Tag Archives: Sterling

Pound weakens after hopes of a rate hike in May are dampened, where to next for the GBP/EUR rate? (Joseph Wright)

Financial markets had been pricing in an interest rate hike from the Bank of England since some bullish comments from the Bank of England last month.

The hopes of a rate hike have since dampened after some important comments from the governor of the Bank of England. Yesterday evening whilst speaking to the BBC, Mark Carney cooled expectations of a rate hike next month after not confirming that it would actually happen. There have been a few members of the BoE that have already voted in favour of hiking interest rates, and with the rate of wage growth in the UK now picking up and similar to inflation levels, many were expecting the base rate in the UK to rise to its highest level since the UK exited the recession.

Carney commented that he didn’t want to become too focused on the precise timing of the next rate hike, and although he didn’t rule out the hike he didn’t confirm it which has caused the Pound to weaken in value.

Sterling had been strengthening recently after the Brexit transitional deal has been agreed and hopes of the rate hike next month, so seeing the GBP/EUR rate drop from its highs isn’t a surprise.

There is still a rate hike likely this year although when it will happen remains to be seen. Next week UK GDP is due out on Friday, so if you’re planning on making a transfer involving the Pound and the Euro do feel free to get in touch as there is plenty of time to plan around next Friday’s release.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR go even higher?

The pound to Euro exchange rate is now touching the best rates since May 2017 which easily begs the question can this continue? GBPEUR has touched 1.16 in what has been a very positive few weeks for the pound and some uncertainty for the Euro as investors look to the Bank of England poised to raise interest rates, whilst investors brace themselves for the ECB, European Central Bank to be less positive.

The next big piece of news tomorrow morning is Inflation data which is released at 09.30 am and this will provide further evidence on just how the UK economy is performing and whether we can expect the Bank of England to be looking to raise interest rates or not in May. To many, it seems foregone conclusion and this has helped the pound to rise to the levels that we have seen.

GBPEUR faces some more challenges next week with the latest UK economic growth data which will be the first estimate for Q1 for the UK, the snow is likely to have affected the UK economy and hence growth could be lower. Subdued growth for the UK is absolutely a concern which could derail further interest rate hikes, there is also an important ECB policy meeting next Thursday which could trigger some volatility in the markets.

If you have a transfer buying or selling the pound against the Euro then making plans in this turbulent time is very sensible to try and gauge the expected outcomes, if you wish to run through or discuss any transactions please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting with any transfers.

 

Will the GBP/EUR rate breach 1.16 this month, and what’s causing the Pound to gain in value?

Sterling has performed well once again today, gaining by almost half a percent against the Euro and almost hitting 1.16 at its highest point.

Sentiment surrounding the UK economy and the Pound’s value moving forward has been improving recently, as the economy and a number of important stumbling blocks have been passed. Hopes of an interest rate hike from the Bank of England next month have jumped to the extent that the hike is almost set in stone. The BoE has hinted on numerous occasions that the rate hike is on the cards so I actually think that the interest rate hike has already been priced in so I’m not expecting to see a jump in the rate if it actually takes place. The risk is perhaps more to the downside as if there is no hike I think the Pound will fall.

The Brexit transitional agreement has already been agreed which is another reason for the stronger Pound. Moving forward there is the issue surrounding the Northern Irish border and I think this may pose a threat to a stronger Pound as the year goes on.

This week there will be the release of wage growth for the UK. This is a key area as wage growth had lagged inflation but now it’s expected to overtake the inflation level and therefore firm up the BoE’s interest rate plans. If you would like to discuss this economic data release in more detail do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBPEUR breaches 1.15

Its been a fantastic day for the pound and GBPEUR exchange rates have breached 1.15 and remained above the key threshold that many of my clients have been looking to trade at over the last year.

With limited data releases today it is hard to state the exact reasons to why the pound has gained so much momentum, however I believe its because speculators have purchased the pound in anticipation that the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney will deliver a press conference this evening and be bullish about the interest rate decision in May.

With average earnings catching inflation many speculators believe the Bank of England will hike interest rates to 0.75% and this is one of the reasons that the pound is gaining momentum alongside the transitional deal being agreed last month. The question is what next?

Personally I am surprised the pound is as high as it is, and I would be extremely tempted to purchase now at a 10 month high. The trade negotiations are set to start in the upcoming months and I expect these negotiations will put severe pressure on the pound.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP/EUR vulnerable to month and quarter end flows in next two days

Sterling has remained fairly range bound over the week so far, with very little in terms of economic data of note due out as we head towards the end of the calendar month and indeed the end of the quarter.

We do have some growth (GDP) figures for the U.K tomorrow which will show how the economy has performed recently but unless they are drastically different from analysts expectations then I personally do not expect to see this data causing too much in the way of market volatility.

What will be key and what may cause market volatility for this pairing is something known as month and quarter end flows. This is essentially where large institutions and funds net off their positions for the month, leading to large money movements and the market shifting without any prior warning.

There are also fairly substantial payments made from the EU to the U.K at this time of the month and quarter which can also lead to exactly the same scenario, giving anyone that needs to either buy Euros with Pounds or to sell Euros and buy Pounds a tricky situation where they need to have one eye on the market at all times, as it moves by the second.

If you are in the position that you have a transaction such as this to make and you would like our assistance, then we can watch the markets for you and make you aware of any spikes in your favour or adverse movements against you.

Should you wish to take advantage of our services, not only keeping you fully up to date but also ensuring you get the best rate when you convert your currency then it would be prudent to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) directly and I will be more than happy to help you. You can email me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to contact you personally.

Sterling Euro close to the best rate this year – What will tomorrow bring?

GBP/EUR exchange rates are now close to the best levels we have seen so far in 2017.

This is due to a number of positive economic and political data releases so far this week and we still have more to come too.

On Monday we had news that the EU and U.K had potentially come up with an agreement on a transition period which was seen as positive by the markets.

Yesterday we had inflation data out for the U.K and this morning we had news that unemployment figures had improved slightly, with most notably average earnings increasing to a level that is now back above inflation.

The reason this is key is that inflation has been above average earnings for a long time now, and that means that the price of goods and services is going up at a faster rate than peoples earnings, meaning the general consumer has less money in their pocket.

Tomorrow we see the start of the latest EU summit and brexit will no doubt be on the agenda so be wary of sharp Sterling movements at any point in the next 24 hours.

On top of this we have the latest Bank of England interest rate decision due out at midday. It would be a surprise to see a change in interest rates this time around, although after all of the positive news I wouldn’t totally rule it out, and the monetary policy statement shortly after should give us an indication on future plans, which would more than likely be confirming that they will be looking at a rate hike in May should nothing happen tomorrow.

If you have an exchange to carry out involving Pounds into Euros, or Euros into Pounds then I can help you achieve not only the best rates of exchange for this but I can help you with the timing of your transfer too.

Feel free  to contact me (Daniel Wright) by email for a free quote and discussion about your transaction on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to contact you personally.

 

 

Sterling makes minor gains against the Euro as the week nears an end

GBP/EUR exchange rates have slightly risen as the week nears an end, following on from one of the least volatile weeks for Sterling exchange rates that we have seen in over two years, with GBP/EUR in particular being range bound between 1.1150 and 1.1270.

The end of week spike appears to have been caused by news following the ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision which came out yesterday.

Markets had expected a decision on signalling the end of QE (Quantitative Easing) in the April meeting, but it appear that now will be pushed back to June or July according to reports on Reuters.

QE is generally seen as a negative for a currency, so any news that may signal the tapering or end of the QE program from the ECB would more than likely be seen as a positive for the currency, and any lengthening of the program or delays in the tapering of it can lead to Euro weakness, as we have seen this afternoon.

The start of next week is reasonably quiet in terms of economic data for both the U.K and the Eurozone but that does not mean that the rates will not move, with on-going Brexit talks absolutely anything can happen at any time with this particular currency pairing, and if you are in the position where you may need to carry out a large exchange between the two currencies then you need to be prepared to move should an opportunity arise.

If you are generally busy a lot of the time and you do not have time to watch the market then a proactive and reliable broker should be able to do this for you, if you would like me to do exactly that then you are more than welcome to get in touch with me directly. Having worked in currency exchange for over a decade not only do I understand the importance of keeping clients up to date with market movements, but also how much difference timing a transaction correctly can make.

If you would like my assistance, feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to get in touch with you directly.

GBP/EUR has an up and down day – What does the week ahead hold?

Sterling started the day off on the front foot against most majors, getting up to almost 1.14 against the Euro only to drop away again over the course of the afternoon.

With a positive vibe around current Brexit talks and the chances of an interest rate hike in May for the U.K increasing, there are many reasons why investors would have an interest in Sterling once again.

Although Sterling has gained ground this year against most major currencies, it has struggled to make much ground up on the Euro, and comments from head of the European Central Bank earlier today suggested that Sterling will not make a huge impact on the Euro in the near term, not due to poor economic data from the Eurozone anyway.

Draghi mentioned that he felt growth in the area at present was stronger than he had anticipated, that he expects labour market conditions to continue to improve and that the relationship between inflation and growth had remained intact.

All in all this is fairly positive news for the Eurozone and this led to a little Euro strength, bringing GBP/EUR exchange rates back down below 1.1350 at the time of writing this post.

The most notable day of economic data this week will be on Friday, where we have Prime Minister Theresa May due to speak and address Britain on the current Brexit approach and situation. Investors and speculators will be hanging off of every work that is spoken throughout this for any hints on current plans or notable progression with talks.

This may lead to a volatile day for Sterling against the Euro so if you have an exchange to make in the near future be sure to keep a keen eye on the markets over the course of Friday.

If you are looking to buy any Euros with Sterling or should you need to bring a large sum of Euros back into Sterling then it is well worth getting in touch with me directly.

I can help you both in terms of timing your transfer, keeping you up to date with any spikes in the market and of course getting you the best rate when you come to book the deal out.

For a free, no obligation discussion on how I can help you with this important decision please feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to get in touch with you personally to see how I can help.

GBP/EUR up as the week closes – Sterling gets a small lift

GBP/EUR exchange rates ended the week on a high as news throughout the week suggested that talks both within Britain and outside of it appear to be going well and progressing reasonably.

Any positive news on Brexit can give Sterling a lift, even if nothing has actually happened just yet the mere speculation of good news does appear to help the Pound.

Unemployment figures earlier in the week had led to a little Sterling weakness but the Pound fought back as the week  neared an end. Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney remained fairly hawkish (or Positive) in his tone when discussing the U.K economy and the chance of interest rate hikes for the U.K in the coming months.

It is now expected that there may be an interest rate hike in the U.K as early as May, and should speculation of this continue then I would expect to see the Pound continue to rise in the coming weeks.

As mentioned above however Brexit news does still create the possibility of a slip should there be any negative release so this really is a market that you need to keep[ a very close eye on at all times.

If you are looking to buy any foreign currency with Sterling or should you need to bring a large sum of foreign currency back into Sterling then it is well worth getting in touch with me directly.

I can help you both in terms of timing your transfer, keeping you up to date with any spikes in the market and of course getting you the best rate when you come to book the deal out.

For a free, no obligation discussion on how I can help you with this important decision please feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to get in touch with you personally to see how I can help.

Sterling Euro exchange rates get close to a 9 month high – Draghi knocks it back

Yesterday saw GBP/EUR exchange rates get close to the highest levels we have seen in almost 9 months, following a positive vibe around  U.K economic performance of late and comments from Angela Merkel that she would like to see a close relationship with the U.K post Brexit.

As the day progressed those highs quickly vanished, as we heard from head of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi during the ECB interest rate decision and press conference.

Draghi did not make any sweeping changes to fiscal policy but he did make a few comments including the fact that he felt that current economic data within the Eurozone points towards solid economic growth and that he also is not targeting the value of the Euro.

Comments earlier in the week from other members of the ECB had suggested that they feel that the Euro is too strong and that this is impacted European exports, which led to belief that Mario Draghi may seek to do something to tackle this, this speculation had weakened the Euro a little and the fact it didn’t happen then allowed it to fight back.

The Euro gained almost a cent against the Pound during the press conference and also managed to hit the best rate against the Dollar  in 17 months.

Personally I would not be surprised to see the Euro be fairly solid throughout the course of today following on from yesterday, however should this strength against the Dollar continue they will have to consider doing something, which is turn may weaken the Euro against the Pound.

If you have a Euro exchange to make in the coming days, weeks or months ahead then  it may be prudent to get in touch with me directly, Not only will you find that you save money on your rate of exchange but also you will find that our level of customer service if extremely high too.

You can email me (Daniel Wright) directly on djw@currencies.co.uk with an overview as to what you are looking to do and I will be more than happy to get in touch and discuss your situation personally.

Retail sales figures fail to impress this morning, positive brexit outlook still holding Sterling strong

We have just had the release of Retail Sales figures for the U.K a short while ago and unfortunately figures have failed to impress and fell short of analysts expectations.

Usually this would have hit the Pound fairly hard and we would have had Sterling weakness, however it does appear that we are currently witnessing a bout of positive vibes surrounding Brexit negotiations and progress and this is currently giving the Pound a bit of a boost.

My opinion at present is that I would not be surprised to see Sterling exchange rates have a good year, there is of course the potential banana skin that Brexit talks may suddenly take a turn for the worse and at that point the Pound may struggle, but in general things to appear to be ticking along fairly well, and due to this fact alone I think Sterling will reap the benefits of this.

The European Central Bank do have a part to play and should they move to completely cut back on their QE program and start to make more positive economic decisions then the Euro could still continue its fairly good start to the year.

One possible setback for the Euro is the Italian elections which are due on 4th March, these should bring uncertainty for the Euro as there is still quite a bit of uncertainty over the potential victor, so keep your eyes peeled for more news throughout February for this.

If you have a Sterling/Euro exchange to make (either buying or selling) in the coming days, weeks or months and you would like assistance not only on the timing of your transfer but also with achieving the very best rate of exchange too then I can help you personally.

Feel free to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) by emailing me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get back to you. Having now worked at the same foreign exchange brokerage for over a decade I am well placed to assist you and will be more than happy to help

Pound to Euro rate improves after German PM Merkel’s future looks uncertain! (Joseph Wright)

The Euro dropped in value today after Germany, the engine room of the EU is currently facing a political crises with many political commentators calling it the biggest crises of current Angela Merkel’s tenure.

Late on Sunday exploratory talks broke down between her Christian Democrats, Bavaria’s Christian Social Union and the Liberal Free Democrats broke down, ruling out an obvious path for Merkel to form a coalition government.

With German coalition talks collapsing it’s not surprising to see the Euro fall, as political uncertainty tends to weigh on the underlying currency.

An issue for the UK moving forward may be a pause to Brexit negotiations due to Merkel’s issue, but as it stands the GBP/EUR rate has benefited from the headline grabbing story.

At the same time the Pound opened the week strongly against all major currency pairs after speculation regarding the UK’s Brexit Bill continues. The current rumours suggest that the bill will increase to £38bn and the Pound has been boosted off the back of this news as if it’s true, it may clear the path for Brexit negotiations to progress.

If you’re following the GBP/EUR pair because you have an upcoming currency requirement involving the pair, feel free to get in touch and register your interest.

This week the Autumn Budget will take place so there could be movement, so this event is certainty worth watching.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What can we expect next on GBPEUR?

GBPEUR has risen as the pound strengthens on the back of increased expectation that the Bank of England will soon raise interest rates in the UK Investors are betting that this will happen and this will see the pound stronger in the future. If you have a future requirement to buy or sell Euros against pounds the coming weeks will be crucial to how the future direction on rates shape up.

As mentioned the Bank of England is talking about raising interest rates which could happen as early as 2nd November. If this is the case then the pound should rise since there is growing speculation that this will be the case. Ultimately I feel the expectation is too high and the Bank of England will be very cautious, the propensity for a volatile pound is high.

The Euro is looking very strong but it is weaker from the recent highs owing to the news regarding the German election. Angela Merkel’s diminished position has seen the Euro weaker, there is also key economic news to be concerned with too. So for example the latest ECB decision where we might learn of any tapering of their QE program could see a volatile period on the Euro.

Ultimately I expect the Euro to remain stronger against the pound since it is highly likely the uncertainty over Brexit will continue to be a weight around the neck of the pound. Therefore if buying Euros with pound moving sooner on any uncertainty is the best way forward to avoid the risk of losses.

Thank you for reading and for any further information regarding the best rates of exchange buying and selling Euros please do contact me by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will GBPEUR keep rising?

The pound has risen to fresh 3 month highs against the Euro as we get closer to understanding when the Bank of England might raise interest rates. Overall there is a much stronger belief that the Euro will rise after the German election but of course there are no guarantees as to what will ultimately happen down the line. It would not be surprising to see this rally for the pound carry on but of course the German election will be a thorn in the side of Euro buyers next week.

The actual election is on the 24th September but that is a Sunday so Friday next week and Monday will be the main days we will see movement on the currency markets. Therefore if you have a transfer to buy or sell Euros for pounds making some plans around the upcoming events is sensible, I am sure if you need to buy Euros and you see the rate go back down to 1.10 you would be most disappointed!

The pending German election could be a good opportunity for any Euro sellers who failed to capitalise on the improvements we saw two weeks ago to recoup some losses. However overall I would not be surprised to see the pound much stronger overall owing to the outcome from yesterday’s Bank of England meeting.

If you have a transfer to make soon or even in the coming weeks then making some plans around this latest twist on the market is I believe very sensible. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you in the future.

Sterling flat despite positive words from a key Bank of England figure (Joseph Wright)

Sterling has failed to see a boost to it’s value this morning despite a member of the Bank of England suggesting that its time for an interest rate hike in the UK.

The member is Michael Saunders and his comments won’t of come as a surprise to many after his votes to raise the rate in the last two voting meetings. The current Pound to Euro exchange rate is sitting at 1.0850 after hitting a new 8-year low earlier this week due to Brexit uncertainties.

There have been a number of predictions for the Pound to Euro rate to hit parity within the next year and at the moment we’re not far from this level as Brexit fears continue to weigh on sentiment surrounding the UK economy. The fears mostly surround how the UK is yet to agree on the final Brexit bill and also the European Commission becoming frustrated with a lack of clarity from the UK regarding it’s plans.

A little later this morning there will be the release of Eurozone Inflation levels for August which could potential move the markets, those following the GBP/EUR rate should keep an eye on releases like this and we can help keep our clients updated if they wish.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What next for GBPEUR rates?

Overall the belief on the GBPEUR rate is that it will now continue to ebb lower and lower as the uncertainty over the UK’s political and economic outlook is overshadowed by much improved economic data and also political certainty in the Eurozone. Those who predicted the demise of the Euro and the Eurozone a few years ago are now facing some serious questions as the outlook for the Eurozone continues to improve. If you are selling Euros the likelihood of further improvements cannot be ruled out. The extra 2 cents gained for Euro sellers this week is an extra £1500 in your pocket per €100,000 transferred. If you wish to learn more about rate movements and how much you could save please contact me jmw@currencies.co.uk.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling the pound and Euro the current trend is looking likely to favour the Euro but there could be surprises on the way. For example Mario Draghi was actually quite ‘dovish’ or soft in his comments yesterday during the European Central Bank (ECB) Press Conference. Nevertheless the Euro rallied essentially as Mario revealed there are plans to taper their bond buying purchases in the future.

This strengthened the Euro but Mario didn’t actually reveal too much on timings, that means that the market might actually have overreacted to his comments. This can often be the case on markets so Euro strength is neither guaranteed or assured. However looking at the overall picture and particularly against a weaker pound a further decline in the GBPEUR rate looks to me likely.

If you have a transfer buying or selling Euros we are here to help with the planning and execution of any transactions for the future. We can help with the forecasting and devising of strategies to help you maximise the transaction. Thank you for reading and please contact me if you would like to discuss anything further by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Queens speech vote to influence GBPEUR exchange rates (Dayle Littlejohn)

As Theresa May failed to win the General Election by a majority the Conservative Prime Minister has been in negotiations with the Democratic  Unionist Party (DUP) and a minority Government has been formed. Members of Parliament will have the final vote on the minority Government later this afternoon.

For Jeremy Corbyn to win and effectively vote down the queens speech members of the conservative party will have to vote against Theresa May and I just cant see this happening. Therefore I expect the minority government to be officially formed by the end of the week which could lead to further sterling strength against the Euro and exchange rates to drift towards the mid teen territory.

Looking further ahead Theresa May’s position as Prime Minister will continue to be scrutinised and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the PM resign in the upcoming 6 months. This view is supported by American Financial Service City Group as they informed all of their clients that they expect Theresa May will resign in the upcoming months due to a Conservative rebellion. If she did resign the new Prime Minister could call another General Election which would weigh down on the pound further.

For further information in regards to GBPEUR exchange rates feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with the options available to you and the process of using the company I work for drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Sterling to Euro rate continues to trade towards the lower end of its current range, will this trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is continuing to come under pressure as we get closer to the election, especially as a number of prominent opinion polls this week have shown that the lead the Conservatives had is diminishing with some suggesting that they may not win a majority of seats required.

If the option polls are correct we could be looking at another Hung Parliament in the UK which I believe would push the Pound lower and probably back towards the 1.10 mark.

The current trend for the GBPEUR pair is between 1.1350 up to 1.1950 although a couple of times towards the back end of last year the rate did touch 1.10 twice before seeing support.

A steep drop for Sterling is in my opinion likely if a Hung Parliament is announced, and I don’t think that the current UK Prime Minister has done herself many favours this week by not attending the debates between the political rivals in the race for number 10.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the latest market updates do feel free to register your interest with me and I’ll be happy to keep you updated.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound vs Euro at the highest rate since February (Tom Holian)

Pound to Euro exchange rates have hit their best rate to buy Euros since late February.

Since the triggering of Article 50 on Wednesday the Pound has edged up against the single currency despite some previous predictions that the Pound would struggle once the formal announcement was made.

It appears as though the value of Sterling Euro exchange rates for the last few weeks has been priced in which means there was an expectation for the trigger of Article 50 so when it was actually announced it cause little movement for Sterling.

Indeed, at least for the time being the focus will now turn back to the economy before the EU negotiations will take place.

We saw UK GDP come in line with expectation shrugging off any Brexit fears for the fourth quarter of 2016 and this has also lent the Pound some support vs the Euro.

Also, published yesterday were Eurozone inflation figures which saw a big drop from the expectation of 2% to 1.5%.

This caused weakness for the Euro sending GBPEUR exchange rates up to their highest level since the final week of February. Good news if you need to buy Euros to send to Europe for a property purchase or even living expenses.

The reason for the weakening of the Euro is that if inflation falls it demonstrates that the QE programme which the ECB has in place until early next year it not necessarily working which means it could be extended.

It also means that the ECB will not be able to increase interest rates for quite some time. Therefore, this is the reason why we have seen Sterling increase against the Euro towards the end of the week.

If you have a currency transfer to make and would like to save money when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Positive UK Retail Sales provide Sterling support vs the Euro (Tom Holian)

UK Retail Sales have just been published this morning and they came out much better than expected.

The expectation was for 0.4% and the figures showed an improvement to 1.4% for month on month.

This surprise economic data has seen huge increases for the Pound this morning against the Euro and all other major currencies.

UK Retail Sales in recent months have been relatively low so this morning’s data has provided huge support for Sterling.

Eurozone Consumer Confidence data is due to be released at 3pm this afternoon and this has been very positive in recent months so another strong data release could reverse Sterling’s gains from this morning.

However, will this gain be short lived and will Sterling fall next week?

With now less than a week to go before Article 50 is triggered people are getting prepared for what may happen to GBPEUR exchange rates once the official letter has been sent to confirm that we will be leaving the European Union.

Many of my clients have been buying forward contracts when buying or selling Euros in order to remove the potential uncertainty of what may happen next week.

A forward contract allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit and means that whether markets go up or down you have the peace of mind knowing exactly how much it will cost.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident that not only am I able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing of your trade.

If you would like more information or a free quote when buying or selling Euros then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk