Tag Archives: the best GBPEUR rates

GBP/EUR trading around a 6-week low, will the pair continue to fall?

The Pound has come under pressure once again today, not just compared to the Euro but across the board of major currencies. Those planning on making a large transfer from Pounds into Euros are seeing the cost of Euros become more expensive on almost a daily basis at the moment, and there are a number of reasons for this.

The financial markets had previously been pricing in an interest rate hike from the Bank of England, up to 0.75% which would be the highest rate since the UK exited the global recession almost 10-years ago. This rate hike is now looking a lot less likely after some disappointing GDP figures released lat week showed a slowdown in the UK economy. According to the preliminary GDP figures, the UK economy has slowed to its slowest level in 5-years and although much of this is being attributed to the terrible weather in the first quarter of this year.

At the same time Manufacturing data released this morning showed that the sector has dropped to a 17-month low. With the UK economy appearing to slowdown the chances of a rate hike have slipped and now Lloyd’s Bank are only expecting a 20% chance of the hike actually happening this month.

Tomorrow there is Construction data to be released and then on Thursday there will be Services data released, all out of the UK. Further weak data in my opinion is highly likely to result in a further sell-off of the Pound, so do feel free to register your interest with me if you would like to be notified should there be a major spike do feel free to get in touch.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

How will the ECB and the BoE move rates?

The BoE (Bank of England) and the ECB (European Central Bank) are going to be the main talking points that come up in the weeks ahead as we get further clarification on the final outcomes of economic policy for both central banks. The decisions by both teams will more than likely lead to movement on GBPEUR rates and these two events are well worth monitoring closely.

Tomorrow is the ECB interest rate decision which could easily trigger some volatility in Euro rates since there is a lack of uncertainty over what kind of commentary we will see from the ECB team. President of the ECB Mario Draghi will be leading the helm and give us the latest views on monetary policy moving forward.

Recent ECB Meeting Minutes highlighted a concern about a strong Euro and this is what saw the Euro much weaker a couple of weeks ago. This is really at odds with the behaviour of the Euro at the last ECB meeting where the Euro rose to its strongest point of 2018 against the pound.

The 10th May sees the Bank of England meeting which is likely to be a very strong trigger on the pound as investors are expecting an interest rate hike but it is by no means set in stone. The uncertainty about whether or not the UK will hike plus the lack of clarity about future hikes will all act as trigger points for future volatility on GBPEUR.

If you have any currency transfers buying or selling the pound against the Euro these pieces of news are likely to be a major market mover and it is well worth highlighting any potential transfer to us well in advance. For more information at no cost or obligation over what to expect and what to be prepared for, please contact me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Is the trend of a strong April for the Pound about to end?

The seasonal trend of the Pound gaining throughout the month of April looks set to end this month, which is coincidentally the 13th month unlikely when the Pound is compared with the US Dollar.

The Pound tends to perform well against most major currency pairs including the Euro during April, with the trend being attributed to the new tax year and a lot of dividend payments being made around this time in GBP denominated equities.

It looks like 13th time unlikely as the Pound is trading below its starting point versus the US Dollar and the Euro when the month begun. Sterling has been coming under pressure recently after some poor Retail Sales figures and lower inflation and wage growth figures. The drop in the Pounds value and sentiment surrounding it have led the Bank of America Merrill Lynch to drop their bet on the Pound gaining in value during the month of April.

I also think that Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney failing to confirm the expected interest rate hike from the BoE next month has also impacted the Pound negatively, and the issues surrounding whether or not the UK will leave the EU Customs Union is also weighing on the Pounds value.

If you would like to discuss any upcoming transfers you’re planning, I think next months BoE meeting on the 10th of May is key, and feel free to get in touch to plan around this event and ask for my opinion.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPEUR hit 1.20 this year?

The pound has risen against the Euro and we are now much closer to hitting the 1.20 level than we had been in recent months and really since the Brexit vote. Whilst the rate has been higher than where we are currently, it has been in the 1.19’s at times last February and just after the vote in 2016, the current conditions point towards improvements ahead.

This is down to the progress that is being made on Brexit plus the prospect of the Bank of England raising interest rates. This is being evidenced from the recent twists and turns on the Irish border which are expected to be completed by the end of June. The Irish Prime Minister has stated he wants this finalised by then which should trigger GBP strength once it happens.

Further hints of a deal being reached on a trade basis with the EU would also see the pound much higher in the coming weeks and months. This might take until the autumn but is a real possibility to trigger GBPEUR towards 1.20. The Bank of England might also be looking to raise interest rates or raise their forecast of raising interest rates, this would also be supportive for the pound.

Is 1.20 a guarantee?

Well no, of course not. Nothing is guaranteed on exchange rates! If however, the above conditions are satisfied then it is very possible but this will rely on the Euro not being too strong. The ECB meeting later this month could see a stronger Euro if the ECB are more positive about hiking their rates and withdrawing monetary policy in the future. Any hurdles on Brexit would also hinder the pricing too.

If you need to buy Euros with pounds the outlook is now much more positive but nothing should be taken for granted on exchange rates. For more information on how to track the best rates and assistance with strategies to help maximise your currency exchange, please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

 

Will GBPEUR rise further this week?

It is very tempting to track the GBPEUR rate now hoping for further improvements, the rates have risen to some of the best to buy Euros with pounds since May 2017. To understand whether this pair will rise further it is useful to track what has happened so far and understand why. We can then also look at events ahead to make a decision on what is likely to happen.

Overall I don’t expect the pound to Euro rate to rise significantly higher, I think actually there could be a danger the levels will fall back as the enthusiasm for the pound begins to wear off. Whilst there has been progress made with Brexit and the Bank of England should raise interest rates in May, this news is largely priced in now.

This means that any signs events are not going to progress as smoothly as previously believed could disrupt the currency and cause the pound to fall. There is still a huge amount to accomplish for the UK on Brexit plans and there is also many economic conditions for the UK to meet to warrant future hikes, which would cause the pound to rise.

I do now expect rates for Euro buyers to remain favourable but any further good news will probably be met with limited confidence on the rates since the good news is already out there. If you need to buy Euros with pounds then making some plans around the current favourable levels seems very sensible to me.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you anytime and assisting in the future.

If you need to transfer above £10,000 or Euros internationally and wish for some information on the best rates and assistance with the timing and planning of any transaction, please speak to me as above to achieve a preferential rate.

Pound to Euro rate hits a 7-week high before BoE meeting (Joseph Wright)

Sterling has been strengthening throughout the week after news of the Brexit transitional deal being agreed has been met well by the markets.

It will be interesting to see whether the GBP/EUR pair can break above 1.15, because at the moment they are trading comfortably in the 1.14’s and these are around the highest levels for the pair going back as far as June. The 1.15 mark appears to be a ceiling for the pair so far, but there are a number of potential market movers that could push the pair higher.

Later today the start of the EU Summit in Brussels will begin, and the Brexit is expected to be a key talking point for those attending. As previously mentioned the most recent Brexit news boosted markets but it will be interesting to see whether any further commentary this week will affect the GBP/EUR rate. I would imagine that suit sentiments change the Pound will fall as it’s trading at the top end of its current range.

The increase in wage growth has also increased the chances of a rate hike from the Bank of England later this year, with many economists pencilling in May as the next time the Bank of England will opt to make the adjustment.

Some economists even believe that there could be two rate hikes which would most likely result in a stronger Pound as well.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

ECB tomorrow the major news on the Euro!

The Euro is benefiting from improved certainty from the political situation in the Germany and stronger economic news for the Eurozone. Political and economic factors are encouraging investors to increase their holdings of the Euro as there is a belief the currency will only improve in the future. Tomorrow is a key economic event from the ECB (European Central Bank) which could see volatility on the Euro.

It is quite surprising the Euro did not come unstuck following the Italian election, the lack of clarity over the final outcome from the result could easily have seen the Euro losing value. Despite anti-establishment parties gaining over 50% of the vote the single currency has held its own. Whilst the Italian news is concerning, the other factors mentioned above, political strength from Germany and good economic news across the whole Eurozone region, have all seen the Euro stronger.

If you need to or wish to look at any currency transfers buying or selling Euros then understanding these events can help to make an informed choice about when to enter the market. The ECB decision on interest rates tomorrow and Press Conference that follows could really help you to achieve a better deal for both buyers and sellers, depending on what happens. Personally, I would not be surprised to see the Euro stronger but often any movements on such events are quick and catching these ‘spikes’ requires a bit of planning.

For more information about securing an exchange rate at the best ‘time’, why not get in touch with us to learn more. We can offer a safe, secure system to transfer money internationally at the very best rates of exchange. Please contact myself Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Sterling drops as Brexit talks take centre stage, will GBP/EUR drop below 1.12? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has dropped this afternoon, as its emerged that draft guidelines on a trade agreement between Britain and the EU are published on Wednesday.

Donald Tusk, the chairman of EU leaders was in London to discuss the Brexit negotiations with UK Prime Minister, Theresa May recently. It will be him that presents the draft guidelines tomorrow so those interested in how the GBP/EUR rate is performing should be aware of this.

In the morning there will be GDP figures released out of the EU which also hold the potential to move markets. 0.6% is expected on a quarterly basis and 2.7% annually so expect any deviations from these figures to result in movement for the pair.

Then on Thursday at 12.45pm the ECB (European Central Bank) interest rate decision will be announced. No change is expected but those monitoring the rates should follow the statement at 1.30pm as any reference to future monetary policy may result in movement for the GBP/EUR pair.

It’s data this that can move the markets and a bout of poor data for the Pound is likely to see the Pound dip into the 1.11’s and consolidate there. The rate has dipped into the 1.11’s at times today so those with plans involving the pair should be aware of this.

If you would like to register your interest with me due to planning an upcoming currency transfer, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will today’s speech from Theresa May offer the GBP/EUR rate direction? (Joseph Wright)

Today could prove to be a busy day for GBP exchange rates, as the UK’s Prime Minister is scheduled to speak around lunchtime today according to reports with the Brexit being in focus.

Brexit related news and updates are proving to be the biggest mover of GBP exchange rates at the moment, and time is running out for the UK and the EU to come to an arrangement so I don’t expect to see this pattern change anytime soon.

May is expected to focus on a number of topics in today’s speech such as protecting jobs, protecting any deals that are being arranged and ensuring that any deals made benefit both parties.

As we’ve seen recently the relationship between the UK and EU negotiators is quite frosty, and the issues surrounding the Northern Irish border and the customs union appear to be sticking points.

Mark Carney will also be speaking this morning so there could be movement for GBP/EUR for this reason also, especially if there are references to future monetary policy as the global pick up in the economy is likely to result in a more aggressive monetary policy for the Bank of England than previously expected.

If you would like to be updated in the event of a major move for the GBP/EUR rate today, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will today’s speech give GBP/EUR direction? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Euro exchange rate has been hovering around the 1.13 mark over the past 24 hours, but a key speech in Austria this morning could offer the pair some direction moving forward.

At 9.30am this morning David Davis, the Brexit Secretary will give a speech on Brexit where he is expected to say ‘Britain won’t turn into a Mad Max-style dystopia’. He’s also expected to say that Britain won’t abandon workers’ rights and environmental concerns after Brexit.

In the build up to this the Pound has softened against some major currency pairs but it’s holding its ground against the Euro so far, leading me to believe that some bullish comments from David Davis are likely to result in GBP/EUR breaching 1.13.

Aside from this morning I think the next month could be busy for GBP exchange rates as within the next month we’re likely to know the UK’s stance on the Brexit transitional deal. Also the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Philip Hammond will announce the latest Spring statement so there are plenty of events that could potentially move the markets.

If you would like to be kept updated in the event of a major market move for GBP/EUR, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP to EUR rate begins the week flat, will this week bring direction for the pair? (Joseph Wright)

After a very busy week for Sterling exchange rates last week, the Pound has begun the week in a quiet fashion with GBP/EUR trading exactly flat on the day at the time of writing.

Those watching the GBP/EUR rate should be aware that the pair reached the top end of their medium term trend last week after hitting 1.1450, and that it’s not unusual to see the pair dip shortly after hitting the 1.14/1.15’s as many within the markets don’t think the pair can breach this mark and push on into the later teens.

The lower end of the trend since the summer of last year is well below 1.10 at the 1.07/1.08 mark, so the pair are still trading towards the top end of the medium term trend.

It’s Brexit related news that’s continuing to be the main driver of GBP exchange rate movements at the moment. Last week’s spike up to 1.1450 was a result of bullish comments from the Bank of England so those hoping for another opportunity to trade around those levels should pay attention to comments from the BoE. Do feel free to register your interest with me if you wish to be notified in the wake of a big move for GBP exchange rates.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Brexit Talks key to GBP/EUR Levels (Daniel Johnson)

GBP/EUR- 1.15 seems to be a Resistance Point

GBP/EUR has been fluctuating between 1.12-1.15 for some time. The absolute peak has been just above 1.15 and has only been available for small windows. It soon retracts which could be attributed to profit taking.

One of the key factors on GBP/EUR at present is Brexit Negotiations. The uncertainty surrounding talks is keeping Sterling anchored below 1.15. If we have further clarity on how talks are progressing expect the pound to strengthen. There has been good news of late with both Dutch and Spanish finance miniters saying they would like a close relationship with the UK after Brexit and are forthcoming in regards to getting a deal in place. Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor made similar comments and as Germany is the engine room of the EU this caused substantial Euro strength.

Freedom of movement of people seems to be the sticking point in current talks, which is obviously a problem with the UK as one of the main reasons for leaving the EU was to have immigration control. I feel this decision will be key to Brexit talks. If freedom of movement of people is agreed by the UK I would expect GBP/EUR to breach 1.15 as trade talks can then progress.

QE could continue past September Target

Mario Draghi, the President of the European Central Bank has declared that the current Quantitative Easing (QE) program could continue past it’s September completion date. Despite record growth in the bloc in 2017 inflation is struggling and Draghi is reluctant to change monetary policy due to this. He has stated that inflation will move natural towards the 2% target, but I am not so convinced.

The need to continue QE shows a lack of confidence in the economy, although we are seeing record highs against the USD, this is more due to Dollar weakness than Euro strength. I do not think the Euro will make significant gains in Sterling unless there is a major hindrance in Brexit talks.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a free trading strategy. During a period of such uncertainty it is important to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximize your return. We have tools at our disposal to make sure you do not miss out if there is a spike in your favour.

If you already have a currency provider in place. Drop me an email with what you are being offered and  I am very confident I will be able to demonstrate a significant saving. It will only take you two minutes and I am  sure it will be worth your while. You can trade in safety knowing you are with a Foreign Currency Direct PLC, a firm trading for over 16yrs and FCA registered.

If you would like my help feel free to email me at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading.

 

GBP/EUR hits nine month high (Daniel Johnson)

Sterling hits nine month high against the Euro

Sterling hit a nine month high today against the Euro. The spike was caused by several contributing factors. Lord Jim O’Neill gave a very positive forecast on a recovery for the UK economy post Brexit early in the week. This was coupled with news that Dutch and Spanish finance ministers would like a close relationship in regards to trade with Britain. Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor also announced her intention to have a close bond with the UK post-Brexit. This was key, as Germany is the engine room of the Eurozone, but this is not necessarily a surprise due to the large volume of German exports to the UK, particularly cars of which the UK is a large consumer.

There is however concerns for Sterling. The biggest of which is Phase two of Brexit talks. Chief negotiator for the EU, Michel Barnier and UK Chief negotiator David Davis are at loggerheads. Barnier would like the financial sector included in any deal and Davis has stated Brussels will not be able to cherry pick aspects of the deal. Davis is clearly not happy, EU services have apparently been approaching UK companies and advising them to leave the UK or risk losing their contracts. The deal is set to be initially agreed in October, but I feel this target is unrealistic as is a full exit by 2019. I think talks could well prove problematic and I think Sterling could suffer as a result.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximise your return. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free, no obligation trading strategy for you. If you have a trade to perform I will also happily provide a free quote and I am confident our rates are among the best in the industry. I would be willing to demonstrate this in form of a comparison with any competitor. You can trade in safety knowing you are dealing with company FCA registered and one that has been trading for 16yrs. Foreign Currency Direct PLC.
If you would like my assistance I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading. Daniel Johnson

What will be happening with the pound to Euro forecast this month?

The pound is looking much better against the Euro following the withdrawal agreement which has improved the outlook on the Brexit. Sterling has found some support against the Euro and despite plenty of uncertainty over what lies ahead, sterling is enjoying a much higher range of rates than we have had. The range has been  1.07 to 1.14 so the current levels of 1.12 are not to be easily ignored.

2018 will undoubtedly offer us some better opportunities to buy Euros with pounds following a number of key events including the Italian election in March and the resolution (or not) of the Spanish situation. We will also be looking to the German situation to see if the coalition agreement will actually take place and hold. Whilst agreed today the coalition could struggle and this could see the Euro weaker, if looking to sell Euros and hanging on hoping for big improvements you could end up disappointed!

2018 could be a better year for Euro buyers but the pound could struggle if the Euro continues to find favour which it has been doing recently. Expectations for the pound to struggle can also not be discounted so I would personally be imagining some ranges in the 1.10-1.16 level for Q1 of 2018.

If you have a transfer buying or selling Euros against the pound making the most of the situation and trying to cover your bases on the predictions is sensible. Most clients looking to sell Euros have not had rates this good since September, the lows we hit then were in the 1.08 range, this is the best rates for Euro sellers in nine years!

Overall 2018 has begun fairly quietly on the rates with no major changes but this will not last for long. Market sentiment is leaning towards improvements for the pound against the Euro should the Euro weaken but sterling has many hurdles to overcome. The best way to plan for the future is to create it, if you have a transfer that you are considering please don’t hesitate to contact me Jonathan Watson to discuss further.

Please email me on jmw@currencies.co.uk to get the latest news and information on this situation.

What can we expect in 2018 on GBPEUR exchange rates?

2018 is looking like another volatile year with plenty of fresh news and developments in a number of areas which could see changes and shifts in the GBPEUR exchange rate. Notably, Brexit will continue to be a key driver for the pound which will see the rates inextricably linked to shifts in sentiment over the Brexit. The Euro has a number of key hurdles to overcome, mainly political like the UK.

If you are considering buying Euros you would be forgiven for checking the headlines over Angela Merkel and the Spanish situation and expecting the Euro to be much weaker. The outlook for the Euro is however still very positive despite the fear and uncertainty surrounding the political situation. Yes, the outlook for the Euro has deteriorated slightly but the prospects for the Euro still remain rather positive.

All in all, the uncertainty surrounding Brexit will I feel be more of a drag on GBPEUR than the political uncertainty in the Eurozone. We should see the market shift according to the run of events which could see the Euro weaker in March when we have the Italian election. Further negative developments on the Spanish or German situation could weigh on the Euro but as mentioned I do feel the weakness of the pound will remain more in focus once again in 2018.

If you are buying or selling Euros for pounds the exchange rate is at an important junction as we have more reasons to be positive over Brexit which has helped the pound, but a number of challenges remain ahead. If you wish to get an overview of the position or discuss further a forecast relating specifically to your position, please feel free to contact me Jonny to discuss further your currency situation.

To learn more about the year ahead on GBPEUR exchange rates and discuss options and strategy please contact me on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

What can we expect in the coming weeks on GBPEUR?

The pound to Euro rate has risen against the odds as the UK appears to be getting further ahead with its Brexit plans. The European Union is meeting with the UK at the latest Brexit summit on the 14th and 15th December which is the next major phase of the plans. If there is anything you need to look at, whether buying or selling Euros there are two key events to be aware of which may move the market.

The EU Summit is vital but also the Catalonian independence election on the 21st December. The overall belief is that the pound could rise further against the Euro. The overall impression is that the pound could rise further against the Euro if the EU summit does prove interesting for the UK and the pound but actually we need to be careful that all of the goodwill so far towards sterling does not quickly undo itself.

If you have a transfer buying the pound in the future then there is a real chance the Euro will weaken further so it might make sense to be looking to maximise the transfer sooner than later. Overall expectations are that the pound could rise further although there are no guarantees. I would personally be very conscious sterling could suffer longer term because of the Brexit.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling the pound or the Euro this month there are two key releases which will be important. For more information at no cost or obligation please get in touch by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Pound to Euro rate improves after German PM Merkel’s future looks uncertain! (Joseph Wright)

The Euro dropped in value today after Germany, the engine room of the EU is currently facing a political crises with many political commentators calling it the biggest crises of current Angela Merkel’s tenure.

Late on Sunday exploratory talks broke down between her Christian Democrats, Bavaria’s Christian Social Union and the Liberal Free Democrats broke down, ruling out an obvious path for Merkel to form a coalition government.

With German coalition talks collapsing it’s not surprising to see the Euro fall, as political uncertainty tends to weigh on the underlying currency.

An issue for the UK moving forward may be a pause to Brexit negotiations due to Merkel’s issue, but as it stands the GBP/EUR rate has benefited from the headline grabbing story.

At the same time the Pound opened the week strongly against all major currency pairs after speculation regarding the UK’s Brexit Bill continues. The current rumours suggest that the bill will increase to £38bn and the Pound has been boosted off the back of this news as if it’s true, it may clear the path for Brexit negotiations to progress.

If you’re following the GBP/EUR pair because you have an upcoming currency requirement involving the pair, feel free to get in touch and register your interest.

This week the Autumn Budget will take place so there could be movement, so this event is certainty worth watching.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Major volatility expected for GBPEUR exchange rates

With the spotlight beaming down on UK Prime Minister Theresa May, the pound remains under severe pressure against the euro providing euros sellers with a fantastic opportunity.

Reports were leaked at the weekend that 40 Conservative MPs plan to persuade another 8 Conservative MPs to sign a vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister. This is a key reason to why the pound started the week so poorly against all of the major currencies.

Head Eu negotiators Michel Barnier is also mounting the pressure as he gave the UK a 2 week deadline for progression, this announcement was released last Friday therefore we have 8 days until crunch time. Mr Barnier wants to be able to report clear progression at the EU commission meeting in December.

With Brexit negotiations now in full swing and clearing heating up, I expect major volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates for the remainder of the year. If no progression is made I believe Theresa May’s time at number 10 will be limited and therefore GBPEUR exchange rates could fall to the lows that we saw 8 months ago (1.07).

However if progression is made pressure will be released, and GBPEUR could hit a 6 month high (1.15). If you are converting GBPEUR in the upcoming weeks devising a strategy now is wise!

For further information in regards to GBPEUR currency transfers feel free to email me with the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will GBPEUR continue to slide?

The pound to Euro rate has been slipping since Monday when we challenged the 1.13 but were ultimately unsuccessful as investors looked to the uncertainty surrounding a UK interest rate hike. The next direction on rates is all going to come down to, in the main, the prospect of a UK interest rate hike and then a Eurozone QE taper. I personally see GBPEUR losing more ground and retesting the 1.10 level in the coming weeks and months.

QE is Quantitative Easing and it is effectively pumping money into an economy through the purchase of assets and bonds by a central bank. The European Central Bank is currently engaging in €60 bn worth per month and investors believe they will scale this back. What this means is that the Euro will on such news, ore than likely strengthen.

Overall expectations are for the Euro to rise in value longer term but just lately the worries over Spanish independence and also the Austrian and German elections have seen the Euro weaker. Longer term I feel the strength in the Eurozone economy will see it through, I see more chance of the ECB acting to reduce their QE than the UK and the Bank of England raising interest rates.

If you are looking to buy or sell pounds against Euros the next two weeks are critical and will likely lead to swings and opportunities that might not be around for long. The best strategy I believe is to look at the market with our expert assistance to try and determine the most opportune moments to capitalise.

Sometimes exchange rates spike for just a few seconds and it is only through being prepared that we can help you. We are here to help you maximise any transfer, for more information on getting the best rates of exchange plus expert service and assistance, please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and helping you maximise your exchange.

 

All eyes on Inflation figures this morning (Joseph Wright)

This morning could be important for Sterling exchange rates, not just this morning but moving forward as analysts are expecting to see UK inflation levels hit a 5-year high.

The weakening of the Pound since the Brexit vote has pushed up the rate of inflation in the UK, and for a while now the inflation level has been well above the Bank of England’s 2% target. Many analysts in the city are expecting to see the rate hit 3% for September, and if this happens there is a high chance that the Bank of England may look to hike interest rates for the first time in over 10 years.

A 3% inflation level would be a 5-year high and the governor of the Bank of England has hinted at hiking rates as soon as next month.

A high reading this morning would likely result in Sterling strength as the markets would expect to see a rate hike from the BoE, and at the same time if the inflation level is lower than expectations, I think there’s a chance the Pound would fall.

Mark Carney will also be speaking later this morning as he testifies to MP’s on the Treasury this morning. It will be interesting to see whether he discusses inflation and potential rate hikes and if he does it will be interesting to see how the Pound reacts.

Aside from today’s busy morning this Thursday could also be busy as Retail Sales data will be released which could impact Sterling depending on how the figures perform.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.