Tag Archives: sterling strength

Will GBPEUR continue to slide?

The pound to Euro rate has been slipping since Monday when we challenged the 1.13 but were ultimately unsuccessful as investors looked to the uncertainty surrounding a UK interest rate hike. The next direction on rates is all going to come down to, in the main, the prospect of a UK interest rate hike and then a Eurozone QE taper. I personally see GBPEUR losing more ground and retesting the 1.10 level in the coming weeks and months.

QE is Quantitative Easing and it is effectively pumping money into an economy through the purchase of assets and bonds by a central bank. The European Central Bank is currently engaging in €60 bn worth per month and investors believe they will scale this back. What this means is that the Euro will on such news, ore than likely strengthen.

Overall expectations are for the Euro to rise in value longer term but just lately the worries over Spanish independence and also the Austrian and German elections have seen the Euro weaker. Longer term I feel the strength in the Eurozone economy will see it through, I see more chance of the ECB acting to reduce their QE than the UK and the Bank of England raising interest rates.

If you are looking to buy or sell pounds against Euros the next two weeks are critical and will likely lead to swings and opportunities that might not be around for long. The best strategy I believe is to look at the market with our expert assistance to try and determine the most opportune moments to capitalise.

Sometimes exchange rates spike for just a few seconds and it is only through being prepared that we can help you. We are here to help you maximise any transfer, for more information on getting the best rates of exchange plus expert service and assistance, please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and helping you maximise your exchange.

 

Quiet end to the week for UK data releases, what could cause the GBP/EUR rate to move this week? (Joseph Wright)

Those hoping for better Pound to Euro exchange rates have taken a knock this morning after the much publicised Catalonian independence situation has cooled for the meantime.

Yesterday evening the Catalan President, Carles Puigdemont and other regional leaders signed a declaration of independence, but interestingly chose to suspend the move allowing some time to negotiate with Spain.

The situation had been under the microscope in recent weeks and was seen as a potential downside to the Euros value as political instability is often a reason for currency weakness, and I expect the cooling of this situation for now at least to take some pressure off of the Euro.

The Euro is up this morning against all major currency pairs, and at the time of writing the Euro to Pound rate is trading at its day highs.

There is little economic data out for the rest of this week that involves the UK economy directly, so I expect to see the GBP/EUR driven by sentiment or Eurozone specific data releases. The ECB president, Mario Draghi will be speaking tomorrow at 3.30pm so I expect markets to be glued to his comments as is normally the case when he speaks.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBPEUR bounces back but for how long?

The pound has bounced back against the Euro today largely because of the swing on EURUSD as investor concerns over the US dollar fade. EURUSD has risen to almost 1.21 yesterday but it is now back to 1.19 representing a series of profit taking and market fluctuation which has presented some improved levels for Euro buyers. Tomorrow is a very busy day for the Euro with all important Unemployment and Inflation data due out. The pound could find further form against the Euro in my opinion, not because of any fundamental reasons, eg news but more positioning as traders look to take profits on existing trades.

Much of the currency market’s movements are to do with speculators who essentially move money to make money. That doesn’t mean one man trading for personal gain at home, but hedge funds, banks, investment companies and pensions funds. Much of their work will be to manage FX positioning, essentially trying to make money from the market in a speculative manner. This will account for a large degree of the movement on the currency market so trying to understand this thinking helps explain the movements.

With GBPEUR having moved down below 1.10 it will find it increasingly difficult to rise above 1.10 and we could now struggle to see rates rise back above 1.10. What might be more likely is the market and speculators trying to push the level down to parity. If you need to buy Euros with pounds you could easily find this gets more expensive over the long run. However tomorrow or at present could offer a good short term opportunity.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

The number of GBP to EUR parity forecasts increases, will GBP/EUR hit 1.1 by the end of the year? (Joseph Wright)

The talk of Brexit negotiations beginning badly is having an impact on the Pounds value against all major currency pairs, but it appears that the GBP/EUR rate has been the biggest loser in all of this so far.

Recent comments from David Davis, the Brexit secretary have added fuel to the fire after he revealed that Michel Barnier ‘is getting quite cross with us’. Michel Barnier is the EU’s chief negotiator which just goes to show that the UK going to need to get a move on regarding its Brexit negotiation plans.

With there being less likelihood of an interest rate hike this year from the Bank of England now that inflation pressures have subsided there have been a number of major financial institutions forecasting parity between the Pound and the Euro in 2018.

In just the last week, Morgan Stanley, HSBC and now City Index have all made this prediction which gives those planning on making a large GBP to EUR transfer a decision to make as the rate is currently just below 1.10.

If you would like to be kept updated regarding the Pound to Euros price movements do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR slip below 1.10?

Dismissed as no longer a likely exchange rate the GBPEUR rate has been very close to the 1.10 level as investors take positions on the Euro which represents a much more secure currency versus the GBP and USD. The Euro has risen to a 2 1/2 year high against the US dollar and is currently enjoying close to a 9 month high against the pound. The outlook for the pound and Euro is such that it would not be at all surprising to see GBPEUR below 1.10 very soon. If you have a transfer buying or selling the pound and Euro making plans around this possible scenario is I believe very much recommended.

If you look at what is driving the pound it is obviously the uncertainty over the Brexit and the economic decline this has caused. More recently the pound had been higher on the prospects of the Bank of England raising interest rates but this is not materialising. Last week Inflation dropped leading to the pound dropping as this effectively rules out any UK interest rate hike in 2017 or maybe further.

There are no guarantees over an interest rate hike for the UK in the future and it is a dangerous gamble for clients buying Euros to be holding back from a purchase just hoping that rates will rise in their favour. Most clients looking to buy Euros should be preparing for further losses as this could easily fall lower.

The Euro is much stronger as politics and economic supports the Eurozone. Expectations on GBPEUR could easily the rate below 1.10, if you have a transfer to make buying or selling Euros for pounds making some plans in advance is wise. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

What next for GBPEUR rates?

Overall the belief on the GBPEUR rate is that it will now continue to ebb lower and lower as the uncertainty over the UK’s political and economic outlook is overshadowed by much improved economic data and also political certainty in the Eurozone. Those who predicted the demise of the Euro and the Eurozone a few years ago are now facing some serious questions as the outlook for the Eurozone continues to improve. If you are selling Euros the likelihood of further improvements cannot be ruled out. The extra 2 cents gained for Euro sellers this week is an extra £1500 in your pocket per €100,000 transferred. If you wish to learn more about rate movements and how much you could save please contact me jmw@currencies.co.uk.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling the pound and Euro the current trend is looking likely to favour the Euro but there could be surprises on the way. For example Mario Draghi was actually quite ‘dovish’ or soft in his comments yesterday during the European Central Bank (ECB) Press Conference. Nevertheless the Euro rallied essentially as Mario revealed there are plans to taper their bond buying purchases in the future.

This strengthened the Euro but Mario didn’t actually reveal too much on timings, that means that the market might actually have overreacted to his comments. This can often be the case on markets so Euro strength is neither guaranteed or assured. However looking at the overall picture and particularly against a weaker pound a further decline in the GBPEUR rate looks to me likely.

If you have a transfer buying or selling Euros we are here to help with the planning and execution of any transactions for the future. We can help with the forecasting and devising of strategies to help you maximise the transaction. Thank you for reading and please contact me if you would like to discuss anything further by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

What can we expect next for GBPEUR exchange rates?

What is the likelihood of GBPEUR rate rising much higher is a very common question I am being lately. Trying to second guess the market and hoping for big improvements often leads only to disappointment when expecting a certain outcome. The pound against the Euro is in a very volatile situation at the moment which could easily see the rates quickly and unexpectedly changing, keeping up to date with the developments is a crucial factor to ensuring you maximise the transfer.

This week we have a number of important data releases which will be crucial to determining the next steps on the currency pairing. Overall I expect the market to favour sterling weakness but much of this has been built in to the current rates and therefore we will need some fresh new bad news so clients looking to buy sterling need to be careful holding back just waiting for rates to improve.

We aim to offer clients a clear forecast of current evens and work proactively to help determine the very best times to trade and buy currency. If you have a transfer to consider then understanding the coming news and information is critical to getting the best deals. For more information at no cost or obligation on what to look out for in the coming weeks to help you get the best deal please do feel free to contact me directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Tomorrow is UK Inflation and then Thursday is the latest European Central Bank Interest Rate decision, these are big events and trading them properly and understanding the outcomes could potentially save you hundred or thousands depending on the outcomes.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and working with you to achieve the maximum for your transfer.

 

Will GBPEUR rise or fall on the French elections?

The general impression is that  GBPEUR will rise since the French election offers lots of potential for Euro weakness in the coming months. The overall impression on financial markets is that a Le Pen or Melenchon victory would severely weaken the Euro, with a real chance at least one of these candidates will make it through to the second round after Sunday’s first round vote the single currency could be in for a tough couple of weeks. What happens is very much open to interpretation, nothing should be taken for granted in such uncertain times, however.

The overriding expectation is that the French election will ultimately be won by the more centrist ‘reformer’ Macron. Performing well in the polls the market is expecting he will beat Le Pen in the run-off on the 7th May. If you have a Euro buying requirement the rates on Monday morning could be much improved as the market debates the likelihood of a Le Pen victory.

The pound has been much stronger on the back of the General Election announcement earlier this week for the UK. Most reports have the pound much stronger in the next few weeks as Theresa May cements her position and is able to drive through more reform. A flipside view is that with her relying less on the elements in the Tory party who seek a harder Brexit, she will be forced to create more of a softer Brexit. This is one of the reasons for the pound rising but such elements and expectations can quickly change.

If you are buying or selling the pound and euro in the coming days and weeks the importance of the French election and the continued Brexit fallout shouldn’t be underestimated. With only a few days between the two rounds of the French election Euro buyers might find they are presented with a fresh unique opportunity to buy Euros, the best in 2017 so far.

If you would like some assistance with the timing and planning of any currency transfers please contact the author Jonathan Watson directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

Will GBPEUR continue to fall? (Dayle Littlejohn)

It’s been a terrible month for Euro buyers and I am far from surprised. GBPEUR exchange rates have dropped over 4% since the start of the month and therefore central levels have breached 1.14s. To put this into monetary terms a €200,000 purchase is now £7,500 more expensive.

If you are a regular reader for weeks I have been stating that March would be a tough month for the pound as UK Prime Minister is set to trigger Article50 at some point. It was reported towards the end of last week that MPs within the House of Commons will debate the House of Lords amendments and Theresa May could trigger Article50 as early as next Tuesday.

For euro buyers I expect rates of exchange to continue to slide this week therefore if you are needing to purchase I would recommend sending my your requirements today and I will give you a call first thing Monday morning to disucss your transfer drl@currencies.co.uk.

In other news the Bank of England are set to release their latest interest rate decision Thursday afternoon. No surprises are expected therefore rates should remain unchanged. However as always when Governor Mark Carney addresses the public expect volatility as he will discuss how Brexit is impacting the Bank of England’s monetary policy.

For euro seller we are closing in to the fantastic rates of exchange that we saw last October and when Theresa May triggers Article50 it is very difficult to predict how the pound will perform in the upcoming months therefore I would take advantage of the gains you would have made this month.

If you reading this website for the first time as you need to convert GBPEUR, feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 Monday morning and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

If you are already using a brokerage and would like to a free quote email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands.

Pound to Euro rate trades at a 7 week low, will today’s Spring Budget offer the Pound a boost? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has lost value over the past few weeks, not just against the Euro but across the board of major currencies.

The reason behind the fall can be put down to the uncertainty as to when the UK will begin the Brexit process, and the situation is being made worse as the House of Lords continue to discuss the proposed bill and attempt to make amendments which is negatively impacting the Pound.

Today could be a busy day for GBP exchange rates as Philip Hammond will be going over the Spring Budget. No major changes are expected to the governments current spending plans but I do think a bullish outlook from the UK chancellor will offer the Pound some much needed support. GBP/EUR has lost almost 4 cents in value over the past few weeks after hitting its 2017 high off the back of Euro weakness.

The movements between the GBP/EUR pair in recent weeks may offer an insight into what we can expect between the pair throughout the year. With the Brexit likely to begin this month and a number of key political elections in the Eurozone this year, I think there could be a number of big moves between the pair throughout the year so do feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Euro, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the Pound to Euro exchange rate struggle to break through 1.18? (Joseph Wright)

It’s been an interesting 24 hours for the GBP/EUR exchange rate after some key economic data releases out of both the UK and the Eurozone.

The Pound to Euro exchange rate did break through 1.18 yesterday morning as investors hoped for a high inflation reading out of the UK for the month of January, but as the figure released came out below analysts expectations the Pound was sold off and almost fell below 1.17 at the inter-bank level.

The reason for the fall is there is less likely to be an interest rate hike from the Bank of England whilst inflation readings aren’t surpassing market expectations.

Now that foreign exchange markets appear to have accepted that the UK will go ahead with a ‘Hard Brexit’ and that it’s likely to begin next month, economic data is beginning to have more of an impact on Sterling’s value whereas prior to the UK PM, Theresa May outlining the governments plans it was mostly sentiment that drove the Pounds value.

Interestingly the Pound has since recovered from yesterday’s fall and the GBP/EUR pair is currently trading around the 1.18 mark once again. It will be interesting to see whether this level will act as a resistance, and I think any readers with an upcoming currency requirement involving the converting of Pounds into Euros may wish to consider the current levels as we could see a fall in the Pounds value as the Brexit begins.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

What trading rates can I expect on GBPEUR in 2017?

I would expect that the GBPEUR levels on offer for GBPEUR in the coming weeks and months will remain within the ranges we have seen since the Referendum. These are 1.2013 to 1.1068 on the interbank exchange rate. Simply knowing the ranges is helpful but what is more useful is the upcoming events that can move the rates and understanding in advance your options to help you navigate the markets. Understanding the FX markets is some respects simple, in others impossible to make sense of.

We could easily be looking at a quick change on GBPEUR at any point in the next week or so as the Supreme Court decision is released. We are looking to this result as the main driver on GBPEUR in the short term. If you have a transfer to consider you should be closely monitoring this decision or if you wish you can alert me to your position and I can monitor it for you. Just email jmw@currencies.co.uk to highlight your situation Other flashpoints include the inauguration of Donald Trump on the 20th December. Will we finally see this as the end of the Trump rally that has been taking place in recent weeks?

Looking further into 2017 we have also the Dutch and French elections. If you have a transfer to consider in the future then making sure you are aware of such issues and their potential to impact your exchange rate is sensible. Personally I feel the pound is undervalued at present. There is real potential for some upside in the coming weeks and months once we get some clarity on the Brexit plans. Ultimately this could take a few months to manifest so clients looking to move now or in the next 6 weeks might wish to take advantage of any short term spikes as the pound is likely to remain under pressure.

For more information on events that will shape your exchange rate please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. I am your personal account manager here and will be very happy to hear from you and offer some assistance.

Thank you for reading, I look forward to answering your questions.

What next for GBPEUR exchange rates?

The outlook on GBPEUR is as complicated as ever with no real progress on Brexit and no sign of a quick resolution. Political uncertainty is a huge driver on exchange rates, the current market is very much geared towards uncertainty with sterling showing little signs of improving. This week there are some data releases which could move the market, Notably today was a speech by Mario Draghi where he talked about the UK’s access to the single market, essentially he reiterated the fact the UK had to respect all four freedoms, that is the free movement of capital, services, goods and labour. That means there can be no special deal for the UK that would see it secure access to the single market whilst allowing controls on immigration.

This point plus the noise from Boris Johnson that perhaps the UK would invoke Article 50 early in the New Year has all pointed to a strong likelihood that the UK will be forced into a ‘hard Brexit’. This means there would be a quick break and the UK would literally go it alone into the world and trade. There is much pressure on the Prime Minister Theresa May to do something from the more Brexit minded politicians. Expectations and pressure is mounting, the lack of action and lack of clarity over what is happening will not last forever!

If you have a transfer GBPEUR is at a critical juncture. Now is not a time to be complacent, some of the major banks predict GBPEUR could fall to 1.08, earlier in the year HSBC was predicting parity! If you need a transfer please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBP/EUR dropped 1% vs the Euro during today’s trading session, downtrend likely to continue (Joseph Wright)

It’s hard to remain optimistic regarding Sterling’s value moving forward at the moment, as despite a couple of days with positive economic news releases for the UK economy, the Pound is still on the decline.

Yesterday GDP figures were released for the second quarter of this year, and the figure actually came out above analysts expectations at 0.6% growth, although currency markets remained relatively unchanged.

Then earlier today Nationwide released UK House Price figures which demonstrated growth in the UK property market. According to their figures house prices grew 0.5% month-on-month in July and this figure topped analysts expectations.

With both figures coming out better than expected yet the Pound remaining in negative territory, I see this as a sign that the Pound will be under pressure as time progresses, particularly when figures are released highlighting a drop in economic activity since the ‘Brexit’.

The average inter-bank rate between GBP/EUR is around the 1.25 mark so at current levels we’re not miles from that benchmark, but many analysts prior to the ‘Brexit’ were predicting potential parity between Sterling and the Euro so it could be that we have further to drop over time, and I wouldn’t rule that trading level out entirely particularly if economic data out of the UK begins to show a steep decline in economic output since the ‘Brexit’.

If you are planning a currency conversion involving GBP and the EUR, it’s worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

GBP/EUR Rates Surge Following Theresa May Appointment (Matthew Vassallo)

GBP/EUR rates have surged over the past 24 hours, with the biggest single gains seen since the result of the EU referendum was announced. The Pound rose by over two cents against the single currency, hitting 1.1981 at today’s high. Sterling is benefitting from some political stability, following Theresa May’s appointment as the new Tory leader & Prime Minister, effective from tomorrow.

One of the key catalysts for Sterling’s woes over the past few weeks has been the political uncertainty created by David Cameron’s immediate resignation, following the Brexit decision. This uncertainty was anticipated to last until MP’s decided on their leader later this year but following Angela Leadsom decision to step down as one of the two remaining candidates, May’s run to number 10 has been cleared.

This has brought some much needed stability to the markets and investors risk appetite has increased, leading to Sterling’s run. Whilst we may now see Sterling continue its run over the next 48 hours, Thursday’s Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision could bring any positive spike to a swift halt. With an expectation that BoE governor Mark Carney will announce a rate cut to 0.25% either Thursday or next month, or at the very least increase our current Quantitative Easing (QE) programme, the Pound’s recent gains could be short-lived.

If you have an upcoming GBP or EUR currency requirement and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest market movements, or simply wish to compare our award winning exchange rates with your current supplier, then please feel free to contact me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

Where next for GBPEUR?

I think the pound is likely to come under further pressure in the next few weeks as the Brexit debate intensifies further. Trying to make sense of the present negotiations is no easy task since there are so many difficult problems to come to terms with. Will the UK even leave? This seems likely but the interests of Scotland need to be addressed as does the tricky issue of what the UK deal with the EU will mirror. Already the EU have said there will be no deal with access to the Single Market and free movement of people. This would only pave the way for further EU countries seeking to renegotiate their position and possibly increase the likelihood of a EU break up.

The will of the people has spoken and it will be the new Government’s responsibility to implement the plan. Looking at the forecast over the next few days and weeks I would expect the pound to lose further ground reacting to the headlines as we learn of news. If you have any transfers to consider involving buying or selling the pound and Euro then making some plans in advance is a wise move. The next few weeks and months are really uncharted territory and having a plan in advance is a wise move.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

What next for GBPEUR Rates?

Whilst attention is squarely on the UK’s EU Referendum on the 23rd June and the expected GBP weakness at this time markets must also take note of events in the Eurozone. The European Central Bank meet tomorrow to discuss their latest Interest Rate decision and most reports are warning of the likelihood we might see some Euro weakness as it becomes apparent that the European Central Bank (ECB) must look to further stimulus to kick start the flagging Eurozone economy. Look for hints tomorrow afternoon as investors eye up the possibility of the Euro weakening in the future and consequently sell off positions.

Friday is US Non-Farm Payroll data which will likely impact USD exchange rates and this will also weigh on the pound and the Euro having an effect on GBPEUR rates too. If you need to buy or sell pounds and Euros making some plans around these two important events is a sensible move to try and avoid the uncertainty of the next few weeks. 3 weeks today we will know the outcome from the Referendum, some predictions on GBPEUR Range from 1.18 up to about 1.40! Making plans around this important event is in my opinion a very sensible move.

For more information please email me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

EUR Loses Boost Sterling’s Value (Matthew Vassallo)

The EUR has taken a hit during Tuesday morning’s trading, following negative comments from ECB governing council member and head of Germany’s Bundes Bank Jens Weidman. He was extremely critical of the current monetary policy of the ECB and this seemed to knock investors’ confidence in the single currency. This in turn helped to drive Sterling’s value up but it was due to a lack of confidence in the EUR, rather than any real belief that GBP has turned a corner. There is also on-going concerns that Greece will soon be back in the spotlight, with figures showing that the Greek economy has contracted by 0.4%. There is very little room for manoeuvre when it comes Greece renegotiating its current deal with the IMF and any further setbacks could mean Greece will finally default and potentially have to leave the EU.

This has shifted market perception slightly and it is interesting to note that these gains for the Pound came about despite some worse than expected UK inflation figures this morning. The EUR has found some support over the last hour and despite these latest developments, I’m still not convinced this support for Sterling is sustainable. The upcoming EU referendum continues to dominate headlines and the uncertainty it is creating will continue to be a shackle around any Sterling improvement.

If you have an upcoming GBP currency requirement and would like to discuss the best options for your exchange, then please feel free to call me on 0044 1494 787 478 and ask one of the team for Matt. Alternatively, I can be emailed directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR showing signs of weakness once again? (Joseph Wright)

After disappointing yesterday the GBPEUR currency pair have once again begun the day poorly, with the pair down over 0.5% at the time of writing.

The Pound dropped yesterday against most major currency pairs after both Industrial and Manufacturing data came out worse than expected, with factory output falling to its lowest level in 3 years.

These disappointing sets of data don’t bode well for Sterling moving forward when we consider that the EU Referendum is now just 42 days away. Political uncertainty usually weighs down the value of the underlying currency, and with the most recent polls suggesting that the ‘Leave’ campaign is gathering up steam since the beginning of May, I’m expecting further weakness in the value of Sterling in the lead up to the Referendum.

There was further negative news for Sterling bulls yesterday as the NIESR (National Institute of Economic and Social Research) suggested that GBP could fall a further 20% in the event of a ‘Brexit’, and also it was announced that as of late, the campaigns for Britain to leave the EU have received more financial donations than their opponents.

Later today at 12 GBP exchange rates could swing in either direction as we have a number of important news releases scheduled. The latest Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement and Minutes Speech are all due around that time so anyone with an interest in the rate of GBP exchange rates should keep a close eye to the markets around that time.

If you are planning to use GBP to buy a foreign currency it may well be worth your time getting in contact with me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Sterling Rallies Against the EUR (Matthew Vassallo)

Any clients holding GBP should be keeping an extremely close eye on market developments, as the Pound has started to find some support over the past couple of days. This move has brought some much needed respite following a poor run for the Pound, which started at the turn of the year and has been compounded by the on-going uncertainty surrounding the EU referendum in June and a possible Brexit.

The reason we have seen the EUR weaken off against Sterling is likely due to the comments made by President Barack Obama over the weekend, which indicated Britain would be in a far worse position if we left the EU and ‘at the back of the line’ in terms of trade deals with the US. This immediately caused the EUR to weaken, as the comments are likely to sway a portion of voters, perhaps some of those who were still undecided.

This drop was intensified following yesterday’s better than expected UK GDP figures and GBP/EUR rates moved through 1.29, providing some much needed respite for the Pound. However, this spike was not sustainable and the EUR found support moving the pair back towards 1.2850. I still feel the Pound is likely to find like tough going over the coming weeks and I do not expect a move above 1.30 under current market conditions.

If I was holding GBP I would be looking to take advantage of the improvement we’ve seen this week and not gamble on what is still a fragile economy.

If you have an upcoming GBP currency requirement, then please feel free to contact me to discuss the current market conditions and forecasts. We assist clients with not only the transfer of their funds at award winning rates of exchange but we will also help you time your exchange and maximise the market value. I can be reached on 0044 1494 787 478 and just ask one of my team for Matt. Alternatively, you can email me directly on mtv@currencies.co.uk