deviations from this figure to result in swings within GBP/EUR exchange rates.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding major movements between the Pound and the Euro do feel free to register your details with me.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Pound to Euro rate trades at a 7 week low, will today’s Spring Budget offer the Pound a boost? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has lost value over the past few weeks, not just against the Euro but across the board of major currencies.

The reason behind the fall can be put down to the uncertainty as to when the UK will begin the Brexit process, and the situation is being made worse as the House of Lords continue to discuss the proposed bill and attempt to make amendments which is negatively impacting the Pound.

Today could be a busy day for GBP exchange rates as Philip Hammond will be going over the Spring Budget. No major changes are expected to the governments current spending plans but I do think a bullish outlook from the UK chancellor will offer the Pound some much needed support. GBP/EUR has lost almost 4 cents in value over the past few weeks after hitting its 2017 high off the back of Euro weakness.

The movements between the GBP/EUR pair in recent weeks may offer an insight into what we can expect between the pair throughout the year. With the Brexit likely to begin this month and a number of key political elections in the Eurozone this year, I think there could be a number of big moves between the pair throughout the year so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the prospect of a Marine Le Pen Presidential win in France boost the Pound’s value? (Joseph Wright)

Up until yesterday afternoon the GBP/EUR pair had struggled to break above the 1.18 mark, but yesterday Sterling surged all the way up to 1.19 at one stage after benefiting from a weakening Euro.

The Euro weakened across the board yesterday afternoon after far-right French Presidential candidate Marine Le Pen gained further traction in recent opinion polls, with the candidate now a realistic candidate for the Presidency after becoming a favourite.

Moving forward I expect her increase in popularity to weigh on the Euro’s value as she has previously outlined plans to withdraw France from the Eurozone. Moreover she has also suggested that France stops using the Euro and reinstates the French Franc. Should these plans materialise it would surely leave the door open for other Eurozone nations to follow suit which would be detrimental for the Euros value, and the potential of this taking place is already weighing on the Euros value.

Another reason the GBP/EUR exchange rate may see a boost is the UK economy has been posting some impressive economic figures, with the Bank of England hiking the UK’s growth prospects this year and next.

If you wish to be kept up to date with GBP/EUR exchange rates related news do feel free to register with us for updates.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBP/EUR exchange rate now approaching 1.17, but will new Brexit fears weaken the Pound? (Joseph Wright)

Yesterday morning the Supreme Court delivered its verdict on whether or not the UK government require parliamentary approval before invoking Article 50, creating some large swings between the GBP/EUR exchange rate.

The Supreme Court decided to uphold the High Court’s decision, meaning that Theresa May will need to consult parliament before formally beginning the Brexit process. Many had expected this outcome to result in Sterling strength and initially the Pound did spike upward, but further complications soon weighed on the Pound causing it to drop.

Moving forward the Pound could continue to come under pressure as one of the key announcements yesterday was that the UK government does not need the permission of the UK’s devolved nations before invoking Article 50. Scottish First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon was quick to raise this point and suggested the need for another Scottish Independence referendum.

Sterling came under significant pressure during the last referendum on Scottish independence, and should the matter surface once again it’s likely we can expect to see the Pound soften in value due to further uncertainty on the horizon.

Outside of Brexit related news tomorrow morning could be eventful for Sterling exchange rates as UK GDP figures will be released at 9.30 am tomorrow morning, and the expectation is for a 0.5% through the 4th quarter of 2016.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

 

GBPEUR rises to fresh highs, what next?

GBPEUR rates have risen to fresh highs presenting some new opportunities for Euro buyers to buy Euros at much better exchange rates than previously thought. The pound to Euro rate rose to almost 1.16 which is a big improvement from the 1.12 that was on offer only a few days ago. Most analysts are worried about the pound in the coming months but Theresa May’s speech has given us fresh direction which could be well worth taking advantage of.

The pound has risen as Theresa May looks to set out a clear vision on her plans for Brexit. This will be in contrast to some of the EU leaders who will give a speech today and may well be looking to dampen May’s position. Expectations are for the UK to now approach the negotiations with some more vigour but it will interesting to see just the pound to euro rate reacts as we learn of updates from the EU as to how they have viewed the recent comments by May.

There is still plenty happening this week which could move the GBPEUR rate including the release of the latest UK Unemployment data today and then the European Central Bank interest rate decision and meeting tomorrow. Markets are very much focused on what is happening for the pound over Brexit but these events  could present some short term opportunities.

Friday is also Donald Trump’s inauguration which could really move the market as investors second guess the market and how Donald Trump’s policies will move global indices on currency and commodities. Most investors are now awaiting with baited breath the next twists and turns on GBPEUR, personally if I was buying Euros I would be cautious about holding on for too long.

For further information on the getting the best exchange rates please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I am very confident I can help with some useful information and an exchange rate that will save you money over other sources, please feel free to contact me.

Thank you for reading.

Jonathan Watson

Will the GBP/EUR pair fall back to their 2016 lows? (Joseph Wright)

Further Brexit jitters have caused the GBP to EUR exchange rate to plummet over the past couple of trading sessions.

In an interview over the weekend the UK Prime Minister, Theresa May commented that her primary focus is likely to be control over immigration as opposed to retaining access to the single market. This suggests a bias towards a ‘Hard Brexit’ as opposed to a softer approach and the currency markets have reacted to this news with the GBPEUR pair breaking below 1.15 and approaching the early 1.14’s at the time of writing.

May announced that the UK would not be able to keep ‘bits’ of EU membership, and since the comments the Pound has been falling across the board and notably against the Euro.

There is some distance for the pair to fall before hitting the lows of 2016. GBP/EUR hit 1.1028 at the beginning of November of last year and as the planned Brexit approaches I wouldn’t rule out further moves towards this level and I think that if the government is able to invoke Article 50 by the end of March as Theresa May plans, I think we could see the pair fall below 1.10 potentially.

Although economic data isn’t the predominant mover of exchange rates currently involving the Pound, investors should pay close attention to UK releases as negative updates have the potential to cause sell-offs in an already under pressure Pound. UK GDP figures will be released tomorrow so feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept up to date regarding this event.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

What can we expect next for the pound to euro rates?

2017 should be an interesting year for GBPEUR as we learn of fresh political uncertainty in the Eurozone and also the UK. The question is which currency will be the weaker, will it be the Euro or will it be the pound. In my personal opinion we will see both currencies come under real pressure but it could be at different times. Therefore I expect a rocky performance with some big swings on the market. It would not be out of the question to see rates between 1.10 and 1.30 in 2017. If you think that is unrealistic the swings this year have been between 1.36 and 1.06 which is 30 cents. 20 cents next year is by no means out of the question.

Firstly starting with the pound the big news will be the Supreme Court decision and market reaction. I personally expect the Supreme Court to uphold the decision that the UK Government must seek parliamentary approval to trigger Article 50. Whilst loosely GBP positive as it makes a hard Brexit less likely, following this release I think attention will shift towards the outstanding big questions over Brexit, namely what it means and the type of deal the UK can get. These negotiations are unlikely to be smooth and it will be this uncertainty which will act as a hindrance to the pound and will see sterling lower.

The Euro will come under further pressure owing to the political uncertainty in the European Union as the French and Germans go to the polls. I expect this uncertainty to manifest in the latter stages of the year as we approach Summer after the French elections in April. The greater degree of uncertainty stems I believe from the German elections which are in the Autumn.

I believe GBPEUR will retest the lows towards 1.10 in the first 3 months of 2017 before rising towards the end of the year as attention turns to European affairs. If you have a currency exchange involving the pound and the euro then please get in touch with me to learn more about the latest trends and themes which will effect your exchange rate. Please email me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn the latest news that might influence your exchange rate.

What will move GBPEUR this week?

GBPEUR rates have slipped ahead of the Fed meeting this evening which could easily see the pound lower against the Euro tomorrow. Many analysts predict the US dollar will strengthen and the Euro will weaken but with much of this expectation priced into current rates I think that it is unlikely the Euro will weaken too much. Personally I think the US dollar could actually weaken a little which would strengthen the Euro.

Other news tomorrow is the latest information on the Eurozone Inflation report which could easily cause some movement on the GBPEUR rates. Personally I would be surprised to see this weaken the Euro since the Inflation levels have actually been rising which is presenting some strengthening in the Euro area. If you have a transfer to consider in the future involving the pound and the Euro tonight’s decision is key.

Personally I would not be surprised to see the pound weaken in the New Year and I think GBPEUR could be very close to the very top of the current ranges on offer. If you have a transfer to make then making plans in advance is key to minimising your risk. We offer a number of options to limit your exposure to the markets which include the ability to fix a rate for up to two years.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling at 168 year low!

The pound has fallen further against the Euro as expectations over the outcome of the Brexit are realised and markets do not like what they see! If you are looking to buy or sell the pound against the Euro making some plans in advance is key to understanding what lies ahead, most clients looking to buy Euros should really be looking to buy sooner as the expectation is for further weakness on the pound.

Supermarkets are now poised to struggle as Tesco reports it is no longer stocking certain items as the value of the pound plummets so fast suppliers costs rise. This is the result of a weak pound and is likely to continue further in the coming weeks as investors brace themselves for a tough few weeks. The complexities and costs of Brexit are significant, the challenges ahead are huge and will not be quickly solved.

If you wish to get a detailed analysis of the market and all of your options please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I work as Chief Analyst and Associate Director for the UK’s largest privately owned currency brokerage and am very well placed to provide the guidance and support you will need to get the best rates.

Expectations for the pound to lose further value are high, the Euro is performing quite well owing to an improved economy. The big news on this pair aside from Brexit could be next week’s important Eurozone data. If you have a transfer to make and wish for some information and advice please speak to me on the email above.

2017 could see the Euro Plummit. Is Deutsche Bank the tip of the iceberg? (Daniel Johnson)

Despite Sterling having fallen significantly against all major currencies following the vote to leave the EU, I think the Euro has bigger problems. First off, Deutsche Bank. The bank’s balance sheet is bigger than Germany itself. Deutsche is unable to meet fines for the wrongful selling of mortgages in the US to the tune of  $14bn. It looks as though they can muster together around $4bn, but that is a massive short fall. If Deutsche Bank were to go, it would make the Lehman Brothers collapse look like a drop in the ocean. They have an exposure of $60 trillion in derivative trades linked to every major bank you can name. They are too big to go bust, I am positive they will receive a bail out, but this is still not good news for the Euro.

The troubles in Greece have been swept under the carpet by Draghi’s broom. It is not to be forgotten their debt is colossal and the Greeks are unable to meet their repayments to the IMF. Italian Banks have €360bn in bad loans, various EU countries are threatening further referendums and the ECB hasn’t got a clue hoe to handle shockingly low inflation. I think the Euro could well fall significantly in value due to these factors.

I think in order fro Sterling to rally against the Euro short term Article 50 has to be triggered, uncertainty is the reason for the pounds weakness. Once Article 50 is invoked I would expect Sterling to fall in value short term but then I expect a slow but steady rally.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist if you have to move short term it is vital to have an experienced broker on board. I am watching the markets for over 10hrs a day and I can inform you any Spikes in the market and suggest contract option to suit your individual needs to try and maximise your return. Please do not hesitate to get in touch. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk and I will get back to you at my earliest opprtunity.

Thin trading ranges continue for GBP/EUR as Danske Bank downgrade their forecast for the pair (Joseph Wright)

Today the Sterling to Euro exchange rate has traded within a very thin range of just 54 pips up to the point of writing.

With little major economic data releases today all eyes have been on ECB President Mario Draghi’s speech along with the governor of the Bank of England’s Mark Carney’s speech as well. Neither have impacted the pair which is a reflection of the current marketplace as the Pound seems to have consolidated below 1.20 now.

Some of the major news today came in the form of a Bank downgrade as opposed to the usual economic output release. Danske Bank, a major European bank based out of Copenhagen have actually increased their price forecast for the GBP/EUR pair over the long term, yet in the short term future they expect another drop down to levels as low as 1.08’s and another interest rate cut from the BoE down to 0.1% from the current 0.5%.

We have systems in place that can help clients lock in the current rate of exchange on an amount of money they may not yet have access to, like on a property sale for example. Our client’s just simply need to send us 10% of the total value they wish to secure at the current rate, and they can then send us the outstanding amount in anytime up to 1 year.

If you want to be kept up to date on the markets and you would also like to ensure that you are getting the very top levels of exchange for an imminent currency transfer or even a longer term one then I can help you with this.

Not only do we give clients up to date market information but we all work for one of the largest and longest serving currency brokerages in the U.K, so even if you have dealt with your current broker or bank for a long time I would be surprised if I could not show you a saving over what they are offering you – You can email me (Joseph Wright) directly on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to discuss the various options we have available to you.

Today’s BoE Report Key to Sterling Recovery (Mathhew Vassallo)

Today we have the release of the latest Quarterly Bank of England (BoE) inflation report and this is likely to be watched closely by investors. It could also play a key role in any potential Sterling recovery, as it gives the markets an overview of any future monetary policy changes and the UK’s general economic well-being.

If the BoE’s stance is bullish then it is likely Sterling could recover some of the ground it has lost against both the EUR & USD, both of which made significant gains over the past 48 hours. However, any indication that they will increase monetary stimulus (QE), which is when they pump additional funding into the economy to help stabilise it, is likely to result in further losses for the Pound and this morning rates could suddenly look extremely attractive.

Whilst it is very difficult to predict exactly how the market will evolve, it has become clear that investor confidence in the UK economy and ultimately the Pound is extremely low. Sterling positrons remain fragile and as such I would not be prepared to gamble on an improvement, when there is no tangible evidence to support it. The silver lining for those clients holding GBP is that the Pound did find a foothold at the beginning of the month and this was not anticipated or predicted. This is further proof of how unpredictable the current markets can be and how investors are reacting to rumours as much as fact and this makes forecasting increasingly difficult.

If you want to be kept up to date on the markets and you would also like to ensure that you are getting the very top levels of exchange for an imminent currency transfer or even a longer term one, then I can help you with this.

Not only do we give clients up to date market information but we all work for one of the largest and longest serving currency brokerages in the UK, so even if you have dealt with your current broker or bank for a long time I would be surprised if I could not show you a saving over what they are offering you – You can email me Matthew Vassallo directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk  and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to discuss the various options we have available to you.

It’s been another volatile week for investors with GBP & EUR positions, as the markets reacted to some key economic data releases for both the UK and Eurozone. The Pound had made strides against its EUR counterpart last week following a positive run of data, personified by better than expected Construction & Manufacturing figures. This helped to push GBP/EUR levels towards 1.20 on the exchange and whilst this was level was tested it was never breached. Since then the EUR has found support, with the pair now floating between 1.17-1.18 as head towards the end of the trading week.

The markets were primed yesterday as the latest Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision was released, along with the subsequent minutes. This was preceded by UK Retail Sales figures, alongside a host of Eurozone and US inflation data released throughout the day.

Whilst the BoE decided to keep rates on hold at 0.25% as widely anticipated, it was the summary and minutes which caused the markets to shift. The BoE remained very cautious in their address and left themselves open to a further rate cut if necessary. The fact they mentioned this could come before the end of the year threw the markets into chaos and the Pound took a hit across the board as a result.

Sterling immediately lost value against the EUR and this once again proves how fragile the UK economy remains and how investor confidence remains cautious at best. For this reason, I continue to stress to any clients holding Sterling positons that they should be looking to protect themselves at every opportunity, as uncertainty breads fear and fear is likely to cause the currency in question to contract.

Whilst so much uncertainty continues to engulf the UK economy, which seems to be stuck in a relative state of limbo, the Pound will struggle to make a sustainable impart against either the EUR under current market conditions.

If you want to be kept up to date on the markets and you would also like to ensure that you are getting the very top levels of exchange for an imminent currency transfer or even a longer term one, then I can help you with this.

Not only do we give clients up to date market information but we all work for one of the largest and longest serving currency brokerages in the UK, so even if you have dealt with your current broker or bank for a long time I would be surprised if I could not show you a saving over what they are offering you – You can email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to discuss the various options we have available to you.

ECB Keep Interest Rates on Hold (Matthew Vassallo)

It’s been another volatile week for GBP/EUR exchange rates, with the Pound showing signs of a recovery before a fightback from the EUR yesterday. This followed the European Central Banks (ECB) latest interest rate decision and subsequent monetary policy statement. Rates were kept on hold at 0% as expected but it was the subsequent address by ECB president Mario Draghi, which caused the EUR to strengthen. The markets had anticipated a nod towards an increase in the ECB’s monetary policy (QE) programme but when this did not occur, investors took it as a sign of Eurozone stability and the EUR gained value against GBP as a result.

The pair is currently trading around 1.18 on the exchange, which is still a far healthier positon for Sterling than the many expected after months of negative downturns. Sterling initial spike came following strong Manufacturing & Construction figures, along with positive Services data. This has led investors to believe that we may not avoid the recession many through the UK would fall into around the turn of the year and this in turn may cause the Bank of England (BoE) to reconsider a further interest rate cut. Whilst it is unlikely that Sterling’s value will soar against the EUR whilst the UK continues to remain in a state of economic limbo, it is likely that the Pound has now found a foothold and the recent highs for the EUR may now be resided to history.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current provider, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of my team for Matt. Alternatively you can leave your contact details, or email directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR Recovers to 1.16 (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have spiked by over a cent during Monday’s trading, with the pair trading around 1.16 by close of European trading. Today’s positive move continues last week’s mini recovery following better than expected unemployment data and Retail Sales figures

Despite this improvement, I do not expect this spike to continue at any great pace. The Pound is still fighting against a wave of negative market perception and with so much uncertainty still surrounding the UK economy, any sustained strength for Sterling is unlikely in my opinion. We need to consider that whilst we have no clearer picture of how or when we will trigger Article 50, which will begin the process of our Brexit, then investors risk appetite for the Pound will be minimal. There is also a strong chance that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates again to 0% and with a possible recession looming over us, any clients holding GBP should be looking to protect themselves against further losses.

GBP/EUR rates are still trading almost 10 cents higher than the lows of 2008 and whilst I appreciate the current decline is not ideal, the current levels could look very attractive in a few months’ time.

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